Amazon's Greatest Nightmare

Yesterday, Amazon.com Inc. (NASDAQ:AMZN) reported its earnings. They were a shocker and pushed the stock down over 9% overnight.

While Amazon was reporting no profits, Jack Ma, the head of Alibaba Group Holding Limited (NYSE:BABA), was in Hollywood looking to buy content and movie studios for his mammoth "find everything" website. Mr. Ma has also said publicly he wants to have US companies on his website so they can sell their products in China. Alibaba has over half a billion customers at the moment and is growing fast.

When I look at the stock of Amazon I can see that this stock hasn't gone anywhere and keeps losing money. Somewhere along the line, I think investors are going to say enough with Amazon already, it's got to start making money. Amazon has its fingers in a lot of pies including advertising, merchandising, newspapers, the cloud and probably a lot of other ventures you don't even know about.

But even if you didn't know anything about Amazon or Alibaba and you just look at the charts, you have to say that the chart on Alibaba looks a lot more positive than the one for Amazon. Now admittedly, Alibaba has not been trading in the US that long, but something seems to be right about what's going on with this company and its charismatic leader, Jack Ma.

While Amazon stock has gone up and come down, it's practically unchanged from where it was a year ago. It is down over $100 for the year, while AliBaba's stock is within 2 or 3% of its IPO high price of $99.70 on September 19th.

In today's video, I will be looking at both the stock of Amazon.com Inc. (NASDAQ:AMZN) and Alibaba Group Holding Limited (NYSE:BABA). I'll also be looking for some weekend trades of the 52-week kind and see what I can come up with. And of course, I will do a recap of the week and show you the winners and the losers.

Every success with MarketClub,
Adam Hewison
President, INO.com
Co-Creator, MarketClub

What's More Volatile, Stocks Or Commodities?

If you said stocks, you'd be right. There's a big misconception that commodities or futures are more volatile and risky than stocks. The truth is, what makes commodities or futures appear risky is the leverage factor. You only have to margin up a small amount of capital, usually less than 5%, to control a large amount of capital. What that means is when the market moves even a small amount, you get a bigger return, or in some cases a bigger loss, on your money because of leverage. If you put up the whole value of a commodities or futures contract, you effectively de-leverage your investment and at the same time lower your risk and return.

For example, say you want to buy 100 ounces of gold. At the current price, you would have to pay $123,500 and you would own the gold. Instead, you could buy 1 futures contract of gold worth $123,500 and only margin up $4,400. Now let's say we have a $10 move in gold. On 100 ounces that would be worth $1000. As you can quickly see, the return on $4,400 is a heck of a lot higher than the return on $123,500 if you owned the gold outright. Which would you rather have, close to a 25% return on your margin on 1 futures contract, or have a $123,500 tied up in physical gold and see a return of less than 1%?

That, my friends, is why commodities or futures are interesting and can be very profitable when you approach the market with discipline. Naturally, leverage slices both ways and you could lose just as fast as you make money. The key here is to be diversified like our World Cup Portfolio.

Here's the 6 individual markets of the World Cup Portfolio shown quarter by quarter. As you can see, not every market made money every quarter, but combined every quarter was profitable. This underscores the power of diversification and disciplined trading. Continue reading "What's More Volatile, Stocks Or Commodities?"

2 Stocks To Buy Today

Good day traders and MarketClub members everywhere! I have found two stocks that I believe are going to move higher in the near future and I will be discussing those stocks with you today.

I'm also going to be looking at the general market and analyzing how much further this rally can go in the major indices. Also included in today's video is a look at gold (FOREX:XAUUSDO). How much further can it go on the upside? Has crude oil (NYMEX:CL.Z14.E) finally found a bottom? Lastly, a quick peek at the US Dollar Index (NYBOT:DX) and why it took a breather.

You are going to have to watch the video to find out which two stocks I really like. I think you'll find the stories behind them very compelling as one of these particular stocks takes up almost 40% of a well-known hedge fund's portfolio.

Don't miss today's video!

Every success with MarketClub,
Adam Hewison
President, INO.com
Co-Creator, MarketClub

Will The Rally End?

Will Friday's rally continue or was it just a "dead cat bounce"? There is no doubt about it, we have been seeing lots of volatility in the markets. Is it likely to continue? Like in the past, it will continue until it stops and the market settles down. Nobody can give you an exact timeline when that's going to happen, but it will happen. In the meantime, having a solid game plan, one that you know has been successful in the past, will lead you to successful trades.

You've heard me say this before, the market can only move three ways, it can go up, down and sideways, that's it! When you boil it down to those simple terms, it is easy to see how investors can create many of their own problems by over-thinking a situation. You may have been guilty of this yourself at some point in time, I know I have. It is so easy to get caught up with the hubris of the market and lose sight of your investment goals. It's also easy to fall into the trap of listening to too many talking heads. Oftentimes when this happens, it leads to confusion and will leave you in a state of paralysis. Continue reading "Will The Rally End?"

Is This Index Predicting The Future?

Today I'm going to be looking into the Dow 30 Index. This index is home to some of the biggest and most valuable companies in the world.

Using our Trade Triangle technology, you can quickly see that out of the 30 stocks that make up this index, just three stocks remain in a bullish trend. Out of the remaining 27 stocks, 6 are in a trading range and 21 stocks are in downtrends.

With two-thirds of the stocks in this important index in downtrends, this index is casting a shadow over the general economy.

The 3 stocks that remain in uptrends are rather mundane companies that have been around a long time.

Here are the 3 stocks that are still bullish and I will be looking at in today's video: Continue reading "Is This Index Predicting The Future?"