{"id":58492,"date":"2023-04-24T13:25:58","date_gmt":"2023-04-24T17:25:58","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.ino.com\/blog\/?p=58492"},"modified":"2023-04-25T12:54:49","modified_gmt":"2023-04-25T16:54:49","slug":"gold-update-hard-top-or-glass-ceiling","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/wwwtest.ino.com\/blog\/2023\/04\/gold-update-hard-top-or-glass-ceiling\/","title":{"rendered":"Gold Update: Hard Top or Glass Ceiling?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Gold price came very close to hitting <a href=\"https:\/\/assets.ino.com\/img\/sites\/ino\/email\/13995.jpg\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">the double barrier at $2,070-$2,100<\/a> of the black path target and the upper boundary of the bullish trend channel <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ino.com\/blog\/2023\/04\/gold-and-tesla-bulls-check-barriers\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">outlined earlier this month<\/a>. The new 1-year top has been established at $2,063.  <\/p>\n<p>You were amazingly accurate this time as most of the votes were for the black path to lead the way. The market has since reversed to the downside, raising the question of whether it was a hard top or a glass ceiling.<\/p>\n<p>To answer this question, let me show you an updated chart below.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/assets.ino.com\/img\/sites\/ino\/email\/14020.jpg\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/assets.ino.com\/img\/sites\/ino\/email\/14020.jpg\" width=\"800\" height=\"auto\" alt=\"Gold Futures Daily\" class=\"aligncenter size-medium\" \/><\/a><br \/>\n<small><center><em>Source: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.tradingview.com\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">TradingView<\/a><\/em><\/center><\/small><\/p>\n<p>The price has slid down to the pink mid-channel support within the black bullish trend channel. <\/p>\n<div class='mailmunch-forms-widget-1089215'><\/div>\n<p>In the RSI sub-chart, we can clearly spot a bearish divergence as the falling peaks didn't confirm the new top in the price chart. This has been playing out, pushing the price down. The indicator's reading has reached the key support of 50, just like the price.<!--more-->    <\/p>\n<p>Let us watch how the price would react at this double edge of the mid-channel and the RSI\u2019s support. The price still could bounce to the upside and challenge the recent top as well as the upside of the trend. <\/p>\n<p>The bearish signal would come on the breakdown. In this case, the black path would be confirmed and the top of $2,063 would act as a peak of the first large move to the upside.<\/p>\n<div id=\"polls-677\" class=\"wp-polls\">\n\t<form id=\"polls_form_677\" class=\"wp-polls-form\" action=\"\/blog\/index.php\" method=\"post\">\n\t\t<p style=\"display: none;\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"poll_677_nonce\" name=\"wp-polls-nonce\" value=\"39b7b61833\" \/><\/p>\n\t\t<p style=\"display: none;\"><input type=\"hidden\" name=\"poll_id\" value=\"677\" \/><\/p>\n\t\t<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><strong>What do you expect from the gold price watching the daily gold futures chart above?<\/strong><\/p><div id=\"polls-677-ans\" class=\"wp-polls-ans\"><ul class=\"wp-polls-ul\">\n\t\t<li><input type=\"radio\" id=\"poll-answer-2122\" name=\"poll_677\" value=\"2122\" \/> <label for=\"poll-answer-2122\">Reversal to the upside<\/label><\/li>\n\t\t<li><input type=\"radio\" id=\"poll-answer-2123\" name=\"poll_677\" value=\"2123\" \/> <label for=\"poll-answer-2123\">Breakdown<\/label><\/li>\n\t\t<\/ul><p style=\"text-align: center;\"><input type=\"button\" name=\"vote\" value=\"   Vote   \" class=\"Buttons\" onclick=\"poll_vote(677);\" onkeypress=\"poll_result(677);\" \/><\/p><p style=\"text-align: center;\"><a href=\"#ViewPollResults\" onclick=\"poll_result(677); return false;\" onkeypress=\"poll_result(677); return false;\" title=\"View Results Of This Poll\">View Results<\/a><\/p><\/div>\n\t<\/form>\n<\/div>\n<div id=\"polls-677-loading\" class=\"wp-polls-loading\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.ino.com\/blog\/wp-content\/plugins\/wp-polls\/images\/loading.gif\" width=\"16\" height=\"16\" alt=\"Loading ...\" title=\"Loading ...\" class=\"wp-polls-image\" \/>&nbsp;Loading ...<\/div>\n\n<p>In the following chart I will zoom out and share a bigger picture on the weekly time frame. <\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/assets.ino.com\/img\/sites\/ino\/email\/14022.jpg\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/assets.ino.com\/img\/sites\/ino\/email\/14022.jpg\" width=\"800\" height=\"auto\" alt=\"Gold Futures Weekly\" class=\"aligncenter size-medium\" \/><\/a><br \/>\n<small><center><em>Source: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.tradingview.com\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">TradingView<\/a><\/em><\/center><\/small><\/p>\n<p>This could be an eye-opening chart with three major scenarios. Sometimes it is worth to zoom out of short time frames and squeeze the chart to see a bigger map that appears.<\/p>\n<p>The gold price chart is showing a potential Triple Top pattern, which poses a major risk for the price. The pattern is formed by three peaks in the same area between $2,000 and $2,100. <\/p>\n<p>If this pattern is confirmed, it could be unpleasant for gold investors as the price would be expected to retest the valley of 2018 at $1,167, which is where the previous major bullish move had started (red arrow).<\/p>\n<div class='mailmunch-forms-widget-1089216'><\/div>\n<p>It seems that the black path may have been the preferred option before taking a broader view of the chart.<\/p>\n<p>However, upon examination of the chart, it appears that the current top may just be the first move up, which has been retraced within a middle-sized consolidation. It is anticipated that after completion of the consolidation, another move up could potentially reach the $2,200 area.<\/p>\n<p>The green path suggests that the zigzags between $2,100 and $1,600 represent a large consolidation, but the final move down to retest the green box has not yet occurred for completion. Once that happens, a large upside move of greater magnitude could potentially emerge, reaching the $2,500 area.<\/p>\n<div id=\"polls-678\" class=\"wp-polls\">\n\t<form id=\"polls_form_678\" class=\"wp-polls-form\" action=\"\/blog\/index.php\" method=\"post\">\n\t\t<p style=\"display: none;\"><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"poll_678_nonce\" name=\"wp-polls-nonce\" value=\"24266f940a\" \/><\/p>\n\t\t<p style=\"display: none;\"><input type=\"hidden\" name=\"poll_id\" value=\"678\" \/><\/p>\n\t\t<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><strong>Which of the following scenarios do you think is most likely on the weekly chart of gold futures?<\/strong><\/p><div id=\"polls-678-ans\" class=\"wp-polls-ans\"><ul class=\"wp-polls-ul\">\n\t\t<li><input type=\"radio\" id=\"poll-answer-2124\" name=\"poll_678\" value=\"2124\" \/> <label for=\"poll-answer-2124\">Red, a Triple Top leading to a decline in the gold price to $1,167.<\/label><\/li>\n\t\t<li><input type=\"radio\" id=\"poll-answer-2125\" name=\"poll_678\" value=\"2125\" \/> <label for=\"poll-answer-2125\">Black, a middle-sized consolidation before a second move up to $2,200.<\/label><\/li>\n\t\t<li><input type=\"radio\" id=\"poll-answer-2126\" name=\"poll_678\" value=\"2126\" \/> <label for=\"poll-answer-2126\">Green, the completion of a large consolidation, followed by a strong rally to $2,500.<\/label><\/li>\n\t\t<\/ul><p style=\"text-align: center;\"><input type=\"button\" name=\"vote\" value=\"   Vote   \" class=\"Buttons\" onclick=\"poll_vote(678);\" onkeypress=\"poll_result(678);\" \/><\/p><p style=\"text-align: center;\"><a href=\"#ViewPollResults\" onclick=\"poll_result(678); return false;\" onkeypress=\"poll_result(678); return false;\" title=\"View Results Of This Poll\">View Results<\/a><\/p><\/div>\n\t<\/form>\n<\/div>\n<div id=\"polls-678-loading\" class=\"wp-polls-loading\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.ino.com\/blog\/wp-content\/plugins\/wp-polls\/images\/loading.gif\" width=\"16\" height=\"16\" alt=\"Loading ...\" title=\"Loading ...\" class=\"wp-polls-image\" \/>&nbsp;Loading ...<\/div>\n\n<p>Intelligent trades!<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/www.ino.com\/blog\/meet-aibek-burabayev\/\" title=\"Meet Aibek Burabeyev\">Aibek Burabayev<\/a><br \/>\nINO.com Contributor<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: 12px; font-style: italic;\">Disclosure: This contributor has no positions in any stocks mentioned in this article. This article is the opinion of the contributor themselves. The above is a matter of opinion provided for general information purposes only and is not intended as investment advice. This contributor is not receiving compensation (other than from INO.com) for their opinion.<\/span><\/p>\n<!-- AddThis Advanced Settings generic via filter on the_content --><!-- AddThis Share Buttons generic via filter on the_content -->","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Gold price came very close to hitting the double barrier at $2,070-$2,100 of the black path target and the upper boundary of the bullish trend channel outlined earlier this month. The new 1-year top has been established at $2,063. You were amazingly accurate this time as most of the votes were for the black path [&hellip;]<!-- AddThis Advanced Settings generic via filter on get_the_excerpt --><!-- AddThis Share Buttons generic via filter on get_the_excerpt --><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":21,"featured_media":56761,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[6920],"tags":[3438,4259,2424,102],"class_list":["post-58492","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ino-com-contributors","tag-chart-analysis","tag-gold-futures","tag-gold-update","tag-technical-analysis"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v23.4 (Yoast SEO v23.6) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Gold Update: Hard Top or Glass Ceiling? - INO.com Trader&#039;s Blog<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"The market has since reversed to the downside, raising the question of whether it was a hard top or a glass ceiling.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.ino.com\/blog\/2023\/04\/gold-update-hard-top-or-glass-ceiling\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Gold Update: Hard Top or Glass Ceiling? 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