{"id":41481,"date":"2017-01-17T10:02:55","date_gmt":"2017-01-17T15:02:55","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.ino.com\/blog\/?p=41481"},"modified":"2017-01-17T10:02:55","modified_gmt":"2017-01-17T15:02:55","slug":"this-coin-smashed-all-again-and-again-to-pieces","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/wwwtest.ino.com\/blog\/2017\/01\/this-coin-smashed-all-again-and-again-to-pieces\/","title":{"rendered":"This Coin Smashed All...Again...And Again To Pieces!"},"content":{"rendered":"<p style=\"margin: 0 0;\"><a href=\"http:\/\/www.ino.com\/blog\/meet-aibek-burabayev\/\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"\/\/www.ino.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/12\/contributorbadge_aibek350.png\" alt=\"Aibek Burabayev - INO.com Contributor - Metals\" width=\"350\" height=\"131\" class=\"alignleft size-full wp-image-30702\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.ino.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/12\/contributorbadge_aibek350.png 350w, https:\/\/www.ino.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/12\/contributorbadge_aibek350-300x112.png 300w, https:\/\/www.ino.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/12\/contributorbadge_aibek350-270x100.png 270w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 350px) 100vw, 350px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin: 0 0;\"><br style= \"clear:both;\"><\/p>\n<p>A year ago I <a href=\"http:\/\/www.ino.com\/blog\/2016\/01\/this-coin-beats-all\" target=\"_blank\">wrote<\/a> about the comparative dynamics of three outstanding kinds of money of different generations \u2013 the older generation was represented by gold, the 20th-century generation was represented by the Dollar (Index) and for the modern generation I used the cryptocurrency Bitcoin (BTC). I think some of you have just discovered the serious value of Bitcoin as it just crushed the rivals doubling its value. The dollar index (DXY) gained only 8% as gold showed negative dynamics in 2015. Below I put the result of the poll you voted on a year ago for the 2016 year performance.<\/p>\n<h2 style=\"color: #003380; font-size: 17px;\">Chart 1. Voting results January 2016: You Bet On Safety<\/h2>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full\" src=\"\/img\/sites\/ino\/email\/8175.jpg\" alt=\"INO.com Bitcoin Poll Results \" width=\"481\" height=\"209\" \/><\/p>\n<p>I noticed that there are a plenty of gold bugs among regular readers as gold gathered the most votes. The second position went to bitcoin and it shows that there are many modern enthusiasts among our readers. It looks like the least amount of optimism was felt about the US dollar\u2019s future although it didn\u2019t rank the last in 2015. Let\u2019s see, in the chart below who the winner was.<!--more--><\/p>\n<h2 style=\"color: #003380; font-size: 17px;\">Chart 2. Bitcoin Vs. Gold Vs. Dollar Index in 2016: Deja Vu!<\/h2>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/quotes.ino.com\/img\/sites\/ino\/email\/8177.jpg\" target=\"_blank\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" src=\"\/img\/sites\/ino\/email\/8177.jpg\" alt=\"Chart of Bitcoin vs. Gold vs. U.S. Dollar Index\" width=\"1251\" height=\"512\" \/><\/a><br \/>\n<small>Chart courtesy of tradingview.com<\/small><\/p>\n<p>The majority of readers\u2019 votes turned out to be wrong. Another brilliant victory of the cryptocurrency which scored even more than in the previous year hitting a 120% handle. It is amazing that bitcoin gained the maximum by the end of the year, making a Santa Claus Rally, which is more common for gold\u2019s behavior.<\/p>\n<p>At the start of 2016 it wasn\u2019t obvious that the digital currency (blue line) could gain anything at all as it hit the minus 20% mark (the normal range for it) amid profit taking. It recovered above the zero point only in April and then rocketed above a whopping 80% level gain in June at the $773 mark. This sky-high level attracted sellers who pushed the price to $465 low with a temporary stop at the $600 level. The gain melted dramatically from 81% down to just 22% falling below a rising gold. This deep correction was just a step back before a new takeoff as the price started to smoothly elevate higher in August, this time without violent price action until the last week before the Christmas. By that time Bitcoin gained back its losses and crossed the 80% mark again. And then the above mentioned Santa Rally broke the 100% handle and on the 4th of January (not shown here) it scored almost 160% level at $1140, the level not seen since November 2013! The performance of Bitcoin in 2016 has significant difference compared to 2015 \u2013 this time it has obvious steady uptrend with huge volatility.<\/p>\n<p>The dynamics of gold (orange line) in 2016 was described <a href=\"http:\/\/www.ino.com\/blog\/2016\/12\/precious-metals-in-2016-the-dark-horse-won-the-prize\/\" target=\"_blank\">last month<\/a>. This metal wasn\u2019t at the top even among other metals so there is nothing I can add. It gained only 8.5%.<\/p>\n<p>The US dollar (index) (red line) scored just 3.7% by the end of 2016. The fiat currency is an ultimate loser and it justified the lowest bet level made last year. Its price line looks flat like a skyline with the narrow range between -6% and +5% marks.<\/p>\n<p>The \u201ckid\u201d again stole the show. I put an interesting statistics chart below for your information.<\/p>\n<h2 style=\"color: #003380; font-size: 17px;\">Chart 3. Confirmed Bitcoin Transactions Per Day: Exponential Growth<\/h2>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/quotes.ino.com\/img\/sites\/ino\/email\/8178.jpg\" target=\"_blank\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" src=\"\/img\/sites\/ino\/email\/8178.jpg\" alt=\"Bitcoin Transactions Per Day \" width=\"1326\" height=\"407\" \/><\/a><br \/>\n<small>Chart courtesy of blockchain.info<\/small><\/p>\n<p>On the chart above, you can see the rapid exponential growth of the amount of daily confirmed Bitcoin transactions, which tripled in the last 2 years hitting the 300, 000 mark. This shows the stable growth of Bitcoin\u2019s usage around the world. To compare the amount of SWIFT (interbank) payments is stable at 10-13 million transactions per day for the past 3 years. It surely can take some time to reach this level of fiat currency transactions, but it doesn\u2019t look impossible anymore.<\/p>\n<p>I need your valuable opinion again for this year and I encourage you to vote below:<\/p>\n<div id=\"polls-229\" class=\"wp-polls\">\n\t<form id=\"polls_form_229\" class=\"wp-polls-form\" action=\"\/blog\/index.php\" method=\"post\">\n\t\t<p style=\"display: none;\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"poll_229_nonce\" name=\"wp-polls-nonce\" value=\"937b5f4d40\" \/><\/p>\n\t\t<p style=\"display: none;\"><input type=\"hidden\" name=\"poll_id\" value=\"229\" \/><\/p>\n\t\t<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><strong>Which instrument will gain the most in 2017?<\/strong><\/p><div id=\"polls-229-ans\" class=\"wp-polls-ans\"><ul class=\"wp-polls-ul\">\n\t\t<li><input type=\"radio\" id=\"poll-answer-728\" name=\"poll_229\" value=\"728\" \/> <label for=\"poll-answer-728\">Bitcoin<\/label><\/li>\n\t\t<li><input type=\"radio\" id=\"poll-answer-729\" name=\"poll_229\" value=\"729\" \/> <label for=\"poll-answer-729\">Gold<\/label><\/li>\n\t\t<li><input type=\"radio\" id=\"poll-answer-730\" name=\"poll_229\" value=\"730\" \/> <label for=\"poll-answer-730\">U.S. Dollar Index<\/label><\/li>\n\t\t<\/ul><p style=\"text-align: center;\"><input type=\"button\" name=\"vote\" value=\"   Vote   \" class=\"Buttons\" onclick=\"poll_vote(229);\" onkeypress=\"poll_result(229);\" \/><\/p><p style=\"text-align: center;\"><a href=\"#ViewPollResults\" onclick=\"poll_result(229); return false;\" onkeypress=\"poll_result(229); return false;\" title=\"View Results Of This Poll\">View Results<\/a><\/p><\/div>\n\t<\/form>\n<\/div>\n<div id=\"polls-229-loading\" class=\"wp-polls-loading\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.ino.com\/blog\/wp-content\/plugins\/wp-polls\/images\/loading.gif\" width=\"16\" height=\"16\" alt=\"Loading ...\" title=\"Loading ...\" class=\"wp-polls-image\" \/>&nbsp;Loading ...<\/div>\n\n<h2 style=\"color: #003380; font-size: 17px;\">Chart 4. Gold\/Bitcoin Ratio: High-Pressure Around Parity<\/h2>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/quotes.ino.com\/img\/sites\/ino\/email\/8179.jpg\" target=\"_blank\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" src=\"\/img\/sites\/ino\/email\/8179.jpg\" alt=\"Chart of Gold\/Bitcoin Ratio\" width=\"1247\" height=\"525\" \/><\/a><br \/>\n<small>Chart courtesy of tradingview.com<\/small><\/p>\n<p>Last year I was expecting a \u201cdead cat bounce\u201d in the ratio dynamics with a crucial resistance at 5 BTC level, which wasn\u2019t even approached. The intermediate resistance set at 3.5 BTC mark either wasn\u2019t triggered. The ratio topped the 3.3 BTC mark last February and then dropped down heavily to 1.67 BTC low last June.<\/p>\n<p>Another good, but the last attempt higher was taken in August, during which the ratio reached the 2.9 BTC mark. But this gain was short-lived and the ratio closed the month much lower at 2.3 BTC. Last October the ratio broke further down below 2 BTC mark and this opened the way to a firm slide to the parity, not seen from the end of 2013 amid very low volatility. The strong support at this magic 1.00 BTC, where the prices of these instruments are equal, held well for the second time.<\/p>\n<p>The ratio is now squeezed between the two blue trendlines and the pressure is rising as the range narrowed dramatically. The support sits on the parity where both the lower trendline and the previous bottom level are crossing. The gold\/bitcoin ratio almost reached the upper trendline located at 1.5 BTC level last week. The breakup of it would start the reversal to the upside, which means the strength of the gold over bitcoin. The drop below parity has no visible supports except the zero point, which is much farther than it seems to be.<\/p>\n<p>It\u2019s so exciting to see how quickly the digital era develops. Who could imagine that something that did not exist a decade ago already reached the value of the perpetual favorite?<\/p>\n<p>Intelligent trades!<\/p>\n<p><a title=\"Meet Aibek Burabeyev\" href=\"http:\/\/www.ino.com\/blog\/meet-aibek-burabayev\/\">Aibek Burabayev<\/a><br \/>\nINO.com Contributor, Metals<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: 12px; font-style: italic;\">Disclosure: This contributor has no positions in any stocks mentioned in this article. This article is the opinion of the contributor themselves. The above is a matter of opinion provided for general information purposes only and is not intended as investment advice. This contributor is not receiving compensation (other than from INO.com) for their opinion.<\/span><\/p>\n<!-- AddThis Advanced Settings generic via filter on the_content --><!-- AddThis Share Buttons generic via filter on the_content -->","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>A year ago I wrote about the comparative dynamics of three outstanding kinds of money of different generations \u2013 the older generation was represented by gold, the 20th-century generation was represented by the Dollar (Index) and for the modern generation I used the cryptocurrency Bitcoin (BTC). I think some of you have just discovered the [&hellip;]<!-- AddThis Advanced Settings generic via filter on get_the_excerpt --><!-- AddThis Share Buttons generic via filter on get_the_excerpt --><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":21,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[6920],"tags":[6922,5131,6223,28,6243,8236,23,8238,1873,6544,8237],"class_list":["post-41481","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-ino-com-contributors","tag-aibek-burabayev","tag-bitcoin","tag-bitcoin-mining","tag-crude-oil","tag-cryptocurrency","tag-digital-currency","tag-gold","tag-goldbitcoin-ratio","tag-metals","tag-u-s-dollar-index","tag-virtual-currency"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v23.4 (Yoast SEO v23.6) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>This Coin Smashed All...Again...And Again To Pieces! - INO.com Trader&#039;s Blog<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.ino.com\/blog\/2017\/01\/this-coin-smashed-all-again-and-again-to-pieces\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"This Coin Smashed All...Again...And Again To Pieces! - INO.com Trader&#039;s Blog\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"A year ago I wrote about the comparative dynamics of three outstanding kinds of money of different generations \u2013 the older generation was represented by gold, the 20th-century generation was represented by the Dollar (Index) and for the modern generation I used the cryptocurrency Bitcoin (BTC). 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