Hello MarketClub members everywhere. According to St. Louis Fed Pres. Bullard (voter) December seems to be a "reasonable time" to raise interest rates. My guess is that the Fed will do zero and hope to hold off raising interest rates until 2017. The reason I say that is that it would more than likely hurt the Christmas shopping season and that is something the Fed is loath to do.
Now let me say this, I'm not a fan of the Fed and I think they've handled things very poorly and have done nothing to spur or help the economy. I do however believe that when interest begin to move higher, it will be an incentive for people to go out and begin buying things and looking at real estate again before rates get out of their price range. In other words, I think it will have the opposite effect of not dulling the economy, but spurring the economy to greater productivity.
The other item this morning, of course, is going to be corporate tax rates. If corporate tax rates are reduced to the amount that President-elect Trump is suggesting, then there's going to be a big surge in business which is good for the economy.
Today, I'm going to be looking at one particular stock that has a confirmed Japanese candlestick formation that in the past has proven to be bullish and particularly good at calling major bottoms in markets. The Japanese candlestick formation is referred to as a "Morning Doji Star" and consists of three bars. I will show you a perfect example of this formation.
After a seven-day rally has the stock market run out of gas? Well, I think we can all agree that nothing goes up forever and nothing goes down forever and frequently when you have a run of seven days or more the chances are you going to see a reversal albeit a temporary reversal in that trend.
In today's video will be looking at all three of the major indices and where they are now along with gold and crude oil.
Stay focused and disciplined.
Every success with MarketClub,
Adam Hewison
President, INO.com
Co-Creator, MarketClub
This is all you need to know about when the FED is going to raise rates:
https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/DGS3MO
The 90 day yield started climbing up on October 23, 2015 from 0% to .3% by December 7, the FED funds was increased on December 16.
On October 28, 2016 the 90 day yield was at .3%, as of yesterday it had climbed up to .45%. If it continues to climb then a FED rate hike will follow.
The Market always telegraphs the next FED rate hike or decline.
The one year rate does the same, but with more lead time.
https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/DGS1