{"id":9450,"date":"2011-09-21T13:36:24","date_gmt":"2011-09-21T17:36:24","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/club.ino.com\/trading\/?p=9450"},"modified":"2011-09-21T13:36:24","modified_gmt":"2011-09-21T17:36:24","slug":"all-eyes-are-on-the-fed-today","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/wwwtest.ino.com\/blog\/2011\/09\/all-eyes-are-on-the-fed-today\/","title":{"rendered":"All Eyes Are On the Fed Today"},"content":{"rendered":"

\"\"<\/a>Hello traders everywhere! Adam Hewison here, co-founder of MarketClub with your mid-day market update for Wednesday, the 21st of September.<\/p>\n

All eyes are on the Fed \u2013 Will they twist again like last summer?<\/p>\n

It would seem as though the world and the markets are waiting to see what the Fed is going to do today at 2:15 PM. They are supposed to make an announcement. This is always the technician's dilemma... Do I leave my positions intact with stops? Or do I take them off before this major announcement?<\/p>\n

Let me share with you a quick story about one of the most successful traders I've ever known. Here was a gentleman who traded all the markets, strictly on the charts. He didn't listen to the news, didn't care about the news, and certainly didn't care about what Ben Bernanke was about to say. He simply went with the big trends. Based on that thesis, one should remain short the equity markets and remain long in the gold market with the appropriate money management stops.<\/p>\n

As traders, we are bombarded with news. Some of it is useful, but a lot of it is just fluff to fill up airspace time. One piece that caught my eye this morning, which I haven't seen reported in the main media, concerns the venerable Lloyds of London insurance company. This company was founded in 1688 in a London coffeehouse and has gone through wars, boom and bust cycles, every money mania known to man and has always managed to survive. The article claimed that Lloyds of London is taking their cash out of the European banks this morning:<\/p>\n

http:\/\/www.businessweek.com\/news\/2011-09-21\/lloyd-s-of-london-pulls-deposits-from-banks-on-debt-crisis.html<\/a><\/p>\n

Quite frankly this is shocking, but not surprising given Lloyds' survival instincts. Lloyds of London is one of the most conservative companies, run by some of the smartest people on the planet. Perhaps it's an early warning sign about what could potentially happen in Europe.<\/p>\n

It is something to think about.<\/p>\n

Now let's go to the 6 major markets we track and update every trading day<\/a> and see how we can create and maintain your wealth in 2011. <\/p>\n

--------<\/p>\n

S&P 500<\/a> INDEX
\nTrading Instruments:
\nNon Leveraged ETF's: (Long SPY) (Short SH)
\n2 x Leveraged ETF's: (Long SSO)(Short SDS)
\nFutures: Contact your broker
\nOptions: Contact your broker
\nWARNING: Liquidity in some ETFs is very thin. Contact your broker for more information.
\n--------
\nMonthly Trade Triangles for Long-Term Trends = Negative
\nWeekly Trade Triangles for Intermediate Term Trends = Positive
\nDaily Trade Triangles for Short-Term Trends = Positive
\nCombined Strength of Trend Score = + 60<\/p>\n

For the past six weeks, the S&P 500 index has been moving sideways with resistance around the 1220 area and support coming in around 1120. It would also appear that approximately every 11 or 12 days the market will make a high and then pull back for the next 5 or 6 days. If the same pattern repeats, the next swing in the S&P 500 could be on the downside. This would be in line with the major trend for this market. Of course, everything is going to hinge on what the Fed announces at 2:15 today. With a Chart Analysis Score of + 60, we would recommend trading this market using the Williams % R indicator and the Donchian Trading Channels. Long-term traders should continue to be short or be out of the market completely, and in a cash position. Intermediate term traders should be on the sidelines waiting for either a buy or sell signal based on our Trade Triangle technology.
\n--------
\nSILVER<\/a> (SPOT)
\nTrading Instruments:
\nNon Leveraged ETF's: (Long SLV) (Short the ETF SLV)
\nLeveraged ETF's: (Long AQG) (Short ZSL)
\nFutures: Contact your broker
\nOptions: Contact your broker
\nWARNING: Liquidity in some ETFs is very thin. Contact your broker for more information.
\n--------
\nMonthly Trade Triangles for Long-Term Trends = Positive
\nWeekly Trade Triangles for Intermediate Term Trends = Negative
\nDaily Trade Triangles for Short-Term Trends = Negative
\nCombined Strength of Trend Score = - 60<\/p>\n

It would appear that the spot silver market is beginning to consolidate over the $39 an ounce level. The spot silver market is very oversold and right for a bounce. With a Chart Analysis Score of -60 this market is in a trading range and we are currently at the lower levels of the Donchian trading channel. It may take a few days to consolidate, but we expect this market will move up from current levels. Cyclically, we are close to a cyclic low. We want to continue to monitor this market looking for an area to add to long positions. Long term traders should maintain long positions in this market with appropriate stops. Intermediate term traders should now be on the sidelines waiting for either a buy, or sell signal based on our Trade Triangle technology.<\/p>\n

-------
\nGOLD<\/a> (SPOT)
\nTrading Instruments:
\nNon Leveraged ETF's: (Long GLD) (Short the ETF GLD)
\nLeveraged ETF's:(Long UGL) (Short GLL)
\nFutures: Contact your broker
\nOptions: Contact your broker
\nWARNING: Liquidity in some ETFs is very thin. Contact your broker for more information.
\n--------
\nMonthly Trade Triangles for Long-Term Trends = Positive
\nWeekly Trade Triangles for Intermediate Term Trends = Positive
\nDaily Trade Triangles for Short-Term Trends = Negative
\nCombined Strength of Trend Score = + 55<\/p>\n

The gold market continues to bounce along with support coming in to the spot market at $1760 an ounce. We want to pay close attention to the gold market this week, as we feel it is very close to a cyclic low. Here are the reasons why: (1) we are at the lower range of the Donchian trading channel (2) the market is oversold, with a possible bullish divergence on the Williams % R indicator (3) the MACD indicator is also towards the lower end of its range and could possibly turn up and give a buy signal in the next several days. We want to be patient and wait for this to happen. Providing that our monthly and weekly Trade Triangles remain intact, we want to approach this market from the long side. Support comes in around the $1,775 and extends all the way down to $1,750. Intermediate and long-term traders should maintain long positions with the appropriate money management stops in place.<\/p>\n

--------
\nCRUDE OIL<\/a> (OCTOBER)
\nTrading Instruments:
\nNon Leveraged ETF's: (Long USO) (Short the ETF USO)
\nLeveraged ETF's: (Long UCO) (Short DTO)
\nFutures: Call your broker
\nOptions: Call your broker
\nWARNING: Liquidity in some ETFs is very thin. Contact your broker for more information.
\n--------
\nMonthly Trade Triangles for Long-Term Trends = Negative
\nWeekly Trade Triangles for Intermediate Term Trends = Positive
\nDaily Trade Triangles for Short-Term Trends = Negative
\nCombined Strength of Trend Score = - 75<\/p>\n

There is not much going on in the crude oil market, as it continues to remain in a fairly broad trading range with resistance very evident at the $90 a barrel level. Support comes into this market between $84 and 84.50 a barrel. The crude oil market is presenting a mixed picture at the moment with our longer-term monthly Trade Triangle negative and our intermediate term weekly Trade Triangle positive. This has created a trading range at the moment. The crude oil market remains in a sort of sideways motion, but with a bias to testing the lower range of the Donchian trading channel. The Williams % R indicator is stuck in the middle giving no real clue as to direction. Also pay attention to the MACD since it is beginning to lose momentum and could be rolling over to the downside if we have any more negative closes. We do not think that the crude oil market is ready to go higher, based on our long-term monthly Trade Triangle which remains negative. The $90 a barrel resistance continues to stop this market on the upside. Look for crude oil to continue to move in a sideways to lower manner.
\n--------
\nDOLLAR<\/a> INDEX
\nTrading Instruments:
\nNon Leveraged ETF's: (Long UUP) (Short UDN)
\nLeveraged ETF's: (Long UCO) (Short DTO)
\nFutures: Contact your broker
\nOptions: Contact your broker
\nWARNING: Liquidity in some ETFs is very thin. Contact your broker for more information.
\n--------
\nMonthly Trade Triangles for Long-Term Trends = Positive
\nWeekly Trade Triangles for Intermediate Term Trends = Positive
\nDaily Trade Triangles for Short-Term Trends = Positive
\nCombined Strength of Trend Score = + 90<\/p>\n

Our comments for the dollar index remain pretty much the same as yesterday. The dollar index continues to consolidate above its original breakout point of 76.10. We are positive on this market and expect to see it move higher. We would like to see a close over 77.60 as that would indicate a new high close for this index and set it up to move to our initial target zone of 80.00. On any type of pullback we would not be happy to see this market closed below the 76 level. Longer-term this market looks poised to move much higher. This index is coming from a large energy field that is capable of carrying it much higher, possibly up to the 80.00 - 81.00 area. Short, Intermediate and Long-Term traders should maintain long positions with the appropriate money management stops in place.<\/p>\n

--------
\nREUTERS\/JEFFERIES CRB<\/a> COMMODITY INDEX
\nTrading Instruments:
\nNon Leveraged ETF's: (Long CRBQ) (Short the ETF CRBQ)
\nLeveraged ETF's: (Long UCO) (Short CMD)
\nFutures: Contact your broker
\nOptions: Contact your broker
\nWARNING: Liquidity in some ETFs is very thin. Contact your broker for more information.
\n--------
\nMonthly Trade Triangles for Long-Term Trends = Negative
\nWeekly Trade Triangles for Intermediate Term Trends = Negative
\nDaily Trade Triangles for Short-Term Trends = Negative
\nCombined Strength of Trend Score = - 90<\/p>\n

This index is very close to making what we considered a fairly significant low and we would not be surprised to see a rally from current levels. Cyclically this market has come back to an area where it should begin to find support. We are at the lower levels of the Donchian trading channel and heavily oversold on the Williams % R indicator. I expect that given the next few days we will see this market consolidate for a recovery rally. Short, Intermediate and Long-Term traders should maintain short positions with the appropriate money management stops in place.
\n---------
\nAs always, we rely on our market proven Trade Triangle technology for catching the big moves.
\n---------<\/p>\n

HERE\u2019S THE FASTEST, EASIEST WAY TO IMPROVE YOUR TRADING<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

I would like you to ask yourself this question, IS PERSONAL COACHING RIGHT FOR ME?<\/p>\n

Give us a call today at 877\u2013219\u20131482<\/strong><\/span> for a free consultation and see if personal coaching is right for you.<\/p>\n

But first, view my personal invitation to you about our one-on-one coaching:<\/p>\n

http:\/\/www.marketclubcoaching.com\/now\/<\/a><\/p>\n

This is Adam Hewison for MarketClub and I\u2019ll see you tomorrow, right here with my weekend wrap. Have a great trading day.<\/p>\n

All the best,
\nAdam Hewison<\/a>
\nPresident, INO.com
\nCo-creator, MarketClub<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Hello traders everywhere! Adam Hewison here, co-founder of MarketClub with your mid-day market update for Wednesday, the 21st of September. All eyes are on the Fed \u2013 Will they twist again like last summer? 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Adam Hewison here, co-founder of MarketClub with your mid-day market update for Wednesday, the 21st of September. All eyes are on the Fed \u2013 Will they twist again like last summer? 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