2 Gold Stocks To Add To Your Watchlist

2023 has been a great year for investors thus far, with several asset classes enjoying double-digit year-to-date percentage gains, including the Nasdaq 100 Index (QQQ).

While it may be lagging short-term after a strong November and December, the strongest performance has come from the Gold Miners Index (GDX), which outperformed the Nasdaq 100 by more than 3500 basis points in 2022, and is up 46% off its Q3 2022 lows.

Following this strong rally in the GDX and a surge in optimism among investors, some consolidation or a deeper pullback would not be surprising.

However, it’s worth building a watchlist of undervalued now to prepare for sharp pullbacks, assuming these stocks retreat into a low-risk buy zone.

In this update, we’ll look at two gold names still trading at deep discounts to fair value and highlight their low-risk buy zones:

Argonaut Gold (ARNGF)

Argonaut Gold (ARNGF) is a gold producer with a market cap of $430 million and was a name I highlighted in November as one to keep a very close eye on, and I stated the following:

To summarize, this pullback in the stock has provided a fire sale, and I don’t recall the last time I saw sentiment this bad for a producer in years.

Since that update, the stock has soared by more than 60% and is one of the top-performing gold producers by a wide margin.

This is partially attributed to the strong recovery in the gold price that has placed a relentless bid on gold miners but also due to several positive developments.

The major one worth discussing is the appointment of a new Chief Executive Officer, Richard Young, who is well known for transforming Teranga Gold from a junior producer into a $2.0 billion miner before its eventual takeover in late 2020. Continue reading "2 Gold Stocks To Add To Your Watchlist"

Gold Sector Opportunities: OR & ARNGF

Following a brutal two years for the Gold Miners Index (GDX), the sector has begun to perk up recently, advancing more than 20% off its lows to new 50-day highs.

This recovery can be attributed to the recent rally in gold back above the psychological $1,750/oz level and the fact that many miners had overshot to the downside during this bear market. In fact, many were trading at their most attractive valuations since 2018, when the gold price was hovering below $1,250/oz, and they were much less profitable.

Given the steep decline in the sector, several gold miners are trading at deep discounts to fair value.

In this update, we’ll look at two more attractive opportunities in the gold sector. Not only do these two companies have industry-leading growth profiles, but they have been beaten up sufficiently due to negative sentiment sector-wide that they’re offering considerable margins of safety at current levels.

Osisko Gold Royalties (OR)

Osisko Gold Royalties (OR) is a $2.33BB market cap royalty/streaming company in the gold sector, giving it a very low-risk business model. This is because the company generates revenue and cash flow from royalties and streams that it has purchased from developers and producers in exchange for helping them fund the construction or expansions of their projects/operations.

The result is that Osisko does not have to pay for sustaining capital to maintain these mines, it does not have to pay growth capital to expand these mines, and it is not subject to inflationary pressures if we see rising labor, fuel, explosives, or cyanide costs. Given this attractive business model, the company has reported year-to-date cash margins of 93% and 92% in its most recent quarter.

Osisko Chart

(Source: Company Presentation

Continue reading "Gold Sector Opportunities: OR & ARNGF"