Pfizer’s Dividend Yield vs. Growth: Is It Time to Rebalance Your Portfolio?

Pfizer Inc. (PFE), striving to set the standard for quality, safety, and value in the discovery, development, and manufacture of biopharmaceutical products, reported solid second-quarter 2024 earnings and raised guidance for the full year. In the second quarter of 2024, the company’s revenues increased 2.1% year-over-year to $13.28 billion. This was PFE’s first quarter of top-line growth after reporting declines over the past five quarters.

Despite a modest year-over-year growth, Pfizer’s overall revenue growth has been sluggish, particularly in the post-pandemic period, as the pharma company lost the revenue boost from its COVID-19 vaccine. During the first six months of 2024, PFE’s revenues came in at $28.16 billion, down 11% year-over-year.

Furthermore, the company reported adjusted income and EPS of $3.40 billion and $0.60 for the second quarter, down 11.4% and 10.4% from the previous year’s quarter. While Pfizer’s adjusted EPS declined year-over-year, it surpassed analysts’ expectations of $0.46.

Dr. Albert Bourla, Chairman and CEO of Pfizer, said, “We are driving progress toward our 2024 strategic priorities through solid execution across the company. I am pleased with the strong performance of our product portfolio in the second quarter led by several of our acquired products, key in-line brands and recent commercial launches. Notably, we achieved exceptional growth in our Oncology portfolio, with strong revenue contribution from our legacy-Seagen products.”

“Overall, I am encouraged by our performance in the first half of 2024 and we remain focused on making a difference in the lives of patients as we continue to advance and strengthen our company,” Bourla added.

Following an improved second-quarter performance that exceeded past expectations, PFE raised its full-year guidance. The company increased its revenue guidance by $1 billion at the midpoint to a range of $59.5 to $62.5 billion. Its adjusted EPS is expected to be $2.45 to $2.65, up from the prior guidance of $2.15 to $2.35.

Pfizer’s Strength: A High Dividend Yield

Pfizer has raised dividends for 13 consecutive years. PFE pays an annual dividend of $0.42, which translates to a yield of 5.8%. The dividend yield of 5.80% is well above the average yield in the pharmaceutical sector. The company has demonstrated a long-standing commitment to returning capital to shareholders, having paid nearly $5 billion in dividends in the most recent quarter alone.

However, PFE’s dividend yield, while appealing, may not fully compensate for the company’s slower revenue growth trajectory. Since the pharmaceutical giant grapples with falling COVID-19 vaccine sales and patent cliffs on blockbuster drugs, future revenue growth may remain muted. This leaves Pfizer in a position where its high dividend yield could mask underlying financial challenges.

While Pfizer offers an attractive dividend yield, growth investors may find more attractive opportunities in faster-growing pharmaceutical companies like AbbVie Inc. (ABBV) and Eli Lilly and Company (LLY).

AbbVie: A Balance of Growth and Income

ABBV presents a compelling case for investors seeking both income and growth. The company boasts a strong product pipeline, particularly in immunology, oncology, neuroscience, and eye care, which positions it for sustained revenue growth. Moreover, AbbVie recently showcased the advancement of the solid tumor pipeline at ESMO 2024 with new data from its innovative antibody-drug conjugate (ADC) platform.

Further, in August 2024, the company completed the acquisition of Cerevel Therapeutics (CERE). This strategic acquisition strengthens its foundation in neuroscience and positions it to deliver sustainable long-term performance into the next decade and beyond.

For the second quarter that ended June 30, 2024, ABBV’s worldwide net revenues increased 4.3% year-over-year to $14.46 billion. Global net revenues from the oncology portfolio rose 10.5% year-over-year, and global net revenues from the neuroscience portfolio grew 14.7%.

“Our business continues to perform exceptionally well, with second quarter results meaningfully ahead of our expectations,” stated Robert A. Michael, chief executive officer of AbbVie. “Based upon the significant momentum of our ex-Humira growth platform, our continued investments in the business and our pipeline progress, we are very well positioned to deliver our top-tier long-term outlook.”

Following an outstanding second-quarter performance, AbbVie raised the 2024 adjusted EPS guidance range from $10.61-$10.81 to $10.71-$10.91.

In addition to these growth opportunities, AbbVie remains committed to rewarding shareholders. The company has a solid dividend track record, raising dividends for ten consecutive years. The company raised an annual dividend of $6.20, translating to a yield of 3.23% at the prevailing share price, making it an appealing option for investors who want a combination of dividend income and growth potential. Its balance of innovation and shareholder returns makes it an attractive long-term investment.

Should You Rebalance Your Portfolio?

For investors focused on maximizing long-term returns, it may be the right time to rebalance their portfolios. PFE’s high dividend yield remains attractive, but those seeking higher growth should consider trimming their positions and reallocating toward faster-growing pharmaceutical companies like ABBV or LLY.

Medicare for All: How Harris' Plan Could Reshape Healthcare Investments

As Kamala Harris’s 2024 presidential campaign gains momentum, her aggressive stance on Medicare expansion and potentially eliminating private health insurance is drawing significant attention. Harris has been a long-standing advocate for Medicare for All, including supporting Bernie Sanders’ bill to eliminate private insurance for all age groups.

The ambitious plan by Kamala Harris could have profound implications for individual healthcare costs, such as out-of-pocket expenses for retirees and investment opportunities across the healthcare sector. This article delves into the ramifications for major medical stocks like CVS Health Corporation (CVS), Teladoc Health, Inc. (TDOC), Abbott Laboratories (ABT), and Johnson & Johnson (JNJ).

Kamala Harris’ Stance on Medicare Expansion

Over the years, Harris has consistently championed Medicare for all, aligning with Senator Bernie Sanders’s vision of a single-payer healthcare system. Her proposal envisions a significant expansion of Medicare, extending coverage to all Americans and eliminating the need for private health insurance. She has remained among the more outspoken Democratic politicians promoting government-led insurance programs.

In 2017, Harris was the first senator to co-sponsor Bernie Sanders’s bill, the Medicare for All Act of 2017. If enacted, that bill would abolish private health insurance for all age groups, including Medicare beneficiaries, and replace it with a government-run single-payer system to benefit every resident of the United States, including undocumented immigrants.

On January 21, 2019, Harris announced her intention to run for the 2020 Democratic nomination for President. A few days later, during a CNN town hall event in Iowa, she elaborated on her reasons for aiming to eliminate “inhumane” private insurance.

“Well, listen, the idea is that everyone gets access to medical care, and you don’t have to go through the process of going through an insurance company, having them give you approval, going through the paperwork, all of the delay that may require,” Harris said. “Who of us has not had that situation where you’ve got to wait for approval, and the doctor says, well, I don’t know if your insurance company is going to cover this. Let’s eliminate all of that. Let’s move on.”

Although Harris reversed herself multiple times in 2019, she remained committed to the broader goal of Medicare for All. On July 29, 2019, Harris unveiled a detailed outline of what she termed “my plan for Medicare for all,” which featured significant differences from both Bernie Sanders’s version and the various versions she had previously endorsed.

Like the Sanders bill, Harris’s new plan would eliminate employer-sponsored insurance, Affordable Care Act exchange plans, Medicaid, and other existing programs, replacing them with Medicare-based coverage. However, unlike Sanders’s proposal, Harris’ July 2019 plan would permit private insurers to continue offering Medicare Advantage-style coverage, albeit with lower reimbursement rates compared to traditional Medicare.

Additionally, while Sanders’s bill includes a four-year transition period to single-payer healthcare, Harris’s plan proposed a 10-year transition to the new system.

If Kamala Harris wins the 2024 presidential election, she is expected to advance her Medicare for All agenda, which could lead to significant changes in the U.S. healthcare system.

“She is a strong advocate for both [Social Security and Medicare] and is keen on expanding them,” stated Aaron Cirksena, CEO of MDRN Capital, a retirement planning firm. “This includes protecting benefits from any cuts and expanding the reach of coverage.”

“These plans may mean an increase in government spending and taxes, likely for upper-class earners,” Cirksena explained. “It may also mean lower out-of-pocket healthcare expenses and easier access to services for retirees.”

Implications for Healthcare Stocks

The proposed Medicare for all plan could lead to a significant restructuring of the healthcare sector, with wide-ranging economic implications. Expanding Medicare would likely result in a surge in government healthcare spending. It could also affect individual costs, including out-of-pocket expenses for retirees.

Moreover, the shift towards a more government-controlled healthcare system may create new investment opportunities in areas such as telemedicine, retail pharmacy services, and health technology. Companies that can adapt to the changing landscape and align with government priorities may find growth opportunities.

Insurers: CVS Health Corporation (CVS) is a prominent health solutions company broadening medical access for millions of people globally. The company provides private insurance through its subsidiary, Aetna, which offers a range of insurance products, including individual and family health plans, employer-sponsored plans, and Medicare Advantage plans.

The potential reduction in the role of private insurance under the Harris administration could impact CVS’ insurance operations, including Aetna. It might lead CVS to pivot more towards its retail pharmacy and healthcare services, influencing its strategic direction. CVS Health stands to benefit considerably from the proposed Medicare expansion, potentially boosting the company’s profitability and growth.

While there are several opportunities for CVS to benefit from Medicare expansion, the actual impact would depend on the specifics of the policy changes and how the company adapts to and capitalizes on these changes.

Telehealth Providers: Teladoc Health, Inc. (TDOC) can benefit from increased demand for telemedicine services under a Medicare for all plan. The company operates through Teladoc Health Integrated Care and BetterHelp segments, providing virtual healthcare services, including general medical, specialty medical, chronic condition management, and mental health, as well as enabling technologies and enterprise telehealth solutions for hospitals and health systems.

As access to healthcare is likely to become broader under Kamala Harris’ proposed plan, TDOC is positioned to cater to a growing patient base seeking virtual medical services, driving the company’s revenue streams and market reach.

Pharmaceutical and Medical Device Companies: Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) is a global leader in the healthcare industry, known for its extensive range of products spanning pharmaceuticals, medical devices, and consumer health. Johnson & Johnson stands to gain from Harris’ Medicare for All plan through increased demand for its healthcare products, as well as potential opportunities for strategic partnerships and government contracts.

The expanded Medicare coverage could enhance J&J’s market reach and provide a more stable financial environment for its diverse healthcare offerings.

Abbott Laboratories (ABT), another key player in medical devices and branded generic pharmaceuticals, could benefit from Kamala Harris’ proposed plan. Increased Medicare coverage might drive higher demand for medical devices and diagnostic tests. Abbott may also find opportunities for collaboration with government agencies and healthcare systems to integrate its solutions into the expanded Medicare framework, potentially enhancing its market presence.

Bottom Line

Vice President Kamala Harris’ Medicare for All proposed plan represents a transformative vision for the U.S. healthcare system, potentially reshaping individual healthcare costs and impacting major healthcare stocks. The expansion of Medicare promises reduced out-of-pocket expenses and broader coverage and provides opportunities for healthcare companies like CVS, TDOC, ABT, and JNJ.

Investors should stay attuned to the evolving policy landscape in the healthcare sector and consider how these developments might influence investment strategies and market dynamics.

Big Tech’s In-House AI Chips: A Threat to Nvidia’s Data Center Revenue

Nvidia Corporation (NVDA) has long been the dominant player in the AI-GPU market, particularly in data centers with paramount high-compute capabilities. According to Germany-based IoT Analytics, NVDA owns a 92% market share in data center GPUs.

Nvidia’s strength extends beyond semiconductor performance to its software capabilities. Launched in 2006, CUDA, its development platform, has been a cornerstone for AI development and is now utilized by more than 4 million developers.

The chipmaker’s flagship AI GPUs, including the H100 and A100, are known for their high performance and are widely used in data centers to power AI and machine learning workloads. These GPUs are integral to Nvidia’s dominance in the AI data center market, providing unmatched computational capabilities for complex tasks such as training large language models and running generative AI applications.

Additionally, NVDA announced its next-generation Blackwell GPU architecture for accelerated computing, unlocking breakthroughs in data processing, engineering simulation, quantum computing, and generative AI.

Led by Nvidia, U.S. tech companies dominate multiple facets of the burgeoning market for generative AI, with market shares of 70% to over 90% in chips and cloud services. Generative AI has surged in popularity since the launch of ChatGPT in 2022. Statista projects the AI market to grow at a CAGR of 28.5%, resulting in a market volume of $826.70 billion by 2030.

However, NVDA’s dominance is under threat as major tech companies like Microsoft Corporation, Meta Platforms, Inc. (META), Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN), and Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) develop their own in-house AI chips. This strategic shift could weaken Nvidia’s grip on the AI GPU market, significantly impacting the company’s revenue and market share.

Let’s analyze how these in-house AI chips from Big Tech could reduce reliance on Nvidia’s GPUs and examine the broader implications for NVDA, guiding how investors should respond.

The Rise of In-house AI Chips From Major Tech Companies

Microsoft Azure Maia 100

Microsoft Corporation’s (MSFT) Azure Maia 100 is designed to optimize AI workloads within its vast cloud infrastructure, like large language model training and inference. The new Azure Maia AI chip is built in-house at Microsoft, combined with a comprehensive overhaul of its entire cloud server stack to enhance performance, power efficiency, and cost-effectiveness.

Microsoft’s Maia 100 AI accelerator will handle some of the company’s largest AI workloads on Azure, including those associated with its multibillion-dollar partnership with OpenAI, where Microsoft powers all of OpenAI’s workloads. The software giant has been working closely with OpenAI during the design and testing phases of Maia.

“Since first partnering with Microsoft, we’ve collaborated to co-design Azure’s AI infrastructure at every layer for our models and unprecedented training needs,” stated Sam Altman, CEO of OpenAI. “Azure’s end-to-end AI architecture, now optimized down to the silicon with Maia, paves the way for training more capable models and making those models cheaper for our customers.”

By developing its own custom AI chip, MSFT aims to enhance performance while reducing costs associated with third-party GPU suppliers like Nvidia. This move will allow Microsoft to have greater control over its AI capabilities, potentially diminishing its reliance on Nvidia’s GPUs.

Alphabet Trillium

In May 2024, Google parent Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) unveiled a Trillium chip in its AI data center chip family about five times as fast as its previous version. The Trillium chips are expected to provide powerful, efficient AI processing that is explicitly tailored to GOOGL’s needs.

Alphabet’s effort to build custom chips for AI data centers offers a notable alternative to Nvidia’s leading processors that dominate the market. Coupled with the software closely integrated with Google’s tensor processing units (TPUs), these custom chips will allow the company to capture a substantial market share.

The sixth-generation Trillium chip will deliver 4.7 times better computing performance than the TPU v5e and is designed to power the tech that generates text and other media from large models. Also, the Trillium processor is 67% more energy efficient than the v5e.

The company plans to make this new chip available to its cloud customers in “late 2024.”

Amazon Trainium2

Amazon.com, Inc.’s (AMZN) Trainium2 represents a significant step in its strategy to own more of its AI stack. AWS, Amazon’s cloud computing arm, is a major customer for Nvidia’s GPUs. However, with Trainium2, Amazon can internally enhance its machine learning capabilities, offering customers a competitive alternative to Nvidia-powered solutions.

AWS Trainium2 will power the highest-performance compute on AWS, enabling faster training of foundation models at reduced costs and with greater energy efficiency. Customers utilizing these new AWS-designed chips include Anthropic, Databricks, Datadog, Epic, Honeycomb, and SAP.

Moreover, Trainium2 is engineered to provide up to 4 times faster training compared to the first-generation Trainium chips. It can be deployed in EC2 UltraClusters with up to 100,000 chips, significantly accelerating the training of foundation models (FMs) and large language models (LLMs) while enhancing energy efficiency by up to 2 times.

Meta Training and Inference Accelerator

Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) is investing heavily in developing its own AI chips. The Meta Training and Inference Accelerator (MTIA) is a family of custom-made chips designed for Meta’s AI workloads. This latest version demonstrates significant performance enhancements compared to MTIA v1 and is instrumental in powering the company’s ranking and recommendation ads models.

MTIA is part of Meta’s expanding investment in AI infrastructure, designed to complement its existing and future AI infrastructure to deliver improved and innovative experiences across its products and services. It is expected to complement Nvidia’s GPUs and reduce META’s reliance on external suppliers.

Bottom Line

The development of in-house AI chips by major tech companies, including Microsoft, Meta, Amazon, and Alphabet, represents a significant transformative shift in the AI-GPU landscape. This move is poised to reduce these companies’ reliance on Nvidia’s GPUs, potentially impacting the chipmaker’s revenue, market share, and pricing power.

So, investors should consider diversifying their portfolios by increasing their exposure to tech giants such as MSFT, META, AMZN, and GOOGL, as they are developing their own AI chips and have diversified revenue streams and strong market positions in other areas.

Given the potential for reduced revenue and market share, investors should re-evaluate their holdings in NVDA. While Nvidia is still a leader in the AI-GPU market, the increasing competition from in-house AI chips by major tech companies poses a significant risk. Reducing exposure to Nvidia could be a strategic move in light of these developments.

How Administrative Errors at Boeing (BA) Could Cost Investors

The shocking incident earlier this year involving the Boeing 737 Max has placed The Boeing Company (BA) in the spotlight for all the wrong reasons. On January 5, the door plug of a commercial Boeing 737 Max 9 for Alaska Airlines blew off mid-air, revealing serious lapses in Boeing’s quality control and safety protocols.

This incident, traced back to a simple yet critical paperwork error, highlighted the potential dangers of administrative oversights in aviation manufacturing. Moreover, it interrupted Boeing’s progress in recovering from two deadly crashes of Max jets in 2018 and 2019. These crashes in Indonesia and Ethiopia, which claimed about 346 lives, are now back in the spotlight as well.

Detailed Analysis of the January 5th Accident

An Alaska Airlines flight operating a Boeing 737 Max 9 experienced a significant safety breach when a door plug came off 10 minutes after the flight took off from Portland, Oregon, on its way to Ontario, California. The root cause of this alarming event was a lack of paperwork. Evidence shows four bolts that hold the door plug in place were not installed before the plane left the factory in October, as the workers did not receive the necessary work order.

This administrative error, though seemingly minor, had the potential to endanger the lives of all passengers and crew on board, but luckily, the incident wasn’t fatal.

The door plug incident highlights significant issues with the quality of work along the Boeing assembly lines. These problems have drawn the attention of multiple federal investigations and whistleblower revelations, and have contributed to delays in jet deliveries, causing widespread disruptions for airlines and passengers worldwide.

Elizabeth Lund, BA’s Senior Vice President of Quality, addressed this issue at a press conference and admitted that the absence of paperwork led to administrative oversight. “The fact that one employee could not fill out one piece of paperwork in this condition and could result in an accident was shocking to all of us,” Lund stated.

The lack of paperwork was not new information, as it had been previously disclosed in testimony before the US Senate Commerce Committee by the head of the National Transportation Safety Board (NTSB). After the aircraft company “blatantly violated NTSB investigative regulations,” the agency issued a series of sanctions against Boeing.

So, Boeing’s disclosure of the information led to further complications with the NTSB, resulting in a reprimand and potential criminal probe referral to the Department of Justice.

The PR Team’s Struggle in Managing Continuous Crises

Boeing’s PR team has faced immense challenges in managing the fallout from continuous crises. The January 5th incident required immediate crisis management to mitigate further damage. However, their efforts were complicated by a subsequent reprimand from the NTSB for allegedly violating investigative protocols by sharing information prematurely.

BA acknowledged Lund’s recent remarks were a mistake. “We deeply regret that some of our comments, intended to make clear our responsibility in the accident and explain the actions we are taking, overstepped the NTSB’s role as the source of investigative information,” Boeing’s Kowal stated.

The strained relationship with regulatory bodies exacerbates the difficulty for Boeing’s PR team, which must now balance transparency with compliance while managing public perception and investor confidence.

Potential Financial and Reputational Damage

Administrative errors like the one seen on January 5 involving the Boeing 737 Max 9 can lead to significant financial and reputational damage. For BA, the immediate financial impact includes potential fines, legal fees, and the cost of corrective measures.

However, the long-term consequences can be even more damaging. Repeated safety issues erode trust in the brand, leading to a loss of customer confidence and potentially impacting future sales. Airlines may reconsider placing orders with Boeing and opt for competitors that are perceived as more reliable.

Investors are particularly sensitive to such risks. Boeing’s stock price is closely tied to its reputation for safety and reliability. Continued administrative errors and poor crisis management can enhance stock price volatility, affecting investor returns. The market tends to react negatively to news of safety breaches and regulatory reprimands, as seen in the aftermath of the door plug incident.

BA’s stock has plunged more than 24% over the past six months and nearly 29% year-to-date.

Bleak First-Quarter 2024 Results

BA faces increased scrutiny over the safety of its planes. As it deals with quality crises from the January 5th flight, Boeing reported a massive $355 million net loss for the first quarter that ended March 31, 2024. The company brought in revenue of $16.57 billion, a 7.5% year-over-year decline.

During the quarter, Boeing posted a 36% year-over-year decrease in commercial plane deliveries. This resulted in cash flow from operations dropping to negative $3.36 billion and non-GAAP free cash flow falling to negative $3.90 billion.

“Our first quarter results reflect the immediate actions we've taken to slow down 737 production to drive improvements in quality,” commented Dave Calhoun, Boeing’s President and CEO. “We will take the time necessary to strengthen our quality and safety management systems and this work will position us for a stronger and more stable future.”

“Near term, yes, we are in a tough moment,” Calhoun told its employees. “Lower deliveries can be difficult for our customers and for our financials. But safety and quality must and will come above all else.”

Wall Street also appears bearish about the aviation giant’s growth prospects. Analysts expect BA’s revenue for the second quarter (ended June 2024) to decrease 10.4% year-over-year to $17.71 billion. The company is projected to post a loss per share of $1.14 for the same period.

Bottom Line

The January 5th incident involving the Boeing 737 Max 9 has renewed scrutiny of air travel and Boeing’s planes. This incident highlighted a long series of safety and manufacturing issues accumulated for Boeing over the years, including two deadly crashes involving Max jets. These lapses pose serious safety risks and jeopardize the company’s reputation and financial stability.

Boeing’s repeated safety failures could have significant implications for Boeing’s future orders and stock performance. If the aviation giant cannot address these systemic issues and improve its crisis management strategies, it risks losing market share to competitors like Airbus SE (EADSY).

Investors must closely monitor BA’s response to these ongoing challenges. Effective and transparent communication, coupled with improvements in operational processes, will be crucial in restoring investor confidence. Boeing must also work to repair its relationship with regulatory bodies, ensuring compliance with all investigative protocols to avoid future reprimands and potential criminal investigations.

In conclusion, administrative errors at Boeing, exemplified by the January 5th incident, highlight the critical need for robust quality control and effective crisis management. The financial and reputational damage from such errors can considerably impact investor confidence. As Boeing navigates this problematic landscape, its ability to restore trust and demonstrate operational excellence will be vital to securing its future in the competitive aerospace industry.

The Risks and Rewards of Investing in SoundHound AI

With a $1.68 billion market cap, SoundHound AI, Inc. (SOUN) is one of the most prominent names in AI-powered voice applications, drawing significant attention from investors and analysts. Shares of SOUN have surged more than 134% over the past six months and nearly 138% year-to-date.

SOUN is at the forefront of conversational intelligence, offering voice AI solutions that allow businesses to provide incredible conversational experiences to their customers. Built on proprietary technology, it offers top-tier speed and accuracy in multiple languages to product creators across automotive, IoT devices, restaurant, and customer service industries.

SoundHound’s innovative AI-driven products include Smart Answering, Smart Ordering, and Dynamic Interaction™, a cutting-edge real-time, multimodal customer service interface.

According to research compiled by Mordor Intelligence, the voice recognition market is expected to reach $42.08 billion by 2029, growing at a CAGR of 23% during the forecast period (2024-2029).

In the dynamic field of voice recognition technology, SoundHound encounters competition from various players striving to innovate and capture market share. Rivals range from established giants like Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) and Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) to emerging start-ups specializing in AI-driven solutions, including Krisp, Deepgram, and more.

Let’s discuss SoundHound’s fundamentals and growth prospects in detail.

Accelerates Voice AI Innovation with Strategic Partnerships and Acquisitions

On May 9, SOUN partnered with Perplexity, the conversational AI-powered answer engine. The collaboration will integrate Perplexity’s online large language model (LLM) capabilities into SoundHound Chat AI across cars and IoT devices.

Leveraging Perplexity, the SoundHound Chat AI assistant will offer precise and up-to-date responses to web-based queries, addressing the type and complexity of the questions beyond the reach of static LLMs. This strategic move aims to solidify SoundHound’s AI product as the most advanced voice assistant available in today’s market.

Further, SoundHound unveiled a significant milestone on March 25. The company announced that its voice assistant with integrated ChatGPT debuted in vehicles in Japan. SoundHound Chat AI Automotive became the world’s first in-vehicle voice assistant with integrated generative AI upon its launch in April 2023. Starting in March, it became accessible in Stellantis DS Automobiles across Japan.

Also, on March 18, SOUN introduced an in-vehicle voice assistant that uses LLM on the edge through the NVIDIA DRIVE platform. SoundHound’s collaboration with NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) expands the reach of generative AI to new places and situations, ensuring optimal performance even without cloud connectivity.

Notably, during the March quarter, the company closed the previously announced acquisition of SYNQ3 Restaurant Solutions, a leading provider of voice AI and other tech solutions for the restaurant sector. This deal will extend SOUN’s market reach by an order of magnitude to more than 10,000 signed locations and accelerate the deployment of leading-edge generative AI capabilities to the industry.

SYNQ3 will expand SoundHound’s customer base significantly, with the addition of prominent brands across the drive-thru, fast casual, casual dining, and convenience store segments – bringing the total to over 25 national and multinational chains.

Mixed First-Quarter Results and Upbeat 2024 Outlook

For the first quarter that ended March 31, 2024, SOUN’s revenues increased 73% year-over-year to $11.59 million. That surpassed analyst expectations of $10.10 million. The company’s non-GAAP profit rose 56.8% from the prior year’s quarter to $7.59 million.

Moreover, SoundHound’s cumulative subscriptions and bookings backlog was $682 million, up nearly 80% year-over-year. Also, it reported a 60% year-over-year increase in the annual run rate of more than 4 billion queries. SOUN had a cash balance of $226 million at the end of the first quarter.

“We were pleased to start the year with a robust top line performance, in our strongest Q1 ever,” stated Nitesh Sharan, CFO of SoundHound AI. ”Our business momentum continues to accelerate with a growing pipeline across all businesses.”

However, the company’s bottom line suffered significantly. SOUN’s adjusted EBITDA loss widened by 3.3% year-over-year to $15.40 million. Further, its net loss worsened by 20% from the year-ago value to $33.01 million. It posted a loss per share of $0.12, missing the consensus loss per share estimate of $0.09.

During the quarter, SOUN’s cash outflows from operating activities and investing activities were $21.95 million and $3.79 million, respectively.

Meanwhile, SOUN updated its full-year 2024 revenue guidance to be in a range of $65 to $77 million. Further, the company aims to achieve adjusted EBITDA profitability by 2025, anticipating even greater growth, with revenue exceeding $100 million.

Decelerating Profitability

SOUN’s trailing-12-month gross profit margin of 72.42% is 45.9% higher than the 49.6% industry average. However, the stock’s trailing-12-month EBIT margin and net income margin of negative 131.21% and negative 186.20% are unfavorable compared to the industry averages of 4.68% and 2.63%, respectively.

Additionally, the stock’s trailing-12-month levered FCF margin of negative 58.19% compared to the industry average of 10.12%. Its trailing-12-month ROCE, ROTC, and ROTA of negative 148.22%, negative 28.94%, and negative 32.88% compared to the respective industry averages of 3.91%, 2.57%, and 1.42%.

Elevated Valuation

In terms of forward EV/Sales, SOUN is trading at 21.93x, 657.9% higher than the industry average of 2.89x. Similarly, the stock’s forward Price/Sales of 23.62x is significantly higher than the industry average of 2.96x. Also, its trailing-12-month Price/Book multiple of 10.61 is 234.4% higher than the industry average of 3.17.

Bottom Line

SOUN’s position as a global leader in AI-powered voice applications and its strategic initiatives set it for continued growth in a rapidly expanding market. The company’s innovative AI-powered products, strategic partnerships with Perplexity and NVIDIA, and the recent acquisition of SYNQ3 accelerate market expansion across automotive and restaurant sectors, offering opportunities for revenue diversification.

Despite impressive revenue growth in the first quarter of 2024, SoundHound faces profitability challenges, as reflected in widening losses and negative margins. Continued losses and cash burn could strain financial resources and investor confidence.

Analysts expect SOUN’s revenue for 2024 and 2025 to increase 53.7% and 46.6% year-over-year to $70.52 million and $103.35 million, respectively. However, the company is expected to report losses for at least two fiscal years. Moreover, SoundHound failed to surpass consensus EPS estimates in three of the trailing four quarters, which is disappointing.

SoundHound’s valuation metrics, such as its forward EV/Sales and Price/Sales ratios, indicate a premium compared to industry peers. An elevated valuation can often lead to enhanced volatility and susceptibility to market corrections, particularly if the company fails to meet growth expectations or faces challenges in achieving profitability.

Thus, investing in SOUN presents a blend of potential risks and rewards for investors to consider. While the company demonstrates strength in revenue growth and market leadership within the voice recognition sector, notable challenges warrant attention, including massive losses, rapid cash burn, and stretched valuation.

So, investors are advised to monitor SOUN’s financial performance, execution of growth plans, and market dynamics before making informed investment decisions.