Stocks are looking to end the week lower after a dismal retail sales number was released Friday morning. Retail sales plummeted a record -16.4% in April, which was much worse than the -12% plunge expected by economists. March retail sales were revised to a decline of -8.4% from the previously reported -8.7% decrease. Core retail sales, excluding the volatile auto and gas components, tumbled -16.2%, following a decline of -2.8% in the prior month. Economists were predicting a -7.6% drop in core retail sales for the month.
Within core components, consumer spending online rose +8.4% and fell -13.2% at grocery stores in April. Retail sales at department stores sank -28.9%, furniture stores saw a -58.7% drop in spending, sporting goods sales fell -38%, sales at electronics stores tumbled -60.6%, and spending at clothing retailers plummeted the most at -78.8%.
Meanwhile, non-core components also saw some hefty declines in activity in April. Auto and auto parts sales plunged -12.4%, and gas sales fell -28.8%. Sales from food services were down -29.5%, and spending on building materials decreased by -3.5%.
On a weekly level, the DOW and S&P 500 will both post weekly losses greater than -3%, with the DOW have three weekly losses out of the last four weeks. The NASDAQ will post a weekly loss of over -2%, marking two weekly losses in the previous four weeks.
As for the other markets that we watch, the US dollar will post a weekly gain of +1% posting back to back weekly gains, with four of the last five weeks being in the green.
Gold will post its first weekly gain in three weeks with a +3% gain as it tries to break above the $1780 level. Crude oil and Bitcoin continue to be strong, both posting weekly gains of +17% and +9%, respectively.
Key Levels To Watch Next Week:
- S&P 500 (CME:SP500): 2,766.64
- Dow (INDEX:DJI): 24,764.77
- NASDAQ (NASDAQ:COMP): 8,566.84
- U.S. Dollar (ICE:DX): 100.48
- Gold (NYMEX:GC.M20): 1,729.70
- Crude Oil (NYMEX:CL.M20): 25.18
- Bitcoin (BITCOIN:BITSTAMPUSD): 10,500.50
Every Success,
Jeremy Lutz
INO.com and MarketClub.com