{"id":59421,"date":"2024-05-06T06:00:35","date_gmt":"2024-05-06T10:00:35","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.ino.com\/blog\/?p=59421"},"modified":"2024-05-06T12:02:27","modified_gmt":"2024-05-06T16:02:27","slug":"can-starbucks-sbux-rebound-from-earnings-miss","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/wwwtest.ino.com\/blog\/2024\/05\/can-starbucks-sbux-rebound-from-earnings-miss\/","title":{"rendered":"Can Starbucks (SBUX) Rebound From Earnings Miss?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><a href=\"https:\/\/quotes.ino.com\/charting\/?s=NASDAQ_SBUX\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Starbucks Corporation (SBUX)<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">, the leading coffeehouse chain, reported quarterly revenue and EPS that fell short of analysts\u2019 expectations. Shares of SBUX<\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.investopedia.com\/starbucks-stock-plunges-after-declining-sale-store-sales-weaken-2024-outlook-8641618\"> <span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">declined more than 12% in premarket trading<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> Wednesday after the coffee company reported a disappointing quarter. Also, the stock has plunged nearly 18% over the past month and almost 28% over the past six months.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">For the<\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/investor.starbucks.com\/press-releases\/financial-releases\/press-release-details\/2024\/Starbucks-Reports-Q2-Fiscal-2024-Results\/default.aspx\"> <span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">second quarter<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> that ended March 31, 2024, SBUX\u2019s net revenues decreased 1.8% year-over-year to $8.56 billion. That <\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">missed <\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">analysts\u2019 revenue estimate of $9.16 billion.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Global same-store sales decreased by 4% as traffic to its cafes declined 6% in the quarter. Starbucks experienced declining same-store sales and lower traffic across all regions. In North America and the U.S., same-store sales dropped by 3% as traffic fell 7%, marking the second consecutive quarter of challenges in its home market.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Last quarter, executives attributed slow sales to<\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/apnews.com\/article\/starbucks-war-palestinians-israel-boycott-labor-3b1165fc74ed181a4a5dad2106779922\"> <span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">boycotts of the stores<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> related to misperceptions about its stance on Israel.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">SBUX\u2019s CEO Laxman Narismhan told analysts on the company\u2019s<\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.investopedia.com\/terms\/c\/conferencecall.asp\"> <span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">conference call<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">, \u201cIn this environment, many customers have been more exacting about where and how they choose to spend their money.\u201d Narasimhan added that a deteriorating economic outlook in several of its markets had contributed to a significant reduction in customer traffic.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">SBUX\u2019 International segment posted same-store sales declines of 6%, with both average ticket and transactions declining. In China, the company's second-largest market, same-store sales fell by 11%, primarily due to an 8% reduction in average ticket.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The coffee giant\u2019s operating income was $1.10 billion, down 17.2% from the prior year\u2019s quarter. Net earnings attributable to SBUX declined 15% year-over-year to $772.40 million. It reported net earnings per share was $0.68, compared to the consensus estimate of $0.80, and down 13.9% year-over-year.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">As of March 31, 2024, Starbucks\u2019 cash and cash equivalents stood at $2.76 billion, compared to $3.55 billion as of October 1, 2023. The company\u2019s current assets were $6.47 billion versus $7.30 as of October 1, 2023.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">\u201cIn a highly challenged environment, this quarter\u2019s results do not reflect the power of our brand, our capabilities or the opportunities ahead,\u201d said Laxman Narasimhan. \u201cIt did not meet our expectations, but we understand the specific challenges and opportunities immediately in front of us.\u201d<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">\u201cWe have a clear plan to execute and the entire organization is mobilized around it. We are very confident in our long-term and know that our Triple Shot Reinvention with Two Pumps strategy will deliver on the limitless potential of this brand,\u201d Narasimhan added.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Meanwhile, Rachel Ruggeri, SBUX\u2019s chief financial officer, commented, \u201cWhile it was a difficult quarter, we learned from our own underperformance and sharpened our focus with a comprehensive roadmap of well thought out actions making the path forward clear.\u201d<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">\u201cOn this path, we remain committed to our disciplined approach to capital allocation as we navigate this complex and dynamic environment,\u201d he added.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><b>Bleak Fiscal 2024 Outlook<\/b><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">For the fiscal year 2024, SBUX expects revenue growth in the low single digits, compared to the prior guidance of 7% to 10%. The coffee giant also revised its forecasts for global and U.S. same-store sales growth to a range of low single digits to flat from its prior projection of 4% to 6%.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Starbucks\u2019 same-store sales in China are anticipated to decrease by single digits, compared to the previous guidance of a single-digit increase. <\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The company further expects EPS growth to range from flat to low single digits. <\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Previously, it expected its earnings to surge 15% to 20% in 2024.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">However, the company projects that sales might improve in the fourth quarter of 2024.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">In addition, SBUX\u2019s CEO Narasimhan said that the company now expects supply-chain cost savings of $4 billion over the next four years, revising its previous outlook of $3 billion over three years.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><b>Strategic Initiatives<\/b><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">In February 2024, SBUX and<\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/quotes.ino.com\/search\/?s=NYSE_BAC\"> <span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Bank of America Corporation (BAC)<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">, the prominent financial institution,<\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/stories.starbucks.com\/press\/2024\/bank-of-america-and-starbucks-launch-loyalty-partnership\/\"> <span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">announced a new collaboration<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> that offers millions of Bank of America cardholders and Starbucks Rewards\u00ae members in the U.S. the ability to earn more benefits by linking accounts.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Bank of America cardholders and Starbucks Rewards members can earn an additional 2% cash back on qualifying purchases on top of their existing rewards or card benefits. Additionally, they can earn 1 Star per $2 spent at Starbucks by linking an eligible debit or credit card to their Starbucks Rewards account at<\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/promotions.bankofamerica.com\/starbucks\"> <span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">BofA.com\/starbucks<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> or <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/promotions.bankofamerica.com\/starbucks\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">starbucks.com\/bofa<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Ryan Butz, vice president of loyalty strategy and marketing at Starbucks, said, \u201cThis partnership is the latest example of how we are continuing to invest in our most loyal customers to deepen engagement and connection by offering benefits and experiences that can\u2019t be found anywhere else.\u201d<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Despite near-term macroeconomic headwinds, the Seattle-based coffee company remains focused on its long-term growth and outsized returns to partners, customers, and shareholders.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">In November last year, SBUX announced its<\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/stories.starbucks.com\/press\/2023\/starbucks-announces-triple-shot-reinvention-strategy-with-multiple-paths-for-long-term-growth\/\"> <span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">long-term growth strategy<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">, <\/span><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Triple Shot Reinvention with Two Pumps, <\/span><\/i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">to elevate the brand, strengthen and scale digital, identify opportunities within and outside the store for efficiencies, expand globally, and reinvigorate the partner (employee) culture.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">For the quarter that ended March 31, 2024, Starbucks\u2019 U.S. store count stood at 16,600, a 3% increase year-over-year. The company aspires to reach 20,000 over the long term, leveraging the vast channels available to meet the changing customer needs and further elevate the brand.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">\u201cInnovation in our store formats, to purpose defined stores like pick-up, drive-thru only, double-sided drive-thru, and delivery-only allows us to better meet our customers where they are at through differentiated experiences,\u201d said Sara Trilling, executive vice president and president of Starbucks North America.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">In addition, the brand will be elevated via product innovation. Also, SBUX introduced a new phase in the acceleration of its digital flywheel. The coffee chain wants to strengthen its digital leadership with a strategy aimed at Double global Starbucks Rewards with another 75 million members within the next five years.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Also, SBUX announced new technology collaborations to improve the partner and customer experience. The partnership with<\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/quotes.ino.com\/search\/?s=NASDAQ_MSFT\"> <span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Microsoft Corporation (MSFT)<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> will continue through joint efforts in its innovation lab, combining industry-leading generative AI capabilities to advance product development and personalization to the next level.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Further, Starbucks will collaborate with<\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/quotes.ino.com\/search\/?s=NASDAQ_AAPL\"> <span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Apple (AAPL)<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> products in its first Green Apron Innovation store to experiment and refine technology to help partners worldwide. The company will also reimage the customer in-store experience with Amazon One and Just Walk Out technology.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">SBUX also announced a plan to expand its global store footprint to 55,000 by 2030, bolstered by further expansion of digital platforms across all licensed partners worldwide.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The company further announced the implementation of a $3 billion efficiency program \u2013 with $2 billion outside the store in cost of goods sold \u2013 to reinvest in the business and deliver returns to shareholders through margin expansion and earnings growth.\u00a0\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><b>Bottom Line<\/b><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">SBUX reported weaker-than-expected revenue and earnings in the second quarter of fiscal 2024, driven by a significant decline in same-store sales. After a disastrous quarter, the coffee giant lowered its outlook for the full-year earnings and revenue; however, it forecasts sales will start improving in the fourth quarter of 2024.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Regarding disappointing financial performance, CEO Laxman Narasimhan said customers had been more cautious about where and how they spend their money during the quarter. The<\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/apnews.com\/article\/consumer-confidence-conference-board-economy-spending-64cc1645a4b0e07fbf446f673c7ba2c8\"> <span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">U.S. consumer confidence deteriorated<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> for the third consecutive month in April as consumers continued to fight persistently high prices and elevated interest rates.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Starbucks added that bad weather also closed some U.S. stores briefly in the quarter. China, the company's second-largest market, also witnessed a choppy post-COVID recovery. Further, it is facing an ongoing boycott of its stores for its perceived support of Israel in the war in Gaza.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Despite near-term macro challenges, the coffee giant stays committed to its long-term growth strategy,<\/span><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> Triple Shot Reinvention with Two Pumps, <\/span><\/i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">which priorities elevating the Starbucks brand, strengthening the company\u2019s digital capabilities, becoming more global by accelerating store expansion, unlocking efficiency by cost savings, and reinvigorating the partner culture.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Starbucks continues to deliver significant value to partners, customers, and shareholders. On March 21, SBUX\u2019s Board of Directors<\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/investor.starbucks.com\/press-releases\/financial-releases\/press-release-details\/2024\/Starbucks-Declares-Quarterly-Cash-Dividend\/default.aspx#a__text_SEATTLE_2D_2D_BUSINESS_20WIRE__2D_2D_record_20on_20May_2017_2C_202024_\"> <span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">approved a quarterly cash dividend of $0.57<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> per share of outstanding common stock, payable in cash on May 31, 2024.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">SBUX pays an annual dividend of $2.28 per share, which translates to a yield of 3.12% on the current share price. Its four-year average dividend yield is 2%. The company\u2019s dividend payouts have grown at a CAGR of 9.8% over the past five years. Moreover, Starbucks has raised its dividend for 13 consecutive years.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Although the road to recovery might be rocky, investors should watch closely for improvements in SBUX\u2019s same-store sales, gains from ongoing strategic initiatives, and global store expansion. Hence, it could be wise to wait for a better entry in this stock for now.<\/span><\/p>\n<!-- AddThis Advanced Settings generic via filter on the_content --><!-- AddThis Share Buttons generic via filter on the_content -->","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Starbucks Corporation (SBUX), the leading coffeehouse chain, reported quarterly revenue and EPS that fell short of analysts\u2019 expectations. Shares of SBUX declined more than 12% in premarket trading Wednesday after the coffee company reported a disappointing quarter. Also, the stock has plunged nearly 18% over the past month and almost 28% over the past six [&hellip;]<!-- AddThis Advanced Settings generic via filter on get_the_excerpt --><!-- AddThis Share Buttons generic via filter on get_the_excerpt --><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":41,"featured_media":2588,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[34120,5388,34115,9310,34119,34122,34121,34124,34117,32033,34123,32115,34118,34116],"class_list":["post-59421","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-general","tag-announced-a-new-collaboration","tag-apple-aapl","tag-approved-a-quarterly-cash-dividend-of-0-57","tag-bank-of-america-corporation-bac","tag-bofa-com-starbucks","tag-boycotts-of-the-stores","tag-conference-call","tag-declined-more-than-12-in-premarket-trading","tag-long-term-growth-strategy","tag-microsoft-corporation-msft","tag-second-quarter","tag-starbucks-corporation-sbux","tag-starbucks-com-bofa","tag-u-s-consumer-confidence-deteriorated"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v23.4 (Yoast SEO v23.6) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Can Starbucks (SBUX) Rebound From Earnings Miss? - INO.com Trader&#039;s Blog<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Starbucks\u2019 (SBUX) second-quarter revenue and EPS missed analysts\u2019 estimates, and the stock\u2019s price has dropped since. 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