What's Brewing In The Coffee Market?

One of the many things I enjoy about MarketClub is interacting with our members and discussing the markets. One of our members recently asked about the coffee market and what I thought about it.

"Would love to see your analysis of coffee as a special situation. Know it is currently in a pullback. Monthly is still green. Sounds like the shortage is expected to continue and increase. That should mean prices will go even higher. The question is where to get back in. I have been using the ETF JO to play it. Have had a good run with in and outs following TT's, RSI, and other. Expect we could all benefit from a right time buy and proper trailing stop and just following it for a while?"

As you can see, Harold is pretty smart investor and a valued member of MarketClub. He's also taken some nice profits out of the coffee market.

So without further ado, here are my thoughts on the July Coffee (NYMEX:KT.N14.E) market. Now remember, Harold is trading the ETF Ipath DJ-UBS Coffee Trust Sub-Index (PACF:JO). This ETF pretty much mimics what the coffee market is doing.

Chart Code
1. Trade Triangles
2. Price negative divergence
3. RSI negative divergence
4. Fibonacci support area

When trading in the futures markets, we are relying on the weekly Trade Triangle for the trend and the daily Trade Triangles for timing. It's also important not to forget the monthly Trade Triangle, as it shows the longer-term trend. Continue reading "What's Brewing In The Coffee Market?"

Coffee - Starbucks' Achilles' Heel

Today, I am going to be analyzing the relationship between Starbucks Corp. (NASDAQ:SBUX) and its main raw commodity, coffee beans.

Let me start off by saying that I really like Starbucks and the coffee it sells. In fact, my favorite drink at Starbucks is a Venti Coffee Frappuccino with one third the ice, blended five times.

Major Challenges

Starbucks faces a major challenge, one it cannot control - the price of its major commodity, coffee.

With one of the worst droughts in history hitting Brazil's coffee belt region, it is rapidly pushing prices higher. This is no ordinary drought as it is forcing more than 140 cities in Brazil to ration water. Reports in Brazilian newspapers indicate that some neighborhoods are receiving water only every three days. This is serious, as Brazil produces most of the world's coffee.

With Coffee (NYBOT:KC.H14.E) prices at 14-month highs, there is little to suggest that this trend is going to change any time soon. It would appear as though early predictions are indicating that coffee supplies could be 5 million bags lower than consumption for the 2014–2015 season. Continue reading "Coffee - Starbucks' Achilles' Heel"

Chart to Watch - Coffee

We've asked our friend Jim Robinson of profittrading.com to provide his expert analysis of charts to our readers. Each week he'll be analyzing a different chart using the Trade Triangles and his experience.

Today he is going to take a look at the technical picture of March Coffee (NYBOT:KC.H14.E).

With futures you use the weekly MarketClub Trade Triangles to tell trend and the daily MarketClub Trade Triangles for timing the entry and exits to the trade.

Coffee made a base, has made a breakout of the base to the upside and a test of the base, which means a bottom is probably in for Coffee. Continue reading "Chart to Watch - Coffee"

Chart to Watch - Coffee

We've asked our friend Jim Robinson of profittrading.com to provide his expert analysis of charts to our readers. Each week he'll be be analyzing a different chart using the Trade Triangles and his experience.

Today he is going to take a look at the technical picture of Coffee. (NYBOT_KC.Z13.E).

I hope you are having a GREAT week !!!

This week let's take a look at the December Coffee futures chart.

We use the weekly MarketClub Trade Triangle to tell the trend when trading futures and the daily MarketClub Trade Triangle to time the trade.

December Coffee is on a weekly green MarketClub Trade Triangle and a daily red MarketClub Trade Triangle which is just exactly the way we want the Triangles to line up for a buy setup. Continue reading "Chart to Watch - Coffee"

Chart to Watch - Coffee

We've asked our friend Jim Robinson of profittrading.com to provide his expert analysis of charts to our readers. Each week he'll be be analyzing a different chart using the Trade Triangles and his experience.

Today he is going to take a look at the technical picture of the Coffee. (KC.N13.E).

I hope you are having a GREAT week !!!

Coffee could be turning bullish, so this week let's take a look at the Coffee Chart.

With Futures we use the weekly MarketClub Trade Triangle for trend, and the daily MarketClub Trade Triangle for timing.

Coffee put in a weekly green Trade Triangle on what looks to be the breakout to the upside of the base. Continue reading "Chart to Watch - Coffee"