Top Currencies Vs. Gold: Which Fiat Could Beat Gold in 2017?

Aibek Burabayev - INO.com Contributor - Metals


This is a traditional post with a performance review of top currencies versus gold at the end of the year.

The fiat money is represented by 7 currencies: US Dollar (USD) and 6 components of the US Dollar Index (DXY) placed by weight: Euro (EUR), Japanese yen (JPY), British Pound (GBP), Canadian Dollar (CAD), Swedish Krona (SEK) and the Swiss Franc (CHF).

Chart 1. Year-To-Date Dynamics Of Top 7 Currencies Versus Gold: The Only Winner

Gold vs. World Currencies
Diagram by Aibek Burabayev; Source: tradingview.com

This year the gold was almost as strong as last year compared to the top currencies and only one rival could escape from its death grip. The Euro was also very strong this year as the Euro Index scored a hefty 7.26% gain against its peers (USD, GBP, JPY, CHF). It helped the euro to outweigh gold by 2%. Last year the EUR finished on 5th place.

Below is the full ranking for Y2017 with the Y2016 places in the brackets. Continue reading "Top Currencies Vs. Gold: Which Fiat Could Beat Gold in 2017?"

Top Fiat Money Vs. Gold: What Shines Brighter in 2016?

Aibek Burabayev - INO.com Contributor - Metals


It becomes a tradition to post a performance review of the top currencies vs. gold at the beginning of the new year.

Fiat money is represented by 7 currencies: The US dollar (USD) and 6 components of the US dollar index (DXY) placed by weight: euro (EUR), Japanese yen (JPY), British pound (GBP), Canadian dollar (CAD), Swedish krona (SEK) and the Swiss franc (CHF).

Chart 1. Year-To-Date Dynamics Of Top 7 Currencies Versus Gold: No Comment

Chart 1. Year-To-Date Dynamics Of Top 7 Currencies Versus Gold
Diagram by Aibek Burabayev; Source: tradingview.com

The Euronews agency has a special rubric called “No comment” where they show video news without commentary as the picture speaks for itself when something dramatic, awful or really amazing is shown. I think the above diagram also speaks for itself and it shows the drama where the gold just smashed all of the fiat currencies as none of them could escape. None! Continue reading "Top Fiat Money Vs. Gold: What Shines Brighter in 2016?"

How The OPEC Deal Impacts The FX Arena

Lior Alkalay - INO.com Contributor - Forex


The much-anticipated OPEC deal to cut oil production has finally been reached. Brent and WTI Oil futures were not too late to react and jumped more than 7% with Brent Oil futures surpassing the $50 mark. And if momentum continues we could very well be looking at $60, perhaps rather soon. If that is the case, this can change the picture, not only for Oil futures and Oil companies but for currencies of Oil exporting countries, many of which were hit hard when Oil prices took a nose dive and could benefit now that oil prices are taking off.

The question is how exactly would an Oil rally play in petro-currencies in the current macro environment? Is it a good opportunity to buy into the battered Ruble? Or maybe a Norwegian Krona rally against the Euro? The options are numerous, but once we delve into the economic dynamics of each currency, the options narrow fast. Continue reading "How The OPEC Deal Impacts The FX Arena"

Gold And Oil Breakout: We Can Benefit!

Aibek Burabayev - INO.com Contributor - Metals


In my earlier posts I showed you how gold and crude oil broke out of their trends. Gold moved higher amid an oil break down. The simplest trade here is the purchase of gold on the dip and the sale of oil on pullbacks. Today I want to share with you some other options. We can use oil related currencies instead of oil as they tend to lag and overreact to oil moves.

Chart 1. Gold Vs. Russian Ruble Weekly: Say Hi To A New High!

Gold Vs. Russian Ruble Weekly Chart
Chart courtesy of tradingview.com

The currency of the world largest country stopped strengthening only last Friday despite that oil reversed much earlier. I call this an overreaction of the currency to the oil move. I guess it’s all about the mechanical reaction of retail USDRUB sellers to the ruble and oil strength which was gone long before they started to act. Usually, non-professional players tend to sell bottoms and buy tops on market panic. Another good thing in this market is that while the ruble was strengthening gold pulled back down, giving potential buyers extra bonuses (falling gold + overreacting ruble).

The Gold/RUB pair has been in an uptrend for 2 years. At the start of 2016 the market it broke out of the triangle above the RUB 78K level and then rapidly moved higher. It topped beyond 2015 high at RUB 101,858 level in February. Continue reading "Gold And Oil Breakout: We Can Benefit!"

Top Forex Pairs VS. Gold: Another One Bites The Dust

Aibek Burabayev - INO.com Contributor - Metals


A year ago I wrote a post to compare the top currencies dynamics against Gold inside of the year. Today I want to repeat the experiment to see which one could beat the safe haven and which one couldn't. This time, you will see a modified version of the chart where the inverse metal crosses show not Gold's (last year version), but the currencies' dynamics for easier eye perception.

To remind you of the short list, there are seven currencies compared: US dollar (USD) and 6 components of the US dollar index placed by weight: Euro (EUR), Japanese yen (JPY), British pound (GBP), Canadian dollar (CAD), Swedish krona (SEK) and the Swiss franc (CHF). Continue reading "Top Forex Pairs VS. Gold: Another One Bites The Dust"