Fed Cuts Rates by 3/4 Percentage Point

AP
Fed Cuts Rates by 3/4 Percentage Point
Tuesday March 18, 2:36 pm ET
By Martin Crutsinger, AP Economics Writer

Fed Cuts Rates by 3/4 Percentage Point; Dow Industrials Falls 100 Points After Announcement

WASHINGTON (AP) -- The Federal Reserve on Tuesday slashed a key interest rate by three-fourths of a percentage point, moving aggressively to contain a credit crisis threatening to push the country into a severe recession.

The latest action brought the federal funds rate -- the interest that banks charge each other -- down to 2.25 percent, the lowest point since late 2004. It marked the second back-to-back cuts of three-fourths of a percentage point.

Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke and his colleages have now cut the funds rate six times since last September, with the reductions becoming more aggressive since January as the central bank has faced growing turmoil in global financial markets.

In Jacksonville, Fla., Tuesday, President Bush said the government will take further action -- if necessary -- to help the sagging economy.

The rate cut Tuesday caps an unprecedented period of Fed actions aimed at trying to stabilize financial markets and ward off a recession or at least keep it from being too severe.

While the cut was larger than the Fed's normal quarter-point moves, markets dropped sharply in the moments after the announcement, with investors disappointed that the central bank did not cut rates by a full percentage point.

The Dow Jones industrial average fell 100 points within two minutes of the Fed's mid-afternoon announcement. It had been up 286 points just before the annoucenment as stocks had posted a strong rally after Lehman Brothers and Goldman Sachs reported better-than-expected results for the first quarter. That came as welcome news following the collapse over the weekend of Bear Stearns, which was forced into a fire-sale to JP Morgan Chase & Co.

The reduction in the funds rate was designed to lower borrowing costs and boost spending by consumers and businesses and thus increase economic activity. Economic growth slowed to a near standstill in the final three months of this year as the economy was hit by a series of blows including the credit crunch, a prolonged housing slump, rising unemployment and surging energy prices.

The funds rate cut quickly triggered announcements from commercial banks that they were cutting their prime lending rate to 5.25 percent from 6 percent, where it was before the Fed meeting. This rate is the benchmark for millions of business and consumer loans.

Making sense out of illogical markets

What a week, and it's only Tuesday.

It's not everyday an 85 year old institution like Bear Stearns goes out of business, but this was the week when it happened.

So let's start this week's email with a little humor from one of my favorite comedians. DA, DA, I am of course talking about former hedge fund manager, and now investing show guru host, Jim Cramer. You might know Jim from CNBC's TV show Mad Money.

On Monday, we received this video featuring Jim Cramer imploring everyone "NOT TO GET OUT OF BEAR STEARNS". I am afraid we may have witnessed Cramer going over to the dark side and losing his marbles on this one.

Take a look at this short Jim Cramer clip dated March 12th. Bear Stearns (NYSE_BSC) was trading over $60 dollars a share at the time!

You have to thank the Internet for clips like this. Jim Cramer is a great comedian, but yesterday we saw a lot of market action that was no laughing matter for the longs.

Cramer was 100% wrong on Bear Stearns. He wasn't even close, but I understand why people watch him. He is a financial joker.

When you trade with a sound "game plan" you win. When you listen to the talking heads like Cramer, you lose. The talking heads never tell you when to get out of a bad trade! It's just that simple.

Watch Cramer first - like I said he is very entertaining -

Now take a logical approach to Bear Stearns and the market in this video.

Only then can you make a logical well informed decision on who you would rather follow in the market ... Cramer or MarketClub.

I think you will logically know which decision make sense for you.

Let's enjoy a great year together.


Adam Hewison
President, INO.com

P.S. If you missed any of the "Traders Whiteboard" educational trading series watch them here.

Did the FED Manage to Change Market Perception?

Day 2, now what?

Did the FED manage to change the perception of the markets?

It's too early to tell, but here is what we do know...

Gold dropped below $1,000


Oil dropped over 4%.

So did the FED win in the mind's of traders? We don't know, but what we do know is that Jamie Dimon, CEO of JP Morgan (that's him on the left), may have made the DEAL OF THE CENTURY.

How would you like to buy a major asset like CEO Jamie Dimon did and have it guaranteed by the FED, for pennies on the dollar? Now that is what we call smart, very smart. Heck, the Bear Stearns building alone is worth over one billion dollars!!!

If the FED is willing to save Bear Stearns, do you think they will let JP Morgan go under? NO WAY is that going to happen. A collapse of JPMC would be a collapse of western civilization as we know it.

The only way we can look at the markets is with market action. This monster is not going to turn around in a day, but this week is going to tell us a great deal about the inner mindset of the market.

This maybe the most important week of the year ... it might even be the most important week in a generation of traders.

There is only one thing to do, and that is stay tuned to the market and this blog.

I expect that we will see some once in a lifetime trading opportunities this year. These opportunities will only be available to the disciplined and courageous.

We are here.

We are in this together.

Together we will succeed.

Adam Hewison
President, INO.com

P.S. If you missed any of the "Traders Whiteboard" series watch them here.

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Bear Stearns, Classic Capitalism, and it doesn't matter what you think!!

This just in:
Never buy because a price looks low, and never sell because a price looks too high.



IT DOESN'T MATTER WHAT YOU THINK. Let me say that again: IT DOESN'T MATTER WHAT YOU THINK.

Why would I say something like that? Why doesn't it matter what you think?

Well here's the cruel reality of the marketplace...

It doesn't matter where these markets are headed. What matters most is you get the direction right.

Just look at Bear Stearns this morning. Joe Lewis, the Bahamas based investor (smart guy) is a little less wealthy as his 9.4% shares of Bear Stearns has a loss of 1.16 billion dollars.

MARKET DIRECTION ... that's whats important.

The reality is, these are trading markets. They are all driven by market sentiment.

That's the kind of markets we are in right now, and we are likely to stay in this mode for quite some time.

What matters most, is that you get the direction of the market right. You can only determine the trend by using pure market action. The easiest way to do this is by using a program that can tell you in plain English what the market is doing.

Don't let the hype, hoopla, news and the chat rooms fool you. A market can only do three things, it can go UP, DOWN or SIDEWAYS, that's it!

When you hear about the next hot or cold market that is headed for the stars or the cellar, just say to yourself "it doesn't matter." That way you will know when to get in and more importantly, when to get out.

Take the next several minutes and watch our latest video on Bear Stearns and let me know what you think.

Then take a couple of minutes and watch our educational "Traders Whiteboard" series. This series is all about common sense trading and removing the number one account killer and that is emotion.

Here's to thinking "it doesn't matter" what you think, it's the direction of the market that is important.

We are going to see some amazing market and trading opportunities this year. So plan now to make some big profits. It's important to stay cool, listen to what the markets are saying and have a "game plan" that works. You can see it all here.

Let the markets have their say ... all you have to do is listen.


Adam Hewison

President, INO.com

Such a deal!!

J P Morgan to Buy Bear for $2 a Share
Sunday March 16, 9:01 pm ET
By Joe Bel Bruno and Madlen Read, AP Business Writers

JPMorgan Says It Will Buy Ailing Bear Stearns for $2 a Share, or $236.2 Million NEW YORK (AP) -- JPMorgan Chase said Sunday it will acquire rival Bear Stearns for a bargain-basement $236.2 million -- or $2 a share -- a stunning collapse for one of the world's largest and most storied investment banks.

The last-minute buyout was aimed at averting a Bear Stearns bankruptcy and a spreading crisis of confidence in the global financial system.

The Federal Reserve and the U.S. government swiftly approved the all-stock deal, showing the urgency of completing the deal before world markets opened. Early indications, though, pointed to continued fear about the stability of the U.S. market, as the dollar hit fresh record lows against the euro, gold broke through $1,015 an ounce and Asian stocks sank.

"This is going to go down in very historic terms," said Peter Dunay, chief investment strategist for New York-based Meridian Equity Partners. "This is about credit being overextended, and how bad it is for major financial institutions and for individuals. This is why we're probably heading into a recession."

The Fed will provide special financing to JPMorgan Chase for the deal, JPMorgan Chase said. The central bank has agreed to fund up to $30 billion of Bear Stearns' less liquid assets. Meanwhile, JPMorgan said it will guarantee all business -- such as trading and investment banking -- until Bear Stearns' shareholders approve the deal, which is expected to be completed during the second quarter.

JPMorgan Chase Chief Financial Officer Michael Cavanaugh did not say what would happen to Bear Stearns' 14,000 employees worldwide or whether the Bear Stearns name would survive. He told analysts and investors on a conference call that JPMorgan was most interested in buying Bear Stearns' prime brokerage business, which completes trades for big investors such as hedge funds.

Risky bets on securities tied to subprime mortgages -- loans given to customers with poor credit history -- crippled Bear Stearns, the nations' fifth-largest investment bank. So far, global banks have written down some $200 billion worth of securities slammed amid the credit crisis.

At almost the same time as the deal for control of Bear Stearns was announced, the Federal Reserve said it approved a cut in its lending rate to banks to 3.25 percent from 3.50 percent and created another lending facility for big investment banks. The central bank's official meeting is on Tuesday. Before the emergency move to lower the discount rate, which is the rate at which banks lend each other money, the Fed was widely expected to again cut its headline rate by as much as a full point to 2 percent.

"Having taking Bear Stearns out of the problem category, and the strong action by the Federal Reserve, we would anticipate the market will behave quite differently on Monday than it was Thursday or Friday," JPMorgan Chase Chief Financial Officer Michael Cavanaugh told analysts during a conference call.

Some analysts expected it to be a brutal day for global stocks, nevertheless. Japan's benchmark Nikkei stock index has plunged more than 3 percent in morning trading.The Nikkei 225 stock index fell 407.81 points, or 3.33 percent, to 11,833.79 on the Tokyo Stock Exchange shortly after the market opened Monday.

A collapse of Bear Stearns could have heightened anxiety in world financial markets amid a deepening credit crunch. JPMorgan's acquisition of Bear Stearns represents roughly 1 percent of what the investment bank was worth just 16 days ago.

The deal marked a 93.3 percent discount to Bear Stearns' market capitalization as of Friday, and roughly a 98.8 percent discount to its book value as of Feb. 29. The company is set to report its first-quarter results after the closing bell on Monday.

Bear Stearns shares closed Friday at $30 a share. At their peak, the shares traded at $159.36.

"The past week has been an incredibly difficult time for Bear Stearns," said Bear Stearns Chief Executive Alan Schwartz in a statement. "This represents the best outcome for all of our constituencies based upon the current circumstances."

Wall Street analysts say the bid to rescue Bear Stearns was more than just saving one of the world's largest investments bank -- it was a prop for the U.S. economy and the global financial system. An outright collapse could cause huge losses for banks, hedge funds and other investors to which Bear Stearns is connected.

The government, led by the Treasury Department and the Fed, was reported to have closely monitored the talks between JPMorgan and Bear Stearns. Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson, former chief executive of Goldman Sachs Group Inc., "has been in nearly continuous consultations all weekend," said Brookly McLaughlin, a Treasury Department spokeswoman.

After days of denials that it had liquidity problems, Bear was forced into a JPMorgan-led, government-backed bailout on Friday. The arrangement, the first of its kind since the 1930s, resulted in Bear getting a 28-day loan from JPMorgan with the government's guarantee that JPMorgan would not suffer any losses on the deal.

This is not the first time Bear Stearns has earned a place in Wall Street history. A decade ago, Bear Stearns refused to help bail out a hedge fund that was deemed "too big to fail." On Friday, the tables had turned, with the now-struggling investment bank in need of the same kind of aid.

Bear Stearns was founded in 1923 and in recent years was best known for its aggressive investing in mortgage-backed securities -- and what was once a cash cow turned into the investment bank's undoing.

In June, two Bear-managed hedge funds worth billions of dollars collapsed. The funds were heavily invested in securities backed by subprime mortgages. Until that point, subprime mortgage-backed securities were immensely popular with investors because of their profitability.

The funds' collapse and subsequent problems in the credit markets called into question Bear Stearns' ability to manage its own risk and the leadership ability of then-Chief Executive James Cayne. Critics of the company said Cayne spent too much time away from the office last year playing golf and bridge as the problems unfolded.

Cayne is the same executive who refused to let Bear Stearns provide support as part of a Federal Reserve-led plan to rescue Long-Term Capital Management in 1998. His reticence was said to deeply anger some of his fellow Wall Street CEOs, and the episode came up every time Bear was reported to be in trouble in recent months.

Cayne took over from the legendary Alan "Ace" Greenberg in 1993. Greenberg joined Bear Stearns as a clerk, working his way up through the ranks to eventually take over as CEO in 1978. Greenberg was known for his irreverent style, and his regular memos to employees were turned into a book called "Memos from the Chairman."

Before Greenberg's ascendancy to CEO, Bear Stearns began to expand from its New York roots throughout the 1950s and 1960s, opening international offices and expanding its U.S. operations.

The company was opened in 1923 as an equity trading shop. Today, it has subsidiaries providing a wide array of financial services products for individuals, corporations, institutions and governments. Generally, it provides capital markets, wealth management and global clearing services to its customers.

AP Business Writers Jeannine Aversa in Washington and Stephen Bernard contributed to this story.