{"id":35894,"date":"2015-10-17T08:30:48","date_gmt":"2015-10-17T12:30:48","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.ino.com\/blog\/?p=35894"},"modified":"2015-10-15T16:12:21","modified_gmt":"2015-10-15T20:12:21","slug":"the-2-most-important-keys-to-successful-trading","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/wwwtest.ino.com\/blog\/2015\/10\/the-2-most-important-keys-to-successful-trading\/","title":{"rendered":"The 2 Most Important Keys to Successful Trading"},"content":{"rendered":"<h3 style=\"margin-top: 0px;\"><span style=\"font-size: small;\"> Examples from Whole Foods Market (WFM) and Reynolds American, Inc (RAI) show you what to do (or not) to trade successfully with Elliott. <\/span><\/h3>\n<h3 style=\"margin-top: 0px;\"><span style=\"font-size: small;\">By Elliott Wave International<\/span><\/h3>\n<p>After 20 years of experience applying Elliott wave analysis in real markets, our Senior Analyst Jeffrey Kennedy says that it remains <strong>the only<\/strong> tool that will tell him -- down to the tick, to the pip, even to the penny \u2013 when his forecast is no longer viable.<\/p>\n<p>That, according to Kennedy, are\u00a0two most important keys to successful trading:<\/p>\n<ol>\n<li>\"Know where you are wrong,\" and<\/li>\n<li>\"Don't pick tops and bottoms\"<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<p>See the logic behind Kennedy's wisdom by reviewing these two timeless lessons from his <em>Trader's Classroom <\/em>service: Whole Foods Market, Inc. (<strong>WFM<\/strong>) and Reynolds American, Inc. (<strong>RAI<\/strong>). Then, <a href=\"http:\/\/www.elliottwave.com\/r.asp?acn=09ino&amp;rcn=aa564&amp;dy=aa0101315a&amp;url=http:\/\/www.elliottwave.com\/club\/trader-education-week\/default.aspx?code=101034%26articleid=4143\">see how you can get more free lessons during Kennedy's popular <b>Trader Education Week<\/b><\/a>, going on now!<\/p>\n<p>WFM's forecast was right and RAI's was wrong. While price evidence was compelling for both issues, the forecast in WFM was in the direction of the trend and RAI's incorporated top picking. Here's what happened:<!--more--><\/p>\n<p>Price evidence called for new highs in Whole Foods Market, Inc. on May 1. We had a clearly defined uptrend, a three wave move in the direction opposite the primary trend, and the move to the downside was contained within parallel lines:<\/p>\n<p align=\"center\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"\/\/www.elliottwave.com\/images\/freeupdates\/WFMEWJ1.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"390\" height=\"349\" \/><\/p>\n<p>Additionally, we had a double closed-key reversal when the low was made, as well as some bullish divergence on the smaller timeframes. Price evidence was very strong that this market would continue to new all-time highs, so my outlook was bullish.<\/p>\n<p>The bullish outlook in WFM required the April low of $81.39 to hold. The trend was clearly up from 2009 into 2013. From an Elliott Wave perspective we knew that this was a countertrend move with an A-B-C structure (a corrective wave pattern within a larger trending market). We had the wind at our back and were not \"picking a top.\" We simply looked at the price evidence in support of a further rally.<\/p>\n<p align=\"center\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"\/\/www.elliottwave.com\/images\/freeupdates\/WFMEWJ2.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"390\" height=\"353\" \/><\/p>\n<p>Conversely, the following example in Reynolds America, Inc. did not work out.<\/p>\n<p>On March 22, I anticipated a move to the downside in Reynolds American, Inc. as a five-wave decline and the subsequent advance as a three-wave move. I was looking for a tradeable selloff to the downside in wave (C) or wave (3):<\/p>\n<p align=\"center\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"\/\/www.elliottwave.com\/images\/freeupdates\/RAIEWJ0.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"390\" height=\"357\" \/><\/p>\n<p>Unlike the successful WFM example, I was not trading with the trend. Instead, I was looking for a \"top.\"<\/p>\n<p>Yet I was able to prevent a losing trade from becoming a devastating trade because I could use the Elliott Wave Principle to \"know where I was wrong.\"<\/p>\n<p>This bearish wave pattern was viable only as long as prices held below the February high of $45.17.<\/p>\n<p>Once prices exceeded critical resistance, I knew not to look to the downside -- that my outlook was no longer viable:<\/p>\n<p align=\"center\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"\/\/www.elliottwave.com\/images\/freeupdates\/RAIEWJ2.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"390\" height=\"349\" \/><\/p>\n<hr \/>\n<table class=\"body\" style=\"border: solid 5px #EAEAEA; padding: 10px;\">\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td valign=\"top\"><a href=\"http:\/\/www.elliottwave.com\/r.asp?acn=09ino&amp;rcn=aa564&amp;dy=aa0101315a&amp;url=http:\/\/www.elliottwave.com\/club\/trader-education-week\/default.aspx?code=101034%26articleid=4143\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"\/\/www.elliottwave.com\/images\/club\/web_ads\/5669-aq-ewj2.gif\" alt=\"\" width=\"150\" border=\"0\" hspace=\"5\" vspace=\"5\" \/><\/a><\/td>\n<td valign=\"top\">Get more trading lessons from EWI's Jeffrey Kennedy:<\/p>\n<h3><a href=\"http:\/\/www.elliottwave.com\/r.asp?acn=09ino&amp;rcn=aa564&amp;dy=aa0101315a&amp;url=http:\/\/www.elliottwave.com\/club\/trader-education-week\/default.aspx?code=101034%26articleid=4143\">Announcing Trader Education Week<\/a><\/h3>\n<p>Join us for a FREE trading event that will teach you how to spot trading opportunities in your charts. Spend this week getting free trading lessons that you can apply to your trading immediately -- from one of the world's foremost market technicians, Jeffrey Kennedy.<\/p>\n<p>Whether you are new to trading or have years of experience, you'll benefit from Jeffrey's easy-to-understand style and clear presentation. He'll cover topics such as:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Patterns that lead to high-confidence trade setups<\/li>\n<li>Momentum indicators to support your pattern analysis<\/li>\n<li>Japanese candlestick patterns that alert you to a change of trend<\/li>\n<li>How to manage your trades using protective stops<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/www.elliottwave.com\/r.asp?acn=09ino&amp;rcn=aa564&amp;dy=aa0101315a&amp;url=http:\/\/www.elliottwave.com\/club\/trader-education-week\/default.aspx?code=101034%26articleid=4143\">Register now for your FREE week of trading lessons<\/a><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<div>\n<p style=\"padding-top: 10px; border-top: solid 1px #CCCCCC;\"><em>This article was syndicated by Elliott Wave International and was originally published under the headline <a href=\"http:\/\/www.elliottwave.com\/r.asp?acn=09ino&amp;rcn=aa564&amp;dy=aa0101315a&amp;url=http:\/\/www.elliottwave.com\/freeupdates\/archives\/2015\/10\/12\/2-Most-Important-Keys-to-Successful-Trading-.aspx\"><strong>The 2 Most Important Keys to Successful Trading<\/strong><\/a>. EWI is the world's largest market forecasting firm. Its staff of full-time analysts led by Chartered Market Technician Robert Prechter provides 24-hour-a-day market analysis to institutional and private investors around the world.<\/em><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<!-- AddThis Advanced Settings generic via filter on the_content --><!-- AddThis Share Buttons generic via filter on the_content -->","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Examples from Whole Foods Market (WFM) and Reynolds American, Inc (RAI) show you what to do (or not) to trade successfully with Elliott. By Elliott Wave International After 20 years of experience applying Elliott wave analysis in real markets, our Senior Analyst Jeffrey Kennedy says that it remains the only tool that will tell him [&hellip;]<!-- AddThis Advanced Settings generic via filter on get_the_excerpt --><!-- AddThis Share Buttons generic via filter on get_the_excerpt --><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":41,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[6590,5091,8023,8024],"class_list":["post-35894","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-general","tag-elliott-wave-international-ewi","tag-jeffrey-kennedy","tag-reynolds-american-inc-rai","tag-whole-foods-market-inc-wfm"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v23.4 (Yoast SEO v23.6) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>The 2 Most Important Keys to Successful Trading - INO.com Trader&#039;s Blog<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.ino.com\/blog\/2015\/10\/the-2-most-important-keys-to-successful-trading\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"The 2 Most Important Keys to Successful Trading - INO.com Trader&#039;s Blog\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Examples from Whole Foods Market (WFM) and Reynolds American, Inc (RAI) show you what to do (or not) to trade successfully with Elliott. 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