{"id":50011,"date":"2019-07-05T10:18:45","date_gmt":"2019-07-05T14:18:45","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.ino.com\/blog\/?p=50011"},"modified":"2019-07-05T10:18:45","modified_gmt":"2019-07-05T14:18:45","slug":"are-real-estate-etfs-the-next-big-trade-part-2","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/wwwtest.ino.com\/blog\/2019\/07\/are-real-estate-etfs-the-next-big-trade-part-2\/","title":{"rendered":"Are Real Estate ETFs The Next Big Trade? - Part 2"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>In <strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.ino.com\/blog\/2019\/07\/are-real-estate-etfs-the-next-big-trade\/\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\">part I<\/a><\/strong> of this research post, we highlighted how the shifting landscape of the US real estate market may be setting up an incredible trading opportunity for technical traders.  It is our belief that the continued capital shift which has been driving foreign investment into US assets, real estate, and other investments may be shifting away from US real estate as tell-tale signs of stress are starting to show. Foreclosures and price drops are one of the first signs that stress exists in the markets and we believe the real estate segment could be setting up for an incredible trade opportunity.<\/p>\n<p>The <strong>Proshares Ultrashort Real Estate ETF (SRS)<\/strong> has recently completed a unique \u201cwashout low\u201d price bottom that we believe may become an incredible trading opportunity for technical traders.  If the US Fed pushes the market into a panic mode, sellers will become even more desperate to offload their homes and buyers will become even more discerning in terms of selecting what and when to buy.<\/p>\n<p>Our opinion is that the recent \u201cwashout low\u201d price bottom in SRS is very likely to be a unique \u201cscouting party\u201d low\/bottom that may set up a very big move to the upside over the next 4 to 12+ months. If our research is correct, the continued forward navigation for the US Fed, global central banks and the average consumers buying and selling homes is about to become very volatile. <\/p>\n<p>If SRS moves above the $25.50 level, our first upside Fibonacci price target and clears the $24.25 previous peak set in April 2019, it would be a very clear indication that a risk trade in Real Estate is back in play. Ideally, price holding above the $21.65 level would provide a very clear level of support negating any future price weakness below $21.50.<!--more--><\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/assets.ino.com\/img\/sites\/ino\/email\/10714.jpg\" width=\"850\" height=\"470\" alt=\"real estate ETFs\" class=\"aligncenter size-full\" \/><\/p>\n<p>This weekly SRS chart highlights what we believe to be the optimal BUY ZONE and the upside price targets near $28 to $29. Since the bottom in 2009-10, after the credit market crisis, we have not seen any substantial risk in the Real Estate market for over 8+ years. Now, though, it is our opinion that this risk trade is very real and that technical trader should be aware of this potential move and what it means to protect assets and wealth.<\/p>\n<p>If our research proves to be accurate and any future move by the US Fed will prompt a \u201crush to the exits\u201d by home sellers, then there is really only one course of action left for us to consider. Either the Fed will reduce rates, buying some at-risk sellers a bit of time before a rush to sell overwhelms the markets and prices begin a fast decline in an attempt to secure quick buyers; or the Fed will leave rates at current levels where at-risk sellers will continue to attempt to offload their homes to any willing buyers before declining prices and panicked sellers start the \u201crace to the bottom\u201d in terms of pricing.<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/assets.ino.com\/img\/sites\/ino\/email\/10715.jpg\" width=\"850\" height=\"470\" alt=\"real estate ETFs\" class=\"aligncenter size-full\" \/><\/p>\n<h2 style=\"color: #003380; font-size: 20px;\">Concluding Thoughts<\/h2>\n<p>Real Estate has already run through the price advance cycle and the price maturity cycle. There is really only one cycle left to unfold at this point \u2013 the \u201cprice revaluation cycle\u201d. This is where the opportunity lies with our suggested SRS trade setup.<\/p>\n<p>We believe this bottom in SRS will result in a few more weeks of trading near price support (above $20 and below $22.50) where traders will be able to acquire their positions.  The bigger move will happen as risk becomes more evident \u2013 very similar to what has recently happened in Gold. Once that risk is visible to traders\/investors, the upside potentials ($28+ to $42+) won\u2019t seem so illogical any longer.<\/p>\n<p>You don\u2019t have to be smart to make money in the stock market, you just need to think differently. That means: we do not equate an \u201cup\u201d market with a \u201cgood\u201d market and vi versa \u2013 all markets present opportunities to make money!<\/p>\n<p>We believe you can always take what the market gives you, and make a CONSISTENT money. <\/p>\n<p>Learn more by visiting <strong><a href=\"https:\/\/broadcast.ino.com\/redirect\/?linkid=4558\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\">The Technical Traders<\/a><\/strong>! <\/p>\n<p>Chris Vermeulen<br \/>\n<a href=\"https:\/\/broadcast.ino.com\/redirect\/?linkid=4558\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\">Technical Traders Ltd.<\/a><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: 12px; font-style: italic;\">Disclosure: This article is the opinion of the contributor themselves. The above is a matter of opinion provided for general information purposes only and is not intended as investment advice. This contributor is not receiving compensation for their opinion.<\/span><\/p>\n<!-- AddThis Advanced Settings generic via filter on the_content --><!-- AddThis Share Buttons generic via filter on the_content -->","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>In part I of this research post, we highlighted how the shifting landscape of the US real estate market may be setting up an incredible trading opportunity for technical traders. It is our belief that the continued capital shift which has been driving foreign investment into US assets, real estate, and other investments may be [&hellip;]<!-- AddThis Advanced Settings generic via filter on get_the_excerpt --><!-- AddThis Share Buttons generic via filter on get_the_excerpt --><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":29,"featured_media":50013,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[6920],"tags":[3046,13469,7698,9913],"class_list":["post-50011","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ino-com-contributors","tag-chris-vermeulen","tag-proshares-ultrashort-real-estate-etf-srs","tag-real-estate-etfs","tag-the-technical-traders"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v23.4 (Yoast SEO v23.6) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Are Real Estate ETFs The Next Big Trade? - Part 2 - INO.com Trader&#039;s Blog<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"A subscriber recently mentioned getting into real estate ETFs so we started going over the data which may suggest that Real Estate is the next big trade.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.ino.com\/blog\/2019\/07\/are-real-estate-etfs-the-next-big-trade-part-2\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Are Real Estate ETFs The Next Big Trade? 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