Tag: how to trade gold

Strategies for Success in a Bloody Market

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The Gold Report: John, early this year you predicted that as many as 500 companies listed on the TSX Venture Exchange would go under by the end of 2013. Do you stand by that?

John Kaiser: I think at least 500 companies are endangered; I doubt they will disappear by the end of the year. The critical time will be next summer, when their audited financials are due and their annual meetings will be held. If we have not had a turnaround by then, many management teams will hand the keys over to the stock exchange and abandon their companies.

Of the 1,800 companies we follow, 761 as of June 28 have less than $200,000 ($200K) in working capital left. That is the bare minimum needed to merely exist as a publicly listed company.

TGR: Is capital on hand one of the first things that you look at when deciding whether to invest? Continue reading "Strategies for Success in a Bloody Market" →

Gold Chart of The Week

Posted on by The INO.com Team

Each Week Longleaftrading.com will be providing us a chart of the week as analyzed by a member of their team. We hope that you enjoy and learn from this new feature.

Weekly Gold Report (July 8th through July 12th)

As expected, markets overall went through the lighter volume volatility trade last week due to the July 4th Holiday. The only standout was the Crude Oil Futures, which spent the entire week pricing in the news in Egypt. Aside from that, most other markets went through the usual rangy market swings that are expected around shortened Holiday weeks, especially those in the Summer.

I anticipate we will see similar movement in the week ahead as Summer trading continues. Additionally, the upcoming week is a bit light on tradable news. Aside from reviews from the monthly meetings of the Central Banks in the US and Japan, we begin quarterly earnings reports in the US Stock Indexes. If there are no major surprises, I would expect the same type of volatility we saw in the prior week. Continue reading "Gold Chart of The Week" →

Gold Chart of The Week

Posted on by The INO.com Team

Each Week Longleaftrading.com will be providing us a chart of the week as analyzed by a member of their team. We hope that you enjoy and learn from this new feature.

Weekly Gold Report (July 1st through July 5th)

The second quarter of 2013 came to a close with a decent rebound in the US Stock Indexes. A three day up-move was the result of favorable consumer spending, housing, and unemployment numbers. Despite the move up, it was not an easy week to predict market movement, nor was it a week to feel comfortable in a trade for more than a half day. This is because last week’s schedule of economic reports was punctuated daily by FED Members that now have the ability puppeteer global markets with one interview. Even though the FED decided to keep rates unchanged and maintain their Bond buying on a monthly basis (QE), the interviews that followed the decision had the potential to negate the initial response to the rate decision. Last week required the attention of traders each day as one FED Member after the next was asked about their thoughts on whether or not Ben Bernanke and Co. would begin to scale out of QE sooner or later. My opinion is that the scaling back has already begun. Continue reading "Gold Chart of The Week" →

C is for Cash and Catalysts in a Chaotic Market

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The Gold Report: Resource equities have been rejected, beaten up and ignored. Make your case for small- and mid-cap gold stocks.

Jeff Killeen: It's true that investment dollars have been moving out of the resource sector over the last year and gold exploration companies in particular have seen a drastic decline in market value over the last 12 months.

However, the space cannot be ignored. These commodity sectors are cyclical and putting investment dollars to work strategically in the space when equities are at such low valuations makes sense, but patience is required.

"My recommendation is that investors focus on the fundamentals when looking at junior exploration equities."

My recommendation is that investors focus on the fundamentals when looking at junior exploration equities. Does the management team have a proven track record? Does the company's asset or assets have strong grades relative to the proposed extraction method, which can secure healthy margins, even at lower commodity prices? Does the company have balance sheet strength to significantly derisk and advance these projects?

TGR: What gold price are you using in your models? Continue reading "C is for Cash and Catalysts in a Chaotic Market" →

Roger Wiegand Predicts a Brand New World for Gold

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The Gold Report: In early 2012, Roger, you predicted that the price of gold would rise to over $2,000/ounce ($2,000/oz) during the year. But as the overall stock market increased in value, the yellow metal went in the opposite direction. What happened?

Roger Wiegand: Two things happened. First, the last gold peak almost made it. It went to $1,923/oz, and that was a technical and fundamental top. Then it sold down. The other thing that happened is that the U.S. Treasury intentionally sold gold to protect the stock and bond markets. Treasury feared that if gold ran up too high too quickly, people would dump securities en masse.

We are in the seasonal cycle when many markets go sideways. We have seen the selloff at the end of last week. A triple bottom is extremely bullish. The snap back in the price going long could be impressive.

TGR: What factors are keeping gold down in the near term? Continue reading "Roger Wiegand Predicts a Brand New World for Gold" →