Elliott Wave International has long observed that external events do not alter the dominant trend of financial markets -- not even major events like wars, natural disasters, terrorist attacks, political assassinations or any other news that makes headlines.
Now, it is true that news can sometimes have a near-term effect on market prices.
The July 26 opening bell is an example.
Dow Surges 200 Points on Draghi Comments, Jobless Claims
That's from The Wall Street Journal. The text reads:
Europe's top central banker sparked a global rally in stocks after reassuring investors the Continent's central bank would be vigilant about holding together the euro zone.... European Central Bank President Mario Draghi...said the ECB is ready to do whatever it takes to preserve the common-currency union.
The article adds that "the number of U.S. workers filing for unemployment benefits fell for the fourth time in five weeks, to a level that was far lower than expected."
EWI expected a near-term bounce in stock prices -- just one day ago.
On July 25, EWI's Financial Forecast Short Term Update said this to subscribers:
Near term, there may be a few more days of bounce. The stock market is setting the stage...
The Update went on to describe what the stock market is setting the stage for. It is not what most investors expect.
The pattern in the major U.S. stock indexes has been 80 years in the making -- which is to say, the pattern is unfolding at a large degree of trend.
By: Elliott Wave International
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This article was syndicated by Elliott Wave International and was originally published under the headline The Surge Higher in U.S. Markets: "The Stage is Being Set". EWI is the world's largest market forecasting firm. Its staff of full-time analysts led by Chartered Market Technician Robert Prechter provides 24-hour-a-day market analysis to institutional and private investors around the world.
NOBODY can predict the future! If someone could he/she would keep it for him/herself and be filthy rich.
But we don't see them. Where are they?
Timing is everything
Ralph Elliot died poor
Why is everyone using the language of disguise ? What is it that the Elliot Wave Count in the larger time frame forecasting ? Another historic fall ? Why is there so much ambiguity about what is being forecast ?
How else does one sell their wares?
So you will buy their newsletter of course.
EWI has long been claiming for years that we will see a massive, historic deflationary crash of epic proportions that will take us down to DOW 1000. Call me skeptical, but I can at least see taking out previous March 9, 2009 lows in the next few years.
BTW, Elliot Wave, like most analysis, is subjective to some extent. Different EW analysts have different interpretations of the count. Like all technical analysis, it's not an exact science. But most do agree that we have deflation coming in the future which will take us down very substantially, based on the long term count.