U.S. Crude Oil Production Steady In December

The Energy Information Administration reported that December crude oil production fell by 58,000 barrels per day, averaging 11.063 mmbd. This follows a 682,000 b/d rise in November. The December 914 figure compares to the EIA’s weekly estimates (interpolated) of 11.100 mmbd, a figure that was 37,000 b/d higher.

Crude Oil Production

Drops in production were experienced in New Mexico (42,000 b/d), North Dakota (38,000 b/d), and Texas (34,000 b/d). But output in the US Gulf Coast rose by 70,000 b/d.

Given the huge reduction in May, oil production dropped by 1.7 mmb/d over the past 12 months. This number only includes crude oil. Continue reading "U.S. Crude Oil Production Steady In December"

DOW Rallies 570 Points In Big Turnaround

The DOW climbed 572.16 points or +1.9%, to 31,496.30 after losing as much as 150 points in earlier trading. The S&P 500 ended the wild trading session +2% at 3,841.94 after shedding -1% earlier and the NASDAQ advanced +1.6% to 12,920.15 after dropping -2.6% early in the trading session.

On a weekly level, the NASDAQ fell more than -2% this week and briefly turned negative on the year. The S&P 500 gained +0.8% this week, snapping a two-week losing streak. The DOW outperformed with a +1.8% weekly gain. Both the DOW and S&P 500 joined the NASDAQ mid-week by triggering new red weekly Trade Triangles indicating that overall, the market could be in a sidelines mode.

The indexes bounced off their lows as bond yields retreated from their session highs. The 10-year Treasury yield eased back to 1.55% after popping above 1.6% to touch a 2021 high following data showing a surge in jobs growth. Continue reading "DOW Rallies 570 Points In Big Turnaround"

Predictive Modeling Suggests A New Gold Rally

One of our readers’ favorite tools is the Adaptive Dynamic Learning (ADL) predictive modeling system. This tool maps out technical and price patterns into an array of similar setups using historical data, then applies that data to current and future price bars. Using the ADL predictive modeling tool, we can see into the future based on historical technical analysis that maps statistically relevant price activity and shows us the highest probability outcomes.

Monthly ADL Gold Predictions

In this research article, we’re going to focus on Gold and how current price action suggests a bottom is likely near the $1720 level. The YELLOW price channels on this Monthly Gold chart highlight exactly where we believe support is located for Gold. If this $1700 price level is breached to the downside, then the previous lows, near $1400, are the next support level for Gold.

Our ADL predictive modeling system suggests the $1720 support level will hold, prompting a new rally to levels above $2200 within 30 to 60+ days. The ADL system predicts an aggressive move in Gold near May or June 2021. The move higher may happen earlier than the ADL Monthly predictions indicate. There is a chance that a move back above $1850 starts the move higher before the end of March or April 2021 – propelling Gold toward the $2300+ peak. The actual peak level predicted by the ADL predictive modeling system is $2315.

predictive modeling

2-Week ADL Predicts Gold May Start To Rally Near Mid-March

This 2-Week Gold Chart highlights a similar ADL price prediction. What we find interesting about this ADL predictive modeling outcome is the similar price predictions originating from vastly different origination points. The Monthly ADL prediction originates from a date of August 1, 2020 – the peak price bar. This 2-Week ADL prediction originates from a date of November 23, 2020 – the intermediate low DOJI bar before the recent continue downward trend targeting the YELLOW price channel. Continue reading "Predictive Modeling Suggests A New Gold Rally"

Amazon Chart Presents Buying Opportunity

In April 2018, I published the post with the title “Disney Could Rally After A Long Pause”. I spotted an interesting long setup on the Disney (DIS) chart that time. Below is that monthly chart of Disney stock with the bullish setup.

Disney

The combination of higher tops and higher lows has shaped the famous Triangle (Symmetric) pattern highlighted in blue.

The neutral position of the relaxed RSI indicator and the double trendline support on the chart facilitated the bullish opportunity. The target was set at the equal distance of the widest part of the pattern added to the breakout point. It was located at $149 with a potential gain of 50% as the stock was traded around $100.

We can see how it played out in the next chart. Continue reading "Amazon Chart Presents Buying Opportunity"

Interesting Start To 2021 For Cathie Wood And ARK Invest Funds

In 2018 an unknown woman came out and proclaimed Tesla (TSLA) was wildly undervalued when the stock was already trading for many multiples, and at levels, most investors considered grossly overvalued. Flash forward to 2020, and most of what this woman name Cathie Wood had proclaimed years prior about Tesla's stock came true.

Back then, Wood's said Tesla would be worth $4,000 per share or a market value of $672 billion; this is when the company was worth $56 billion. Cathie has been proven right about her call on Tesla and has gained massive notoriety because of this bold prediction in 2018. However, her Ark Invest funds have been performing incredibly well even before her Tesla prediction came true as three of her funds, the ARK Next Generation Internet ETF (ARKW), the ARK Innovation ETF (ARKK), and the ARK Genomic Revolution ETF (ARKG) are all in the top ten best performing Exchange Traded Funds over the last five years.

The Tesla prediction coming true, combined with easy access to average investors through Exchange Traded Funds and incredible overall fund performance, has now made Cathie Wood one of, if not the hottest investors to follow, both from a media standpoint and an investment standpoint.

ARK Invests fund inflows have been nothing more than spectacular in 2021, with two of the company's seven funds making the top ten list of most cash inflows. The ARKK fund saw $5.75 billion flow into the fund, making it the ETF with the fourth-highest fund inflows since the start of 2021. ARKG had a $3.68 billion flow into the fund, making it the ninth highest ETF in terms of fund inflows. This is another clear signal that Cathie Wood and her ARK Invest family of ETFs is very popular with investors at this time. Continue reading "Interesting Start To 2021 For Cathie Wood And ARK Invest Funds"