There is one final week left in the deadline for Congress to compromise on the remaining 2011 budget. If they do not succeed, we will have a government shutdown on our hands. This would greatly affect the markets and has many traders treading lightly until April 8th passes.
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Best,
The MarketClub Team
We have blogged about this before, but this past weekend in gold the 52-week weekend rule worked perfectly.
You would've bought gold on Friday's close in basis spot gold at $1,393 and change. You would've exited this position today at $1,416 and change for a profit of around $23 an ounce.
If you would like to find out more about how you can use this rule in the future, not only on gold but in other markets as well, here's the link.
All the best,
Adam Hewison
President of INO.com
Co-founder of MarketClub
Attention all Trader's Blog readers:
This timeless video was first shown to MarketClub Members on 9/18/09 and bears watching again.
One of the oldest myths about trading is the buy and hold myth. While this strategy may have worked in certain markets at certain times, I do not believe we are in a time frame where this strategy is going to meet with a lot of success.
The world around us is changing rapidly and therefore it is important to have strategies that can change with this new regime.
In today’s video (first shown on 9/18/09) I’m going to show how the buy and hold strategy is flawed when you compare it to our “Trade Triangle” technology. I think you will be surprised at the results and how well you can do using this simple approach to markets.
There is no need to register for this video and of course you can watch it with my compliments. I highly recommend watching this video today, otherwise you risk missing out on a formula that provides a market proven strategy.
Enjoy the video and please give us your feedback on this blog.
All the best,
Adam Hewison
President, INO.com
Co-creator, MarketClub
Today I've invited Douglas Newberry from Investing Systems Research Lab to come and impart some "open" wisdom upon us. The article is a short one with some good chart examples for you to glance over. Please enjoy the article, comment (as always), and visit Investing Systems Research Lab.
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Holding overnight can be dangerous and being on the wrong side of the "morning gap" has taken its toll on all of us at one time or another. This is just one of the many reason we like trading from the open.
Trading from the open can be a real adventure, but when you think about it there are really only a couple things that can happen.
Stocks can open flat in which case one must let the market establish a bias for the day. It is always better to wait out the first few minutes in order to let all the overnight orders clear and then we can see what will happen today.
The Directional Movement Index, commonly called the DMI, is a powerful trend-following indicator. Many false signals generated by indicators such as the stochastics are filtered out by the DMI. Subsequently, this trading and analytical tool gives few signals, but, when generated, they tend to be very reliable.
Many, who at first glance are strangers to the DMI, find they are familiar with the prime component of the index: The ADX or average directional movement index. This discussion will center on the main use of the ADX, the turning point concept.
The DMI consists of three components: The + DI, which represents upward directional movement; the - DI, indicating downward movement; and the ADX, which signifies the average directional movement within a market.
In STRONG UPTRENDING moves, such as the late 1989 and early 1990 rally in the CRB, the + DI and the ADX turn up early in the move and move higher, with the + DI generally holding above the ADX. A high probability signal the uptrend has stalled or ended is generated when the ADX crosses above the +DI and turns down. This signal commonly occurs on the trading period of the trend change or slightly before. It rarely takes more than a few periods past a true trend shift to see the ADX turn down.
The rules for signalling a potential bottom are the same as for a top: Simply substitute the - DI for the + DI. There appears to be one slight difference between tops and bottoms: Generally, the ADX turns from a higher level when marking a top.
Several chart services plot only the ADX. In these instances, it can generally be assumed that a downturn in the ADX which occurs after crossing above 40 will have seen the ADX cross above the + DI if the market had been in an uptrend and above the -DI if in a downtrend. In simple terms, a move by the ADX above 40 followed by a downturn generally signals a probable trend change.
Signals such as those which occurred in May, 1990 and February, 1991 in the CRB index (arrows) can be very valuable in confirming a turn which had been projected by unrelated methods of technical analysis. ADX signals can help confirm the expected completion of a wave structure or to underscore a turn within a critical time period.
The DMI is based on a certain number of periods. I have had the most success with 14 days on daily charts. And with the exception of Treasury Bonds, for which I use 14 weeks, I prefer to use 9 periods on the weekly and monthly charts.
Editors note: While the examples shown are somewhat dated the concept and use of the ADX is not. The ADX indicator is available on MarketClub.
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