Tag: first quarter

Why DELL Could Be a Big Winner in the AI Cloud Spending Boom

Posted on by The INO.com Team

As the tech world grapples with the ebb and flow of generative AI hype, one thing remains clear: the major players are doubling down on their investments. Despite a nearly 15% drop in the Nasdaq since July’s highs and concerns about a potential repeat of the dot-com bubble, the tech giants aren’t flinching.

The second-quarter earnings season revealed that major technology companies like Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN), Microsoft Corporation (MSFT), Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL), and Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) are more bullish than ever, continuing to fuel their AI ambitions with hefty investments. Together, these companies have poured around $40 billion into cloud computing, with a significant portion allocated for GPUs and other AI-related tech.

For example, the partnership between Microsoft and OpenAI has sparked a massive capital expenditure (CAPEX) buildout and triggered a surge in demand for GPUs. So far, enterprise adoption of generative AI has mostly involved exploratory projects within the public cloud.

Following the release of second-quarter results by these tech behemoths, Susquehanna analyst Mehdi Hosseini raised his 2024 global capital expenditure forecast for the top 12 cloud computing providers by 3%, bringing the total to $192 billion, up by 55% from last year. And if that wasn’t robust enough, Hosseini predicts spending will rise by another 40% to 42% in 2025.

Amid this surge in AI investment, Dell Technologies Inc. (DELL) is emerging as an unexpected contender. Traditionally recognized for its personal computing products, Dell is now aggressively expanding its footprint in AI and cloud computing. With the growing need for data centers and advanced cloud solutions, Dell’s strategic shift positions it well to benefit from this boom.

So, could DELL be a major winner in the AI revolution? Let’s find out.

Dell’s Strategic Position in the AI Server Market

Dell Technologies has evolved far beyond its origins as a producer of Windows-powered PCs. While high-end laptops and gaming stations remain significant, Dell’s focus has increasingly shifted toward becoming a leading player in the AI and cloud infrastructure space.

The company’s extensive portfolio includes everything from data centers to edge computing solutions, positioning it as a versatile player in the tech world. DELL’s infrastructure solutions are particularly noteworthy, as they cater to the growing demand for advanced AI computing power. The company has built a strong reputation for assembling efficient, high-performance data centers, a crucial asset as AI and machine learning drive demand for robust computing infrastructure.

Moreover, Dell’s partnerships with major cloud providers and tech giants like NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) underscore its critical role in the AI ecosystem. NVDA’s endorsement of Dell as a premier solution for building data centers is a testament to its capabilities. The “AI Factory” initiative, highlighted by Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang, marks DELL as a leading player in the transition to AI-accelerated computing environments.

The company’s infrastructure solutions segment, which generated $4.3 billion in operating income last year, stands to benefit immensely from the accelerating demand for advanced AI computing systems. This growth potential is reinforced by the company’s strategic focus on high-performance servers and storage solutions tailored for AI applications.

In the first quarter ended May 3, 2024, DELL’s net revenue increased 6% year-over-year to $22.24 billion, exceeding the analysts’ expectations of $21.65 billion. Its Infrastructure Solutions Group’s (ISG) revenue stood at $9.23 billion, up 22% year-over-year. Thanks to strong demand across AI and traditional servers, the company’s servers and networking revenue grew 42% from the year-ago value to $5.47 billion.

On the bottom line, DELL’s net income and EPS came in at $955 million and $1.32, indicating an increase of 65% and 67% from the prior year. The company returned $1.10 billion to shareholders through share repurchases and dividends, ending the quarter with $7.30 billion in cash and investments.

Dell’s consistent ability to meet or exceed expectations, coupled with its aggressive cash returns to shareholders, has proven to be a winning strategy. This, along with its strong positioning in AI, has driven the stock price to more than double over the past twelve months. Shares of DELL have surged more than 45% year-to-date and nearly 95% over the past year.

As companies invest more in AI computing systems, the company’s infrastructure solutions are expected to see substantial growth. With tens of billions, potentially even hundreds of billions of dollars up for grabs, DELL is well-positioned to capture a significant share of this expanding market. If it continues to leverage its partnerships and infrastructure expertise, it could emerge as a major beneficiary of the AI boom, making it an intriguing stock for investors to consider.

The Magnificent 7 Earnings: How to Position Your Portfolio

Posted on by The INO.com Team

As earnings season ramps up, investors closely watch the “Magnificent Seven,” a group of high-profile tech companies that play a pivotal role in market dynamics. This week, three of these tech giants—Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN), Apple Inc. (AAPL), and Meta Platforms, Inc. (META)—are set to report their quarterly earnings.

On July 30, the Nasdaq Composite declined sharply ahead of Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) earnings. Microsoft shares fell nearly 7% in extended trading on Tuesday as disappointing cloud results overshadowed better-than-expected revenue and earnings.

For the fourth quarter that ended June 30, 2024, MSFT’s revenue increased 15% year-over-year to $64.70 billion. That slightly surpassed the consensus revenue estimate of $64.44 billion. The company’s top segment, Intelligent Cloud, which includes its Azure services, reported $28.52 billion in revenue. It was up around 19% but fell short of analysts’ expectations of $28.68 billion.

Microsoft’s cloud business holds significant importance for Wall Street, as the company competes with Amazon Web Services and Google for AI workloads. All three firms heavily invest in enhancing AI capabilities, aiming to attract startups and large corporations as generative AI models advance rapidly.

In addition, MSFT posted fourth-quarter net income and earnings per share of $22 billion and $2.95, up 10% year-over-year. That compared to analysts’ EPS estimate of $2.94.

Mega-cap tech stocks had surged tremendously on high hopes for growth driven by artificial intelligence (AI). The upcoming earnings reports from major tech giants, including AMZN, AAPL, and META, will have far-reaching implications for the market. Positive results could reinvigorate confidence in Big Tech, while disappointing numbers might accelerate the shift to underperforming sectors like mid- and small-cap stocks.

Moreover, the earnings season coincides with a pivotal Federal Reserve meeting. Fed officials are expected to hold rates steady but may signal a potential rate cut in September following better news on inflation and signs the labor market is cooling. This decision will add another layer of complexity to market dynamics, influencing investor sentiment and market movements.

Key Earnings Reports: What to Watch For

Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN)

With a $1.89 trillion market cap, Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) engages in the retail sale of consumer products, advertising, and subscription services via online and physical stores. The company operates through North America, International, and Amazon Web Services (AWS) segments.

Amazon’s second-quarter earnings, scheduled to be released on August 1, will shed light on consumer spending and enterprise cloud adoption. Investors will be keen to see how AWS is performing, as it is a significant revenue driver for the company. In the last reported first quarter, AWS segment sales rose 17% year-over-year to $25 billion.

“The combination of companies renewing their infrastructure modernization efforts and the appeal of AWS’s AI capabilities is reaccelerating AWS’s growth rate (now at a $100 billion annual revenue run rate); our Stores business continues to expand selection, provide everyday low prices, and accelerate delivery speed (setting another record on speed for Prime customers in Q1) while lowering our cost to serve; and, our Advertising efforts continue to benefit from the growth of our Stores and Prime Video businesses,” said Andy Jassy, AMZN’s President and CEO in first-quarter earnings release.

“It’s very early days in all of our businesses and we remain excited by how much more we can make customers’ lives better and easier moving forward,” Jassy added.

For the second quarter 2024 guidance, the tech giant’s net sales are expected to be between $144 billion and $149 billion, or grow between 7% and 11% compared to the second quarter of 2023. AMZN’s operating income is anticipated to be between $10 billion and $14 billion, compared with $7.7 billion in the second quarter of 2023.

Notably, on July 18, Amazon announced record-breaking sales for the 2024 Prime Day shopping event. During the 48-hour event, Prime members shopped millions of deals with over 35 categories and purchased more items than any prior Prime Day shopping event. Rufus, the company’s new AI-powered conversational shopping assistant, has assisted millions of customers quickly and easily navigating Amazon’s extensive selection.

Analysts appear bullish about the e-commerce giant’s prospects. Street expects AMZN’s revenue and EPS for the second quarter (ended June 2024) to increase 10.6% and 56.9% to $148.62 billion and $1.02, respectively. Moreover, the company topped consensus revenue and EPS estimates in all four trailing quarters, which is remarkable.

Shares of AMZN have surged about 14% over the past six months and more than 19% year-to-date. However, the stock has plunged around 6% over the past month.

Solid AWS growth in the second quarter and resilient consumer spending might justify increasing exposure to Amazon. However, slowing growth or rising costs could suggest reducing positions or hedging.

Apple Inc. (AAPL)

Apple Inc. (AAPL), valued at a $3.36 trillion market cap, is a global leader in consumer electronics, software, and services. Apple is renowned for its innovative products, including the iPhone, its flagship product which accounts for a significant portion of the company’s revenue, Mac computers, iPad, Apple Watch, AirPods, and services like the App Store, Apple Music, iCloud, and more.

AAPL’s third-quarter earnings, scheduled for August 1, will reflect the performance of its key product lines. For the second quarter that ended March 30, 2024, the company posted revenue of $90.75 billion, down 4% year-over-year. However, the revenue surpassed analysts’ estimate of $90.45 billion. Also, iPhone sales fell 10% year-over-year during the quarter. The company realized $5 billion in delayed iPhone 14 sales from Covid-based supply issues.

Furthermore, the company’s net income was $23.64 billion for the third quarter, down 2% from the prior year’s quarter. Apple reported quarterly earnings per share of $1.53, compared to the consensus estimate of $1.51.

In the last quarter, the company announced that its Board of Directors authorized $110 billion in share repurchases, an impressive 22% rise from last year’s $90 billion share authorization. It’s the largest buyback in the company’s history.

Apple did not offer formal guidance, but CEO Tim Cook told CNBC’s Steve Kovach that overall sales are expected to grow in the “low single digits” for the June quarter.

During an earnings call with analysts, AAPL CFO Luca Maestri indicated that the company will deliver double-digit year-over-year growth in iPad sales for the to-be-reported quarter. Additionally, he noted that the Services division is projected to continue growing at the current high rate observed over the past two quarters.

Analysts expect AAPL’s revenue and EPS for the third quarter to increase 3.2% and 6.5% to $84.38 billion and $1.34, respectively. Additionally, Apple surpassed consensus EPS estimates in each of the trailing four quarters.

Over the past month, AAPL’s stock has soared more than 2.5%. Further, the stock climbed approximately 16% over the past six months and around 13% year-to-date. Robust sales across key product lines could indicate solid consumer demand, driving Apple’s shares. However, updates on supply chain challenges and mitigation strategies will be crucial in the upcoming earnings report.

Meta Platforms (META)

With a market cap of $1.18 trillion, Meta Platforms, Inc. (META), formerly known as Facebook, Inc., is a tech conglomerate with key products, such as Facebook, Instagram, WhatsApp, and Messenger. It operates in two segments: Family of Apps and Reality Labs.

META is expected to report its second-quarter 2024 earnings on July 31 after the market closes. Meta’s first-quarter revenue was $36.46 billion, compared to the consensus estimate of $36.22 billion. Its revenue was up 27.3% year-over-year. The company’s ad impressions delivered across its Family of Apps grew by 20% year-over-year, and the average price per ad grew by 6%.

Further, the company reported an EPS of $4.71 for the March quarter, exceeding analysts’ expectations of $4.36 and being up 114% year over year.

Meta Platforms no longer provide data on daily active users (DAUs) and monthly active users (MAUs). Instead, it reports a consolidated figure called family daily active people (DAP). DAP was 3.24 billion on average for March, an increase of 7% year-over-year.

In the last earnings release, Meta’s founder and CEO, Mark Zuckerberg, said, “It's been a good start to the year. The new version of Meta AI with Llama 3 is another step towards building the world's leading AI. We're seeing healthy growth across our apps and we continue making steady progress building the metaverse as well.”

In April, META announced the latest version of Meta AI with Llama 3, one of the world’s leading AI assistants. This version is free and readily available in several countries. Meta AI is available across its apps, including Facebook, Instagram, WhatsApp, and Messenger, to get things done, learn, create, and access real-time information. The new advances in Meta AI with Llama 3 are expected to extend META’s market reach and boost its profitability.

For the second quarter of 2024, META expects sales between $36.50 billion to $39 billion. The midpoint of the range, $37.75 billion, will represent nearly 18% year-over-year growth. Meanwhile, analysts anticipate the company’s revenue for the June quarter to increase 19.7% year-over-year to $38.31 billion, and the consensus EPS estimate of $4.78 indicates an improvement of 60.5% year-over-year.

Meta has raised investor expectations due to its improved financial performance in recent quarters, leaving little room for error. The stock is up about 2% over the past five days and nearly 30% year-to-date. In February 2023, META CEO Mark Zuckerberg announced it would be the “year of efficiency,” which sparked the rally.

At that time, Zuckerberg stated that the company would focus on eliminating unnecessary projects and reducing bloat, aiming to transform Meta into a “stronger and more nimble organization.” Consequently, the company cut about 21,000 jobs in the first half of 2023, with Zuckerberg indicating in February this year that hiring would be “relatively minimal compared to historical levels.”

The headcount decreased by 10% in the first quarter of 2024 compared to the previous year, bringing it down to 69,329 employees.

Meta’s capital expenditures for fiscal 2024 are projected to be between $35 billion and $40 billion, up from a prior forecast of $30 billion to $37 billion. This increase is attributed to accelerated infrastructure investments to support the company’s artificial intelligence (AI) roadmap, META said.

Bottom Line

As earnings reports from tech giants, including META, AAPL, and AMZN, approach, investors should prepare for potential market shifts. Investors can better position their portfolios by closely monitoring these results and considering broader economic signals, such as the Federal Reserve’s actions. A balanced approach with diversification, sector rotation, and hedging can help manage risks and capitalize on opportunities in this critical earnings season.

Natural Gas Prices Plummet: Opportunities and Risks for Investors

Posted on by The INO.com Team

So far this year, natural gas prices have plummeted to record lows, driven by record-high production, mild winter weather, and a resulting surplus. Between January and June, the average price at the Henry Hub benchmark fell 20% to $2.56 per million British thermal units (MMBtu), hitting their lowest levels since 1997. These price declines have created a volatile market, presenting both risks and opportunities for investors.

The energy sector faces a mix of challenges and prospects. U.S. production has slightly decreased since peaking at 106 billion cubic feet per day in late 2023, but the current inventory levels remain high, keeping prices suppressed. The Energy Information Administration (EIA) forecasts that natural gas prices will remain below $3.00/MMBtu for the remainder of 2024, averaging around $2.20/MMBtu.

Concerns about China's demand and ongoing global market fluctuations have added to the uncertainty. The ongoing wildfires in Canada’s oil sands region have impacted production, providing some support to oil prices, which often correlate with natural gas prices. Analysts suggest that while the market faces uncertainties, the expected Federal Reserve interest-rate cuts could boost oil demand, indirectly influencing natural gas prices.

For those looking to navigate these choppy waters, investing in EQT Corporation (EQT) could be promising with its strong financial performance and growth potential. On the other hand, it could be wise to steer clear of Cheniere Energy, Inc. (LNG), given its bleak financial outlook. Let’s look at these stocks in detail.

Stock to Buy:

EQT Corporation (EQT)

EQT Corporation (EQT) is the leading independent natural gas producer in the United States, with a core asset base across the Appalachian Basin. Recently, the company closed its acquisition of Equitrans Midstream Corporation earlier than expected, which resulted in some savings. The operation of the Mountain Valley Pipeline, facilitated by this acquisition, is set to transport a significant amount of Marcellus production from the oversupplied Marcellus Basin to markets with solid pricing.

This move is expected to boost the average price received for their production, regardless of whether natural gas prices recover as anticipated. Plus, the acquisition is expected to materially decrease the cost of supply on a per-unit basis.

On July 16, EQT announced a quarterly dividend of $0.16 per share, payable on September 1, 2024. It pays an annual dividend of $0.63 per share, which translates to a yield of 1.79% at the current share price. EQT offers an attractive proposition for income-oriented investors seeking exposure to the energy sector. Also, it has a four-year average dividend yield of 0.85% and has grown its dividend payouts at a CAGR of 41.8% over the past five years.

Despite industry struggles, EQT reported profitable second-quarter results. During the quarter that ended June 30, 2024, the company’s total sales volume increased 7.8% year-over-year to 508 billion cubic feet equivalent (Bcfe). A slight increase in the average realized price per millions of cubic feet equivalent (Mcfe) boosted EQT’s attributable net income by a robust 114.3% rise from the same period last year to $9.52 million.

In addition, the company’s earnings per share was $0.02, compared to the previous quarter’s $0.18 loss per share. In addition, EQT’s adjusted operating cash flows grew 18.8% from its year-ago value to $405.04 million.

Analysts expect EQT’s revenue for the third quarter (ending September 2024) to increase 31.3% year-over-year to $1.56 billion, and its EPS for the ongoing quarter is expected to grow 18.6% year-over-year to $0.36. Furthermore, the company has topped the consensus EPS estimates in each of the trailing four quarters.

While the stock has lost nearly 19% over the past nine months and more than 11% year-to-date, this dip presents a potential buying opportunity. EQT’s solid financials, coupled with its attractive dividend yield and growth potential, make it a compelling choice for investors looking to capitalize on the natural gas sector.

Stock to Sell:

Cheniere Energy, Inc. (LNG)

Cheniere Energy, Inc. (LNG) is the leading producer and exporter of liquefied natural gas in the United States. It provides a clean, secure, and affordable solution to the increasing global demand for natural gas. As a full-service LNG provider, Cheniere manages everything from gas procurement and transportation to liquefaction, vessel chartering, and LNG delivery.

The company is due to reveal its fiscal 2024 second-quarter earnings on August 8, and the outlook isn't promising. Revenue is forecasted to dip by 13.5% year-over-year to $3.55 billion. Meanwhile, its EPS is anticipated to plummet by 70.4% from the previous year to $1.66.

This downward trend is expected to continue throughout the fiscal year ending December 2024; Cheniere Energy’s revenue and EPS are expected to decrease by 21.3% and 80.3% year-over-year to $16.05 billion and $8.04, respectively.

Further, the financial strain is reflected in the company's performance in the first quarter that ended March 31, 2024. LNG’s total revenues decreased 41.8% year-over-year to $4.25 billion, and its income from operations fell 85.6% from the prior year’s quarter to $1.15 billion.

Moreover, LNG’s net income and net income per share attributable to common stockholders came in at $502 million and $2.13, down 90.8% and 90.4%, respectively. Its consolidated adjusted EBITDA decreased 50.7% year-over-year to $1.77 billion.

Despite these deteriorating financial metrics, LNG’s Board of Directors approved an additional $4 billion in share repurchase authorization through 2027. It further announced a plan to increase its quarterly dividend by approximately 15% to $2.00 per common share annualized, commencing with the third quarter of 2024.

On June 17, the company announced a quarterly dividend of $0.435 per share, payable to its shareholders on August 16, 2024. LNG pays an annual dividend of $1.74, which translates to a yield of 0.99% at the current share price. It has a four-year average dividend yield of 0.57% and a payout ratio of 8.3%.

Shares of LNG have gained over 4% over the past six months and nearly 3% year-to-date, but these modest gains do little to counteract the company's broader financial challenges. The current outlook suggests that the risks outweigh the potential rewards, making LNG a less attractive investment option.

Investing Amidst the $100B China Chip War

Posted on by The INO.com Team

In a move set to reshape the global semiconductor landscape, China's ambitious $100 billion investment spree into its semiconductor industry is poised to disrupt Western chipmakers’ foothold in the lucrative Chinese market.

According to a recent report by the European Commission highlighted by Bloomberg, concerns are mounting over the potential erosion of market share for companies like NXP Semiconductors N.V. (NXPI), Infineon Technologies AG (IFNNY), and ASML Holding N.V. (ASML). These firms, pivotal players in microcontroller technology essential for automobiles, industrial applications, and consumer electronics, face intensifying competition from burgeoning Chinese counterparts.

The European Commission's report underscores that China's strategic maneuvers, including non-tariff barriers and local content requirements, could favor domestic microcontroller manufacturers. This advantage is particularly potent in China's burgeoning electric vehicle market, posing challenges for European and Japanese chip suppliers.

Moreover, China's aggressive investment surge follows heightened geopolitical tensions, including U.S. sanctions limiting Chinese access to high-end chips. Despite these restrictions, China has reportedly found alternative routes to procure U.S. technology, underscoring its determination to achieve semiconductor independence. As China makes aggressive investments in semiconductor fabrication plants and encourages local procurement of key semiconductor components, the ripple effects are felt globally.

Investors navigating this evolving landscape should consider diversifying across sectors and exploring resilient segments within tech. Despite China's semiconductor ambitions and geopolitical tensions, investing in solid companies like Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. (AMD) and Intel Corporation (INTC) could provide stability and growth potential.

Let’s look at the fundamentals of the abovementioned stocks in detail:

Stocks to Buy:

Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. (AMD)

Prominent chip giant AMD offers x86 microprocessors, graphics processing units (GPUs), and innovative solutions across Data Center, Client, Gaming, and Embedded segments. AMD also develops embedded processors, semi-custom system-on-chip (SoC) products, and advanced technologies like field programmable gate arrays (FPGA) and adaptive SoCs.

In the first quarter that ended March 30, 2024. AMD’s net revenue increased 2.2% year-over-year to $5.47 billion. Both its Data Center and Client segments experienced substantial growth, each exceeding 80% year-over-year, fueled by the uptake of MI300 AI accelerators and the popularity of Ryzen and EPYC processors.

Moreover, the company’s non-GAAP operating income grew 3.2% from the year-ago value to $1.13 billion. Its non-GAAP net income and earnings per share rose 4.4% and 3.3% from the prior-year quarter to $1.01 billion and $0.62, respectively.

Street expects AMD’s revenue for the second quarter (ended June 2024) to increase 6.7% year-over-year to $5.72 billion. Its EPS for the to-be-reported quarter is projected to reach $0.68, registering a 17.2% year-over-year growth. Moreover, the company surpassed the consensus revenue estimates in each of the trailing four quarters.

Intel Corporation (INTC)

INTC designs manufactures, and markets a wide range of computing products globally, including CPUs, GPUs, memory, and connectivity solutions. Known for its microprocessors, Intel powers PCs, servers, and emerging technologies across cloud, network, and edge computing platforms. It operates through segments including Client Computing Group, Data Center and AI, Network and Edge, Mobileye, and Intel Foundry Services.

The company delivered robust performance in the first quarter of 2024 (ended March 30), driven by solid innovation across its client, edge, and data center portfolios. Total Intel Products generated $11.90 billion in revenue, resulting in a 17% year-over-year increase. Revenue from the Client Computing Group (CCG) rose 31% year-over-year.

INTC’s net revenue increased 8.6% year-over-year to $12.72 billion, while its Data Center and AI (DCAI) division’s sales rose 5% to $3.04 billion. Also, the company reported a non-GAAP operating income of $723 million, compared to an operating loss of $294 million in the prior year’s quarter. Further, its non-GAAP net income and non-GAAP earnings per share came in at $759 million and $0.18 versus a net loss and loss per share of $169 million and $0.04, respectively, in the same quarter last year.

Analysts expect INTC’s revenue for the second quarter (ended June 2024) to increase marginally year-over-year to $13.02 billion. However, the consensus EPS estimate of $0.10 for the same period indicates a 19.5% year-over-year decline. Nevertheless, the company has an impressive surprise history, beating the consensus revenue estimates in three of the trailing four quarters.

Stocks to Sell:

NXP Semiconductors N.V. (NXPI)

NXPI, based in Eindhoven, the Netherlands, specializes in a diverse range of semiconductor products. Its portfolio features microcontrollers, communication processors, analog and interface devices, radio frequency power amplifiers, security controllers, and semiconductor-based environmental and inertial sensors.

For the first quarter that ended March 31, 2024, NXPI’s total revenue declined 8.6% sequentially to $3.13 billion. The company’s non-GAAP operating income fell 11.4% from the last quarter to $1.08 billion. Also, NXPI’s non-GAAP net income attributable to stockholders came in at $840 million and $3.24 per common share, down 13% and 12.7% from the preceding quarter, respectively.

Street expects NXPI’s revenue and EPS for the second quarter (ended June 2024) to decrease 5.2% and 6.5% year-over-year to $3.13 billion and $3.21, respectively. This downward trajectory is forecasted to persist throughout fiscal year 2024, with revenue and EPS expected to decrease by 1.5% and 0.3%, respectively.

Infineon Technologies AG (IFNNY)

Headquartered in Neubiberg, Germany, IFNNY is a global semiconductor leader specializing in power systems and IoT. The company drives decarbonization and digitalization with its innovative semiconductor solutions across four key segments: Automotive, Green Industrial Power, Power & Sensor Systems, and Connected Secure Systems.

During the fiscal second quarter that ended March 31, 2024, IFNNY’s revenue decreased 11.8% year-over-year to €3.63 billion ($3.94 billion), while gross profit fell by 26.9% from the year-ago value to €1.40 billion ($1.52 billion). The company’s operating profit stood at €496 million ($538.38 million), down 53.8% year-over-year.

In addition, adjusted profit for the period from continuing operations attributable to shareholders of IFNNY and adjusted EPS amounted to €551 million ($598.08 million) and €0.42, respectively, reflecting a 38.8% and 39.1% decrease from the prior-year quarter.

For the quarter ended June 2024, IFNNY’s EPS is expected to decrease 39.8% year-over-year to $0.45. Its revenue for the same quarter is expected to fall 8.2% from the prior year to $4.11 billion. Analysts project a further 7.5% decline in revenue and a 30.8% decrease in EPS for fiscal year 2024.

ASML Holding N.V. (ASML)

Based in Veldhoven, the Netherlands, ASML manufactures essential semiconductor equipment for global chipmakers. It focuses on lithography, metrology, and inspection systems, including advanced solutions like extreme ultraviolet and deep ultraviolet lithography. These technologies support semiconductor production across diverse technological ranges.

ASML’s total net sales for the first quarter that ended March 31, 2024, decreased 21.6% year-over-year to €5.29 billion ($5.74 billion). Its income from operations fell 36.9% from the year-ago value to €1.39 billion ($1.51 billion), while its net income declined 37.4% from the prior year’s quarter to €1.22 billion ($1.33 billion). In addition, the company’s net income per ordinary share stood at €3.11, down 37.2% year-over-year.

Analysts expect ASML’s revenue and EPS for the second quarter (ended June 2024) to decline by 15.6% and 27.7% year-over-year to $6.53 billion and $3.99, respectively. Likewise, the company’s EPS for the fiscal year 2024 is expected to decline 4.5% from the previous year to $20.67.

 

Top Energy Stocks Amid Hurricane Season & Summer Demand

Posted on by The INO.com Team

Since April, oil has continued to trade at its highest levels, supported by robust energy demand and tight supplies. WTI crude oil futures inched up $82 per barrel yesterday, following the EIA report indicating a larger-than-expected drop in US crude stockpiles. US crude oil inventories decreased by 3.444 million barrels, surpassing the projected decline of 3 million barrels.

Meanwhile, the heightened travel and mobility and increased air conditioning usage during the summer months continue to push oil demand higher. Amid solid seasonal demand and the looming threat of hurricanes and geopolitical instability, investors could take advantage of surging oil prices by watching key energy stocks Shell plc (SHEL), BP p.l.c. (BP), Phillips 66 (PSX), and Valero Energy Corporation (VLO).

Impact of Hurricane Beryl and Potential Future Storms on Oil Production and Prices

Hurricane Beryl battered Southeast Texas with powerful winds and torrential rain, forcing the closure of oil ports, the cancellation of hundreds of flights, and leaving around 2.7 million homes and businesses without power. Beryl shut U.S. refineries and ports along the Gulf of Mexico, raising concerns about oil production and transportation disruptions. Oil output from the Gulf of Mexico is generally about 1.8 million barrels per day.

Historically, hurricanes have significantly resulted in production halts and evacuation of rigs and refineries, leading to supply constraints, which typically push oil prices upward. The impact of these weather events is two-fold: immediate supply disruption and longer-term infrastructure damage, which can keep prices elevated even after the storm has passed.

Increased Travel and Cooling During Summer Driving Higher Oil Prices

The summer season traditionally sees a surge in travel and mobility alongside air conditioning usage, driving up oil demand. This year is no exception, with intense summer demand for gasoline and jet fuel contributing to rising oil prices. OPEC maintained its forecast for robust global oil demand growth in 2024, citing resilient economic growth and a solid rebound in air travel during the summer.

In its latest Monthly Oil Market Report (MOMR), OPEC expects global oil demand to increase by 2.25 million barrels per day this year.

“Expected strong mobility and air travel in the Northern Hemisphere during the summer driving/holiday season is anticipated to bolster demand for transportation fuels and drive growth in the United States,” the agency said in the report.

Robust seasonal demand translates into higher revenues for companies involved in oil exploration, production, refining, and distribution, presenting an opportune time for investors to evaluate their energy sector portfolios.

Key Energy Stock Picks Amid Summer Demand and Tight Supply

Shell plc (SHEL)

Valued at a market cap of $228.02 billion, Shell plc (SHEL) is a prominent energy and petrochemical company. The company operates through Integrated Gas; Upstream; Marketing; Chemicals and Products; and Renewables and Energy Solutions segments.

Tobago Ltd., a subsidiary of SHEL and Shell Trinidad, recently took Final Investment Decision (FID) on the Manatee project, an undeveloped gas field in the East Coast Marine Area (ECMA) in Trinidad and Tobago. Manatee will enable Shell to competitively expand its Integrated Gas business by capitalizing on development efforts in the ECMA, one of the country’s most prolific gas-producing regions.

"This project will help meet the increasing demand for natural gas globally while also addressing the energy needs of our customers domestically in Trinidad and Tobago," stated Zoë Yujnovich, Shell’s Integrated Gas and Upstream Director.

Shell aims to expand its LNG business by 20-30% by 2030 compared to 2022. LNG liquefaction volumes are projected to increase by 25-30% relative to 2022, as outlined at the company’s Capital Markets Day in 2023.

During the first quarter that ended March 31, 2024, SHEL reported LNG sales volumes of 16.9 MT in the Integrated Gas segment. Its adjusted earnings increased 5.9% quarter-on-quarter to $7.73 billion, reflecting solid operational performance across its business. Its adjusted earnings per share was $1.20, up 8.1% from the previous quarter.

The company’s adjusted EBITDA was $18.71 billion, up 14.5% from the prior quarter. Its cash flow from operating activities (CFFO) grew 6% sequentially to $13.33 billion. Also, its free cash flow came in at $9.80 billion, an increase of 41.7% from the previous quarter.

In the last earnings release, Shell also announced that it commenced a $3.5 billion share buyback program, anticipated to be completed by the second-quarter 2024 results announcement. Over the past four quarters, total shareholder distributions amounted to 41% of CFFO.

Analysts expect SHEL’s revenue and EPS for the second quarter (ended June 2024) to increase 21.1% and 31.2% year-over-year to $90.27 billion and $1.92, respectively. For the third quarter ending September 2024, the company’s revenue and EPS are expected to grow 24.5% and 14.3% year-over-year to $95.06 billion and $2.13, respectively.

Over the past six months, shares of SHEL have surged more than 15% and approximately 21% over the past year.

BP p.l.c. (BP)

With a $100.95 billion market cap, BP p.l.c. (BP) engages in the production of natural gas, and integrated gas and power; trading of gas; operation of onshore and offshore wind power, as well as hydrogen and carbon capture and storage facilities; and production of crude oil. It operates through Gas & Low Carbon Energy; Oil Production & Operations; and Customers & Products segments.

On June 13, BP’s subsidiary, Archaea Energy, and Republic Services, Inc. (RSG) celebrated the first renewable natural gas (RNG) plant in the companies’ Lightning Renewables joint venture (JV). The Archaea Modular Design (AMD) plant at Republic’s National Serv-All Landfill in Fort Wayne, Indiana, is the first of nearly 40 landfill gas-to-RNG projects targeted by the JV and is expected to come online this summer.

The Lightning Renewables JV portfolio supports Archaea’s goal of increasing production to more than 50 million mmBtu per year by 2030.

Also, in April, BP, as the operator of the Azeri-Chirag-Gunashli (ACG) project, announced the start-up of oil production from the new Azeri Central East (ACE) platform. This platform is part of the ACG field development in the Azerbaijan sector of the Caspian Sea and is the first remotely operated offshore platform in the Caspian.

In the first quarter that ended March 31, 2024, BP’s reported production from the Oil Production & Operations segment was 1,463 mboe/d, up 7.6% from the first quarter of 2023. Its upstream production grew 2.1% year-over-year. Its underlying replacement cost (RC) profit was $2.72 billion, or $16.24 per share, respectively.

Furthermore, the company’s adjusted EBITDA for the quarter was $10.31 billion. Profit for the period attributable to BP shareholders rose significantly quarter-on-quarter to $2.26 billion.

“We’ve delivered another resilient quarter financially and continued to make progress on our strategy. Oil production was up and our ACE platform in the Caspian is now producing. We are simplifying and reducing complexity across bp and plan to deliver at least $2 billion of cash cost savings by the end of 2026 through high grading our portfolio, digital transformation, supply chain efficiencies and global capability hubs,” said BP’s CEO, Murray Auchincloss.

Moreover, the $1.75 billion share buyback program announced for the first quarter of 2024 was completed on May 3, 2024, part of the company’s $3.5 billion commitment for the first half of 2024. A resilient dividend is BP’s top priority within its disciplined financial frame. For the first quarter, the company announced a dividend per ordinary share of 7.27 cents ($0.0727).

Street expects BP’s revenue for the second quarter (ending June 2024) to increase 4.4% year-over-year to $50.65 billion. The consensus EPS estimate of $1.07 for the current year indicates an improvement of 19.7% year-over-year. Additionally, BP’s stock has gained marginally over the past six months.

Phillips 66 (PSX)

With a market cap of $56.54 billion, Phillips 66 (PSX) is a leading energy manufacturing and logistics company. It operates in four segments: Midstream; Chemicals; Refining; and Marketing and Specialties (M&S).

In May, Phillips 66 agreed to acquire Pinnacle Midland Parent LLC from Energy Spectrum Capital to expand its natural gas gathering and processing footprint in the Midland Basin. Pinnacle’s assets consist of the newly built Dos Picos natural gas gathering and processing system: a 220 MMcf/d gas processing plant, 80 miles of gathering pipeline, and 50,000 dedicated acres through high-quality producers in one of PSX’s focus basins. 

Pinnacle is a bolt-on asset that enhances PSX’s wellhead-to-market strategy and complements its diverse and integrated asset portfolio. Moreover, this acquisition aligns with its long-term goals of expanding its natural gas liquids value chain, maintaining disciplined capital allocation, and creating sustainable value for its shareholders.

On April 3, the Board of Directors of Phillips 66 declared a quarterly dividend of $1.15 per share, representing an increase of 10%. The dividend was paid on June 3, 2024, to shareholders of record as of the business close on May 20, 2024. The dividend increase demonstrates the company’s confidence in its growing mid-cycle cash flow generation and disciplined capital allocation strategy.

Since its formation in 2012, PSX has consistently raised its dividend, resulting in a CAGR of 16%. Moreover, the company is well-poised to continue delivering substantial shareholder value by executing its strategic priorities, including returning $13-$15 billion to shareholders via dividends and share repurchases from July 2022 to the year-end 2024.

During the first quarter that ended March 31, 2024, PSX posted revenue of $36.44 billion, exceeding analysts’ expectations of $33.56 billion. Its adjusted earnings were $822 million, or $1.90 per share, respectively. During the quarter, refining operated at 92% crude utilization. As of March 31, 2024, the company had cash and cash equivalents of $1.60 billion and $3.50 billion of committed capacity under its credit facility.

In addition, Phillips 66, through the successful execution of its strategic priorities, remains committed to increasing mid-cycle adjusted EBITDA to $14 billion by 2025 and returning more than 50% of operating cash flow to shareholders.

Shares of PSX have surged around 3% over the past six months and more than 33% over the past year.

Valero Energy Corporation (VLO)

Valued at a market cap of $47.65 billion, Valero Energy Corporation (VLO) manufactures, markets, and sells petroleum-based and low-carbon liquid transportation fuels and petrochemical products internationally. The company operates through Refining; Renewable Diesel; and Ethanol segments.

VLO owns 15 petroleum refineries in the U.S., Canada, and the United Kingdom, with a total throughput capacity of about 3.2 million barrels per day. Additionally, Valero is a joint venture partner in Diamond Green Diesel Holdings LLC, which owns two renewable diesel plants in the Gulf Coast region with a combined production capacity of nearly 1.2 billion gallons per year.

Valero also owns 12 ethanol plants in the Mid-Continent region, with a combined production capacity of around 1.6 billion gallons per year.

In the last earnings report, the company provided a strategic update on the Sustainable Aviation Fuel (SAF) project at the DGP Port Arthur plant. The project is progressing ahead of schedule and will likely be operational in the fourth quarter of 2024. It is anticipated that this will give the plant the flexibility to upgrade about 50% of its current 470 million gallons annual renewable diesel production capacity to SAF. Once completed, DGD is expected to become one of the world’s largest SAF manufacturers.

VLO reported revenues of $31.76 billion for the first quarter that ended March 31, 2024. The company’s net income and earnings per common share were $1.33 billion and $3.75, respectively. Net cash provided by operating activities was $1.80 billion for the quarter.

During the quarter, Valero returned $1.4 billion to stockholders, including $356 million paid as dividends and $1 billion as the purchase of about 6.6 million shares of common stock, resulting in a payout ratio of 74% of adjusted net cash provided by operating activities. The company paid a regular quarterly cash dividend of $1.07 per share on June 28, 2024.

VLO’s stock has soared over 16% over the past six months and is up approximately 28% over the past year.