{"id":57783,"date":"2022-10-24T12:03:56","date_gmt":"2022-10-24T16:03:56","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.ino.com\/blog\/?p=57783"},"modified":"2022-10-24T12:08:43","modified_gmt":"2022-10-24T16:08:43","slug":"silver-and-palladium-update-false-hope","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/wwwtest.ino.com\/blog\/2022\/10\/silver-and-palladium-update-false-hope\/","title":{"rendered":"Silver And Palladium Update: False Hope"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The price action in the silver futures has given a false hope to bulls this month. <\/p>\n<p>The largest volume support (orange) has offered a solid support for the silver futures price lately. It is located between $17.4 and $18.2. The price has tested it three times already and failed to break it down.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/assets.ino.com\/img\/sites\/ino\/email\/13699.jpg\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/assets.ino.com\/img\/sites\/ino\/email\/13699.jpg\" width=\"800\" height=\"auto\" alt=\"Silver Futures Weekly\" class=\"aligncenter size-medium\" \/><\/a><br \/>\n<small><center><em>Source: TradingView<\/em><\/center><\/small><\/p>\n<p>The RSI has built a Bullish Divergence during the second touchdown at the end of the summer. The reaction was an imminent reversal to the upside. It was promising price action for the bulls as the futures price soared from $17.4 up to $21.3 by the start of this month to book the gain of almost four bucks (22% growth).<\/p>\n<div class='mailmunch-forms-widget-1089215'><\/div>\n<p>Afterwards, the same indicator has failed to break above the 50 barrier in spite of a strong impulse and so did the price rally. It stopped more than half dollar below the moving average (purple). <\/p>\n<p>The price dropped back to the largest volume support after above mentioned failure but bounced then. It has managed to score more than one dollar from the latest valley of $18. This puts the silver futures between the hammer ($21.9, moving average resistance) and the anvil ($18, volume support).<\/p>\n<p>The chart structure of the recent rally looks corrective. This means that the weakness of the price should resume. The next support is located at the following volume area of $15.8. <\/p>\n<p>There are no other significant levels to catch the \u201cfalling knife\u201d of silver except the \u201cFlash-Crash\u201d valley in $11.6. The drop to the latter could build a larger corrective structure visible on a bigger map. <\/p>\n<p>The invalidation of the bearish outlook would come with the breakup of the moving average above $21.9.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.ino.com\/blog\/2022\/09\/bears-smashed-silver-is-gold-next\/\" rel=\"noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Last time<\/a>, your most popular answer was that silver futures would stop at $16. The next bid was bullish. None of the bets have played out as yet.<!--more--><\/p>\n<div id=\"polls-598\" class=\"wp-polls\">\n\t<form id=\"polls_form_598\" class=\"wp-polls-form\" action=\"\/blog\/index.php\" method=\"post\">\n\t\t<p style=\"display: none;\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"poll_598_nonce\" name=\"wp-polls-nonce\" value=\"b975b5ba5c\" \/><\/p>\n\t\t<p style=\"display: none;\"><input type=\"hidden\" name=\"poll_id\" value=\"598\" \/><\/p>\n\t\t<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><strong>Do you see a \u201cFalling Knife\u201d in the silver futures?<\/strong><\/p><div id=\"polls-598-ans\" class=\"wp-polls-ans\"><ul class=\"wp-polls-ul\">\n\t\t<li><input type=\"radio\" id=\"poll-answer-1843\" name=\"poll_598\" value=\"1843\" \/> <label for=\"poll-answer-1843\">Yes, but only down to $14.8-$15.8 (next support)<\/label><\/li>\n\t\t<li><input type=\"radio\" id=\"poll-answer-1844\" name=\"poll_598\" value=\"1844\" \/> <label for=\"poll-answer-1844\">Yes, down to $11.6<\/label><\/li>\n\t\t<li><input type=\"radio\" id=\"poll-answer-1845\" name=\"poll_598\" value=\"1845\" \/> <label for=\"poll-answer-1845\">No, I am bullish<\/label><\/li>\n\t\t<\/ul><p style=\"text-align: center;\"><input type=\"button\" name=\"vote\" value=\"   Vote   \" class=\"Buttons\" onclick=\"poll_vote(598);\" onkeypress=\"poll_result(598);\" \/><\/p><p style=\"text-align: center;\"><a href=\"#ViewPollResults\" onclick=\"poll_result(598); return false;\" onkeypress=\"poll_result(598); return false;\" title=\"View Results Of This Poll\">View Results<\/a><\/p><\/div>\n\t<\/form>\n<\/div>\n<div id=\"polls-598-loading\" class=\"wp-polls-loading\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.ino.com\/blog\/wp-content\/plugins\/wp-polls\/images\/loading.gif\" width=\"16\" height=\"16\" alt=\"Loading ...\" title=\"Loading ...\" class=\"wp-polls-image\" \/>&nbsp;Loading ...<\/div>\n\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.ino.com\/blog\/2022\/01\/palladium-update-contradiction\/\" rel=\"noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Last time<\/a> I updated <a href=\"https:\/\/assets.ino.com\/img\/sites\/ino\/email\/13077.jpg\" rel=\"noopener\" target=\"_blank\">the palladium chart<\/a> in January, I highlighted two scenarios for you as the technical outlook (blue) was in contradiction with the fundamental outlook (red). I put the old chart below to refresh your memory.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/assets.ino.com\/img\/sites\/ino\/email\/13700.jpg\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/assets.ino.com\/img\/sites\/ino\/email\/13700.jpg\" width=\"800\" height=\"auto\" alt=\"Palladium Futures Old\" class=\"aligncenter size-medium\" \/><\/a><br \/>\n<small><center><em>Source: TradingView<\/em><\/center><\/small><\/p>\n<p>The blue scenario is about to be eliminated as the disastrous pattern I spotted for you below could reverse the technical outlook down to match with a red bearish path.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/assets.ino.com\/img\/sites\/ino\/email\/13701.jpg\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/assets.ino.com\/img\/sites\/ino\/email\/13701.jpg\" width=\"800\" height=\"auto\" alt=\"Palladium Futures Weekly New\" class=\"aligncenter size-medium\" \/><\/a><br \/>\n<small><center><em>Source: TradingView<\/em><\/center><\/small><\/p>\n<p>The shallow advance of the price has failed to overcome the double resistance of the volume barrier and the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level around $2,400 at the beginning of the month. <\/p>\n<div class='mailmunch-forms-widget-1089216'><\/div>\n<p>Overall, the move to the upside from June to October resembles the sideways consolidation after a huge drop from the all-time high of $3,425. These elements have jointly built a well-known Bear Flag pattern (purple). The price is sitting right on the flag\u2019s support. Watch the breakdown of it for a confirmation of the pattern.<\/p>\n<p>The flag\u2019s target aims at $320. To find this target, I subtracted the height of the flag pole from the flag\u2019s support. It means a huge collapse of the price as it should lose more than 80% of its current value. Ouch! <\/p>\n<p>There is the largest volume support area between $1,560 and $1,300 to be broken first. The next support is located at $815 in the valley of Y2018. <\/p>\n<p>The majority of readers (65% vs. 35%) chose the bullish outlook for palladium last time.       <\/p>\n<div id=\"polls-599\" class=\"wp-polls\">\n\t<form id=\"polls_form_599\" class=\"wp-polls-form\" action=\"\/blog\/index.php\" method=\"post\">\n\t\t<p style=\"display: none;\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"poll_599_nonce\" name=\"wp-polls-nonce\" value=\"dc0b98d90c\" \/><\/p>\n\t\t<p style=\"display: none;\"><input type=\"hidden\" name=\"poll_id\" value=\"599\" \/><\/p>\n\t\t<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><strong>Do you see the Bear Flag in the palladium futures chart?<\/strong><\/p><div id=\"polls-599-ans\" class=\"wp-polls-ans\"><ul class=\"wp-polls-ul\">\n\t\t<li><input type=\"radio\" id=\"poll-answer-1846\" name=\"poll_599\" value=\"1846\" \/> <label for=\"poll-answer-1846\">Yes, but I think $1,500 should hold<\/label><\/li>\n\t\t<li><input type=\"radio\" id=\"poll-answer-1847\" name=\"poll_599\" value=\"1847\" \/> <label for=\"poll-answer-1847\">Yes, but I think $1,300 will be the bottom<\/label><\/li>\n\t\t<li><input type=\"radio\" id=\"poll-answer-1848\" name=\"poll_599\" value=\"1848\" \/> <label for=\"poll-answer-1848\">Yes, I see $815 (valley of Y2018)<\/label><\/li>\n\t\t<li><input type=\"radio\" id=\"poll-answer-1849\" name=\"poll_599\" value=\"1849\" \/> <label for=\"poll-answer-1849\">Yes, I see $320 (ultimate Bear Flag target)<\/label><\/li>\n\t\t<li><input type=\"radio\" id=\"poll-answer-1850\" name=\"poll_599\" value=\"1850\" \/> <label for=\"poll-answer-1850\">I am bullish<\/label><\/li>\n\t\t<\/ul><p style=\"text-align: center;\"><input type=\"button\" name=\"vote\" value=\"   Vote   \" class=\"Buttons\" onclick=\"poll_vote(599);\" onkeypress=\"poll_result(599);\" \/><\/p><p style=\"text-align: center;\"><a href=\"#ViewPollResults\" onclick=\"poll_result(599); return false;\" onkeypress=\"poll_result(599); return false;\" title=\"View Results Of This Poll\">View Results<\/a><\/p><\/div>\n\t<\/form>\n<\/div>\n<div id=\"polls-599-loading\" class=\"wp-polls-loading\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.ino.com\/blog\/wp-content\/plugins\/wp-polls\/images\/loading.gif\" width=\"16\" height=\"16\" alt=\"Loading ...\" title=\"Loading ...\" class=\"wp-polls-image\" \/>&nbsp;Loading ...<\/div>\n\n<p>Intelligent trades!<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/www.ino.com\/blog\/meet-aibek-burabayev\/\" title=\"Meet Aibek Burabeyev\">Aibek Burabayev<\/a><br \/>\nINO.com Contributor<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: 12px; font-style: italic;\">Disclosure: This contributor has no positions in any stocks mentioned in this article. This article is the opinion of the contributor themselves. The above is a matter of opinion provided for general information purposes only and is not intended as investment advice. This contributor is not receiving compensation (other than from INO.com) for their opinion.<\/span><\/p>\n<!-- AddThis Advanced Settings generic via filter on the_content --><!-- AddThis Share Buttons generic via filter on the_content -->","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The price action in the silver futures has given a false hope to bulls this month. The largest volume support (orange) has offered a solid support for the silver futures price lately. It is located between $17.4 and $18.2. The price has tested it three times already and failed to break it down. Source: TradingView [&hellip;]<!-- AddThis Advanced Settings generic via filter on get_the_excerpt --><!-- AddThis Share Buttons generic via filter on get_the_excerpt --><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":21,"featured_media":54597,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[6920],"tags":[3438,8977,5574,102],"class_list":["post-57783","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ino-com-contributors","tag-chart-analysis","tag-palladium-futures","tag-silver-futures","tag-technical-analysis"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v23.4 (Yoast SEO v23.6) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Silver And Palladium Update: False Hope - INO.com Trader&#039;s Blog<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"The price action in the silver futures has given a false hope to bulls this month. 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