EURUSD: Why Recent Ups and Downs Are NOT Random

By Elliott Wave International

How do you know what "your" forex market will do tomorrow?

You don't. We don't. Nobody does. All anyone can do is guess. But some guesses are more "educated" than others.

In a recent interview, Elliott Wave International's Senior Currency Strategist, Jim Martens, explained why for the past almost 30 years his favorite method to "guess" at the market's trend has been Elliott wave analysis:

Jim Martens"Markets are doing what they are supposed to be doing: inflicting the most pain on the most number of people. Markets fool the most number of people at the most unexpected moments, but by tracking Elliott wave patterns, sentiment (and the news) you can prepare yourself.

"What separates Elliott wave fans from the rest of the public is that the public has no basis for determining when the trend may be over."

Let's take a look at a recent example: namely, price action in EURUSD on April 5-7.

Since the mid-March low in EURUSD, Jim and his Currency Pro Service team have been tracking a "messy" Elliott wave pattern in the euro-dollar: a correction. "Messy," because corrections are just that: choppy, overlapping, often directionless moments when it's just plain hard to make heads or tails. Continue reading "EURUSD: Why Recent Ups and Downs Are NOT Random"

Market insight: U.S. Dollar at 11-Year High Against Euro

By Elliott Wave International

On March 4, we spoke with Jim Martens, our Chief Currency Strategist. His Currency Pro Service is participating in our Pro Services Open House, a free week-long event that starts next Tuesday at elliottwave.com.

Elliott Wave International: Jim, it's a good time to talk about currencies, because the euro has just touched an 11-year low against the dollar. Did you ever think you'd live to see this day?

Jim Martens: Did I ever think I'd live to see this moment... Well, back in mid-2011, when EURUSD was trading near $1.50, we started talking about the upcoming retest of $1.1876, the 2010 low. We were convinced that the rally from that level was a correction -- so EURUSD would ultimately fall back to it. It took a while to get there because what followed was a wide-ranging sideways consolidation in EURUSD -- a triangle, in Elliott wave terms, an overlapping pattern labeled ABCDE that you see on this chart:

That triangle ended in May 2014 with EURUSD almost hitting $1.40. From that point we had been expecting a move below $1.1876 -- and we had lower targets, as well. Most of them have been hit, and the interesting thing is that now, all of a sudden, the idea of the dollar/euro parity is becoming popular. Someone at Goldman recently talked about parity by the end of 2017.

Elliott Wave International: Do you think we'll see parity? Continue reading "Market insight: U.S. Dollar at 11-Year High Against Euro"

Chart to Watch - EURUSD

We've asked our friend Jim Robinson of profittrading.com to provide his expert analysis of charts to our readers. Each week he'll be be analyzing a different chart using the Trade Triangles and his experience.

Today he is going to take a look at the technical picture of the EURUSD Forex pair (EURUSD).

I hope you are having a GREAT week !!!

The EURUSD is moving higher, so let's take a look at the EURUSD chart this week.

With Forex we use the weekly MarketClub Trade Triangle for trend, and the daily MarketClub Trade Triangle for timing. With the recent big move higher, the monthly Trade Triangle is green and that is added confirmation that the EURUSD, might continue higher from here.

The MarketClub score of +100 is bullish and the MACD is on a buy signal, so all systems are GO for higher prices. Continue reading "Chart to Watch - EURUSD"

Chart to Watch - EURUSD

We've asked our friend Jim Robinson of profittrading.com to provide his expert analysis of charts to our readers. Each week he'll be be analyzing a different chart using the Trade Triangles and his experience.

Today he is going to take a look at the technical picture of the EURUSD Pair. (EURUSD).

I hope you are having a GREAT week !!!

The EURUSD looks to have made a double top, which was probably a counter trend correction, and is breaking out to the downside.

When counter trend corrections are over, it will normally lead to a big move back with the main trend, so odds are that if the EURUSD continues lower it could be a big move. Continue reading "Chart to Watch - EURUSD"

Today's Video Newsletter: 3 New Stocks Join the Bull Parade

Hello traders everywhere! Adam Hewison here, co-founder of MarketClub with your mid-day market update for Thursday, the 7th of March.

With the FED pouring $4.25 billion into the system every trading day, it's no wonder that stocks are moving higher. When this artificial demand and false sense of security stops, what will happen to the markets? No one can tell for sure, but we cannot keep pumping money into this market forever. Yesterday, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia President, Charles Plosser, said “We should begin to taper our asset purchases with an aim of ending them before year-end" and he believes that the central bank should slow the pace of its bond purchases because the potential costs from more stimulus outweigh the benefits.

When the FED turns off the money spigot, watch out!! That's when we get to see if the real economy has any clothes on. Until then, happy days are here again and the bull bandwagon is moving higher courtesy of the FED. Continue reading "Today's Video Newsletter: 3 New Stocks Join the Bull Parade"