Make No Mistake About It, Q2 Was A Tough Quarter!

Hello World Cup Portfolio fans, here's how things turned out in what was a very difficult trading environment in Q2.

But first, let's start off with some positive news. As you may know, we trade six different markets and out of those six markets we made profits in three of those six. The profits in corn, wheat and soybeans, while very good, were not enough to make up for the losses in the other three markets. The other three markets were, for the most part, in trading ranges and very choppy and difficult to trade for the entire quarter. The markets in question are crude oil, gold and to a lesser extent, the Dollar Index.

PAST PERFORMANCE:
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
+501.6% +48.5% +35.3% +186.7% +57.6% +77.1% +135.8%


Past performance in no guarantee of future performance. Losses can and do occur.

We have never had a losing year in the World Cup Portfolio. In Q1 of this year, we had a really good quarter with a gain of around 23%. In Q2 we gave it all back in extremely difficult and choppy trading conditions, which puts us flat on the year.

Let's take a look at which markets we made money in and which markets we lost money in, along with the reasons why. Continue reading "Make No Mistake About It, Q2 Was A Tough Quarter!"

Another Profitable Quarter For The World Cup Portfolio

Q1 turned out to be another positive quarter for the World Cup portfolio, despite the fact that it lost money in 4 out of the 6 markets it trades.

Now, you might say to yourself, "How good is that system when it loses money in 4 out of 6 markets?" The reality is, the World Cup portfolio is a diversified portfolio that lowers your risk overall while at the same time enhancing your returns.

The opposite of this portfolio is to cherry pick what you think is going to happen. When you do that, you assume far greater risk losing money, in my opinion.

Losing money in 4 of the 6 markets did not affect the quarterly performance which was a positive return of 23.3%.

So you might be asking yourself how could the portfolio make 23.3% when it lost money in 4 the 6 markets it was trading? That gets down to being disciplined and following a market-proven program that has been published for the past 7 years. One of the secrets to the program is no secret at all, it is simply following the signals and letting your profits run. That is one of the hardest things for any trader to do.

Here's how the Q1 shaped up. Continue reading "Another Profitable Quarter For The World Cup Portfolio"

Triple Digit Returns In 2014 For The World Cup Portfolio

MarketClub's model portfolio section showcases three portfolios using MarketClub's strategies that you can follow and see how well they are doing. We provide you with all the entry and exit points for each market in each portfolio so there is nothing to second guess.

World Cup Portfolio

The final results are in and once again the World Cup portfolio (WCP) knocked it out of the park with triple digit returns. This is the third time in 7 years that this portfolio has chalked up some of the best returns in the investment world. We have continually published the daily signals and the results for this portfolio since 2007, so this year's results are no fluke.

The big winner in 2014 was, of course, being short crude oil. This strategy produced spectacular results and was responsible for almost half of our profits for the entire portfolio. With gains of $38,130, representing a 76% return on total invested capital, this commodity was a standout, just trading one contract of crude oil. Next up was gold, which was responsible for producing a return of $7,793, equaling a 15.5% return on invested capital.

WCP Cumulative 2007 thru 2014

Total capital needed to trade the World Cup portfolio is $50,000. (Remember, we are not brokers nor do we manage money.)

Every single market showed a profit in 2014, however, not every single market showed a profit in every quarter. This is why it is so important to be diversified as it lowers your risk profile while raising you profit profile.

Here is the quarterly market breakdown per share: Continue reading "Triple Digit Returns In 2014 For The World Cup Portfolio"

The Looming Greek Disaster

How do you spell Greece? D-I-S-A-S-T-E-R

Remember Greece? Yes, that's the very same country that created all the problems for the world's economies back in 2008. Well, Greece is back and the problems could be even greater this time. I'm not sure who it was who said this, but it has been said that you don't solve debt problems by piling more debt on to more debt. I agree, but that is exactly what the world has been doing since 2009.

In every great challenge there are great opportunities and 2015 could be one of those extraordinary years when smart investors can do very, very well. I don't think it's going be on the long side of the market, however. I think this bull market that has been going on for six years is about to come to a screeching halt as reality finally sinks in and we begin to pay for the folly of our deeds. Continue reading "The Looming Greek Disaster"

World Cup Questions Answered

We've had a lot of questions about the World Cup portfolio (WCP) and its amazing performance so far this year. Through the first 3 quarters of 2014, it's had a very positive 99% return on invested capital.

One of the many questions we have had is, "Can I substitute ETFs for the markets in the WCP?" The short answer is yes you can, but there is one important caveat.

You're not going to get the same returns as the World Cup portfolio. The main reason for this is the leverage involved in the futures markets. In the futures market, you're only putting up a small percentage of the value of the contract. For example in gold, the current margin is $4,400 to control 100 ounces, which is the size of one gold futures contract. Your margin requirements are less than 4% of the total value of one contract. If gold is trading at $1,250, 100 ounces or one contract is worth $125,000.

You don't have that same kind of leverage in an ETF.

Here are the equivalent ETFs to replicate the World Cup portfolio. Please remember this is not a recommended portfolio, as there is no way to short corn, wheat, or soybeans. Continue reading "World Cup Questions Answered"