Is It Just Me Or Is Janet Yellen Incompetent

In all the years I've been tracking the Fed and the previous chairmanships, Janet Yellen is coming across as being totally out of her league and just plain incompetent. Now before anyone says that's a sexist remark, I would say the same thing about her predecessor "Helicopter Ben." Whose big idea was to do everything the opposite way of what they did in the "Great Depression" and that is, to print money, print money and print even more money. The bottom line is the Fed has no idea how to get out of this quandary that they created themselves and for the country.

What's going to happen no one knows for sure, but one thing is certain, the markets will tell us where they want to go eventually. The other thing that's certain is that the Trade Triangles will get it right. I'm 100% confident in saying that.

Let's just take it and look at where the markets closed last Friday. Continue reading "Is It Just Me Or Is Janet Yellen Incompetent"

Sorry Guys, I Am Not Drinking The Kool-Aid

Yesterday, the market was remarkably quiet and lulled everybody into a sense of complacency. Well, I'm sorry I'm not going to drink the Kool-Aid because I still think we are going to see a push to the downside in the markets.

With all of the Trade Triangles in a negative mode and the weekly pattern indicating stocks should finish lower for the week, I see little to get excited about.

Everyone is waiting for Thursday and to see what the Fed is going to do. Even the best minds in the industry are split on what the Fed is likely to do on Thursday. My view is that they are just going to leave everything the way it is. The Fed is like a deer frozen in the headlights of a car and incapable of moving one way or another. What I suspect they will say is that they need more data, which I think is a cop out. Continue reading "Sorry Guys, I Am Not Drinking The Kool-Aid"

If This Same Pattern Repeats, Watch Out!

For the past nine weeks, the Dow and S&P have been repeating a pattern that if repeated this week, will spell trouble for the markets. The market has been going up and down in a somewhat regular fashion. If you look at a weekly chart of the Dow and S&P, you can see that they have not had two consecutive weeks closing in the same direction, either on the downside or the upside.

Last week we saw the indices close higher for the week and if the pattern repeats, this should be a down week with a lower weekly close.

Here are the key levels to watch today. Should these levels be broken, I would expect the markets to accelerate to the downside. Continue reading "If This Same Pattern Repeats, Watch Out!"

Is This The End Of The Bull Market?

Today I'm going to be analyzing charts of the DOW, NASDAQ and the S&P500 and the potential divergence I see in those markets.

It's too early to tell if these markets are going to reverse down and calling tops is never easy, nor am I trying to do that in this particular posting. What I am doing, however, is bringing to your attention a potential problem and a potential opportunity.

What I mean by that somewhat contradictory statement is that these markets could go either way. However, the odds would still favor trading with the trend and the major trend in both the DOW, NASDAQ and the S&P500 continues to be to the upside.

INDEX:DJI

In the three charts I have laid out today you can see the #1 and #2 quite clearly. #1 indicates that prices are going higher and #2 indicates that momentum is not following prices. This could be an early warning sign that things aren't quite up to par and as strong as I would like to see. Continue reading "Is This The End Of The Bull Market?"

Don't Let Choppy Markets Get The Best Of You!

Sometimes markets can be very frustrating when they lack direction and appear to be indecisive as to which direction they want to move. When that happens, I always take a look at the major trend, as that gives you a strong clue as to what the future is going to bring.

Every market cycle has its ups and downs and markets tend to go higher and lower than most people anticipate. It is just the nature of the beast.

In today's video, I'm going to look at the big picture in the Dow, NASDAQ and the S&P 500. Each of these indexes are microcosms of what traders are thinking. Continue reading "Don't Let Choppy Markets Get The Best Of You!"