{"id":135,"date":"2007-07-13T14:23:10","date_gmt":"2007-07-13T19:23:10","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/club.ino.com\/trading\/2007\/07\/13\/alcoa-lost-but-marketclub-members-won\/"},"modified":"2010-02-25T14:55:53","modified_gmt":"2010-02-25T18:55:53","slug":"alcoa-lost-but-marketclub-members-won","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/wwwtest.ino.com\/blog\/2007\/07\/alcoa-lost-but-marketclub-members-won\/","title":{"rendered":"Alcoa lost... but MarketClub members won."},"content":{"rendered":"<p><span style=\"font-size: small;\">Canadian aluminum company, <strong><a href=\"http:\/\/www.alcan.com\/web\/publishing.nsf\/content\/About+Alcan+Home\">Alcan<\/a><\/strong> (AL), had some decisions to make. Who's offer to take... <strong><a href=\"http:\/\/www.alcoa.com\/global\/en\/home.asp\">Alcoa<\/a><\/strong> (AA), one of the globe's leading suppliers of bauxite, alumina and aluminum, or <strong><a href=\"http:\/\/www.riotinto.com\/investors\/219_faqs.asp\">Rio Tinto<\/a><\/strong> (RTP), a leading company in mining and mineral processing. After Rio Tinto offered $101 (USD) per all Alcan's outstanding common shares (a total equity consideration of $38.1 billion), Alcan rebuffed on previous offer by Alcoa for $28.7 billion. <strong><a href=\"http:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/apps\/news?pid=20601103&amp;sid=aOebUmc8GqVY&amp;refer=us\">Bloomberg<\/a><\/strong> suggests that speculators feel that Rio Tinto's bid will spark more aluminum-industry takeovers. <\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: small;\"><span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\"><strong>What About ALCOA?<\/strong><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: small;\">How did Alcoa make out after the rejection? Well, with an open (7\/12) of over 5.3% increase from previous days close, and since had an additional 3.8% increase in after hours trading between the 7\/12 and 7\/13. If <strong><a href=\"http:\/\/club.ino.com\/join\/?ltblog713\">MarketClub<\/a><\/strong> members had been using the suggested technique they would have been in a position to gain off the rejection of the Alcoa bid. <\/span><\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"file:\/\/\/C:\/DOCUME%7E1\/Owner\/LOCALS%7E1\/Temp\/moz-screenshot-186.jpg\" alt=\"\" \/><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"\/uploads\/Image\/Lindsay\/Al%20Monthly%281%29.gif\" alt=\"\" width=\"382\" height=\"259\" \/> <img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"\/uploads\/Image\/Lindsay\/AL%20Week%203.gif\" alt=\"\" width=\"389\" height=\"257\" \/><\/p>\n<div><span style=\"font-size: medium;\"><strong> Monthly                                                                                                         Weekly<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: small;\">Alcoa - We were given a monthly green triangle on 11-22-06 @ 30.32. We could have taken this as in initial entry point, or we could have used it to signify that we should be taking long position on green weekly triangles. Let's say we used it to enter. We then use the weekly chart for exits and reentries. See table below for triangle signals loss and gains.<br \/>\n<\/span><\/p>\n<div>\n<table style=\"height: 65px;\" border=\"1\" cellspacing=\"1\" cellpadding=\"1\" width=\"693\">\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td align=\"center\"><span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\"><strong>Entry Date<\/strong><\/span><\/td>\n<td align=\"center\"><span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\"><strong>Price<\/strong><\/span><\/td>\n<td align=\"center\"><span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\"><strong>Exit Date<\/strong><\/span><\/td>\n<td align=\"center\"><span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\"><strong>Price<\/strong><\/span><\/td>\n<td align=\"center\"><span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\"><strong>Loss\/Gain<\/strong><\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td align=\"center\">11-22-06<\/td>\n<td align=\"center\">30.32<\/td>\n<td align=\"center\">12-21-06<\/td>\n<td align=\"center\">29.85<\/td>\n<td align=\"center\"><strong><span style=\"color: #ff0000;\">-.47\/share<\/span><\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td align=\"center\">1-19-07<\/td>\n<td align=\"center\">31.17<\/td>\n<td align=\"center\">3-5-07<\/td>\n<td align=\"center\">32.13<\/td>\n<td align=\"center\"><span style=\"color: #33cc33;\"><strong>+.96\/share<\/strong><\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td align=\"center\" valign=\"top\">4-03-07<\/td>\n<td align=\"center\" valign=\"top\">34.56<\/td>\n<td align=\"center\" valign=\"top\">4-24-07<\/td>\n<td align=\"center\" valign=\"top\">33.69<\/td>\n<td align=\"center\" valign=\"top\"><strong><span style=\"color: #ff0000;\">-.87\/share<\/span><\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td align=\"center\" valign=\"top\">5-07-07<\/td>\n<td align=\"center\" valign=\"top\">36.5<\/td>\n<td align=\"center\" valign=\"top\">6-27-07<\/td>\n<td align=\"center\" valign=\"top\">38.25<\/td>\n<td align=\"center\" valign=\"top\"><span style=\"color: #33cc33;\"><strong>+1.75\/share<\/strong><\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td align=\"center\" valign=\"top\"><span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\">7-12-07<\/span><\/td>\n<td align=\"center\" valign=\"top\"><span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\">42.9<\/span><\/td>\n<td align=\"center\" valign=\"top\"><span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\">Current<\/span><\/td>\n<td align=\"center\" valign=\"top\"><span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\">47.1<\/span><\/td>\n<td align=\"center\" valign=\"top\"><span style=\"color: #33cc33;\"><span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\"><strong>+4.2\/share if sold off<\/strong><\/span><\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td valign=\"top\"><\/td>\n<td valign=\"top\"><\/td>\n<td valign=\"top\"><\/td>\n<td valign=\"top\"><\/td>\n<td align=\"center\" valign=\"top\"><span style=\"color: #33cc33; font-size: medium;\"><strong>Up $5.48 Per Share<\/strong><\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<div><span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\"><strong><span style=\"font-size: small;\">Let's Hear It For ALCAN<\/span><\/strong><\/span><\/div>\n<div><span style=\"font-size: small;\">How did Alcan do after the big news? Well, with an close of $89.6 on 7\/11, after hours trading helped AL open at $98\/share... an $8.4 per share increase... a whopping 9.4% gain overnight. If<strong> <a href=\"http:\/\/club.ino.com\/join\/?ltblog713\">MarketClub<\/a><\/strong> members had been using the suggested technique they would have been in a position to earn big throughout the whole year with Alcan.<\/span><\/div>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: small;\"> <\/span><\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"file:\/\/\/C:\/DOCUME%7E1\/Owner\/LOCALS%7E1\/Temp\/moz-screenshot-186.jpg\" alt=\"\" \/> <img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"\/uploads\/Image\/Lindsay\/A%20L%20Moo.gif\" alt=\"\" width=\"386\" height=\"261\" align=\"left\" \/> <img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"\/uploads\/Image\/Lindsay\/AL%20WEEE.gif\" alt=\"\" width=\"389\" height=\"268\" align=\"left\" \/><\/p>\n<div><span style=\"font-size: medium;\"><strong> <\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: medium;\"><strong><br \/>\nMonthly                                                                                                         Weekly<br \/>\n<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div><span style=\"font-size: small;\"> Alcan - We were given a monthly green triangle on 11-21-06 @ 48.46, by the congruence with AA we can see that the industry trend had changed in late November.  We could have taken this as in initial entry point, or we could have used it to signify that we should be taking long position on green weekly triangles. Let's say we used it to enter. We then use the weekly chart for exits and reentries. See table below for triangle signals loss and gains. <\/span><\/div>\n<div>\n<table style=\"height: 65px;\" border=\"1\" cellspacing=\"1\" cellpadding=\"1\" width=\"693\">\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td align=\"center\"><span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\"><strong>Entry Date<\/strong><\/span><\/td>\n<td align=\"center\"><span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\"><strong>Price<\/strong><\/span><\/td>\n<td align=\"center\"><span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\"><strong>Exit Date<\/strong><\/span><\/td>\n<td align=\"center\"><span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\"><strong>Price<\/strong><\/span><\/td>\n<td align=\"center\"><span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\"><strong>Loss\/Gain<\/strong><\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td align=\"center\">11-21-06<\/td>\n<td align=\"center\">48.46<\/td>\n<td align=\"center\">12-19-06<\/td>\n<td align=\"center\">47.22<\/td>\n<td align=\"center\"><strong><span style=\"color: #ff0000;\">-1.24\/share<\/span><br \/>\n<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td align=\"center\">1-12-07<\/td>\n<td align=\"center\">49.78<\/td>\n<td align=\"center\">3-1-07<\/td>\n<td align=\"center\">50.11<\/td>\n<td align=\"center\"><span style=\"color: #33cc33;\"><strong>+.33\/share<\/strong><\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td align=\"center\" valign=\"top\">4-09-07<\/td>\n<td align=\"center\" valign=\"top\">53.78<\/td>\n<td align=\"center\" valign=\"top\">6-26-07<\/td>\n<td align=\"center\" valign=\"top\">81.5<\/td>\n<td align=\"center\" valign=\"top\"><span style=\"color: #33cc33;\"><strong>+27.72\/share<\/strong><\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td align=\"center\" valign=\"top\"><span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\">7-03-07<br \/>\n<\/span><\/td>\n<td align=\"center\" valign=\"top\"><span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\">84.97<br \/>\n<\/span><\/td>\n<td align=\"center\" valign=\"top\"><span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\">Current<br \/>\n<\/span><\/td>\n<td align=\"center\" valign=\"top\"><span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\">97.67<br \/>\n<\/span><\/td>\n<td align=\"center\" valign=\"top\"><span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\"><span style=\"color: #33cc33;\"><strong>+12.7\/share<br \/>\n<\/strong><\/span><\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td valign=\"top\"><\/td>\n<td valign=\"top\"><\/td>\n<td valign=\"top\"><\/td>\n<td valign=\"top\"><\/td>\n<td align=\"center\" valign=\"top\"><span style=\"color: #33cc33; font-size: medium;\"><strong>Up $38.85 Per Share<\/strong><\/span><span style=\"color: #33cc33;\"><br \/>\n<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<div><span style=\"font-size: small;\"><span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\"><strong>What's Next<\/strong><\/span><\/span><\/div>\n<div><span style=\"font-size: small;\">Will Rio Tinto\/Alcan try to bid on Alcoa? Does the removal of Alcoa's bid signify weakness... and if so, will they be the next company to be taken over? I think anything is still a possibility. The important lesson is to not follow the hype, but listen to the market. Our club members were guided to a $5.48\/share profit with AA and $38.85\/share profit with AL. No hype, just with triangles. <\/span><\/div>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: small;\"> <\/span><\/p>\n<div><span style=\"font-size: small;\">If you aren't a member...<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: small;\"> -Sign Up For Our <a href=\"http:\/\/club.ino.com\/join\/guarantee\/?ltblog713\">30-Day Money Back Guarantee<\/a><br \/>\n-Paper trade these and other markets with our <a href=\"http:\/\/club.ino.com\/join\/whatyouget\/?ltblog713\">Trade The Triangle<\/a> technology<br \/>\n-Send your questions and comments my way!<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: small;\"> *<strong><a href=\"https:\/\/secure.ino.com\/products\/marketclub\/?ltblog713\">Click Here To Get Started<\/a><\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: small;\">Best Wishes,<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: small;\"><a href=\"mailto:li*****@in*.com\" data-original-string=\"x8HAdZg47bTjnJcdJMpdrQ==\" title=\"This contact has been encoded by Anti-Spam by CleanTalk. Click to decode. To finish the decoding make sure that JavaScript is enabled in your browser.?subject=Blog%20Commentary%20-%20Alcoa\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"\/uploads\/Image\/Lindsay\/lindsay.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"60\" height=\"83\" \/><\/a> <img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"\/uploads\/Image\/Lindsay\/lt%20sig%20red.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"80\" height=\"50\" \/><br \/>\n<\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<!-- AddThis Advanced Settings generic via filter on the_content --><!-- AddThis Share Buttons generic via filter on the_content -->","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Canadian aluminum company, Alcan (AL), had some decisions to make. Who's offer to take... Alcoa (AA), one of the globe's leading suppliers of bauxite, alumina and aluminum, or Rio Tinto (RTP), a leading company in mining and mineral processing. After Rio Tinto offered $101 (USD) per all Alcan's outstanding common shares (a total equity consideration [&hellip;]<!-- AddThis Advanced Settings generic via filter on get_the_excerpt --><!-- AddThis Share Buttons generic via filter on get_the_excerpt --><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":7,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[4],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-135","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-trading-tips"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v23.4 (Yoast SEO v23.6) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Alcoa lost... but MarketClub members won.  - INO.com Trader&#039;s Blog<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.ino.com\/blog\/2007\/07\/alcoa-lost-but-marketclub-members-won\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Alcoa lost... but MarketClub members won.  - INO.com Trader&#039;s Blog\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Canadian aluminum company, Alcan (AL), had some decisions to make. Who&#039;s offer to take... Alcoa (AA), one of the globe&#039;s leading suppliers of bauxite, alumina and aluminum, or Rio Tinto (RTP), a leading company in mining and mineral processing. 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Who's offer to take... Alcoa (AA), one of the globe's leading suppliers of bauxite, alumina and aluminum, or Rio Tinto (RTP), a leading company in mining and mineral processing. 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