{"id":10950,"date":"2011-12-16T14:12:33","date_gmt":"2011-12-16T18:12:33","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/club.ino.com\/trading\/?p=10950"},"modified":"2011-12-16T14:12:33","modified_gmt":"2011-12-16T18:12:33","slug":"you-got-to-know-when-to-hold-em-know-when-to-fold-em-kenny-rogers-the-gambler-1978","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/wwwtest.ino.com\/blog\/2011\/12\/you-got-to-know-when-to-hold-em-know-when-to-fold-em-kenny-rogers-the-gambler-1978\/","title":{"rendered":"\"You got to know when to hold 'em, know when to fold 'em.\" Kenny Rogers - The Gambler, 1978."},"content":{"rendered":"

\"\"<\/a>Hello fellow traders everywhere!\u00a0 Adam Hewison here, co-founder of MarketClub with your mid-day market update for Friday, the 16th of December.<\/p>\n

Kenny Rogers' song has it right, as a trader \"you got to know when to hold 'em, know when to fold'em.\"\u00a0 That same mantra can even be applied to investors.\u00a0 Buy and hold is DEAD in the water, for a long time to come.<\/p>\n

Silver is having a hard time shining these days.
\nDown for the week, down for the month, even down for the year!\u00a0 Does anyone like this market anymore? Today we will examine if now, is the right time to get long this fallen metal!<\/p>\n

Slip, Sliding Away - by Paul Simon 1977
\nThis technical formation in Crude oil says it all.<\/p>\n

3 Stocks on the move.
\nHas the trend changed today for any of these three stocks?\u00a0 We will let our Trade Triangle technology make that call.<\/p>\n

Now, let\u2019s go to the one truth we count on everyday here at MarketClub, our Trade Triangle Technology!<\/p>\n

\u2014\u2014\u2014\u2014-
\nS&P 500 INDEX <\/strong>
\n\u2014\u2014\u2014\u2014-
\nBIG PICTURE<\/strong>: Trading Range<\/p>\n

Today's rally is nothing to get excited about, in our opinion.\u00a0 Our Trade Triangle technology is indicating a Chart Analysis Score of -55, this score illustrates trading range. The MACD and our PSAR indicator have both turned down and are calling for more weakness in this index. Our weekly Trade Triangle turned positive over a week ago, signaling that intermediate term traders should now be out of this market.\u00a0 Long-term traders should either be in cash or continue to hold short positions in this index with appropriate money management stops.<\/p>\n

Monthly Trade Triangles for Long-Term Trends = Bearish
\nWeekly Trade Triangles for Intermediate Term Trends = Bullish
\nDaily Trade Triangles for Short-Term Trends = Bearish<\/p>\n

Combined Strength of Trend Score<\/strong> = -55
\n\u2014\u2014\u2014\u2014-
\nHOW TO USE THE MARKETCLUB SCORING SYSTEM: <\/strong>
\nScore: 50 \u2013 65 Trading Range
\nScore: 70 \u2013 80 Emerging Trend
\nScore: 85 \u2013 100 Strong Trend
\n\u2014\u2014\u2014\u2014-
\nSee today\u2019s S&P 500 Video Here. <\/strong><\/a>
\n\u2014\u2014\u2014\u2014-
\nSuggested S&P 500 Trading Instruments: <\/strong>
\nNon Leveraged ETF\u2019s: (Long SPY) (Short SH)
\n2 x Leveraged ETF\u2019s: (Long SSO)(Short SDS)
\nFutures: Contracts are available to trade this market. Contact your broker
\nOptions: Options Contracts are available to trade this market.Contact your broker
\nWARNING: Liquidity in some ETFs is very thin. Contact your broker for more information.
\n\u2014\u2014\u2014\u2014-<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/a><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

 
\n\u2014\u2014\u2014\u2014-
\nSILVER (SPOT) <\/strong>
\n\u2014\u2014\u2014\u2014-
\nBIG PICTURE:<\/strong> Strong Bearish Trend<\/p>\n

Today the silver market witnessed a short covering rally as the shorts took some of their money off the table.\u00a0 However, with a Chart Analysis Score of -100, the silver market is in a strong trend to the downside.\u00a0 Generally speaking, the major trend for silver continues to be negative based on our monthly and weekly Trade Triangles. Long-term and intermediate term traders and short term traders should be in short positions in silver with appropriate money management stops.<\/p>\n

Monthly Trade Triangles for Long-Term Trends = Bearish
\nWeekly Trade Triangles for Intermediate Term Trend = Bearish
\nDaily Trade Triangles for Short-Term Trends = Bearish<\/p>\n

Combined Strength of Trend Score<\/strong> = -100
\n\u2014\u2014\u2014\u2014-
\nHOW TO USE THE MARKETCLUB SCORING SYSTEM: <\/strong>
\nScore: 50 \u2013 65 Trading Range
\nScore: 70 \u2013 80 Emerging Trend
\nScore: 85 \u2013 100 Strong Trend
\n\u2014\u2014\u2014\u2014-
\nSee today\u2019s Silver Video Here. <\/strong><\/a>
\n\u2014\u2014\u2014\u2014-
\nSuggested SILVER Trading Instruments: <\/strong>
\nNon Leveraged ETF\u2019s: (Long SLV) (Short the ETF SLV)
\nLeveraged ETF\u2019s: (Long AGQ) (Short ZSL)
\nFutures: Contracts are available to trade this market. Contact your broker
\nOptions: Options Contracts are available to trade this market.Contact your broker
\nWARNING: Liquidity in some ETFs is very thin. Contact your broker for more information.
\n\u2014\u2014\u2014\u2014-<\/p>\n

PERSONAL MARKETCLUB COACHING<\/strong><\/span> <\/a>
\nFree consultation, Free call.
\nGive us a call at 877\u2013219\u20131482<\/strong><\/span>!<\/p>\n

\u2014\u2014\u2014\u2014-
\nGOLD (SPOT) <\/strong>
\n\u2014\u2014\u2014\u2014-
\nBIG PICTURE:<\/strong> Emerging Bear Trend<\/p>\n

The gold market is down over $100 for the week and with thin markets and Friday approaching, we see little changing the picture for this metal.\u00a0 A major long term trend line comes into gold at the $1520 level this week and we would expect that level to offer major support. The gold market continues to move lower, but is not yet in a full fledged bear market.\u00a0 Gold has a Chart Analysis Score of -70, which equates to an emerging trend.\u00a0 With our monthly Trade Triangle so far remaining in a positive position we are longer term bullish on this metal.\u00a0 Intermediate term traders should be out of this market at the moment and on the sidelines waiting for the next signal with the weekly Trade Triangle.<\/p>\n

Monthly trade triangles for Long-term trends = Bullish
\nweekly trade triangles for intermediate term trends = Bearish
\ndaily trade triangles for short-term trends = Bearish
\n
\nCombined Strength of Trend Score<\/strong> = -70
\n\u2014\u2014\u2014\u2014-
\nHOW TO USE THE MARKETCLUB SCORING SYSTEM: <\/strong>
\nScore: 50 \u2013 65 Trading Range
\nScore: 70 \u2013 80 Emerging Trend
\nScore: 85 \u2013 100 Strong Trend
\n\u2014\u2014\u2014\u2014-
\nSee today\u2019s Gold Video Here. <\/strong><\/a>
\n\u2014\u2014\u2014\u2014-
\nSuggested GOLD Trading Instruments: <\/strong>
\nNon Leveraged ETF\u2019s: (Long GLD) (Short the ETF GLD)
\nLeveraged ETF\u2019s:(Long UGL) (Short GLL)
\nFutures: Contracts are available to trade this market. Contact your broker
\nOptions: Options Contracts are available to trade this market.Contact your broker
\nWARNING: Liquidity in some ETFs is very thin. Contact your broker for more information.<\/p>\n

\u2014\u2014\u2014\u2014-
\nCOPPER (MARCH) <\/strong>
\n\u2014\u2014\u2014\u2014-
\nBIG PICTURE:<\/strong> Emerging Bear Trend<\/p>\n

Copper is sharply lower for this week with support coming into copper around the $3.20 level today. With today\u2019s Chart Analysis Score of -75, the market is in an emerging trend to the downside. As stated numerous times, copper generally reflects economic conditions, and as such is influenced by equity prices.\u00a0 With equity prices moving lower today, it is in return reflected in lower copper prices.\u00a0 The major trend based on our monthly Trade Triangle continues to be negative.\u00a0 Long-term traders should continue to hold short positions in copper with appropriate money management stops.\u00a0 Intermediate term traders should now be on the sidelines.<\/p>\n

Monthly Trade Triangles for Long-Term Trends = Bearish
\nWeekly Trade Triangles for Intermediate Term Trends = Bullish
\nDaily Trade Triangles for Short-Term Trends = Bearish<\/p>\n

Combined Strength of Trend Score <\/strong>= -75
\n\u2014\u2014\u2014\u2014-
\nHOW TO USE THE MARKETCLUB SCORING SYSTEM: <\/strong>
\nScore: 50 \u2013 65 Trading Range
\nScore: 70 \u2013 80 Emerging Trend
\nScore: 85 \u2013 100 Strong Trend
\n\u2014\u2014\u2014\u2014-
\nSee today\u2019s Copper Video Here. <\/strong><\/a>
\n\u2014\u2014\u2014\u2014-
\nSuggested Copper Trading Instruments: <\/strong>
\nNon Leveraged ETF\u2019s: (Long JJC)
\nFutures: Contracts are available to trade this market. Contact your broker
\nOptions: Options Contracts are available to trade this market.Contact your broker
\nWARNING: Liquidity in some ETFs is very thin. Contact your broker for more information.<\/p>\n

\u2014\u2014\u2014\u2014-
\nCRUDE OIL (MARCH) <\/strong>
\n\u2014\u2014\u2014\u2014-
\nBIG PICTURE:<\/strong> Emerging Bear Trend<\/p>\n

Attention, we are now looking at the March (E) contract for Crude Oil.\u00a0 The March contract now has a confirmed a double top.\u00a0 A pullback in this market to the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level brings crude back to $85.93 basis March. With a -70 Chart Analysis Score, we are in an Emerging Bear Trend for crude.\u00a0 Long-term traders should be long this market with appropriate money management stops.<\/p>\n

Monthly Trade Triangles for Long-Term Trends = Bullish
\nWeekly Trade Triangles for Intermediate Term Trends = Bearish
\nDaily Trade Triangles for Short-Term Trends = Bearish<\/p>\n

Combined Strength of Trend Score <\/strong>= -70
\n\u2014\u2014\u2014\u2014-
\nHOW TO USE THE MARKETCLUB SCORING SYSTEM: <\/strong>
\nScore: 50 \u2013 65 Trading Range
\nScore: 70 \u2013 80 Emerging Trend
\nScore: 85 \u2013 100 Strong Trend
\n\u2014\u2014\u2014\u2014-
\nSee today\u2019s Crude Oil Video Here. <\/strong><\/a>
\n\u2014\u2014\u2014\u2014-
\nSuggested Crude Oil Trading Instruments: <\/strong>
\nNon Leveraged ETF\u2019s: (Long USO) (Short the ETF USO)
\nLeveraged ETF\u2019s: (Long UCO) (Short DTO)
\nFutures: Contracts are available to trade this market. Contact your broker
\nOptions: Options Contracts are available to trade this market.Contact your broker
\nWARNING: Liquidity in some ETFs is very thin. Contact your broker for more information.<\/p>\n

\u2014\u2014\u2014\u2014-<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/a><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

 
\n\u2014\u2014\u2014\u2014-
\nDOLLAR INDEX <\/strong>
\n\u2014\u2014\u2014\u2014-
\nBIG PICTURE: <\/strong>Strong Bullish Trend<\/p>\n

After three incredibly strong up days this index is regrouping over the $80 level. Resistance kicks in today at $81.00 to $81.75.\u00a0 With all of our Trade Triangles in a positive mode giving a score of +100, we remain firmly committed to the bullish trend. Long-Term and intermediate term traders should maintain long positions with the appropriate stops in place.<\/p>\n

Monthly Trade Triangles for Long-Term Trends = Bullish
\nWeekly Trade Triangles for Intermediate Term Trends = Bullish
\nDaily Trade Triangles for Short-Term Trends = Bullish<\/p>\n

Combined Strength of Trend Score<\/strong> = +100
\n\u2014\u2014\u2014\u2014-
\nHOW TO USE THE MARKETCLUB SCORING SYSTEM: <\/strong>
\nScore: 50 \u2013 65 Trading Range
\nScore: 70 \u2013 80 Emerging Trend
\nScore: 85 \u2013 100 Strong Trend
\n\u2014\u2014\u2014\u2014-
\nSee today\u2019s Dollar Index Video Here. <\/strong><\/a>
\n\u2014\u2014\u2014\u2014-
\nSuggested DOLLAR INDEX Trading Instruments: <\/strong>
\nNon Leveraged ETF\u2019s: (Long UUP) (Short UDN)
\nLeveraged ETF\u2019s: (Long) (Short)
\nFutures: Contracts are available to trade this market. Contact your broker
\nOptions: Options Contracts are available to trade this market.Contact your broker
\nWARNING: Liquidity in some ETFs is very thin. Contact your broker for more information.<\/p>\n

\u2014\u2014\u2014\u2014-
\nREUTERS\/JEFFERIES CRB COMMODITY INDEX <\/strong>
\n\u2014\u2014\u2014\u2014-
\nBIG PICTURE:<\/strong> Strong Bearish Trend<\/p>\n

This index is sharply lower for the week and remains on the defensive. The continued weakness in crude oil is pushing this index down to challenge the $292.77 level.\u00a0 We consider this level as a key support level for this market as it represents a 61.8% Fibonacci retracement point. This market now looks ready to challenge the lows seen on October 4th at $292.39. Based on our Trade Triangle technology which has a score of -100, this index is in a strong bearish trend. With all three of our Trade Triangle indicators red we remain firmly entrenched in the bear camp.\u00a0 Our long, intermediate and now short-term Trade Triangles remain negative for this index. Long-term and intermediate term traders should continue to hold short positions in this index with appropriate money management stops.<\/p>\n

Monthly Trade Triangles for Long-Term Trends = Bearish
\nWeekly Trade Triangles for Intermediate Term Trends = Bearish
\nDaily Trade Triangles for Short-Term Trends = Bearish<\/p>\n

Combined Strength of Trend Score<\/strong> = -100
\n\u2014\u2014\u2014\u2014-
\nHOW TO USE THE MARKETCLUB SCORING SYSTEM: <\/strong>
\nScore: 50 \u2013 65 Trading Range
\nScore: 70 \u2013 80 Emerging Trend
\nScore: 85 \u2013 100 Strong Trend
\n\u2014\u2014\u2014\u2014\u2014
\nSee today\u2019s REUTERS\/JEFFERIES CRB COMMODITY INDEX Video Here. <\/strong><\/a>
\n\u2014\u2014\u2014\u2014\u2014
\nSuggested REUTERS\/JEFFERIES CRB COMMODITY INDEX Trading Instruments: <\/strong>
\nNon Leveraged ETF\u2019s: (Long CRBQ) (Short the ETF CRBQ)
\nLeveraged ETF\u2019s: (Long) (Short CMD)
\nFutures: Contracts are available to trade this market. Contact your broker
\nOptions: Options Contracts are available to trade this market.Contact your broker
\nWARNING: Liquidity in some ETFs is very thin. Contact your broker for more information.<\/p>\n

\u2014\u2014\u2014\u2014\u2013
\nPERSONAL MARKETCLUB COACHING <\/strong><\/span><\/a>
\nFree consultation, Free call.
\nGive us a call at 877\u2013219\u20131482<\/strong><\/span>!
\n\u2014\u2014\u2014\u2014\u2013
\nThis is Adam Hewison for MarketClub, and I'll see you Monday, right here at 1 P.M.\u00a0 Have a profitable trading day and a great weekend.<\/p>\n

All the best,
\nAdam Hewison <\/a>
\nPresident INO.com and co-founder of MarketClub.com<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Hello fellow traders everywhere!\u00a0 Adam Hewison here, co-founder of MarketClub with your mid-day market update for Friday, the 16th of December. Kenny Rogers' song has it right, as a trader \"you got to know when to hold 'em, know when to fold'em.\"\u00a0 That same mantra can even be applied to investors.\u00a0 Buy and hold is […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":41,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[10],"tags":[4071,2082,3917,28,1961,1067,3839,3831,147,23,4072,307,2074,4053],"class_list":["post-10950","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-trading-videos","tag-8-95-trial","tag-copper","tag-crb","tag-crude-oil","tag-debt","tag-dollar","tag-donchian-channel","tag-dx","tag-fibonacci-resistance","tag-gold","tag-hp-tablet","tag-precious-metals","tag-sp500","tag-williamr"],"yoast_head":"\n"You got to know when to hold 'em, know when to fold 'em." 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Kenny Rogers' song has it right, as a trader \"you got to know when to hold 'em, know when to fold'em.\"\u00a0 That same mantra can even be applied to investors.\u00a0 Buy and hold is […]","og_url":"https:\/\/www.ino.com\/blog\/2011\/12\/you-got-to-know-when-to-hold-em-know-when-to-fold-em-kenny-rogers-the-gambler-1978\/","og_site_name":"INO.com Trader's Blog","article_publisher":"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/inocom\/","article_published_time":"2011-12-16T18:12:33+00:00","author":"The INO.com Team","twitter_card":"summary_large_image","twitter_misc":{"Written by":"The INO.com Team","Est. reading time":"9 minutes"},"schema":{"@context":"https:\/\/schema.org","@graph":[{"@type":"Article","@id":"https:\/\/www.ino.com\/blog\/2011\/12\/you-got-to-know-when-to-hold-em-know-when-to-fold-em-kenny-rogers-the-gambler-1978\/#article","isPartOf":{"@id":"https:\/\/www.ino.com\/blog\/2011\/12\/you-got-to-know-when-to-hold-em-know-when-to-fold-em-kenny-rogers-the-gambler-1978\/"},"author":{"name":"The INO.com Team","@id":"https:\/\/www.ino.com\/blog\/#\/schema\/person\/d86a8cce826b7bd105200d88bb28a280"},"headline":"\"You got to know when to hold 'em, know when to fold 'em.\" Kenny Rogers - 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