Tag: fibonacci retracement

Has NetFlix Topped Out?

Posted on by The INO.com Team

We have had a very good run in the stock of Netflix (NASDAQ:NFLX) and the question now is, has Netflix topped out?

netflixThere is increasing evidence that Netflix is having problems over the $300-$310 area. With a lower close in this stock today, it will confirm that it has put in an intermediate top.

Yesterday, Netflix (NASDAQ:NFLX) put in a Japanese candlestick pattern known as "a dark cloud cover." This is confirmed as a top if the market closes lower today, September 17th. Candlestick patterns can be very powerful. This is not to say that Netflix has put in an all-time top, but rather in the interim the market has stopped going up and is probably going to see a pullback.

NETFLIX TOPPING
Pullbacks are always interesting and I like to use our Fibonacci retracement tool to measure them. In 2013, most of the pullbacks were in $30-$40 range. Measuring from the recent high of $314.18 on September 11th and subtracting $40, takes us down to $274 area. Coincidentally this is very close to a 50% Fibonacci retracement if we measure from the recent high on September 11th to the low seen on July 25th at $239.91.

I have two other concerns with Netflix (NASDAQ:NFLX). We are at a cyclic high and the MACD is beginning to roll over, which is similar to what happened in the May and July periods.

Please be aware I am not recommending shorting Netflix, as the longer-term trend for Netflix remains positive and I can see this market doing well longer term as it dominates the space of streaming video and home entertainment.

Let's watch today's close in Netflix very carefully. A close below the $301.13 level will represent a new 5-day low close for this stock.

This is just a heads up that Netflix may be running into some headwinds and profit taking.

Please feel free to leave a comment or your own view on the stock.

Have a great trading day,
Adam Hewison
President, INO.com
Co-Creator, MarketClub

Is Apple A Buy At These Levels?

Posted on by The INO.com Team

appleThe price action last week and today in the stock of Apple was reflecting the perception that Apple's new offerings were not up to par and offered no major breakout technology. The press and the general markets were generally negative on Apple's latest offerings. The new iPhone 5S and 5C have been largely pooh-poohed in the media.

I think the market has overreacted in the sense that no company, not even Apple, can keep coming out with groundbreaking technology with every press event they host. I believe the market has overlooked the fact that these are very strong offerings and that Apple has a loyalty base like no other company on the planet, myself included.

apple1
The security fingerprint technology that Apple introduced is quite remarkable, and lends itself to so many other applications. Security is going to become more and more important to even the average smartphone or tablet user in the future. Apple's introduction of this technology is going to be very important in the corporate and enterprise world and may send a crippling blow to Blackberry. Fingerprint security could be used in so many yet-to-be-discovered applications for financial transactions and online commerce. It has an enormous future, but the market just hasn't recognized it yet.

As a reader of this blog, you know I look at the market on a technical basis and one of my technical indicators is telling me that Apple may be close to a turning point. The Williams%R indicator, shown in the form of yellow lines on today's chart, indicates the cyclical pattern of Apple and shows that this market is very oversold. Apple has also pulled back to an area of previous long-term resistance. This resistance area should now act as support.

The stock of Apple has also pulled back to our major trend indicator, which remains bullish. This is not so unusual to have a retest of the long-term Trade Triangle signal, in Apple's case at $465.75. The current pullback in Apple is approximately a 50% retracement and is a Fibonacci support area.

This week I expect Apple to begin to find support around current levels, give or take $5 to $10. I believe that Apple is close to an important cyclic low period and the roll out on Wednesday of Apple's IOS7 system could be the catalyst to once again turn Apple to the upside.

What do you think?

Feel free to leave a comment.

Adam Hewison
President, INO.com
Co-Creator, MarketClub

Why markets reverse... blame it on Fibonacci

Posted on by The INO.com Team

There are times when markets reverse for no apparent reason and seem to defy any news that would support the direction of the trend. We call the this occasional event the "Fibonacci factor." This occurs when markets reach certain retracement levels and often reverse direction from their previous trend.

In this new short video I outline this phenomenon on the S&P500 and will also be covering it when our new educational trading video debuts this Friday, which will be of course, "Fibonacci Friday".

Enjoy today's video and let us know what you think. As always there is no charge and no need to register.

All the best,

Adam Hewison
President INO.com
Co-founder of MarketClub

The Best Kept Market Secret in the World

Posted on by The INO.com Team

Two months ago, I wrote a blog that many people are still talking about. It was about a trading rule  I learned over 30 years ago in the pits of Chicago and one I still use today.

How this amazing rule works is way beyond my pay scale, but I can say without hesitation that it works.

It works on intraday charts, daily charts, weekly and monthly charts. I do not know why it works in the financial markets, and through all my reading and research I've never found a reason that explains why this particular rule works.

Anyway, I'm going to show you in this intraday video on gold how this rule works. I also recommend that you watch the video I made two months ago using the exact same tools on a daily gold chart.

This is something that you should really look for when a market has a correction, as it will allow you to enter a position with very little risk.

So enjoy, there is no charge or registration required to watch this video. This is part of MarketClub's educational trading video series to help you achieve greater success in your own personal trading.

All the best,

Adam Hewison
President, INO.com
Co-creator, MarketClub

30 years ago I learned this market secret

Posted on by The INO.com Team

I can honestly say that 30 years ago I learned how to trade the markets in the pits of Chicago.

It was there, in one of those sweaty, tumultuous, in your face trading pits, that I learned one of the most valuable trading secrets in the world.

This one trading secret opened my eyes to why things happen in the markets.

This trading secret, which is over 800 years old, is one of the most monumental mathematical discoveries of all time.

The publication in 1202 of the "The Book of Calculation" was never meant to be a road map to success in the markets. However, it turned out to be an extraordinary blueprint for how modern day markets work.

The number sequences contained in this amazing 800 year old book, is like having a virtual DNA for every stock, futures and foreign exchange market.

No one knows for sure why these number sequences work. Some traders believe them to be mystical, others, like myself prefer to call them one of life's little mysteries.

I have been using this sequence of numbers to trade the markets for over 30 years. I have to say that after all this time, I am still amazed that these numbers still work!

My new 8 minute educational trading video that remains true to core principles of the "The Book of Calculation." Show you step by step, exactly how you can benefit from using this trading secret.

Once you view the video and absorb this valuable educational trading lesson, you can apply the exact same principles you learn to your own trading. What could be better than that.

We do not require you to register to view this video.

Discover and benefit today, from what I learned over 30 years ago in the trading pits of Chicago.

Every success.

Adam Hewison
President, INO.com.

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