Tag: Advanced Micro Devices

AMD and GOOGL Pull Back from Highs—Here’s Why It’s Time to Buy

Posted on by The INO.com Team

The recent market volatility has created a golden opportunity for investors eyeing two tech giants: Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) and Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. (AMD). Both companies have seen their stock prices fall considerably from their recent highs. While that might seem worrying, this dip offers an attractive entry point for investors, especially given the long-term growth potential of both companies, driven by advancements in artificial intelligence (AI) and data centers.

With that in mind, let’s explore the fundamentals of these stocks in detail:

Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL)

With a current market cap of $2.04 trillion, Google’s parent company is known for its pioneering internet-related services and products. While the stock has been weighed down by antitrust concerns, many investors are overlooking the company’s long-term growth prospects and strong financials. GOOGL’s valuation particularly looks quite attractive, when you consider its strong financial performance.

In the fiscal 2024 second quarter ended June 30, 2024, GOOGL reported revenues of $80.74 billion, up 13.6% year-over-year. Its income from operations grew 25.6% from the prior year’s quarter to $27.43 billion with a margin of 32%. The company’s biggest revenue driver continues to be its Google Advertising segment, which brought in $64.62 billion. But that’s not the only bright spot.

Google Cloud, which ranks as the third-largest cloud service provider, is expanding at a rapid pace. Cloud revenue surged 29% year-over-year to $10.3 billion, far outpacing the company’s overall growth. As more businesses adopt Google Cloud, particularly for AI-related purposes, this segment could become a larger piece of the pie over time. Furthermore, the company owns the two most popular websites: Google and YouTube, both of which are expected to fuel revenue growth over the long term.

On the bottom line, its net income and earnings per share came in at $23.62 billion and $1.89, representing increases of 28.6% and 31.3% year-over-year, respectively. Its EPS came above the analysts’ estimate of $1.84 by 2.5%. In addition, the tech company’s cash and cash equivalents amounted to $27.23 billion as of June 30, 2024, compared to $24.05 billion as of December 31, 2023.

Street expects GOOGL’s revenue and EPS for the fiscal third quarter (ended September 2024) to increase 12.5% and 18.7% year-over-year to $86.26 billion and $1.84, respectively. Also, the company has topped the consensus EPS and revenue estimates in all four trailing quarters.

GOOGL declined about 13% below its 52-week high. The stock is currently trading at a forward price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 21.72, which is a 15.2% discount to its own 5-year average. Besides, GOOGL’s trailing-12-month EBITDA margin of 35.18% is 93.2% higher than the 18.21% industry average. Likewise, the stock’s trailing-12-month net income margin, ROCE, and ROTC of 26.70%, 30.87%, and 20.34% compare to the industry averages of 3.08%, 3.44%, and 3.72%, respectively.

Despite the stock’s recent drop and ongoing regulatory concerns, the company’s long-term potential remains strong. Over the past year, the stock has climbed more than 23% and is up nearly 18% so far in 2024. With a projected upside of 21.8%, GOOGL currently has a consensus rating of “Strong Buy.” This dip offers a great opportunity for investors to scoop up shares at a discount ahead of the tech giant’s Q3 earnings report, expected in late October.

Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. (AMD)

Based in Santa Clara, California, Advanced Micro Devices has been at the forefront of innovation in high-performance computing, graphics, and visualization technologies. The company has firmly established itself as a formidable player in the GPU market, particularly excelling in chips tailored for AI workloads.

As AMD gains significant momentum in the data center space, there is strong potential for its current $262 billion valuation to grow even further. Despite the recent 25% dip in its stock price, AMD’s long-term growth prospects remain robust, offering a prime opportunity for investors to buy in at a discounted price.

AMD’s influence, however, extends beyond hardware. The company has been expanding its presence in AI software as well. In June, AMD introduced its groundbreaking Ryzen™ AI 300 Series processors, which are equipped with the world’s most powerful Neural Processing Unit (NPU). These processors are designed to bring AI capabilities directly to next-generation PCs, enabling AI-infused computing to seamlessly integrate into everyday tasks and applications. Additionally, the next-gen AMD Ryzen™ 9000 Series processors for desktops solidify AMD’s position as a leader in performance and efficiency for gamers, content creators, and prosumers alike.

Moreover, the company has outlined a comprehensive roadmap for its Instinct accelerator series, promising to deliver cutting-edge AI performance and memory capabilities across each generation. With the imminent release of the AMD Instinct MI325X accelerator in Q4 2024 and the upcoming launch of the MI350 series, powered by AMD’s new CDNA™ 4 architecture in 2025, AMD is poised to deliver up to a 35x increase in AI inference performance compared to its previous iterations.

In the second quarter that ended June 30, 2024. AMD’s non-GAAP revenue increased 9% year-over-year to $5.84 billion. Its data center revenue surged 115% year-over-year to $2.83 billion, accounting for nearly half of its total revenue.

The Mi300 series brought in over $1 billion in quarterly revenue for the first time, with its customer base expanding as Microsoft became the first cloud provider to offer general availability for the Instinct Mi300X. As AI applications continue to drive demand for high-performance data center solutions, AMD is well-positioned to see its profitability climb, given the higher margins typically associated with this segment.

Moreover, the company’s non-GAAP operating income grew 18.4% from the year-ago value to $1.26 billion. AMD’s non-GAAP net income and EPS stood at $1.13 million and $0.69, up from $948 million and $0.58, respectively, recorded last year.

Analysts expect its revenue and EPS for the current year (ending December 2024) to increase 12.9% and 27.7% year-over-year to $25.61 billion and $3.38, respectively. If AMD can exceed expectations, the stock could experience significant gains in the coming months. Earlier this year, the company projected $4 billion in AI chip sales for 2024, representing about 15% of its expected revenue.

AMD’s trailing-12-month EBITDA and net income margins of 17.38% and 5.82% are 72.3% and 56.2% above their respective industry averages of 10.09% and 3.72%. After a nearly 30% decline from its 52-week high, AMD is trading at 47.21x forward non-GAAP P/E, which is reasonable considering its AI prospects. Moreover, with the stock already up 57% over the past year, there’s potential for even more significant gains in 2025 and beyond. Thus, investors looking for long-term growth might consider this as a strategic entry point before the market fully prices in its potential.

Taiwan Semiconductor's 10% Dip: Is It Time to Buy?

Posted on by The INO.com Team

With a $897.58 billion market cap, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited (TSM) plays a crucial role in the global semiconductor ecosystem by leading in the production of advanced chips used across several industries, including consumer electronics, automotive, telecom, and artificial intelligence (AI).

As one of the world’s largest independent semiconductor foundries, TSM’s expertise in advanced process technologies, such as 3nm and 5nm nodes, has made it a critical supplier for major tech companies, such as NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA), Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. (AMD), and Apple Inc. (AAPL).

Recently, the stock has dipped by around 10% from its all-time highs, making many investors wonder whether this pullback offers a prime buying opportunity. Let's assess whether long-term investors should capitalize on TSMC’s discounted price.

TSMC’s Technological Leadership

Taiwan-based TSMC’s role in advancing manufacturing chip technology has solidified its position as a critical player in the high-tech ecosystem, particularly in industries such as AI, 5G, automotive, and data centers. One of the company’s greatest strengths is its leadership in advanced node technology.

As a global chip leader, TSM provides the most advanced and comprehensive portfolio of dedicated foundry process technologies, including A16, 2nm, 3nm, 5nm, 7nm, and more. The company’s 3nm process is the industry’s leading semiconductor technology, providing the best power, performance, and area (PPA) and represents a full node advance from the 5nm generation.

TSMC continuously expands its 3nm technology portfolio to cater to diverse customer needs. Last year, the chip giant added new members to its industry-leading 3nm technology family, including the N3X process, designed specifically for high-performance computing (HPC) applications, and N3AE, facilitating an early start for automotive applications on the most advanced silicon technology.

Moreover, TSMC’s 2nm technology employing nanosheet transistors continues to make significant progress in terms of yield and device performance and is expected to commence production in 2025.

Earlier this year, at its 2024 North America Technology Symposium, TSMC introduced its latest semiconductor process, advanced packaging, and 3D IC technologies, showcasing its silicon leadership in driving the next generation of AI innovations.

With TSMC's cutting-edge N3E technology now in production and N2 slated for production in the second half of 2025, the company unveiled A16, the next technology in its roadmap. A16, set for production in 2026, integrates TSMC’s Super Power Rail architecture with nanosheet transistors. It enhances logic density and performance by allocating front-side routing resources to signals, making it well-suited for HPC products.

Also, the chip company introduced its System-on-Wafer (TSMC-SoW™) technology, a groundbreaking solution designed to deliver exceptional performance to the wafer level in addressing the future AI needs of hyperscaler data centers.

TSMC Surpasses Second-Quarter Earnings Expectations Amid AI Chip Boom

TSMC’s revenue and earnings beat analyst expectations in the second quarter of 2024 as demand for advanced chips used in AI applications continues to surge. In the quarter that ended June 30, 2024, the company’s net revenue rose 40.1% year-over-year to $20.82 billion. That surpassed analysts’ revenue estimate of $20.09 billion.

CEO C.C. Wei, in an earnings call, said business during the quarter was supported by robust demand for its industry-leading 3nm and 5nm technologies. TSMC’s shipments of 3-nanometer accounted for 15% of total wafer revenue, 5-nanometer constituted 35%, and 7-nanometer made up 17%. Advanced technologies, defined as 7-nanometer and more advanced technologies, accounted for 67% of total wafer revenue.

TSMC’s non-GAAP income from operations rose 41.9% year-over-year to $8.86 billion. Its net income and earnings per ADR were $7.66 billion and $1.48, increases of 36.3% year-over-year, respectively. Its earnings per ADR compared to the consensus estimate of $1.42.

“Moving into third quarter 2024, we expect our business to be supported by strong smartphone and AI-related demand for our leading-edge process technologies,” said Wendell Huang, Chief Financial Officer of TSMC.

Based on the company’s current business outlook, TSMC’s management expects revenue between $22.40 billion and $23.20 billion for the third quarter of 2024. The company’s gross profit margin is projected to be between 53.5% and 55.5%, and its operating profit margin is anticipated to be between 42.5% and 44.5%.

Why TSMC's Stock Dip May Be a Buying Opportunity

TSMC's leadership in advanced chip manufacturing, coupled with the growing demand for advanced chips across AI, 5G, and high-performance computing sectors, positions the company for long-term growth. Management has projected third-quarter revenue to be $22.40-$23.20 billion, compared to $17.30 billion reported in the previous year’s quarter.

Meanwhile, analysts appear highly bullish about the company’s earnings growth. Street expects TSMC’s revenue and EPS for the current quarter (ending September 2024) to grow 38.8% and 37.9% year-over-year to $23.44 billion and $1.78, respectively.

For long-term investors, TSMC's recent 10% decline may present an opportunity to buy into a company at the forefront of technological innovation. While short-term market fluctuations and geopolitical concerns may persist, the company's technological leadership and strong growth outlook make it a compelling choice for those looking to benefit from the continued evolution of AI and semiconductor technology.

Bottom Line

TSMC's recent stock dip presents a potential buying opportunity for long-term investors seeking exposure to a global leader in semiconductor innovation. With its industry-leading 3nm and 5nm process technologies, TSMC is well-positioned to capitalize on the growing demand for advanced chips, particularly in AI, 5G, and high-performance computing (HPC) industries.

While geopolitical risks and market volatility may pose challenges in the near term, TSMC’s strong earnings outlook and continuous innovation in semiconductor manufacturing suggest that this dip could be a strategic entry point.

NVDA’ Blackwell Delay: Is It Time to Rotate Into AMD?

Posted on by The INO.com Team

NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA), the AI darling, recently hit a rough patch. A report from The Information revealed that Nvidia’s highly anticipated Blackwell series chips are delayed due to design flaws, causing a sharp 15% drop in the stock over the past week. Even with this dip, the stock is still up more than 170% over the past year, but as we know, past performance isn’t a guarantee of future returns.

So, what’s going on with Nvidia? And more importantly, is it time to consider alternatives?

Dark Clouds Are Looming Over the Future of Nvidia

Back in March, NVDA announced its Blackwell series, boasting capabilities that promised to build and operate real-time generative AI on trillion-parameter large language models at a fraction of the cost and energy consumption of its predecessor. But fast forward a few months, and the picture isn't as rosy.

According to the report, the company has informed major customers, including tech giants like Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) and Microsoft Corporation (MSFT), that shipments of its Blackwell AI accelerator will be delayed by at least three months due to design flaws. It appears to involve Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing's new packaging technology, which NVDA is one of the first to use, and issues with the placement of bridge dies connecting two GPUs.

This isn’t just a minor hiccup. The delay could throw off the plans of customers such as Microsoft and Meta Platforms, Inc. (META), who have invested billions in Nvidia’s new GPUs to drive their AI services. The worry is that these delays might prevent these companies from deploying large clusters of the new chips in their data centers by the first quarter of 2025, as they had hoped.

Design flaws aren’t something that can be fixed overnight, which explains the significant delay. Nvidia, for its part, hasn’t outright confirmed or denied the delays but did say that “production is on track to ramp later in 2024.” However, with only a few months left in the year, this sounds more like an early 2025 release.

The delay has led tech companies to look for alternatives from NVDA’s competitors, such as Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. (AMD). MSFT and GOOGL, for example, are already working on next-generation products with AMD.

While Nvidia still dominates the data center GPU market, the Blackwell delay could weigh on its stock price and reputation. It’s arguably the most significant setback NVDA has faced since the AI boom began, and it might just be the moment for AMD to shine.

The Future of Advanced Micro Devices

With a market cap of $3.18 trillion, NVDA’s growth prospects seem more limited compared to AMD, which could see its valuation double from its current $250 billion as it gains momentum in the data center space.

In the second quarter, AMD’s data center revenue surged 115% year-over-year to $2.83 billion, accounting for nearly half of its total revenue. The Mi300 series brought in over $1 billion in quarterly revenue for the first time, with its customer base expanding as Microsoft became the first cloud provider to offer general availability for the Instinct Mi300X.

The significant increase in AMD’s data center sales, driven by AI applications, is expected to boost profits further, as this segment typically yields higher margins. Additionally, the company's recent acquisition of Silo AI, Europe's largest private AI lab, will enhance its capabilities in generative AI, including inference, training, and large language models.

Furthermore, Advanced Micro Devices’ client revenue rose 49% year-over-year to $1.49 billion, though with slimmer margins than its data center business. The recent drop in the gaming and embedded segments will likely bottom out soon, potentially lifting overall results. Even modest gains could significantly boost AMD's bottom line. The company reported net income of $265 million or $0.16 per share, up from $27 million or $0.20 per share recorded last year.

Investors are keen to see AMD challenge NVDA with its MI300X AI chip and demonstrate growth in its data center AI business. On the other hand, Street expects its revenue and EPS for the current year (ending December 2024) to increase 12.9% and 27.6% year-over-year to $25.62 billion and $3.38, respectively. If AMD can exceed expectations, the stock could experience significant gains in the coming months. Earlier this year, the company projected $4 billion in AI chip sales for 2024, representing about 15% of its expected revenue.

Is It Time to Ditch NVDA and Buy AMD?

Delays in Blackwell chip could impact NVDA’s market share and growth. If the delay is short, the stock might have minimal impact on its fiscal 2025 results. However, if it extends beyond three months, it could weigh heavily on the stock, especially as some analysts were anticipating a quicker resolution.

Additionally, concerns about whether the design flaw could lead to chip failures or affect production yields add to the uncertainty. Nvidia's decision to pause production and address the issue is a smart move, but it highlights the risks of its aggressive development timeline, which has been shortened from two years to one. While this strategy could pay off, it also increases the risk of errors or delays.

On the other hand, AMD is well-positioned to benefit from NVDA's ongoing headwinds. With its MI300X AI chip gaining traction and strong data center growth, Advanced Micro Devices could capture some market share from Nvidia. Given this backdrop, it might be the right time to consider rotating out of NVDA and into AMD, especially for investors looking to capitalize on the AI-driven growth in the semiconductor sector.

Why TSMC Is Essential to the AI Ecosystem: An Investor’s Perspective

Posted on by The INO.com Team

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited (TSM), valued at $866.70 billion market cap, is a cornerstone of the global semiconductor industry and is increasingly pivotal to the rapidly evolving artificial intelligence (AI) ecosystem. As the world’s largest pure-play semiconductor foundry, TSMC’s role in AI innovation and development is profound and indispensable.

This article explores why TSMC is crucial to the AI ecosystem and why investors should closely monitor this semiconductor giant.

Vital Role of TSMC in the AI Revolution

TSM, headquartered in Hsinchu City, Taiwan, is the world’s leading semiconductor foundry. The company nurtures a dynamic ecosystem of global customers and partners by offering the industry’s leading process technologies and a portfolio of design enablement solutions, driving innovation across the global semiconductor sector.

The company’s commitment to research and development (R&D) is a key driver of its success. TSMC invests heavily in developing new process technologies and enhancing its manufacturing capabilities. The continuous innovation enables TSMC to meet the evolving needs of AI applications and maintain its competitive edge. For investors, TSMC’s focus on R&D represents a strong growth driver and a safeguard against technological obsolescence.

TSMC offers the most advanced and extensive range of dedicated foundry process technologies, including 2nm technologies, 3nm technology, 5nm technology, and 7nm technology, among others. This comprehensive portfolio supports several applications, from cutting-edge consumer electronics to high-performance computing and AI-driven innovations.

At its 2024 North America Technology Symposium in April, the chip giant introduced its latest semiconductor process, advanced packaging, and 3D IC technologies, showcasing its silicon leadership for the next wave of AI innovations. It debuted the TSMC A16™ technology, which features cutting-edge nanosheet transistors with an innovative backside power rail solution, set for production in 2026. The new technology promises significant enhancements in logic density and performance.

Meanwhile, expanding the reach of TSMC’s advanced technology to a broader range of applications, the company announced N4C, an extension of the N4P technology with up to an 8.5% reduction in die cost and minimal adoption effort, and is slated for volume production in 2025.

Additionally, TSMC introduced its System-on-Wafer (TSMC-SoW™) technology, a groundbreaking solution designed to deliver revolutionary performance to the wafer level in addressing the future AI needs of hyperscaler data centers. Also, the company is advancing its Compact Universal Photonic Engine (COUPE™) technology to support the rapid increase in data transmission demands driven by the AI boom.

Moreover, major tech companies, includingc, Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. (AMD), and Apple Inc. (AAPL), rely on TSMC for the production of their most advanced processors and GPUs.

Second-Quarter 2024 Revenue and Profit Beat Analyst Expectations

TSM’s revenue and earnings surpassed analyst estimates in the second quarter of 2024 as demand for advanced chips utilized in AI applications continues to rise. For the second quarter that ended June 30, 2024, the company’s net revenue increased 40.1% year-over-year to $20.82 billion. That beat analysts’ revenue estimate of $20.09 billion.

During the second quarter, the company’s shipments of 3-nanometer made up 15% of total wafer revenue, 5-nanometer accounted for 35%, and 7-nanometer constituted 17%. Advanced technologies, defined as 7-nanometer and more advanced technologies, accounted for 67% of total wafer revenue.

The company’s gross profit was $11.07 billion, up 37.6% from the previous year’s quarter. TSMC’s non-GAAP income from operations rose 41.9% year-over-year to $8.86 billion. Its net income and earnings per ADR came in at $7.66 billion and $1.48, increases of 36.3% year-over-year, respectively. Its earnings per ADR compared to the consensus estimate of $1.42.

As of June 30, 2024, TSMC’s cash and cash equivalents were $55.38 billion, and its total assets amounted to $184.13 billion.

“Our business in the second quarter was supported by strong demand for our industry-leading 3nm and 5nm technologies, partially offset by continued smartphone seasonality,” said Wendell Huang, Chief Financial Officer of TSMC. “Moving into third quarter 2024, we expect our business to be supported by strong smartphone and AI-related demand for our leading-edge process technologies.”

Furthermore, TSMC expects third-quarter revenue between $22.40 billion and $23.20 billion. That compares to $17.30 billion in revenue reported in the same period of 2024. The company’s gross profit margin is projected to be between 53.5% and 55.5%, and its operating profit margin is expected to be between 42.5% and 44.5%.

Bottom Line

TSMC remains a prominent player in the rapidly expanding AI ecosystem. As the world’s largest pure-play semiconductor foundry, TSMC’s leadership in advanced process technologies and commitment to continuous innovation ensure its pivotal role in powering next-generation AI applications.

The company’s comprehensive range of dedicated foundry process technologies, including industry-leading 2nm, 3nm, and 5nm technologies, alongside recent breakthroughs such as the TSMC A16™ and System-on-Wafer (TSMC-SoW™) technologies, underscores its strategic importance for shaping the future of AI.

The impressive financial performance in the second quarter of 2024, where revenue and EPS surpassed analyst expectations, highlights TSMC’s strong market position and resilience. As demand for advanced chips continues to surge, particularly in AI and high-performance computing, TSMC’s innovative solutions and robust financial health position it well for sustained growth and profitability.

Susquehanna analyst Mehdi Hosseini maintained Positive on TSM shares, with a price target of $250. Moreover, in July, Needham reaffirmed a Buy rating on shares of TSM with a price target of $210.

Amid this backdrop, investors could consider adding TSMC to their portfolio, particularly if they want to gain exposure to the burgeoning AI sector. However, it is also essential to remain mindful of potential risks, including geopolitical tensions and market fluctuations, which could impact the semiconductor industry.

Is Intel a Buy? Deep Dive into Software Expansion and AI Aspirations

Posted on by The INO.com Team

Intel Corporation (INTC), a global leader in designing and manufacturing semiconductor products, is making headlines with its ambitious goals for software expansion. Chief Technology Officer (CTO) Greg Lavender told Reuters that Intel’s push into software is progressing well, with the company potentially achieving cumulative software revenue of $1 billion by the end of 2027.

Progress in Building a Software Business

INTC has been steadily growing its software capabilities. The company generated over $100 million in software revenue in 2021, the year Greg Lavender was brought in from cloud computing firm VMware, Inc. (VMW) by CEO Pat Gelsinger to lead Intel’s software strategy. Since then, the chipmaker has acquired three software companies. It highlights Intel’s strategic pivot towards becoming a significant player in the software market, complementing its traditional hardware dominance.

Intel, which reported $54 billion in revenue in 2023, offers a variety of software services and tools, ranging from cloud computing to artificial intelligence (AI). Lavender stated that his strategy is centered on providing services in AI, performance, and security, with the company making significant investments in all three areas.

The chipmaker's investment in AI is particularly noteworthy. INTC’s upcoming Gaudi 3 chip is expected to generate significant demand, potentially positioning the company as a major contender in the AI chip market. Intel said it expected over $500 million in sales from its Gaudi 3 chips in the second half of the year.

Powered by the high-efficiency Intel® Gaudi® platform and boasting proven MLPerf benchmark performance, Intel® Gaudi® 3 AI accelerators are designed to tackle demanding training and inference tasks. Recently, Intel announced pricing for Intel® Gaudi® 2 and Intel® Gaudi® 3 AI accelerator kits, which redefine power, performance, and affordability.

A standard AI kit, including Intel Gaudi 2 accelerators with a universal baseboard (UBB), is offered to system providers at $65,000, estimated to be one-third the cost of comparable competitive platforms. Also, a kit including eight Intel Gaudi 3 accelerators with a UBB will cost $125,000, expected to be two-thirds the cost of comparable competitive platforms.

NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) currently dominates this space, controlling about 83% of the data center chip market in 2023. However, INTC’s focus on developing versatile and efficient AI processors could challenge NVDA’s dominance.

Positioning as a Leader in the Tech Industry

Intel’s comprehensive approach to AI software development could significantly enhance its position in the technology industry. CTO Greg Lavender mentioned that Intel is backing open-source initiatives to create software and tools capable of powering a diverse array of AI chips, with further breakthroughs anticipated in the upcoming months.

A crucial part of NVDA’s success is attributed to its proprietary software, CUDA, which binds developers to Nvidia chips. However, France’s antitrust regulator is preparing to charge Nvidia with suspected anti-competitive practices. The regulatory body voiced concerns about the generative AI sector’s reliance on CUDA.

Intel is a part of the UXL Foundation, a consortium of technology companies working on an open-source project that aims to make computer code run on any machine, regardless of the underlying chip and hardware. Other notable members of this consortium include Qualcomm Inc (QCOM), Samsung Electronics, and Arm Holdings plc (ARM).

Furthermore, INTC is actively contributing to Triton, an initiative led by OpenAI to develop an open-source programming language designed to improve code efficiency across AI chips. This project is also supported by Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. (AMD) and Meta Platforms, Inc. (META). Triton is already operational on Intel’s existing graphics processing units and will be compatible with the company's next generation of AI chips.

“Triton is going to level the playing field,” Lavender said, emphasizing the potential impact of this initiative.

By contributing to open-source projects like Triton and the UXL Foundation, Intel aims to create a more inclusive and competitive AI ecosystem. This strategy boosts INTC’s technological capabilities and strengthens its reputation as a forward-thinking company willing to invest in the broader tech community.

Robust First-Quarter Performance but Weak Second-Quarter Forecast

For the first quarter that ended March 30, 2024, INTC’s net revenue increased 8.6% year-over-year to $12.72 billion, primarily driven by growth in its personal computing, data center, and AI business. Revenue from the company’s biggest business, Client Computing Group (CCG), which is responsible for chips for PCs and laptops, grew 31% year-over-year to $7.50 billion.

Intel’s Data Center and AI business, which makes central processors for servers and other parts and software, reported sales of $3 billion, up 5% year-over-year. The company continues to compete for server market share against well-established chipmakers like Nvidia.

Further, the company’s gross margin rose 30.2% from the prior year’s quarter to $5.22 billion. INTC’s non-GAAP operating income came in at $723 million, compared to an operating loss of $294 million in the previous year’s quarter. Its non-GAAP net income and earnings per share were $759 million and $0.18, compared to a net loss and loss per share of $169 million and $0.04, respectively, in the same period of 2023.

The chipmaker gave weak guidance for the second quarter. For the quarter that ended June 2024, Intel expects its revenue to come between $12.50 billion and $13.50 billion, and its non-GAAP earnings per share is anticipated to be $0.10.

Meanwhile, analysts expect INTC’s revenue for the second quarter to increase marginally year-over-year to $12.99 billion. The company’s EPS is expected to decline 21.6% year-over-year to $0.10 for the same period.

Bottom Line

Intel’s strategic shift towards expanding its software capabilities, primarily focusing on AI and cybersecurity, is setting the stage for substantial future revenue growth. The company’s progress in building a robust software business, evidenced by the significant revenue surge and strategic acquisitions over the years, highlights a promising growth trajectory.

By focusing on AI, performance, and security areas and making significant investments, Intel is diversifying its revenue streams and positioning itself as a formidable player in the tech industry. The company’s executives hinted at robust demand for its upcoming Gaudi 3 chip, which can help Intel take second place in the AI chip market.

While INTC’s involvement in open-source initiatives like Triton and the UXL Foundation, collaboration with industry leaders, and continuous innovation underscores its commitment to fostering a competitive and inclusive AI ecosystem, Nvidia’s dominance in the data center chip market is pronounced and presents a significant challenge.

Intel’s solid first-quarter performance reflects the effectiveness of its strategic initiatives, but its dim second-quarter guidance indicates some short-term challenges. Analysts predict a slight year-over-year revenue increase but a notable EPS decline for the second quarter. While it may face hurdles in the immediate future, INTC’s long-term prospects appear promising, driven by its software expansion and strategic investments in AI.

Cantor Fitzgerald reiterated a Neutral rating on INTC stock while maintaining a price target of $40. Also, TD Cowen reiterated coverage on Intel with a Neutral rating and set a new price target of $40 from $45 previously. Given this backdrop, it seems wise to wait for a better entry point in INTC now.