{"id":5072,"date":"2010-12-29T13:55:25","date_gmt":"2010-12-29T17:55:25","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/club.ino.com\/trading\/?p=5072"},"modified":"2010-12-29T14:20:52","modified_gmt":"2010-12-29T18:20:52","slug":"adam-makes-5-big-market-predictions-for-2011","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/wwwtest.ino.com\/blog\/2010\/12\/adam-makes-5-big-market-predictions-for-2011\/","title":{"rendered":"Adam's 5 Big Market Predictions for 2011"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><a href=\"http:\/\/club.ino.com\/trading\/wp-content\/uploads\/2010\/12\/binoc.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignleft size-full wp-image-5078\" title=\"binoc\" src=\"\/\/club.ino.com\/trading\/wp-content\/uploads\/2010\/12\/binoc.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"164\" height=\"239\" \/><\/a>It's that time of year again when everyone who is considered an \"expert\" comes out of their ivory towers and makes their annual market predictions for the New Year.<\/p>\n<h3>It's time to <strong>kiss those predictions goodbye.<\/strong><\/h3>\n<p>I can honestly say that I wish I had a crystal ball like these other forecasters, but that's not quite how the markets work. You see, markets don't give a \"Rats A**\" about what forecasters say or what predictions economists make. The market is the only true voice out there.<\/p>\n<p>Think about that for a moment. How many predictions do you remember that were even close to being spot on a year in advance? I remember several forecasts for 2010 and most of them were far from accurate.<\/p>\n<p>Does it make any sense to trade on a year-end forecast, not knowing what can happen in this crazy world we live in? It doesn't make any sense to me or to other professional traders who never trade based on year-end predictions.<\/p>\n<p>So let's get back to reality and take a look back on 2010 to see what the big trends are showing for 2011.<\/p>\n<p><!--more--><\/p>\n<h3><strong>1. GOLD: Major Trade Triangles Bullish<\/strong><\/h3>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/club.ino.com\/trading\/wp-content\/uploads\/2010\/11\/2502.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignleft size-thumbnail wp-image-4760\" style=\"margin: 10px;\" title=\"gold\" src=\"\/\/club.ino.com\/trading\/wp-content\/uploads\/2010\/11\/2502-150x150.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"131\" height=\"131\" \/><\/a>Let's start with everyone's favorite market, gold. Gold is without question the most emotional market in the world. Investors and traders who are involved with this metal are passionate about its future and that can be a bad thing. Let me explain. Back in 1980 gold peaked around $850 an ounce. Had you purchased gold around that time, it would have taken approximately 30 years for gold to get above that level again. Call it the lost 3 decades.<\/p>\n<p>Now the arguments are that the gold market should be trading well above $2,000 and that the central banks and governments are manipulating the price for their own advantage. Don't believe it. There are also hundreds of other conspiracy theories that seem to pop up for this particular market. Like I said, it is a passionate and emotional market.<\/p>\n<p>Here's how I'm going to trade gold in 2011. In 2011, I'm going to rely on MarketClub's <a href=\"http:\/\/club.ino.com\/trading\/trade-triangle-rules\/\" target=\"_self\">\"Trade Triangle\" technology <\/a>which has an excellent track record in gold. <a href=\"http:\/\/club.ino.com\/trading\/category\/world-cup-portfolio\/\" target=\"_blank\">(You can take a look at MarketClub's track record right here.)<\/a> By taking a methodical approach and not guessing which way the wind is blowing, you have a far greater chance to close out 2011 with a big plus for the year.<\/p>\n<p>I expect the gold trend will carry over from 2010 and then change somewhere along the line. This is the history of this market. One thing that I can be 100% certain of is that gold prices will fluctuate in 2011. That's a guarantee!<\/p>\n<h3><strong>2. CRUDE OIL: Major Trade Triangles Bullish<\/strong><\/h3>\n<p>Next, let's take a look at a market that impacts everyone's pocket book, crude oil. Crude oil recently moved over <a href=\"http:\/\/club.ino.com\/trading\/wp-content\/uploads\/2010\/12\/oil.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignright size-full wp-image-5085\" title=\"oil\" src=\"\/\/club.ino.com\/trading\/wp-content\/uploads\/2010\/12\/oil.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"128\" height=\"123\" \/><\/a>$90 to two-year highs and once again shook up excitement in this market. When looking at the fundamental market, we're running out of oil, production continues to go down, and no new oil fields have been discovered in the last several years. The other fundamental story is that China and India are becoming more affluent and developing a middle-class economy which will lead to increased oil consumption to power their newly purchased cars and scooters. This could all be true, however; it really doesn't change the way you should be looking at the market. Once again, we are going to <a href=\"http:\/\/club.ino.com\/trading\/trade-triangle-rules\/\" target=\"_self\">rely on MarketClub\u2019s Trade Triangle technology<\/a>, which has done a stellar job identifying trends in this market over the last few years. <a href=\"http:\/\/club.ino.com\/trading\/category\/world-cup-portfolio\/\" target=\"_blank\">(You can see MarketClub's track record here.)<\/a><\/p>\n<p>So at the moment, the trend in crude oil is on the upside for 2011.<\/p>\n<h3><strong>3. US DOLLAR INDEX: Major Trade Triangles Mixed to Negative<br \/>\n<\/strong><\/h3>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/club.ino.com\/trading\/wp-content\/uploads\/2010\/07\/iStock_000007230609XSmall1.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignleft size-full wp-image-2141\" title=\"iStock_000007230609XSmall\" src=\"\/\/club.ino.com\/trading\/wp-content\/uploads\/2010\/07\/iStock_000007230609XSmall1.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"195\" height=\"143\" \/><\/a>The other big market that everyone is talking about is the US dollar. You may or may not remember the doomsday forecasts in December of 2009 for the dollar. Quite the opposite occurred as the dollar enjoyed a spectacular rally for the next six months. That's the whole point of this report; listen to the markets and ignore the predictions of the so-called experts. <a href=\"http:\/\/club.ino.com\/trading\/category\/world-cup-portfolio\/\" target=\"_blank\">(MarketClub has had a very successful run in the dollar index and you can see the results here.)<\/a> Again, we will be <a href=\"http:\/\/club.ino.com\/trading\/trade-triangle-rules\/\" target=\"_self\">relying on our Trade Triangle Technology<\/a> and the technical approach to follow market trends in 2011.<\/p>\n<h3 style=\"text-align: left;\"><strong>4. GLOBAL STOCK MARKETS: Major Trade Triangles Bullish<\/strong><a href=\"http:\/\/club.ino.com\/trading\/wp-content\/uploads\/2010\/07\/iStock_cgpeople_chartup.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignright size-medium wp-image-2357\" title=\"iStock_cgpeople_chartup\" src=\"\/\/club.ino.com\/trading\/wp-content\/uploads\/2010\/07\/iStock_cgpeople_chartup-300x225.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"184\" height=\"138\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.ino.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2010\/07\/iStock_cgpeople_chartup-300x225.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.ino.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2010\/07\/iStock_cgpeople_chartup.jpg 400w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 184px) 100vw, 184px\" \/><\/a><\/h3>\n<p>I want to talk about the stock market, both in the US and overseas. One of the more interesting portfolios we created in 2010 was <a href=\"http:\/\/www.ino.com\/specials\/ino\/gspwallst.html?blog1229\" target=\"_blank\">MarketClub's \"Global Strategy\" <\/a>portfolio that tracks five different countries. The MarketClub technique using the ETF markets has worked well for our members. We track the following five countries: Brazil, Russia, India, China and Australia.<a href=\"http:\/\/club.ino.com\/trading\/category\/world-cup-portfolio\/\" target=\"_blank\"> (This portfolio, which is available to all MarketClub members, can be seen here.)<\/a> We also follow the ETF SPY as it tracks the S&amp;P500. Once again, we use our Trade Triangle Technology to determine the trends in five ETFs.<a href=\"http:\/\/club.ino.com\/trading\/trade-triangle-rules\/\" target=\"_self\"> (You can see the MarketClub's trading rules right here.)<\/a><\/p>\n<h3><strong>5. COMMODITY MARKETS: Major Trade Triangles Bullish<\/strong><\/h3>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/club.ino.com\/trading\/wp-content\/uploads\/2010\/07\/iStock_cgpeople_WCP.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignleft size-medium wp-image-2370\" style=\"margin: 10px;\" title=\"iStock_cgpeople_WCP\" src=\"\/\/club.ino.com\/trading\/wp-content\/uploads\/2010\/07\/iStock_cgpeople_WCP-300x231.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"180\" height=\"139\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.ino.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2010\/07\/iStock_cgpeople_WCP-300x231.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.ino.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2010\/07\/iStock_cgpeople_WCP.jpg 413w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 180px) 100vw, 180px\" \/><\/a>Lastly, I want to talk about the commodity markets. You have no doubt heard or have seen that copper prices are at record highs, but you also have other markets that are jumping up and these are all anticipating both strong demand and are now in the beginnings of an inflationary spiral that we envisioned sometime back. Commodities are going to be very important in the future. Traders should be paying close attention to these markets and creating in a new portfolio manager with various commodity portfolios to track these lucrative markets. If you want to see how we have have performed in these markets you may want to take a look at <a href=\"http:\/\/club.ino.com\/trading\/category\/world-cup-portfolio\/\" target=\"_blank\">MarketClub's \"World Cup\" Portfolio<\/a>. <strong>Since July of 2007, your money would have multiplied 786.16 %by June of 2010. That\u2019s enough to turn $50,000 into $391,580.00 in just three years.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>So maybe this is not as exciting or as hyped up as someone saying,<strong> \u201cHere are my top five picks for 2011,\u201d<\/strong> but it's a way to make real money in 2011 and not without having to wing it like so many investors will be doing in the new year.<\/p>\n<p>I think 2011 is going to offer some extraordinary opportunities in the markets listed above. Remember, in every crisis or every boom there are opportunities to make money. It's when things are dull and boring that it becomes more difficult to produce the type of returns that we are looking for.<\/p>\n<p>So what\u2019s my number one tip for 2011? Watch and trade with the <a href=\"http:\/\/club.ino.com\/trading\/category\/world-cup-portfolio\/\">MarketClub's Trade Triangle technology<\/a> and ignore the hyped up new year predictions.<\/p>\n<p>Here's wishing you every success in 2011.<a href=\"http:\/\/club.ino.com\/trading\/wp-content\/uploads\/2008\/05\/adamnew.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignleft size-full wp-image-429\" title=\"Adam Hewison \" src=\"\/\/club.ino.com\/trading\/wp-content\/uploads\/2008\/05\/adamnew.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"100\" height=\"76\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/club.ino.com\/trading\/about-adam-hewison\/\" target=\"_self\">Adam Hewison<\/a><br \/>\nCofounder,<a href=\"http:\/\/marketclub.com\"> MarketClub.com<\/a><\/p>\n<!-- AddThis Advanced Settings generic via filter on the_content --><!-- AddThis Share Buttons generic via filter on the_content -->","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>It's that time of year again when everyone who is considered an \"expert\" comes out of their ivory towers and makes their annual market predictions for the New Year. It's time to kiss those predictions goodbye. I can honestly say that I wish I had a crystal ball like these other forecasters, but that's not [&hellip;]<!-- AddThis Advanced Settings generic via filter on get_the_excerpt --><!-- AddThis Share Buttons generic via filter on get_the_excerpt --><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":41,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[10],"tags":[3419,3420,3424,3418,3422,3421,889,97,296,2912,111,3416,2434,2719,3417,310,2692,2691,2919,1069,2003,2292,414,189,2718,831,23,2567,2315,2973,2068,895,1074,3364,3184,3158,3157,3365,619,3235,2074,2706,3234,3357,3423,3425,566,2865],"class_list":["post-5072","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-trading-videos","tag-pound-sterling-gbp","tag-11-9-weight","tag-4-2-weight","tag-57-6-weight","tag-9-1-weight","tag-canadian-dollar-cad","tag-crude-oil-analysis","tag-crude-oil-chart","tag-crude-oil-video","tag-crude-oils-cyclic-quality","tag-dollar-index","tag-dollar-index-analysis","tag-dollar-index-chart","tag-dollar-index-strategies","tag-dollar-index-video","tag-dow","tag-dow-analysis","tag-dow-chart","tag-dow-video","tag-euro","tag-euro-eur","tag-euro-chart","tag-eurusd","tag-foreign-exchange","tag-forex-charts","tag-forex-videos","tag-gold","tag-gold-analysis","tag-gold-chart","tag-gold-cycle","tag-gold-trading","tag-gold-trend","tag-gold-video","tag-important-stock-video","tag-index-update","tag-major-indices","tag-market-analysis","tag-market-indices","tag-nasdaq","tag-nasdaq-video","tag-sp500","tag-sp500-analysis","tag-sp500-video","tag-spot-gold-prices","tag-swedish-krona-sek","tag-swiss-franc-chf-3-6-weight","tag-trade-triangles","tag-trading-crude-oil"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v23.4 (Yoast SEO v23.6) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Adam&#039;s 5 Big Market Predictions for 2011 - INO.com Trader&#039;s Blog<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.ino.com\/blog\/2010\/12\/adam-makes-5-big-market-predictions-for-2011\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Adam&#039;s 5 Big Market Predictions for 2011 - INO.com Trader&#039;s Blog\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"It&#039;s that time of year again when everyone who is considered an &quot;expert&quot; comes out of their ivory towers and makes their annual market predictions for the New Year. It&#039;s time to kiss those predictions goodbye. I can honestly say that I wish I had a crystal ball like these other forecasters, but that&#039;s not [&hellip;]\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/www.ino.com\/blog\/2010\/12\/adam-makes-5-big-market-predictions-for-2011\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"INO.com Trader&#039;s Blog\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/inocom\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2010-12-29T17:55:25+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2010-12-29T18:20:52+00:00\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"The INO.com Team\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"The INO.com Team\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"6 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.ino.com\/blog\/2010\/12\/adam-makes-5-big-market-predictions-for-2011\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.ino.com\/blog\/2010\/12\/adam-makes-5-big-market-predictions-for-2011\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"The INO.com Team\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.ino.com\/blog\/#\/schema\/person\/d86a8cce826b7bd105200d88bb28a280\"},\"headline\":\"Adam's 5 Big Market Predictions for 2011\",\"datePublished\":\"2010-12-29T17:55:25+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2010-12-29T18:20:52+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.ino.com\/blog\/2010\/12\/adam-makes-5-big-market-predictions-for-2011\/\"},\"wordCount\":1108,\"commentCount\":38,\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.ino.com\/blog\/#organization\"},\"keywords\":[\"* Pound sterling (GBP)\",\"11.9% weight\",\"4.2% weight\",\"57.6% weight\",\"9.1% weight\",\"Canadian dollar (CAD)\",\"crude oil analysis\",\"crude oil chart\",\"crude oil video\",\"crude oil's cyclic quality\",\"Dollar Index\",\"Dollar Index Analysis\",\"dollar index chart\",\"Dollar Index Strategies\",\"Dollar Index Video\",\"dow\",\"DOW analysis\",\"DOW chart\",\"dow video\",\"euro\",\"Euro (EUR)\",\"euro chart\",\"eurusd\",\"foreign exchange\",\"Forex Charts\",\"forex videos\",\"Gold\",\"Gold analysis\",\"Gold chart\",\"gold cycle\",\"Gold Trading\",\"gold trend\",\"gold video\",\"important stock video\",\"index update\",\"major indices\",\"market analysis\",\"market indices\",\"nasdaq\",\"nasdaq video\",\"SP500\",\"SP500 analysis\",\"SP500 video\",\"SPOT Gold prices\",\"Swedish krona (SEK)\",\"Swiss franc (CHF) 3.6% weight\",\"trade triangles\",\"trading crude oil\"],\"articleSection\":[\"Trading Videos\"],\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"CommentAction\",\"name\":\"Comment\",\"target\":[\"https:\/\/www.ino.com\/blog\/2010\/12\/adam-makes-5-big-market-predictions-for-2011\/#respond\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.ino.com\/blog\/2010\/12\/adam-makes-5-big-market-predictions-for-2011\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/www.ino.com\/blog\/2010\/12\/adam-makes-5-big-market-predictions-for-2011\/\",\"name\":\"Adam's 5 Big Market Predictions for 2011 - 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