It's 2014, Now What?

Hello traders everywhere! Adam Hewison here, President of INO.com and co-creator of MarketClub, with your market Outlook for 2014.

Well, here it is 2014, and I would like to wish all of our members, friends and traders around the world a very happy and prosperous new year.

Let's start with the indices which had a spectacular year in 2013, in fact, it was their best year since the mid-90s. Are we likely to see those same returns in 2014? I seriously doubt the indices are going to see double digit growth like they experienced last year. What I do expect to see are much more volatile markets as the Fed begins to extricate itself from its grand experiment. It certainly is not clear to anyone that we are going to get out of this "grand experiment" without any pain. You look at a stock like Netflix (NASDAQ:NFLX), which was certainly the star performer last year managing a gain of 296% for the year, can that continue?

According to a recent poll our blog at least a 50% of the voters expected the trend to continue in 2013. I'm not so convinced, but I would like to see what the Trade Triangles say and go with that strategy in 2014. Continue reading "It's 2014, Now What?"

Are Stocks On Your Christmas Wishlist?

Hello traders everywhere! Adam Hewison here, President of INO.com and co-creator of MarketClub, with your video update for Friday, the 20th of December.

Amazon

Amazon (NASDAQ:AMZN) moved over the $400 a share level for the first time in its history. I have been positive on Amazon since June 7th of this year, when the monthly Trade Triangle kicked in at $277.40. It is clear now, to almost everyone, that Amazon is the 900lbs gorilla in the retail space. It's going to be almost impossible to dislodge them from this position, in my opinion. Certainly the new generation of shoppers are going to bypass the Walmarts (NYSE:WMT) and the Targets (NYSE:TGT) of the world, especially when you think of the security breach that took place at Target just recently. I expect Amazon to trend higher.

Gold

Continue reading "Are Stocks On Your Christmas Wishlist?"

Where to Drill for Portfolio Outperformance

The Energy Report: Chad, you recently released an early look at 2014 titled, Drilling Down for Outperformance. You noted that you saw an average 3540% upside on your Buy-rated names. What are your criteria for picking companies?

Chad Mabry: To start, we use a discounted cash flow-based net asset value (NAV) approach to valuing exploration and production (EP) stocks. While cash flow is an important metric, NAV does a better job of comparing companies with different asset profiles, specifically within the small and midcap EP space. NAV does a better job of accounting for a company's upside potential than cash-flow metrics. We use a bottom-up approach to drill down into a company's asset base, its average type curve, estimated ultimate recoveries (EURs), well costs and so on. In this way we find out about the economics of those plays and what the sensitivities are to our commodity price deck. We then try to sort out companies that aren't being valued appropriately and identify strong risk-reward opportunities.

TER: There has been a lot of commodity price volatility this last year. How do you determine what prices to use when you're estimating NAV? Continue reading "Where to Drill for Portfolio Outperformance"

2 Stocks To Consider For Your Portfolio

Hello traders everywhere! Adam Hewison here, President of INO.com and co-creator of MarketClub, with your video update for Wednesday, the 18th of December.

7 Days To Christmas

With just seven days to go before Christmas, I expect the trading volume in the markets to begin to taper to a trickle, as more and more traders disengage themselves for the year-end holiday season. I will be looking at all the major markets today and giving you my latest thoughts on current trends.

2 New Trade Triangle Signals

I will be taking a look at Sally Beauty Holdings (NYSE:SBH) and KKR Financial Holdings LLC (NYSE:KFN) today with the Trade Triangle technology. Continue reading "2 Stocks To Consider For Your Portfolio"

Chart to Watch - Crude Oil

We've asked our friend Jim Robinson of profittrading.com to provide his expert analysis of charts to our readers. Each week he'll be analyzing a different chart using the Trade Triangles and his experience.

Today he is going to take a look at the technical picture of March Crude Oil (NYMEX:CL.H14.E).

When trading futures the weekly Trade Triangle is used to tell the market's trend and the daily Trade Triangle to time the trades. Continue reading "Chart to Watch - Crude Oil"