{"id":58031,"date":"2022-12-21T13:32:44","date_gmt":"2022-12-21T18:32:44","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.ino.com\/blog\/?p=58031"},"modified":"2022-12-21T13:33:13","modified_gmt":"2022-12-21T18:33:13","slug":"2-retail-stocks-ready-for-a-santa-claus-rally","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/wwwtest.ino.com\/blog\/2022\/12\/2-retail-stocks-ready-for-a-santa-claus-rally\/","title":{"rendered":"2 Retail Stocks Ready for a Santa Claus Rally"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The Federal Reserve met broad expectations by reducing its interest rate hike to 50 bps this month. However, its emphasis on taming inflation further by raising interest rates in the foreseeable future has dampened the optimism that had kept markets buoyant in the run-up to yesterday\u2019s announcement.<\/p>\n<p>However, in the run-up to year-end festivities, consumer spending is also set to increase, thereby adding more wind to the sails of businesses that have been under pressure by aggressive interest rate hikes and other macroeconomic headwinds for a greater part of the year.<\/p>\n<div id=\"polls-638\" class=\"wp-polls\">\n\t<form id=\"polls_form_638\" class=\"wp-polls-form\" action=\"\/blog\/index.php\" method=\"post\">\n\t\t<p style=\"display: none;\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"poll_638_nonce\" name=\"wp-polls-nonce\" value=\"0004418214\" \/><\/p>\n\t\t<p style=\"display: none;\"><input type=\"hidden\" name=\"poll_id\" value=\"638\" \/><\/p>\n\t\t<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><strong>What is the expected timeframe for a Fed pivot?<\/strong><\/p><div id=\"polls-638-ans\" class=\"wp-polls-ans\"><ul class=\"wp-polls-ul\">\n\t\t<li><input type=\"radio\" id=\"poll-answer-1991\" name=\"poll_638\" value=\"1991\" \/> <label for=\"poll-answer-1991\">January to March 2023<\/label><\/li>\n\t\t<li><input type=\"radio\" id=\"poll-answer-1992\" name=\"poll_638\" value=\"1992\" \/> <label for=\"poll-answer-1992\">April to June 2023<\/label><\/li>\n\t\t<li><input type=\"radio\" id=\"poll-answer-1993\" name=\"poll_638\" value=\"1993\" \/> <label for=\"poll-answer-1993\">July to December 2023<\/label><\/li>\n\t\t<li><input type=\"radio\" id=\"poll-answer-1994\" name=\"poll_638\" value=\"1994\" \/> <label for=\"poll-answer-1994\">No end in sight<\/label><\/li>\n\t\t<\/ul><p style=\"text-align: center;\"><input type=\"button\" name=\"vote\" value=\"   Vote   \" class=\"Buttons\" onclick=\"poll_vote(638);\" onkeypress=\"poll_result(638);\" \/><\/p><p style=\"text-align: center;\"><a href=\"#ViewPollResults\" onclick=\"poll_result(638); return false;\" onkeypress=\"poll_result(638); return false;\" title=\"View Results Of This Poll\">View Results<\/a><\/p><\/div>\n\t<\/form>\n<\/div>\n<div id=\"polls-638-loading\" class=\"wp-polls-loading\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.ino.com\/blog\/wp-content\/plugins\/wp-polls\/images\/loading.gif\" width=\"16\" height=\"16\" alt=\"Loading ...\" title=\"Loading ...\" class=\"wp-polls-image\" \/>&nbsp;Loading ...<\/div>\n\n<p>Hence, it could be wise to buy <a href=\"https:\/\/quotes.ino.com\/charting\/?s=NYSE_TJX\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">The TJX Companies, Inc. (TJX)<\/a> and <a href=\"https:\/\/quotes.ino.com\/charting\/?s=NASDAQ_FIVE\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Five Below, Inc. (FIVE)<\/a> to capitalize on increased consumer spending during the holidays. These stocks show strong trends.<\/p>\n<h3>The TJX Companies, Inc. (TJX)<\/h3>\n<p>TJX is an off-price apparel and home fashion retailer in the United States and internationally. The company\u2019s operating segments are Marmaxx; HomeGoods; TJX Canada; and TJX International.<\/p>\n<p>TJX\u2019s revenue has exhibited a 6.6% CAGR over the past three years. During the same time horizon, the company\u2019s EBITDA and net income have also grown at 2% and 2.8% CAGRs, respectively.<\/p>\n<div class='mailmunch-forms-widget-1089215'><\/div>\n<p>During the nine months of the fiscal year ended October 29, 2022, TJX\u2019s net sales increased 2.1% year-over-year to $35.42 billion. During the same period, the company\u2019s net income increased 5% and 8.3% year-over-year to $2.46 billion and $2.08, respectively.<\/p>\n<p>Analysts expect TJX\u2019s revenue and EPS for fiscal 2023 to increase 2% and 9.3% year-over-year to $49.51 billion and $3.12, respectively. The company has surpassed consensus EPS estimates in three of the trailing four quarters.<\/p>\n<p>Owing to its strong performance and solid growth prospects, TJX is currently commanding a premium valuation compared to its peers. In terms of forward P\/E, TJX is currently trading at 25.41x compared to the industry average of 12.88x. Also, its forward EV\/EBITDA multiple of 17.26 is higher than the industry average of 9.15.<!--more--><\/p>\n<p>The stock is currently trading above its 50-day and below its 200-day moving averages of $72.88 and $64.52, respectively, indicating an uptrend. It has gained 7.7% over the past month and 38.3% over the past six months to close the last trading session at $79.29.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/club.ino.com\/join\/triangles.html?mktcode=INOBlog\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">MarketClub\u2019s Trade Triangles<\/a> show that TJX has been trending UP for all three-time horizons. Its long-term trend has been UP since August 11, 2022, while its intermediate-term and short-term trends have been UP since October 18 and December 21, respectively.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/assets.ino.com\/img\/sites\/ino\/email\/13854.jpg\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/assets.ino.com\/img\/sites\/ino\/email\/13854.jpg\" width=\"700\" height=\"auto\" alt=\"TJX Chart\" class=\"aligncenter size-medium\" \/><\/a><br \/>\n<small><center><em>Source: MarketClub<\/em><\/center><\/small><\/p>\n<p>The Trade Triangles are our proprietary indicators, comprised of weighted factors that include (but are not necessarily limited to) price change, percentage change, moving averages, and new highs\/lows. The Trade Triangles point in the direction of short-term, intermediate, and long-term trends, looking for periods of alignment and, therefore, strong swings in price.<\/p>\n<p>In terms of the Chart Analysis Score, another MarketClub proprietary tool, TJX scored +70 on a scale from -100 (strong downtrend) to +100 (strong uptrend), indicating signs of short-term weakness, but it remains in the confines of a long-term uptrend.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/assets.ino.com\/img\/sites\/ino\/email\/13855.jpg\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/assets.ino.com\/img\/sites\/ino\/email\/13855.jpg\" width=\"700\" height=\"auto\" alt=\"Chart Analysis Score\" class=\"aligncenter size-medium\" \/><\/a> <\/p>\n<p>The Chart Analysis Score measures trend strength and direction based on five different timing thresholds. This tool takes into account intraday price action, new daily, weekly, and monthly highs and lows, and moving averages.<\/p>\n<p><a style=\"font-weight: bold;\" href=\"https:\/\/club.ino.com\/trend\/analysis\/stock\/TJX\/?mktcode=INOBlog\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Click here to see the latest Score and Signals for TJX.<\/a><\/p>\n<h3>Five Below, Inc. (FIVE)<\/h3>\n<p>FIVE operates as a specialty value retailer catering primarily to the young customer segments. The company\u2019s offerings of select brands and licensed merchandise can be grouped into leisure, fashion, home, and party and snack categories.<\/p>\n<p>FIVE\u2019s revenue has exhibited an 18.7% CAGR over the past three years. During the same time horizon, the company\u2019s EBITDA and net income have also grown at 19% and 14.4% CAGRs, respectively.<\/p>\n<p>Due to improving ticket and transaction metrics during the third quarter of the fiscal year 2023, ended October 29, 2022, FIVE\u2019s net sales increased 6.2% year-over-year to $645.03 million, while its gross profit increased 2.7% year-over-year to $207.81 million. Its net assets stood at $3.16 billion, as of October 29, 2022, compared to $2.88 billion, as of January 29, 2022.<\/p>\n<p>Analysts expect FIVE\u2019s revenue and EPS for the fiscal 2023 fourth quarter to increase 10.4% and 21.7% year-over-year to $1.10 billion and $3.03, respectively. Moreover, the company has surpassed consensus EPS estimates in three of the trailing four quarters.<\/p>\n<p>In terms of forward P\/E, FIVE is currently trading at 38.95x, compared to the industry average of 12.88x. The company\u2019s forward EV\/Sales multiple is 3.72, compared to the industry average of 1.09. Also, its forward EV\/EBITDA multiple of 25.37 is significantly higher than the industry average of 9.15.<\/p>\n<p>FIVE\u2019s stock is currently trading above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages of $153.44 and $143.98, respectively, indicating a bullish trend. It has surged 16.4% over the past month and 48.5% over the past six months to close the last trading session at $179.16.<\/p>\n<div class='mailmunch-forms-widget-1089216'><\/div>\n<p>MarketClub\u2019s Trade Triangles show that FIVE has been trending UP for all three-time horizons. The long-term trend for FIVE has been UP since October 26, 2022. Its intermediate-term and short-term trends have also been UP since October 25 and December 13, respectively.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/assets.ino.com\/img\/sites\/ino\/email\/13856.jpg\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/assets.ino.com\/img\/sites\/ino\/email\/13856.jpg\" width=\"700\" height=\"auto\" alt=\"FIVE Chart\" class=\"aligncenter size-medium\" \/><\/a><br \/>\n<small><center><em>Source: MarketClub<\/em><\/center><\/small><\/p>\n<p>In terms of the Chart Analysis Score, FIVE scored +75 on a scale from -100 (strong downtrend) to +100 (strong uptrend), indicating signs of short-term weakness, but still remaining in the confines of a long-term uptrend. <\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/assets.ino.com\/img\/sites\/ino\/email\/13744.jpg\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/assets.ino.com\/img\/sites\/ino\/email\/13744.jpg\" width=\"700\" height=\"auto\" alt=\"Chart Analysis Score\" class=\"aligncenter size-medium\" \/><\/a> <\/p>\n<p><a style=\"font-weight: bold;\" href=\"https:\/\/club.ino.com\/trend\/analysis\/stock\/FIVE\/?mktcode=INOBlog\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Click here to see the latest Score and Signals for FIVE.<\/a><\/p>\n<h3>What's Next for These Retail Stocks?<\/h3>\n<p>Remember, the markets move fast and things may quickly change for these stocks. Our MarketClub members have access to entry and exit signals so they'll know when the trend starts to reverse.<\/p>\n<p><a style=\"font-weight: bold;\" href=\"https:\/\/club.ino.com\/join\/start\/checkout-2022-trial.html?mktcode=INOBlog\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Join MarketClub now<\/a> to see the latest signals and scores, get alerts, and read member-exclusive analysis for over 350K stocks, futures, ETFs, forex pairs and mutual funds.<\/p>\n<p><a class=\"btn btn-primary btn-lg\" href=\"https:\/\/club.ino.com\/join\/start\/checkout-2022-trial.html?mktcode=INOBlog\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Start Your MarketClub Trial<\/a><\/p>\n<p>Best,<br \/>\nThe MarketClub Team<br \/>\n<a href=\"mailto:su*****@in*.com\" data-original-string=\"VaCN8o211po3lksx03fNNQ==\" title=\"This contact has been encoded by Anti-Spam by CleanTalk. Click to decode. To finish the decoding make sure that JavaScript is enabled in your browser.\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\"><span \n                data-original-string=\"VaCN8o211po3lksx03fNNQ==\"\n                class=\"apbct-email-encoder\"\n                title=\"This contact has been encoded by Anti-Spam by CleanTalk. Click to decode. To finish the decoding make sure that JavaScript is enabled in your browser.\"><br \/>\n        <span class=\"apbct-ee-blur-group\"><br \/>\n            <span class=\"apbct-ee-blur_email-text\">su*****@in*.com<\/span><br \/>\n            <span class=\"apbct-ee-static-blur\"><br \/>\n                <span class=\"apbct-ee-blur apbct-ee-blur_rectangle-init\"><\/span><br \/>\n                <span class=\"apbct-ee-blur apbct-ee-blur_rectangle-soft\"><\/span><br \/>\n                <span class=\"apbct-ee-blur apbct-ee-blur_rectangle-hard\"><\/span><br \/>\n            <\/span><br \/>\n            <span class=\"apbct-ee-animate-blur\"><br \/>\n                <span class=\"apbct-ee-blur apbct-ee-blur_rectangle-init apbct-ee-blur_animate-init\"><\/span><br \/>\n                <span class=\"apbct-ee-blur apbct-ee-blur_rectangle-soft apbct-ee-blur_animate-soft \"><\/span><br \/>\n                <span class=\"apbct-ee-blur apbct-ee-blur_rectangle-hard apbct-ee-blur_animate-hard\"><\/span><br \/>\n            <\/span><br \/>\n        <\/span><br \/>\n<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n<!-- AddThis Advanced Settings generic via filter on the_content --><!-- AddThis Share Buttons generic via filter on the_content -->","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The Federal Reserve met broad expectations by reducing its interest rate hike to 50 bps this month. However, its emphasis on taming inflation further by raising interest rates in the foreseeable future has dampened the optimism that had kept markets buoyant in the run-up to yesterday\u2019s announcement. However, in the run-up to year-end festivities, consumer [&hellip;]<!-- AddThis Advanced Settings generic via filter on get_the_excerpt --><!-- AddThis Share Buttons generic via filter on get_the_excerpt --><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":40,"featured_media":58032,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[31944,31945,6968,2759,31943],"class_list":["post-58031","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-general","tag-five-below-inc-five","tag-retail-stocks","tag-santa-claus-rally","tag-stock-analysis","tag-the-tjx-companies-inc-tjx"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v23.4 (Yoast SEO v23.6) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>2 Retail Stocks Ready for a Santa Claus Rally - INO.com Trader&#039;s Blog<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"With the tailwind of holiday spending, TJX and FIVE are set to deliver pleasant year-end surprises.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.ino.com\/blog\/2022\/12\/2-retail-stocks-ready-for-a-santa-claus-rally\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"2 Retail Stocks Ready for a Santa Claus Rally - INO.com Trader&#039;s Blog\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"With the tailwind of holiday spending, TJX and FIVE are set to deliver pleasant year-end surprises.\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/www.ino.com\/blog\/2022\/12\/2-retail-stocks-ready-for-a-santa-claus-rally\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"INO.com Trader&#039;s Blog\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/inocom\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2022-12-21T18:32:44+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2022-12-21T18:33:13+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/www.ino.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/tjmaxx.jpg\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"1200\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"632\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/jpeg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"The MarketClub Team\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"The MarketClub Team\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"6 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.ino.com\/blog\/2022\/12\/2-retail-stocks-ready-for-a-santa-claus-rally\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.ino.com\/blog\/2022\/12\/2-retail-stocks-ready-for-a-santa-claus-rally\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"The MarketClub Team\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.ino.com\/blog\/#\/schema\/person\/866598f29a0e40324776a90c3861596e\"},\"headline\":\"2 Retail Stocks Ready for a Santa Claus Rally\",\"datePublished\":\"2022-12-21T18:32:44+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2022-12-21T18:33:13+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.ino.com\/blog\/2022\/12\/2-retail-stocks-ready-for-a-santa-claus-rally\/\"},\"wordCount\":933,\"commentCount\":0,\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.ino.com\/blog\/#organization\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.ino.com\/blog\/2022\/12\/2-retail-stocks-ready-for-a-santa-claus-rally\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\/\/wwwtest.ino.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/tjmaxx.jpg\",\"keywords\":[\"Five Below Inc. 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