{"id":10070,"date":"2011-10-27T14:37:06","date_gmt":"2011-10-27T18:37:06","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/club.ino.com\/trading\/?p=10070"},"modified":"2011-10-27T18:42:48","modified_gmt":"2011-10-27T22:42:48","slug":"is-this-rally-for-real-2","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/wwwtest.ino.com\/blog\/2011\/10\/is-this-rally-for-real-2\/","title":{"rendered":"Is This Rally For Real?"},"content":{"rendered":"

\"\"<\/a><\/p>\n

The Video has been updated to a new version. Thank you for your patience.<\/span>
\n<\/strong><\/p>\n

Hello traders everywhere! Adam Hewison here, co-founder of MarketClub with your mid-day market update for Thursday, the 27th of October.
\n-------------
\nLAST DAY TO ENTER HERE TO WIN A FREE 1 YR SUBSCRIPTION TO MARKETCLUB ON A WiFi TABLET<\/span><\/a><\/strong>
\n-----------
\nIs this rally for real and should you trust it?<\/p>\n

The Dow is shaping up to have its biggest ever monthly October gain in the history of the Dow.\u00a0 The question traders have to ask themselves, is this for real and should I get long this market?<\/p>\n

Everything was sparked off late last night when they thought they had an agreement with the banks to take a 50% haircut on their bond holdings. To put it in simple terms, if you have something worth $10 on your books, it was now only worth $5. And that's a relative term, as there is no real trading market for these bonds at the moment.<\/p>\n

The sharp upward move in October came as a surprise to many professional traders, as well as hedge fund managers. Today's action was largely a squeeze play, with the shorts getting squeezed out of their positions forcing them to buy back at higher prices.<\/p>\n

Now to get back to our initial question, should you trust this rally in the market? According to our Trade Triangle technology and the long-term trends, not at the moment. Our long-term Trade Triangles on all the indices are still in a negative mode. Somewhere along the line this will change and we will either get a signal to resume short positions or reverse and go long. We will wait and see the outcome of this current move and how it affects our strategy and Trade Triangle technology.<\/p>\n

Now, let's go to the charts and see how we can create and maintain your wealth in 2011<\/a>.
\n-------------
\nS&P 500 INDEX
\n-------------<\/p>\n

OUR VIEW: Huge short covering rally<\/p>\n

The dramatic upside move in the S&P 500 was kicked off with the news from Europe late last night that they had come to some possible form of agreement. This morning when we opened, there was a rush by the shorts to cover their positions. It remains to be seen whether this rally is for real. Intermediate traders should be on the sidelines waiting for a new Trade Triangle signal. Long-term traders should either be in cash or continue to hold short positions in this index.<\/p>\n

See today's S&P 500 Video Here.<\/a>
\n-------------
\nMonthly Trade Triangles for Long-Term Trends = Negative
\nWeekly Trade Triangles for Intermediate Term Trends = Positive
\nDaily Trade Triangles for Short-Term Trends = Positive
\nCombined Strength of Trend Score = + 70
\n-------------
\nSuggested S&P 500 Trading Instruments:
\nNon Leveraged ETF's: (Long SPY) (Short SH)
\n2 x Leveraged ETF's: (Long SSO)(Short SDS)
\nFutures: Contracts are available to trade this market. Contact your broker
\nOptions: Options Contracts are available to trade this market.Contact your broker
\nWARNING: Liquidity is some ETFs is very thin. Contact your broker for more information.<\/p>\n

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\nLAST DAY TO ENTER HERE TO WIN A FREE 1 YR SUBSCRIPTION TO MARKETCLUB ON A WiFi TABLET<\/a>
\n-------------
\nSILVER (SPOT)
\n-------------
\nOUR VIEW: Fibonacci Retrace 61.8% = 36.77<\/p>\n

The spot silver market appears to be heading back to the Fibonacci levels of $34.70 which represents a 50% retracement and $36.77 which represents a 61.8% rally. I think people who want to trade the metals are probably better off looking at the gold market.\u00a0 Generally speaking, the major trend for this metal continues to be negative, while the intermediate trend is positive based on our Trade Triangles. Long-term traders should continue to hold short positions in silver with appropriate stops.<\/p>\n

See today's Silver Video Here.<\/a>
\n-------------
\nMonthly Trade Triangles for Long-Term Trends = Negative
\nWeekly Trade Triangles for Intermediate Term Trend = Positive
\nDaily Trade Triangles for Short-Term Trends = Positive
\nCombined Strength of Trend Score = + 70
\n-------------
\nSuggested SILVER Trading Instruments:
\nNon Leveraged ETF's: (Long SLV) (Short the ETF SLV)
\nLeveraged ETF's: (Long AGQ) (Short ZSL)
\nFutures: Contracts are available to trade this market. Contact your broker
\nOptions: Options Contracts are available to trade this market.Contact your broker
\nWARNING: Liquidity is some ETFs is very thin. Contact your broker for more information.<\/p>\n

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\nLAST DAY TO ENTER HERE TO WIN A FREE 1 YR SUBSCRIPTION TO MARKETCLUB ON A WiFi TABLET <\/a>
\n-------------
\nGOLD (SPOT)
\n-------------<\/p>\n

OUR VIEW: Gold is in a long term bull market.<\/p>\n

Despite the actions in Europe, the gold market continues to go higher, which tells us that the smart people do not believe in this euro agreement. We are looking for gold to trade upwards to the $1800 level. The gold market is telling us to be very concerned about what is happening in Europe. Key areas to watch for on gold on the upside are $1,724 and $1,770. Theses two levels represent 50% and 61.8% Fibonacci retracements. Long-term and intermediate term trends remain positive for this precious metal. Intermediate and long-term traders should maintain long positions with the appropriate money management stops in place.<\/p>\n

See today's Gold Video Here.<\/a>
\n-------------
\nMonthly Trade Triangles for Long-Term Trends = Positive
\nWeekly Trade Triangles for Intermediate Term Trends = Positive
\nDaily Trade Triangles for Short-Term Trends = Positive
\nCombined Strength of Trend Score = + 100
\n-------------
\nSuggested GOLD Trading Instruments:
\nNon Leveraged ETF's: (Long GLD) (Short the ETF GLD)
\nLeveraged ETF's:(Long UGL) (Short GLL)
\nFutures: Contracts are available to trade this market. Contact your broker
\nOptions: Options Contracts are available to trade this market.Contact your broker
\nWARNING: Liquidity is some ETFs is very thin. Contact your broker for more information.<\/p>\n

-------------
\nCRUDE OIL (DECEMBER)
\n-------------
\nOUR VIEW: Crude Oil mixed bag<\/p>\n

We were surprised that we did not see crude oil act in a more positive fashion, given the news around the world and the upward move in equity prices. As said earlier, this market has been mimicking they equity markets. We felt that the crude oil market would have problems above the $95-$100 a barrel. Our long-term Trade Triangle continues to be negative, while our intermediate weekly Trade Triangle is positive.\u00a0 Intermediate term traders should be on the sidelines and long-term traders should continue to be short the crude oil market.<\/p>\n

See today's Crude Oil Video Here.<\/a>
\n-------------
\nMonthly Trade Triangles for Long-Term Trends = Negative
\nWeekly Trade Triangles for Intermediate Term Trends = Positive
\nDaily Trade Triangles for Short-Term Trends = Positive
\nCombined Strength of Trend Score = + 70
\n-------------
\nSuggested Trading Instruments:
\nNon Leveraged ETF's: (Long USO) (Short the ETF USO)
\nLeveraged ETF's: (Long UCO) (Short DTO)
\nFutures: Contracts are available to trade this market. Contact your broker
\nOptions: Options Contracts are available to trade this market.Contact your broker
\nWARNING: Liquidity is some ETFs is very thin. Contact your broker for more information.<\/p>\n

-------------
\nLAST DAY TO ENTER HERE TO WIN A FREE 1 YR SUBSCRIPTION TO MARKETCLUB ON A WiFi TABLET<\/a>
\n-------------
\nDOLLAR INDEX
\n-------------<\/p>\n

OUR VIEW: Dollar Caves<\/p>\n

The dollar index came under immense pressure today, easily breaking through what we believed was support at 76. The market has become extremely irrational and exuberant in excitement to jettison dollars. While our longer-term monthly Trade Triangle remains in a positive mode our intermediate term weekly Trade Triangle remains in a negative mode. Long-Term traders should maintain long positions with the appropriate stops in place.<\/p>\n

See today's Dollar Index Video Here.<\/a>
\n-------------
\nMonthly Trade Triangles for Long-Term Trends = Positive
\nWeekly Trade Triangles for Intermediate Term Trends = Negative
\nDaily Trade Triangles for Short-Term Trends = Negative
\nCombined Strength of Trend Score = + 70
\n-------------
\nSuggested DOLLAR INDEX Trading Instruments:
\nNon Leveraged ETF's: (Long UUP) (Short UDN)
\nLeveraged ETF's: (Long) (Short)
\nFutures: Contracts are available to trade this market. Contact your broker
\nOptions: Options Contracts are available to trade this market.Contact your broker
\nWARNING: Liquidity is some ETFs is very thin. Contact your broker for more information.<\/p>\n

-------------
\nREUTERS\/JEFFERIES CRB COMMODITY INDEX
\n-------------<\/p>\n

OUR VIEW: FIB Resistance awaits at 324.97<\/p>\n

The 324.97 level is a 61.8% Fibonacci level and we expect that will halt the current upside momentum for this index. Our long-term Trade Triangle remains negative while our intermediate term indicator is showing a mixed picture. Intermediate term traders should be on the sidelines. Long-Term traders should maintain short positions with the appropriate money management stops in place.<\/p>\n

See today's REUTERS\/JEFFERIES CRB COMMODITY INDEX Video Here.<\/a>
\n---------------
\nMonthly Trade Triangles for Long-Term Trends = Positive
\nWeekly Trade Triangles for Intermediate Term Trends = Negative
\nDaily Trade Triangles for Short-Term Trends = Negative
\nCombined Strength of Trend Score = + 70
\n---------------
\nSuggested REUTERS\/JEFFERIES CRB COMMODITY INDEX Trading Instruments:
\nNon Leveraged ETF's: (Long CRBQ) (Short the ETF CRBQ)
\nLeveraged ETF's: (Long) (Short CMD)
\nFutures: Contracts are available to trade this market. Contact your broker
\nOptions: Options Contracts are available to trade this market.Contact your broker
\nWARNING: Liquidity is some ETFs is very thin. Contact your broker for more information.<\/p>\n

---------------
\nAs always, we rely on our market proven Trade Triangle technology for catching the big moves.
\n---------------<\/p>\n

This is Adam Hewison for MarketClub and I'll see you tomorrow, right here with my daily update. Have a great trading day.<\/p>\n

All the best,<\/p>\n

Adam Hewison<\/a>
\nPresident INO.com and co-founder of MarketClub.com<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

The Video has been updated to a new version. Thank you for your patience. Hello traders everywhere! Adam Hewison here, co-founder of MarketClub with your mid-day market update for Thursday, the 27th of October. ------------- LAST DAY TO ENTER HERE TO WIN A FREE 1 YR SUBSCRIPTION TO MARKETCLUB ON A WiFi TABLET ----------- Is […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":41,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[4,10],"tags":[4071,3917,28,1961,1067,3839,3831,147,23,4072,307,2074,4053],"class_list":["post-10070","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-trading-tips","category-trading-videos","tag-8-95-trial","tag-crb","tag-crude-oil","tag-debt","tag-dollar","tag-donchian-channel","tag-dx","tag-fibonacci-resistance","tag-gold","tag-hp-tablet","tag-precious-metals","tag-sp500","tag-williamr"],"yoast_head":"\nIs This Rally For Real? - INO.com Trader's Blog<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/wwwtest.ino.com\/blog\/2011\/10\/is-this-rally-for-real-2\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Is This Rally For Real? - INO.com Trader's Blog\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"The Video has been updated to a new version. 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