It's Not Over Until It's Over And It's Not Over Yet - Part 2

Hello MarketClub members everywhere! Well, today's sharp drop in equity prices and the rally in gold should come as no surprise as I have been talking about this since the beginning of the year. In fact, here's my first post where I explained why I thought the bear market was going to continue in the equities market. I'm not going to go over the reasons again as to why the markets are going down, suffice to say they are going down and are likely to continue.

At the moment all of the central banks, including the Fed, are clueless as to what to do. Instead of spending time on a cure in 2008, we made it easy for everyone to "take a pill" and mask over the problem. Since it did not cure the problem, we all have to suffer now as the markets readjust and face the music. The new hard reality is that there is no wonder pill.

Let's take a look at the major indices and see how far they could fall based on Fibonacci retracement levels and technical measurements. Continue reading "It's Not Over Until It's Over And It's Not Over Yet - Part 2"

Things Got Pretty Ugly For Amazon (NASDAQ:AMZN) Yesterday

Yesterday was a doozy of a day for buyers of Amazon. First the stock rallied and closed out the day at $635.35 for a gain of $52 (8.91%) in regular trading hours. Great day, right?

After the close, Amazon.com, Inc. (NASDAQ:AMZN) released its Q4 earnings which were a big market surprise. In a matter of minutes, Amazon dropped over 13%, closing at $550 in after-hours trading. That is a swing of $85.00 or over 20% in one day!

I outlined on Wednesday that I was neutral on Amazon as the weekly and monthly Trade Triangles were in conflict. When you see a conflict between the weekly and monthly Trade Triangles, it indicates a sidelines position for the stock.

It's the end of the week, end of the month and it's time to talk about the January barometer. Continue reading "Things Got Pretty Ugly For Amazon (NASDAQ:AMZN) Yesterday"

Crude Oil Crashes Through $30 And The Market Follows

This is turning out to be a very expensive week for investors who are still holding long positions in this market. As I warned late last year and all this year, I felt the market was and is going to be volatile and more than likely going lower.

Let's go back several years to the first quarter of 2009 when the equity markets bottomed out and began their six-year climb to the stars.

If you look at the S&P 500, you can see that it made a low on the week of March 2, 2009 at 683.38. Six years later on the week of July 13th it closed at a high of 2126.64. I want to look at the market using the Fibonacci tool and see potentially where this index might be headed on the downside. A classic 38.2% Fibonacci retracement takes this index back to 1,574, (it closed at 1,921.84 yesterday). A 50% retracement would bring the S&P 500 back down to 1405.51 and a 62% retracement would take it all the way back down to 1236.24.

The S&P 500 closed last Friday at 1922.03 Continue reading "Crude Oil Crashes Through $30 And The Market Follows"

It's Not Over Until It's Over And It's Not Over Yet

This is a week that many investors would like to forget. It's the worst beginning of the year for equities since records have been kept.

Investors, some of whom are shell-shocked, are asking themselves, what should I do? Should I be a buyer here? Should I sell everything or should I just remain on the sidelines?

In today's video, I will be sharing with you some interesting views of the major indices that you may not have heard before. I will also be examining six big stocks that aren't so big anymore and what you should or should not be doing with them. I will be looking at gold which has done very well this week and predicting where I potentially think it can go.

Here's a list of the markets I will be covering today: Continue reading "It's Not Over Until It's Over And It's Not Over Yet"

US Stocks: The TrendLine Between Bull and Bear

By: Elliott Wave International

Last weekend, I went on a road trip with a friend and her two young sons. The second we left the driveway, the older boy placed a rubber pool noodle in between him and his brother and established the most important ground rule of all sibling driving trips:

"Don't cross this line or else."

Impressively, an entire hour passed without incident when my friend spied the younger son teasingly edging his elbow toward the very outskirts of the noodle, baiting his luck.

Anticipating the ensuing reversal of our event-free driving experience, my friend pre-emptively pulled over to the side of the road, when in -- 3-2-1! -- a small arm crossed the line and a giant tantrum ensued.

Then, it hit me: Continue reading "US Stocks: The TrendLine Between Bull and Bear"