The Government's Disastrous Reign over U.S. Money

By Elliott Wave International

Very few people know that the United States did not create a monetary unit pegged to "buy" some amount of metal, as if the dollar were some kind of money independent of metal.

In 1792, Congress passed the U.S. Coinage Act, which defined a dollar as a coin containing 371.25 grains of silver and 44.75 grains of alloy. Congress did not say a dollar was worth that amount of metal; it was that amount of metal. A dollar, then, was a unit of weight, like a gram, ounce or pound. Since the alloy portion of the coin was nearly worthless, a dollar was essentially defined as 371.25 grains -- equal to 24.057 grams, or 0.7734 Troy oz. -- of pure silver. (15.43 grains = 1 gram, and 480 grains = 1 Troy ounce.)

In a nutshell, a dollar was equal to a bit more than 3/4 of an ounce of silver; or, in reverse, an ounce of silver was equal to $1.293.

The same act declared that a new coin, called an Eagle, would consist of 247.5 grains of gold and 22.5 grains of alloy. It valued this coin by law at ten dollars, meaning 3712.5 grains of silver. Continue reading "The Government's Disastrous Reign over U.S. Money"

Indian Stocks: You Want a REAL Opportunity? Know WHEN to Look for It

Why the Nifty and many other emerging market stocks screamed "Buy!" three months ago

By Elliott Wave International

From Elliott Wave International's February Asian-Pacific Financial Forecast (published Feb. 7):

...Bloomberg reports that "more than $7 billion flowed from ETFs investing in developing-nation assets in January, the most since the securities were created." Such massive selling...supports our view that emerging markets are ending large-degree three-wave declines.

Conventional observers are asking the question, "Is this 1997 all over again?" (The Economist)

The way we see it, the return of such headlines in January supports another significant low now -- from a contrarian perspective.

EWI's Asian-Pacific Short Term Update editor Chris Carolan soon echoed those bullish views. Here is a forecast the APSTU made for India's Nifty Index on March 4:

The strong short-term Nifty rally has pushed prices above their upper daily Keltner channel resistance level.

Look for this [rally] up to push through the 2014 highs at 6400 in coming sessions.

The intraday Keltner channel slope is steep, indicating this trend has enough strength for sharp short-term gains.

You've already picked up on the indicators we used to turn bullish on emerging markets in general, and on India in particular: Continue reading "Indian Stocks: You Want a REAL Opportunity? Know WHEN to Look for It"

Ink + Paper Doesn't Equal Value: Prechter on Fiat Money

By: Elliott Wave International

My dad will turn 84 this year. When he was born, you could walk into a Federal Reserve Bank or the Treasury and redeem your paper money for gold. It actually said you could on every piece of U.S. paper currency:

"Redeemable in gold on demand at the United States Treasury, or in Gold or lawful money at any Federal Reserve Bank."

You can't do that today, which helps explain why my dad is so grumpy.

But, seriously, I mention my father to make it personal. The move away from the gold standard did happen in the lifetime of some folks who are still around. Is that such a big deal?

Well, it is a big deal when the government unilaterally changes all economic and financial transactions, from having a basis in something, to ... Continue reading "Ink + Paper Doesn't Equal Value: Prechter on Fiat Money"

One Sentiment Gauge in Europe Reaches Epic Proportion

A visual history of complacency and fear as seen by the 10-year spread over German Bunds

By: Elliott Wave International

The one-two punch 2014 winter storms that battered the southeastern United States left $13.5 million in damages in Georgia alone and thousands of residents displaced due to burst pipes and power outages. I am one of the displaced. Three months after the flood, I'm still living out of suitcases in a hotel while my apartment gets rebuilt.

I'm ashamed to admit before Icepocalypse, I had the least comprehensive homeowner's insurance. Why bother, I thought. This is Atlanta. The only blizzard this city's seen in the last decade is on the dessert menu at Dairy Queen.

But now, you better believe the first thing I'm going to do when I move back in is upgrade my policy to cover all and any acts of man and God -- fire, tornado, sharknado, alien invasion, you name it.

It's human nature. You can never truly prepare for the worst until you experience it first-hand. Then, and only then, do you go above and beyond to protect your health and welfare. Continue reading "One Sentiment Gauge in Europe Reaches Epic Proportion"

Why the Fed Does Not Control Inflation and Deflation

By: Elliott Wave International

Despite the Fed's leverage and its attempt to inflate throughout the economy, the deflationary pressures in the U.S. are overwhelming. Watch this six-minute clip from Steve Hochberg's presentation at the Orlando Money Show. To learn more about the inflationary/deflationary process, go to www.deflation.com.

Continue reading "Why the Fed Does Not Control Inflation and Deflation"