{"id":9906,"date":"2011-10-18T13:46:08","date_gmt":"2011-10-18T17:46:08","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/club.ino.com\/trading\/?p=9906"},"modified":"2011-10-18T13:46:08","modified_gmt":"2011-10-18T17:46:08","slug":"is-the-market-a-buy-or-short-sale","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/wwwtest.ino.com\/blog\/2011\/10\/is-the-market-a-buy-or-short-sale\/","title":{"rendered":"Is the Market A Buy or Short Sale?"},"content":{"rendered":"

Hello traders everywhere! Adam Hewison he\"\"<\/a>re, co-founder of MarketClub with your mid-day market update for Tuesday, the 18th of October.
\n-------------
\nWIN A FREE 1 YR SUBSCRIPTION TO MARKETCLUB ON A HP WiFi TABLET <\/a>
\n------------
\nIs the market a buy or short sale?<\/p>\n

That's the question that is going through many trader's minds this week. Should I buy this market, or should I go short this market? At the moment, this market is being driven by perception and sentiment. Eventually that will change and the market will become driven by the direction of the major trend.<\/p>\n

Our major trend indicators remain negative on the equity markets. We are also looking at the S&P 500 at the top of the Donchian trading channel. I believe that was the reason for yesterday's sharp move down.<\/p>\n

In order for this market to really get going on the upside it needs to clear the highs of 1230 on the S&P 500 in a convincing fashion.<\/p>\n

There is so much confusion in the marketplace right now... Interest rates, mortgage foreclosures, contagion in Europe and the occupation of Wall Street. The markets always have numerous conflicting thoughts, but eventually the market figures it out and goes the way it wants to go. Our job here at MarketClub is to recognize those changes and alert you to what we are witnessing.<\/p>\n

Now, let's go to the 6 major markets we track every day<\/a> and see how we can create and maintain your wealth in 2011.
\n-------------
\nS&P 500<\/a> INDEX
\n-------------
\nThe S&P 500 closed yesterday below the 1205.65 level and we consider this to be a crucial area. Yesterday's close below that area indicates we are going to see further sideways to negative action in the near term. With a Chart Analysis Score today of + 70, we are stuck in a trading range waiting for some news to shake us out of the doldrums. We would not be surprised to see a pullback to the 1120 area. A 61.8% Fibonacci retracement takes the S&P 500 back to the 1130.94 area. Long-term traders should continue to hold short positions in this index.
\n-------------
\nMonthly Trade Triangles for Long-Term Trends = Negative
\nWeekly Trade Triangles for Intermediate Term Trends = Positive
\nDaily Trade Triangles for Short-Term Trends = Positive
\nCombined Strength of Trend Score = + 70
\n-------------
\nSuggested S&P 500 Trading Instruments:
\nNon Leveraged ETF's: (Long SPY) (Short SH)
\n2 x Leveraged ETF's: (Long SSO)(Short SDS)
\nFutures: Contracts are available to trade this market. Contact your broker
\nOptions: Options Contracts are available to trade this market.Contact your broker
\nWARNING: Liquidity is some ETFs is very thin. Contact your broker for more information.<\/p>\n

-------------
\nWIN A FREE 1 YR SUBSCRIPTION TO MARKETCLUB ON A HP WiFi TABLET<\/a>
\n-------------
\nSILVER<\/a> (SPOT)
\n-------------
\nThe downside pressure that we were looking for in this market came to pass today when we traded down to the $30.50 level, basis the spot silver market. This is the lowest level we have seen trade in the last eight days. We believe that the markets are looking at silver as an industrial metal and if we are correct on the trend in the world equity markets, then silver should fall to around $20 an ounce. Our Chart Analysis Score moved to -70, indicating that we may have a few more days to go before we head to the downside. Intermediate and Long-term traders should continue to hold short positions in silver with appropriate stops.
\n-------------
\nMonthly Trade Triangles for Long-Term Trends = Negative
\nWeekly Trade Triangles for Intermediate Term Trend = Negative
\nDaily Trade Triangles for Short-Term Trends = Negative
\nCombined Strength of Trend Score = - 70
\n-------------
\nSuggested SILVER Trading Instruments:
\nNon Leveraged ETF's: (Long SLV) (Short the ETF SLV)
\nLeveraged ETF's: (Long AGQ) (Short ZSL)
\nFutures: Contracts are available to trade this market. Contact your broker
\nOptions: Options Contracts are available to trade this market.Contact your broker
\nWARNING: Liquidity is some ETFs is very thin. Contact your broker for more information.<\/p>\n

-------------<\/p>\n

HERE'S THE FASTEST, EASIEST WAY FOR YOU TO IMPROVE YOUR TRADING<\/p>\n

I would like you to ask yourself this question, AM I Ready FOR A PERSONAL COACH?<\/p>\n

Give us a call today at 877\u2013219\u20131482 for a free consultation and see if personal coaching is right for you.<\/p>\n

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\nGOLD<\/a> (SPOT)
\n-------------
\nAs we mentioned in yesterday's comments, we were somewhat concerned about the gold market based on the fact that the silver market looked very precarious. The sharp move down in gold today turned our daily Trade Triangle negative. However, intermediate and long term indicators remain positive on gold. Given today's action, we expect to see more of a two way market and would not be surprised to see further downside pressure, possibly testing the $1,600 level. I think most traders would be better off just watching from the sidelines. Only long-term traders should maintain long positions with the appropriate money management stops in place.
\n-------------
\nMonthly Trade Triangles for Long-Term Trends = Positive
\nWeekly Trade Triangles for Intermediate Term Trends = Positive
\nDaily Trade Triangles for Short-Term Trends = Negative
\nCombined Strength of Trend Score = + 65
\n-------------
\nSuggested GOLD Trading Instruments:
\nNon Leveraged ETF's: (Long GLD) (Short the ETF GLD)
\nLeveraged ETF's:(Long UGL) (Short GLL)
\nFutures: Contracts are available to trade this market. Contact your broker
\nOptions: Options Contracts are available to trade this market.Contact your broker
\nWARNING: Liquidity is some ETFs is very thin. Contact your broker for more information.<\/p>\n

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\nCRUDE OIL<\/a> (DECEMBER)
\n-------------
\nThe crude oil market continues to mirror the action in the equity markets. The highs seen yesterday in the December contract at $88.40 a barrel remains to be taken out if this market is going to move higher. With mixed Trade Triangles and a Chart Analysis Score of +70, there is no clear cut direction for this market at the moment. Crude oil is very overbought on the Wiliams % R indicator. We are looking for a pullback to the $80 a barrel level, which would represent a 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. Our long-term Trade Triangles continue to be negative and we expect they will once again dictate the tone of this market. Long-term traders should continue to be short the crude oil market.
\n-------------
\nMonthly Trade Triangles for Long-Term Trends = Negative
\nWeekly Trade Triangles for Intermediate Term Trends = Positive
\nDaily Trade Triangles for Short-Term Trends = Positive
\nCombined Strength of Trend Score = + 70
\n-------------
\nSuggested Trading Instruments:
\nNon Leveraged ETF's: (Long USO) (Short the ETF USO)
\nLeveraged ETF's: (Long UCO) (Short DTO)
\nFutures: Contracts are available to trade this market. Contact your broker
\nOptions: Options Contracts are available to trade this market.Contact your broker
\nWARNING: Liquidity is some ETFs is very thin. Contact your broker for more information.<\/p>\n

-------------
\nWIN A FREE 1 YR SUBSCRIPTION TO MARKETCLUB ON A WiFi TABLET<\/a>
\n-------------
\nDOLLAR<\/a> INDEX
\n-------------
\nThe dollar index moved to a five-day high today before succumbing to selling pressure. We would not be surprised to see a rally back to the 78.50 area. We continue to be friendly to this index and want to hold long positions with money management stops. The Dollar index is coming from a large energy field that is capable of carrying it much higher. Long-Term traders should maintain long positions with the appropriate stops in place.
\n-------------
\nMonthly Trade Triangles for Long-Term Trends = Positive
\nWeekly Trade Triangles for Intermediate Term Trends = Negative
\nDaily Trade Triangles for Short-Term Trends = Positive
\nCombined Strength of Trend Score = - 55
\n-------------
\nSuggested DOLLAR INDEX Trading Instruments:
\nNon Leveraged ETF's: (Long UUP) (Short UDN)
\nLeveraged ETF's: (Long) (Short)
\nFutures: Contracts are available to trade this market. Contact your broker
\nOptions: Options Contracts are available to trade this market.Contact your broker
\nWARNING: Liquidity is some ETFs is very thin. Contact your broker for more information.<\/p>\n

-------------
\nREUTERS\/JEFFERIES CRB<\/a> COMMODITY INDEX
\n-------------
\nThe REUTERS\/JEFFERIES CRB COMMODITY INDEX remains heavily overbought and we would not be surprised to see more sideways to negative action. As we mentioned yesterday, this market has rallied back approximately 50% from the highs that were seen in late August to the recent lows seen in early October. Our long-term Trade Triangle remains negative and we expect to see this market once again resume its downward trend. In the short term we're looking for a move back to the 305 to 300 level. Long-Term traders should maintain short positions with the appropriate money management stops in place.
\n---------------
\nMonthly Trade Triangles for Long-Term Trends = Negative
\nWeekly Trade Triangles for Intermediate Term Trends = Positive
\nDaily Trade Triangles for Short-Term Trends = Positive
\nCombined Strength of Trend Score = + 70
\n---------------
\nSuggested REUTERS\/JEFFERIES CRB COMMODITY INDEX Trading Instruments:
\nNon Leveraged ETF's: (Long CRBQ) (Short the ETF CRBQ)
\nLeveraged ETF's: (Long) (Short CMD)
\nFutures: Contracts are available to trade this market. Contact your broker
\nOptions: Options Contracts are available to trade this market.Contact your broker
\nWARNING: Liquidity is some ETFs is very thin. Contact your broker for more information.<\/p>\n

---------------
\nAs always, we rely on our market proven Trade Triangle technology for catching the big moves.
\n---------------
\nDon't miss MarketClub TV every Wednesday, right here on the MarketClub Channel<\/a>.<\/p>\n

BE PART OF THIS WEEK'S SHOW BY CALLING 410-867-2100<\/strong><\/span> extension 129<\/span><\/strong>.<\/p>\n

* Give us your feedback.
\n* Tell us how you use MarketClub.
\n* Ask about markets.
\n* Ask about different indicators.
\n* Tell us how we can make the show better.<\/p>\n

Call 410-867-2100<\/strong><\/span> extension 129<\/span><\/strong> today.<\/p>\n

---------------<\/p>\n

This is Adam Hewison for MarketClub and I'll see you tomorrow with my mid-day update. Don't forget to enter for a free 1 year subscription to MarketClub on a HP WiFi Tablet<\/a>.<\/p>\n

All the best,
\nAdam Hewison
\n<\/a> President, INO.com
\nCo-creator, MarketClub<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Hello traders everywhere! Adam Hewison here, co-founder of MarketClub with your mid-day market update for Tuesday, the 18th of October. ------------- WIN A FREE 1 YR SUBSCRIPTION TO MARKETCLUB ON A HP WiFi TABLET ------------ Is the market a buy or short sale? That's the question that is going through many trader's minds this week. 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