Forget OPEC, North American Energy Plays Bring Profits Home

The Energy Report: Byron, welcome. You recently attended the Platts Conference in London, which addressed shifting energy trade patterns in light of growing U.S. export prospects and dwindling exports from South America and Africa. Has OPEC's role diminished?

Byron King: The short answer is yes. OPEC is struggling right now. The Middle East, the West African producers and Venezuela are struggling. The West African players and Venezuela have seen exports to the U.S. decline dramatically. In countries like Algeria, oil exports to the U.S. are essentially zero, while Nigeria's exports to the U.S. are way down. The oil these countries export tends to be the lighter, sweeter crude, which happens to be the product that is increasing in production in the U.S. through fracking.

The east-to-west trade pattern for oil imports to the U.S. has essentially gone away. This does not mean that the oil goes away. It means these countries have to find new markets for their oil which they are doing, in India and the Far East. But that disrupts trade patterns as well. Imports from the Middle East to the U.S. are falling as well. These barrels tend to be the heavier, sourer crude that U.S. refineries are geared to process. Continue reading "Forget OPEC, North American Energy Plays Bring Profits Home"

Today's Video Update: Apple's Big Day And Waze To Go Google

Hello traders everywhere! Adam Hewison here, President of INO.com and Co-creator of MarketClub, with your mid-day market update for Monday, the 10th of June.

Apple's Big Day
Today, Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL) kicks off its developers conference in San Francisco. This is the day that the Apple-faithful have been patiently waiting for. It is widely speculated that Apple will announce IOS 7, a new operating system, and perhaps some other upgrades. No new disruptive technologies are expected to be announced at this conference, but with Apple you never know. One of the presenters today is Sir Jonathan Paul "Jony" Ive, who is the genius designer for many of Apple's most recent products. In my opinion, Jony was the main creative force behind Steve Jobs. The new operating system is rumored to be cleaner, simpler and “flatter”, moving away from the skeuomorphic design. Apple is also expected to announce a new music service that's going to go head-to-head with the likes of Pandora, Spotify, and other online streaming music platforms. Let's put everything in perspective, Apple has 500 million users, Pandora has less than 70 million. Mathematically, this gives Apple a huge advantage in terms of creating a really successful, new income-producing music service. Initially iRadio, as the name is rumored to be, will be supported by ads, and eventually it will end up becoming a recurring revenue product. I will be covering Apple in today's daily update. Continue reading "Today's Video Update: Apple's Big Day And Waze To Go Google"

Today's Video Update: Is The 2013 Bull Market Over?

Hello traders everywhere! Adam Hewison here, President of INO.com and Co-creator of MarketClub, with your mid-day market update for Friday, the 7th of June.

Is The 2013 Bull Market In Stocks Over?
2013 will go down in the history books as the fastest start of the any year since 1998. Having said that, there are some challenges in the market right now as we have recently seen the market tumble 3.6%. We also discussed the slowdown in Wal-Mart (NYSE:WMT) and Target (NYSE:TGT) stores, as both companies missed their forecasted earnings. All signs that the economy is slowing down. Currently, the economy hasn't picked up to the point where the Fed can abandon its monthly $85 billion purchase program. That could also lend to some stability in the marketplace. In today's video, I am going to examine how we see the market and how today's close could determine the trend for the coming week.

Early Warning System And The Yen
The Japanese Yen has strengthened against the US dollar to the surprise of many traders. Having a non-emotional approach to the market, like the Trade Triangles, can pay off consistently. If you haven't seen my "Early Warning System" video you may watch it here. Continue reading "Today's Video Update: Is The 2013 Bull Market Over?"

Potential Oil Glut! Raymond James Analyst's Contrarian Forecast

The Energy Report: Why are you expecting an oil glut in 2014?

Andrew Coleman: Because of the evolution of North American shale oil plays, we are on track to add about 3 million barrels (3 MMbbl) of new supply over the next five years. Yet we know oil demand has been falling across the developed nations and is still weak coming out of the global financial crisis. Those developments point toward a glut.

TER: Saudi Arabia surprised you last year by cutting production when oil was more than $110 per barrel ($110/bbl). Why would Saudi or other suppliers not do that again?

AC: What hurt production outside the U.S. last year and helped keep the demand side a little more in balance was that Saudi cut 800,000 barrels a day (800 Mbbl/d) in Q4/12, sanctions in Iran reduced exports by about 800 Mbbl/d as well, conflict in Sudan took 300 Mbbl/d offline and the North Sea average was lower by about 130 Mbbl/d. These reductions kept last year's supply more balanced than we thought it would be. Going forward, Saudi's ability or willingness to cut is certainly going to be tested, because by our model the country may need to cut 1.5 million barrels a day (1.5 MMbbl/d), about double what it cut last year. It would have to do that for a longer period of time, given the amount of excess storage that could show up on the global markets.

TER: But, as you just pointed out, Saudi Arabia's cut came in the context of actions by other players. The other players are going to be as unpredictable as they were last year, aren't they? Continue reading "Potential Oil Glut! Raymond James Analyst's Contrarian Forecast"

Today's Video Update: Are Investors Too Complacent Right Now?

Hello traders everywhere! Adam Hewison here, President of INO.com and Co-creator of MarketClub, with your mid-day market update for Monday, the 3rd of June.

As we start off the month of June, I wanted to make my latest eBook, 5 Professional Trading Rules That Will Make You Successful In Any Market, available to you with my complements. The book contains the core trading rules that you need to be successful in any market.

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5 Professional Trading Rules That Will Make You Successful In Any Market - by Adam Hewison
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Are Investors Too Complacent Right Now? Continue reading "Today's Video Update: Are Investors Too Complacent Right Now?"