Forget the latest greatest… Stick to a tried-and-true method of trading.
Adam Hewison here for MarketClub.com.
Several years ago, I did a video about learning how to trade crude oil in 90 seconds. People laughed at us, but they're not laughing now as huge profits continue to pile up in the crude oil market thanks to this tried-and-true method of trading.
When you watch the video you must realize that we have upgraded the MarketClub interface to a much higher standard. However, the concept of trading has remained the same. The same rules apply now just as they did 4 years ago.
Now that we have "Silly Season" behind us, it's time to get serious about trading
In today's video we are looking at crude oil. This market has been a disappointment to a lot of traders as has remained in a broad trading range for the past 18 months.
The current trading range will eventually be broken and the market will move in the direction of the breakout. While our long-term indicator, the monthly "Trade Triangle" continues to be positive, short-term "Trade Triangles" are indicating weakness. With a score of -60 for February crude oil, we expect that this market will be range bound in the short term.
It's that time of year again when everyone who is considered an "expert" comes out of their ivory towers and makes their annual market predictions for the New Year.
It's time to kiss those predictions goodbye.
I can honestly say that I wish I had a crystal ball like these other forecasters, but that's not quite how the markets work. You see, markets don't give a "Rats A**" about what forecasters say or what predictions economists make. The market is the only true voice out there.
Think about that for a moment. How many predictions do you remember that were even close to being spot on a year in advance? I remember several forecasts for 2010 and most of them were far from accurate.
Does it make any sense to trade on a year-end forecast, not knowing what can happen in this crazy world we live in? It doesn't make any sense to me or to other professional traders who never trade based on year-end predictions.
So let's get back to reality and take a look back on 2010 to see what the big trends are showing for 2011.
There's no question about it, 2010 has been pretty difficult for most traders in the crude oil market. This year has produced no discernible, lasting trends in this market. The trends it has produced have lasted little more than just 3 or 4 weeks at best.