An Early Obituary for the Euro

Today's Guest Post comes from Michael Lombardi of Lombardi Financial. "An Early Obituary for the Euro," originally appeared on the Profit Confidential website on July 31st, 2011. In this piece, Lombardi breaks down the fate of the Euro. Enjoy with our compliments and please visit this page to obtain complimentary access to a complimentary report, "A Golden Opportunity for Stock Market Investors" as well as a free e-letter subscription to Lombardi's Profit Confidential.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Does America want members of the 17 eurozone countries to go bankrupt one by one? If only a few went under, the American currency would win the currency wars and reaffirm itself as the reserve currency of the world.

If you were someone living outside the U.S., wouldn’t this sound like a “secret” strategy that could work? After all, are not all the major credit reporting agencies (that grant credit ratings to European countries) subsidiaries of major American corporations?

These are the suspicions I’m hearing from people here in Rome.

Let’s give the theory some further attention and you’ll be surprised at what we find… Continue reading "An Early Obituary for the Euro"

ETFs to Profit From a Possible Debt Solution

Today's Guest Post comes from the ETF Corner at InvestorAlley.com (click here to visit original post). In this post, their "Guest Insights" contributor, John Nyaradi of Wall Street Sector Selector gives a fresh perspective on how select financial vehicles could benefit from the August 3rd debt solution deadline. Learn more about InvestorAlley and access a complimentary report, "Do Not Buy These 6 Stocks."
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Investors, pundits and journalists alike have spent hours of research, television time and column inches speculating about the ramifications of a U.S. default or contagion from Greece spreading throughout the European Union.

Last week the EU was apparently successful in again kicking the can a bit farther down the road while the debate between Congress and the White House over deficit reduction goes way past the 11th hour for meeting the August 2nd deadline.

Everyone expects and assumes that the European Union will be able to save Greece and that our politicians will not take the United States and the world over the financial cliff of destruction. However, that still could very well happen which is why in previous columns we have discussed ETFs and strategies for that possibility. Continue reading "ETFs to Profit From a Possible Debt Solution"

An Investment Strategy For Higher-risk Periods

Today's Guest Post comes from George Leong, Senior Editor of Lombardi Financial. "An Investment Strategy For Higher-risk Periods" originally appeared on the Profit Confidential website on July 15th, 2011. In this piece, Leong gives a brief analysis of the S&P 500, as well as explains a strategy to combat the unsure market conditions. Enjoy with our compliments and please visit this page to obtain complimentary access to a complimentary report, "A Golden Opportunity for Stock Market Investors" as well as a free e-letter subscription to Lombardi's Profit Confidential.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

The current market bias is positive, but there’s some concern about the chart. The S&P 500 breached its 50-day moving average (MA) on Monday before rallying, but has failed to mount any sustainable rebound, currently stuck around its 50-day MA. My concern is that failure to edge higher could drive the index back lower and continue the sideways channel in existence since February.

The absence of any strong catalyst could leave the broader market comatose for the summer months.

On the S&P 500, there is key support around 1,250. A break below would be bearish and see a move below 1,200. I expect the support to hold. On the upper end, there is strict resistance around 1,362. A strong break above could drive additional gains towards 1,400. Continue reading "An Investment Strategy For Higher-risk Periods"

Get Big Results with “Optionality”

Today's Guest Post comes from Chris Mayer of Penny Sleuth. Get Big Results with "Optionality" originally appeared in the Penny Sleuth. In this piece, Mayer explains the concept of "Optionality" as a way to battle the uncertain and fickle market conditions. If you enjoy this post, please click here to learn more about Penny Sleuth and a complimentary report which will share 3 stocks poised to breakout.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

“The world has changed. It is a more fragile and less stable place.”

The speaker was Joshua Friedman, the co-chief at Canyon Partners, which manages $20 billion. He was speaking at Grant’s Spring Investment Conference, which I attended in early April.

Friedman used the imagery of the old bell curves. There is the normal bell curve and the “new normal” curve with fatter tails. In plain terms, it means more crazy things will happen. It means outliers will become more common. It means the unexpected will happen more frequently. Wildness lies in wait, as Chesterton had it.

In many ways, markets have always been this way, as the late Benoit Mandelbrot observed. For instance, financial theory – based on the old bell curve – predicts that a market move of 7% or more in a single day will happen once every 300,000 years. Yet the 20th century alone had 48 such days. “Truly, a calamitous era,” Mandelbrot writes, “that insists on flaunting all predictions.” Continue reading "Get Big Results with “Optionality”"

Our Sponsor School - Update

If you've been following the Trader's Blog for the last few years, you are probably very familiar with our sponsor school, Stevenson High in Lincolnshire, Illinois. Their Economics Team has been using MarketClub to assist in their research for stock trading competitions. I frequently receive updates from the instructor regarding the students progress, successes and struggles. Please see the message I received yesterday...

---

Lindsay,

I wanted to give you an update on our latest competition. Well, we are not doing too badly. One of our teams is in 11th place and another is in 22nd place in the Illinois competition. Both teams follow MarketClub religiously and the results are self explanatory.

Now, the 2 other teams refer to MarketClub on occasion but do not follow the signals. These two teams are in the 50-60 placement range. It sure looks like using MarketClub pays.

Additionally, we have been invited to participate in a national competition which began last Monday. It is too early to give you an update but one will be forthcoming soon.

Thanks again for your help.

Sincerely,

*Teacher's name removed for privacy*
Adlai E. Stevenson High School
Lincolnshire, Illinois 60069

---

Hope you enjoy these updates and we send best wishes to the club for their current stock trading competition.

Best,

Lindsay Bittinger
INO.com & MarketClub