{"id":53063,"date":"2020-10-16T11:47:04","date_gmt":"2020-10-16T15:47:04","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.ino.com\/blog\/?p=53063"},"modified":"2020-10-16T11:47:04","modified_gmt":"2020-10-16T15:47:04","slug":"the-copper-gold-ratio-would-change-the-macro","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/wwwtest.ino.com\/blog\/2020\/10\/the-copper-gold-ratio-would-change-the-macro\/","title":{"rendered":"The Copper\/Gold Ratio Would Change The Macro"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The Copper\/Gold ratio is saying something. That something is that a cyclical, pro-inflation and thus pro-economic reflation metal\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/nftrh.com\/2020\/10\/15\/doctor-copper-dont-worry-this-will-fix-you-right-up\/\">shown earlier, remaining nominally positive<\/a>\u00a0on a down market day has, in relation to gold, taken out two important moving averages (daily SMA 50 &amp; SMA 200) and is currently riding the short-term EMA 20 upward. RSI and MACD are positive.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Copper:<\/strong>\u00a0Pro-cyclical inflation, pro-reflation, pro-economy.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Gold:<\/strong>\u00a0Counter-cyclical, monetary, with inflationary utility.<\/p>\n<p>Given the right circumstances (like desperate monetary and fiscal policy), which are in play on the wider macro, gold will probably do quite well moving forward. But maybe \u2013 for a while \u2013 not as well as some commodities if the Copper\/Gold ratio really is up to something positive here.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/nftrh.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/10\/coppergold.png?ssl=1\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-93412 jetpack-lazy-image jetpack-lazy-image--handled\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/nftrh.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/10\/coppergold.png?resize=840%2C630&amp;ssl=1\" sizes=\"(max-width: 840px) 100vw, 840px\" srcset=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/nftrh.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/10\/coppergold.png?w=1200&amp;ssl=1 1200w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/nftrh.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/10\/coppergold.png?resize=700%2C525&amp;ssl=1 700w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/nftrh.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/10\/coppergold.png?resize=1024%2C768&amp;ssl=1 1024w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/nftrh.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/10\/coppergold.png?resize=150%2C113&amp;ssl=1 150w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/nftrh.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/10\/coppergold.png?resize=768%2C576&amp;ssl=1 768w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/nftrh.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/10\/coppergold.png?resize=840%2C630&amp;ssl=1 840w\" alt=\"copper\/gold ratio\" width=\"840\" height=\"630\" data-attachment-id=\"93412\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/nftrh.com\/2020\/10\/15\/the-copper-gold-ratio-would-change-the-macro\/coppergold-4\/\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/nftrh.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/10\/coppergold.png?fit=1200%2C900&amp;ssl=1\" data-orig-size=\"1200,900\" data-comments-opened=\"0\" data-image-meta=\"{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;orientation&quot;:&quot;0&quot;}\" data-image-title=\"coppergold\" data-image-description=\"\" data-medium-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/nftrh.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/10\/coppergold.png?fit=700%2C525&amp;ssl=1\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/nftrh.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/10\/coppergold.png?fit=840%2C630&amp;ssl=1\" data-recalc-dims=\"1\" data-lazy-loaded=\"1\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p><strong>Side note:<\/strong>\u00a0the Palladium\/Gold ratio is on the verge of going positive as well and of course the daddy of inter-metal ratios, the Gold\/Silver ratio is still on a big picture breakdown (Silver\/Gold has broken above a key long-term resistance marker). So you might want to look at these three metallic indicators together (along with more traditional non-metallic inflation indicators) in gauging the process toward inflation.<!--more--><\/p>\n<p>If these metals continue their short-term out-performance to gold it would be a strong indicator toward an inflationary 2021. If they break down well, move along, nothing to see here as the ginned up inflation by policy would have failed.<\/p>\n<p>Back to Copper\/Gold, the weekly chart shows resistance for the ratio * directly overhead at the July and September highs. Will the 3rd try be a charm in breaking the indicator out to an inflationary 2021? Stay tuned. But understand that if these ratios do start popping the macro is indicated to be going the way that politicians and central bankers want. That would be the inflationary way.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/nftrh.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/10\/coppergold2.png?ssl=1\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-93416 jetpack-lazy-image jetpack-lazy-image--handled\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/nftrh.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/10\/coppergold2.png?resize=840%2C630&amp;ssl=1\" sizes=\"(max-width: 840px) 100vw, 840px\" srcset=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/nftrh.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/10\/coppergold2.png?w=1200&amp;ssl=1 1200w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/nftrh.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/10\/coppergold2.png?resize=700%2C525&amp;ssl=1 700w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/nftrh.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/10\/coppergold2.png?resize=1024%2C768&amp;ssl=1 1024w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/nftrh.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/10\/coppergold2.png?resize=150%2C113&amp;ssl=1 150w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/nftrh.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/10\/coppergold2.png?resize=768%2C576&amp;ssl=1 768w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/nftrh.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/10\/coppergold2.png?resize=840%2C630&amp;ssl=1 840w\" alt=\"\" width=\"840\" height=\"630\" data-attachment-id=\"93416\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/nftrh.com\/2020\/10\/15\/the-copper-gold-ratio-would-change-the-macro\/coppergold2\/\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/nftrh.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/10\/coppergold2.png?fit=1200%2C900&amp;ssl=1\" data-orig-size=\"1200,900\" data-comments-opened=\"0\" data-image-meta=\"{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;orientation&quot;:&quot;0&quot;}\" data-image-title=\"coppergold2\" data-image-description=\"\" data-medium-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/nftrh.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/10\/coppergold2.png?fit=700%2C525&amp;ssl=1\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/nftrh.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/10\/coppergold2.png?fit=840%2C630&amp;ssl=1\" data-recalc-dims=\"1\" data-lazy-loaded=\"1\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>A projected inflation\/reflation per the above can play out and still be seen in hindsight (or in our case, foresight) as a bounce within the Deflationary continuum against which our monetary and political policy heroes desperately battle with the only damn tool they know, inflation by (funny) munny printing and bond manipulation. So says this bigger picture monthly chart of Copper\/Gold.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/i2.wp.com\/nftrh.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/10\/coppergold3.png?ssl=1\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-93424 jetpack-lazy-image jetpack-lazy-image--handled\" src=\"https:\/\/i2.wp.com\/nftrh.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/10\/coppergold3.png?resize=840%2C630&amp;ssl=1\" sizes=\"(max-width: 840px) 100vw, 840px\" srcset=\"https:\/\/i2.wp.com\/nftrh.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/10\/coppergold3.png?w=1200&amp;ssl=1 1200w, https:\/\/i2.wp.com\/nftrh.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/10\/coppergold3.png?resize=700%2C525&amp;ssl=1 700w, https:\/\/i2.wp.com\/nftrh.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/10\/coppergold3.png?resize=1024%2C768&amp;ssl=1 1024w, https:\/\/i2.wp.com\/nftrh.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/10\/coppergold3.png?resize=150%2C113&amp;ssl=1 150w, https:\/\/i2.wp.com\/nftrh.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/10\/coppergold3.png?resize=768%2C576&amp;ssl=1 768w, https:\/\/i2.wp.com\/nftrh.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/10\/coppergold3.png?resize=840%2C630&amp;ssl=1 840w\" alt=\"copper\/gold ratio\" width=\"840\" height=\"630\" data-attachment-id=\"93424\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/nftrh.com\/2020\/10\/15\/the-copper-gold-ratio-would-change-the-macro\/coppergold3\/\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/i2.wp.com\/nftrh.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/10\/coppergold3.png?fit=1200%2C900&amp;ssl=1\" data-orig-size=\"1200,900\" data-comments-opened=\"0\" data-image-meta=\"{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;orientation&quot;:&quot;0&quot;}\" data-image-title=\"coppergold3\" data-image-description=\"\" data-medium-file=\"https:\/\/i2.wp.com\/nftrh.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/10\/coppergold3.png?fit=700%2C525&amp;ssl=1\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/i2.wp.com\/nftrh.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/10\/coppergold3.png?fit=840%2C630&amp;ssl=1\" data-recalc-dims=\"1\" data-lazy-loaded=\"1\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Whatever is ahead, make sure you interpret it through actual indicators and facts, not bias and hopes. I feel in my bones that\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/nftrh.com\/nftrh-premium\/\">NFTRH<\/a>\u00a0will be shifting from managing a successful 2020 that featured a deflation scare that is morphing inflationary to a more obvious inflationary situation in 2021 that will start to gain some traction. Hence, 2020\u2019s investing successes would need to be altered, if not forgotten, in favor of new macro signals. On that note, check out a subscription to\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/nftrh.com\/nftrh-premium\/\">Notes From the Rabbit Hole<\/a>\u00a0if you\u2019d like a macro guide (complete with stock selections in alignment with said macro) as the world turns.<\/p>\n<p><em>* Some don\u2019t think indicators are subject to TA concepts like support and resistance, but I do. It\u2019s just that the inputs that form ratio charts are noisier, busier and more plentiful. But they are there.<\/em><\/p>\n<p>Check back to see my next post!<\/p>\n<p>Best,<br \/>\nGary Tanashian<br \/>\n<a href=\"http:\/\/nftrh.com\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">nftrh.com<\/a><\/p>\n<p>For \u201cbest of breed\u201d top down analysis of all major markets, subscribe to\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/nftrh.com\/nftrh-premium\/\"><strong>NFTRH Pre<\/strong><strong>mium<\/strong><\/a>, which includes an in-depth weekly<strong>\u00a0market report<\/strong>, detailed interim\u00a0<strong>market updates<\/strong>\u00a0and\u00a0<strong>NFTRH+\u00a0<\/strong>dynamic updates and chart\/trade setup ideas. You can also keep up to date with actionable public content at\u00a0<a href=\"http:\/\/nftrh.com\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">NFTRH.com<\/a>\u00a0by using the\u00a0<strong>email form on the right sidebar<\/strong>. Follow via\u00a0<strong>Twitter<\/strong>\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/NFTRHgt\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">@NFTRHgt<\/a>.<\/p>\n<!-- AddThis Advanced Settings generic via filter on the_content --><!-- AddThis Share Buttons generic via filter on the_content -->","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The Copper\/Gold ratio is saying something. That something is that a cyclical, pro-inflation and thus pro-economic reflation metal\u00a0shown earlier, remaining nominally positive\u00a0on a down market day has, in relation to gold, taken out two important moving averages (daily SMA 50 &amp; SMA 200) and is currently riding the short-term EMA 20 upward. RSI and MACD [&hellip;]<!-- AddThis Advanced Settings generic via filter on get_the_excerpt --><!-- AddThis Share Buttons generic via filter on get_the_excerpt --><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":31,"featured_media":53064,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[6920],"tags":[3438,2082,31375,4273,23,9526,102],"class_list":["post-53063","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ino-com-contributors","tag-chart-analysis","tag-copper","tag-copper-gold-ratio","tag-gary-tanashian","tag-gold","tag-notes-from-the-rabbit-hole-nftrh","tag-technical-analysis"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v23.4 (Yoast SEO v23.6) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>The Copper\/Gold Ratio Would Change The Macro - INO.com Trader&#039;s Blog<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Gold will probably do quite well moving forward. But not as well as some commodities if the Copper\/Gold ratio really is up to something positive here.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.ino.com\/blog\/2020\/10\/the-copper-gold-ratio-would-change-the-macro\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"The Copper\/Gold Ratio Would Change The Macro - INO.com Trader&#039;s Blog\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Gold will probably do quite well moving forward. 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