{"id":11981,"date":"2012-02-10T13:29:39","date_gmt":"2012-02-10T18:29:39","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/club.ino.com\/trading\/?p=11981"},"modified":"2012-02-10T13:29:39","modified_gmt":"2012-02-10T18:29:39","slug":"the-bear-bites-back-is-the-move-over-for-stocks-and-gold","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/wwwtest.ino.com\/blog\/2012\/02\/the-bear-bites-back-is-the-move-over-for-stocks-and-gold\/","title":{"rendered":"The Bear bites back \u2026 Is the move over for Stocks and Gold?"},"content":{"rendered":"

\"\"<\/a>Hello fellow traders everywhere! Adam Hewison here, co-founder of MarketClub with your mid-day market update for Friday, the 10th of February.<\/p>\n

The Bear Bites Back! <\/em>
\nAfter six weeks of uninterrupted weekly gains in the equity markets, the bear bites back.
\n
\nIs demand for gold on the wane, as sentiment towards stocks comes alive? <\/em>
\nWith Valentine's Day just around the corner, has the demand for gold diminished? We will take an in-depth look at the gold market today.<\/p>\n

3 Stocks on the move today:<\/em>
\nNOBLE (NE<\/strong>), XL GROUP PLC (XL<\/strong>), and FIRST SOLAR (FSLR<\/strong>).
\nDid MarketClub's Trade Triangle technology get it right on these three stocks?<\/p>\n

Trading Tip:<\/em>
\nDON'T FIGHT THE MARKET \u2026 MOVE WITH THE MARKET<\/p>\n

Now, let's analyze the charts with MarketClub's Trade Triangle Technology.
\n-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
\nS&P 500 INDEX <\/strong>
\nBIG PICTURE<\/strong>:\u00a0 Strong Trend\u00a0 +90
\nTRADE TRIANGLES<\/strong>: Long-Term = Bullish |<\/strong> Intermediate Term = Bullish |<\/strong> Short-Term = Bullish
\nMARKETCLUB SCORING SYSTEM<\/strong>: Trading Range 50 \u2013 65 |<\/strong> Emerging Trend 70 \u2013 80 |<\/strong> Strong Trend 85 \u2013 100<\/p>\n

The S&P 500 index should begin to find support beginning at $1330 and extending down to the $1320 area. Our next target zone for this index is $1360 and we would not be surprised to see this level reached early next week. Longer-term we expect this market to move up to the $1550 to $1600 level by late May or early June based on our cyclic work. With all three of our Trade Triangles green, a bull market is underway.\u00a0 Long and Intermediate term traders should now be holding long positions in this index with appropriate money management stops.
\n-----------------------------
\nWatch today\u2019s S&P 500 Video Here. <\/strong><\/a>
\n-----------------------------
\nSuggested S&P 500 Trading Instruments: <\/strong>
\nNon Leveraged ETF\u2019s: (Long SPY) (Short SH)
\n2 x Leveraged ETF\u2019s: (Long SSO)(Short SDS)
\nFutures: Contracts are available to trade this market. Contact your broker
\nOptions: Options Contracts are available to trade this market.Contact your broker
\nWARNING: Liquidity in some ETFs is very thin. Contact your broker for more information.
\n-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------<\/p>\n

Something BIG is coming in 47 days!<\/strong><\/span><\/a><\/span><\/p>\n

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
\nSILVER (SPOT) <\/strong>
\nBIG PICTURE:<\/strong> Emerging Trend\u00a0 +70
\nTRADE TRIANGLES:<\/strong> Long-Term = Bearish |<\/strong> Intermediate Term = Bullish |<\/strong> Short-Term = Bullish
\nMARKETCLUB SCORING SYSTEM:<\/strong> Trading Range 50 \u2013 65 |<\/strong> Emerging Trend 70 \u2013 80 |<\/strong> Strong Trend 85 \u2013 100<\/p>\n

A close in the silver market at $33.65 would create a Doji line on the weekly chart. This would be further evidence that this market is meeting resistance and topping out. The silver market continues to oscillate between support at $33 an ounce and resistance at just over the $34.50 level. We think this market is at the top of a trading cycle, but has not provided conclusive proof that the cycle has topped out. With our long-term monthly Trade Triangle in a red negative mode, we expect to see this market run out of steam around current levels. This particular indicator has done extremely well in the past. Long-term term traders should be in short positions in silver with appropriate money management stops. Intermediate term traders should be on the sidelines.
\n-----------------------------
\nWatch today\u2019s Silver Video Here. <\/strong><\/a>
\n-----------------------------
\nSuggested SILVER Trading Instruments:<\/strong>
\nNon Leveraged ETF\u2019s: (Long SLV) (Short the ETF SLV)
\nLeveraged ETF\u2019s: (Long AGQ) (Short ZSL)
\nFutures & Options: Contracts are available to trade this market. Contact your broker
\nWARNING: Liquidity in some ETFs is very thin. Contact your broker for more information.<\/p>\n

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
\nGOLD (SPOT) <\/strong>
\nBIG PICTURE: <\/strong>Trading Range\u00a0 +55
\nTRADE TRIANGLES:<\/strong> Long-Term = Bearish |<\/strong> Intermediate Term = Bullish |<\/strong> Short-Term = Bearish
\nMARKETCLUB SCORING SYSTEM:<\/strong> Trading Range 50 \u2013 65 |<\/strong> Emerging Trend 70 \u2013 80 |<\/strong> Strong Trend 85 \u2013 100<\/p>\n

A close this week around the $1720 level will be the second weekly loss we have seen in gold and further evidence that the cycle is topping out. The choppy action in gold continues as we see this market moving between the $1760 level on the upside and the $1710 area on the downside. With a Score of +55, this market is in a trading range. We would not be surprised to see gold on the defense until the middle of May. With our long-term monthly Trade Triangle still red, we cannot get to excited about this market at the moment. That does not mean that we are super bearish on this metal, we need further confirmation with the tools we know are successful in trading gold. Long-term term traders should be in short positions in gold with appropriate money management stops. Intermediate term traders should be on the sidelines.
\n-----------------------------
\nWatch today\u2019s Gold Video Here. <\/strong><\/a>
\n-----------------------------
\nSuggested GOLD Trading Instruments: <\/strong>
\nNon Leveraged ETF\u2019s: (Long GLD) (Short the ETF GLD)
\nLeveraged ETF\u2019s:(Long UGL) (Short GLL)
\nFutures & Options: Contracts are available to trade this market. Contact your broker
\nWARNING: Liquidity in some ETFs is very thin. Contact your broker for more information.<\/p>\n

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
\nCOPPER (MAY) <\/strong>
\nBIG PICTURE:<\/strong> Strong Trend\u00a0 +90
\nTRADE TRIANGLES: <\/strong>Long-Term = Bullish |<\/strong> Intermediate Term = Bullish |<\/strong> Short-Term = Bullish
\nMARKETCLUB SCORING SYSTEM:<\/strong> Trading Range 50 \u2013 65 |<\/strong> Emerging Trend 70 \u2013 80 |<\/strong> Strong Trend 85 \u2013 100<\/p>\n

ATTENTION: We are now tracking the MAY copper contract. Today's sharp drop in copper pulls this market back into a support area. We expect the $3.80 area to be a very good support for this market, as we continue to view the longer-term trend in copper as positive. With a Score of +90, we are in a strong trend to the upside and continue to be positive on this market. As we have said in the past, copper generally reflects economic conditions, and as such is influenced by equity prices.\u00a0 Look for support at the $3.85 level. The market action looks as though it has created a large base to move higher in the future. Long and Intermediate term traders should now be holding long positions in this index with appropriate money management stops.
\n-----------------------------
\nWatch today\u2019s Copper Video Here. <\/strong><\/a>
\n-----------------------------
\nSuggested Copper Trading Instruments: <\/strong>
\nNon Leveraged ETF\u2019s: (Long JJC)
\nFutures & Options: Contracts are available to trade this market. Contact your broker
\nWARNING: Liquidity in some ETFs is very thin. Contact your broker for more information.<\/p>\n

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
\nCRUDE OIL (APRIL) <\/strong>
\nBIG PICTURE:<\/strong> Trading Range\u00a0 +55
\nTRADE TRIANGLES:<\/strong> Long-Term = Bullish |<\/strong> Intermediate Term = Bearish |<\/strong> Short-Term = Bullish
\nMARKETCLUB SCORING SYSTEM:<\/strong> Trading Range 50 \u2013 65 |<\/strong> Emerging Trend 70 \u2013 80 |<\/strong> Strong Trend 85 \u2013 100<\/p>\n

ATTENTION: We are now tracking the APRIL crude oil contract. We are looking for this market to be on the defensive for the next couple of days, but then expect it to regroup and start moving higher once again. We are looking for crude oil to make it's highs probably somewhere in the May period. Once over $102 a barrel, this market should skyrocket. We want to pay close attention to this market as we believe that the recent market action is reflecting an important cyclic low period for this market. If this is true, this market could be headed substantially higher. With a Score of +55, this market we remain in a trading range. We remain longer term positive on this market. With our monthly and daily Trade Triangles in a positive mode, we expect we will see further market consolidation in crude oil. Long-term traders should be long this market with appropriate money management stops.
\n-----------------------------
\nWatch today\u2019s Crude Oil Video Here. <\/strong><\/a>
\n-----------------------------
\nSuggested Crude Oil Trading Instruments: <\/strong>
\nNon Leveraged ETF\u2019s: (Long USO) (Short the ETF USO)
\nLeveraged ETF\u2019s: (Long UCO) (Short DTO)
\nFutures & Options: Contracts are available to trade this market. Contact your broker
\nWARNING: Liquidity in some ETFs is very thin. Contact your broker for more information.
\n-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------<\/p>\n

Join us in 47 days for something you can't afford miss<\/strong><\/span><\/a><\/span><\/p>\n

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
\nDOLLAR INDEX <\/strong>
\nBIG PICTURE:<\/strong> Emerging Trend\u00a0 -70
\nTRADE TRIANGLES:<\/strong> Long-Term = Bullish |<\/strong> Intermediate Term = Bearish |<\/strong> Short-Term = Bearish
\nMARKETCLUB SCORING SYSTEM<\/strong>: Trading Range 50 \u2013 65 |<\/strong> Emerging Trend 70 \u2013 80 |<\/strong> Strong Trend 85 \u2013 100<\/p>\n

The dollar index is showing a bullish divergence on the Williams% R indicator. This means the price moved lower, but the momentum did not. This usually indicates that a reversal is at hand. The dollar index pushed to new lows and came closer to the 50% Fibonacci retracement level we've been discussing in our previous posts. This market is not out of the woods yet, however the longer-term Trade Triangle does warrant some caution at the moment. We are waiting for this market to hit some of the Fibonacci levels we've outlined, and will see how it acts at those levels. Only our longer-term monthly Trade Triangle remains positive on this market. With a Score of -70, this market is in an emerging trend. We expect we will be seeing some of the Fibonacci retracement levels of $78.29 and $77.46 come into play. These represent 50% and 61.8% Fibonacci retracements. Long term traders using our monthly Trade Triangle should maintain long positions with appropriate stops in place.
\n-----------------------------
\nWatch today\u2019s Dollar Index Video Here. <\/strong><\/a>
\n-----------------------------
\nSuggested DOLLAR INDEX Trading Instruments: <\/strong>
\nNon Leveraged ETF\u2019s: (Long UUP) (Short UDN)
\nLeveraged ETF\u2019s: (Long) (Short)
\nFutures: Contracts are available to trade this market. Contact your broker
\nOptions: Options Contracts are available to trade this market.Contact your broker
\nWARNING: Liquidity in some ETFs is very thin. Contact your broker for more information.<\/p>\n

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
\nREUTERS\/JEFFERIES CRB COMMODITY INDEX <\/strong>
\nBIG PICTURE:<\/strong> Emerging Trend\u00a0 -75
\nTRADE TRIANGLES<\/strong>: Long-Term = Bearish |<\/strong> Intermediate Term = Bullish |<\/strong> Short-Term = Bearish
\nMARKETCLUB SCORING SYSTEM:<\/strong> Trading Range 50 \u2013 65 |<\/strong> Emerging Trend 70 \u2013 80 |<\/strong> Strong Trend 85 \u2013 100<\/p>\n

For the second week in a row, it looks as though the index is going to close lower for the week. It remains in a broad trading range bound by $320 on the upside and $310 on the downside. With a Score of -75, this market is trying to develop into an emerging down trend. Our short term daily Trade Triangle has turned red indicating short term weakness, and our longer-term monthly Trade Triangle remains red and negative on this market. Long-term traders should hold short positions in this index with appropriate money management stops.
\n-----------------------------
\nWatch today\u2019s REUTERS\/JEFFERIES CRB COMMODITY INDEX Video Here. <\/strong><\/a>
\n-----------------------------
\nSuggested REUTERS\/JEFFERIES CRB COMMODITY INDEX Trading Instruments<\/strong>:
\nNon Leveraged ETF\u2019s: (Long CRBQ) (Short the ETF CRBQ)
\nLeveraged ETF\u2019s: (Long) (Short CMD)
\nFutures & Options: Contracts are available to trade this market. Contact your broker
\nWARNING: Liquidity in some ETFs is very thin. Contact your broker for more information.
\n-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------<\/p>\n

Something BIG is coming in 47 days!<\/strong><\/span><\/a><\/span><\/p>\n

-----------------------------------------------------------------------
\nThis is Adam Hewison for MarketClub and I'll see you tomorrow with my weekend update. Have a profitable trading day.<\/p>\n

Take care everyone,
\nAdam Hewison<\/a>
\nPresident INO.com and co-founder of MarketClub.com<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Hello fellow traders everywhere! Adam Hewison here, co-founder of MarketClub with your mid-day market update for Friday, the 10th of February. The Bear Bites Back! After six weeks of uninterrupted weekly gains in the equity markets, the bear bites back. Is demand for gold on the wane, as sentiment towards stocks comes alive? With Valentine's […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":41,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[10],"tags":[4071,2082,3917,28,1961,1067,3839,3831,147,23,307,2074,4053],"class_list":["post-11981","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-trading-videos","tag-8-95-trial","tag-copper","tag-crb","tag-crude-oil","tag-debt","tag-dollar","tag-donchian-channel","tag-dx","tag-fibonacci-resistance","tag-gold","tag-precious-metals","tag-sp500","tag-williamr"],"yoast_head":"\nThe Bear bites back \u2026 Is the move over for Stocks and Gold? - INO.com Trader's Blog<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.ino.com\/blog\/2012\/02\/the-bear-bites-back-is-the-move-over-for-stocks-and-gold\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"The Bear bites back \u2026 Is the move over for Stocks and Gold? - INO.com Trader's Blog\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Hello fellow traders everywhere! Adam Hewison here, co-founder of MarketClub with your mid-day market update for Friday, the 10th of February. The Bear Bites Back! After six weeks of uninterrupted weekly gains in the equity markets, the bear bites back. Is demand for gold on the wane, as sentiment towards stocks comes alive? 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Adam Hewison here, co-founder of MarketClub with your mid-day market update for Friday, the 10th of February. The Bear Bites Back! After six weeks of uninterrupted weekly gains in the equity markets, the bear bites back. Is demand for gold on the wane, as sentiment towards stocks comes alive? 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