Tag: Fibonacci

Silver Update: Risk/Reward Ratio Favors Longs (1:4)

Posted on by Aibek Burabayev

Aibek Burabayev - INO.com Contributor - Metals


Back in September, I posted a Silver update with the very promising title, "The Time Has Come," where I suggested both target and time for this fading downside move. The target at the $13.7 level hadn’t been reached as buyers did not wait to buy on the dips and had followed Gold to the upside beyond $15, but the time goal (which I stressed in the title) worked out perfectly according to the Fibonacci time zone extension. The downtrend exhaustion appeared in September and it has been really wasting away as not only the low, but also the high of September have both been trapped in the shadow of August (margins have been highlighted in two black dashed parallel horizontal lines). Below the chart, I am going to expand on the prospects of the current reversal.

Silver (FOREX:XAUGSDO)
Chart courtesy of TradingView.com

Laozi said, “A journey of a thousand miles begins with a single step” and the above daily chart shows us important details that can’t be seen on the monthly chart. Here we can see the last steps of the previous “journey” down and the first “step” for the way up. Continue reading "Silver Update: Risk/Reward Ratio Favors Longs (1:4)" →

Silver Update: The Time Has Come

Posted on by Aibek Burabayev

Aibek Burabayev - INO.com Contributor - Metals


The less you watch, the more you see the whole picture. The last time I posted a Silver update was three months ago, and nothing much has happened in the market, but the attitude has changed with a fresh look. Let's take a look at the details on the chart below.

FOREX:XAGUSD
Chart courtesy of TradingView.com

In my last Silver update, I had said that in the current downtrend it was preferable to take short positions with good protective stops just above resistance and the range had been defined within the $15-18.5 margins. Indeed, the price had broken below the $15 support level and dipped lower, testing the December 2014 low at the $14 level which would open the door to interim support at $12 level. This attack was repelled in the previous month and the market closed almost in between the $14-15 level at $14.60. Continue reading "Silver Update: The Time Has Come" →

Copper Update: Crude Oil Signals To Cover Shorts

Posted on by Aibek Burabayev

Aibek Burabayev - INO.com Contributor - Metals


Last month, I published a post about the correlation of the World GDP and Copper prices. I also covered the close correlation of Crude Oil and Copper prices.

Chart 1 Crude Oil weekly: Sharp rebound

NYMEX Crude Oil
Chart courtesy of TradingView.com

As seen in the above weekly chart, Crude Oil bulls attacked the market without a declaration of war and caught sellers unaware. The price quickly grew more than $10 in just three days.

This severe price action on the weekly chart has formed a so-called Bullish Engulfing pattern. That's when the small red bearish candlestick is followed by a large green bullish candlestick that completely eclipses (engulfs) the previous week's candlestick. It means that bulls have taken control of the market and the price has gone lower (or is at the end of the decline). Continue reading "Copper Update: Crude Oil Signals To Cover Shorts" →

It's Not Over…

Posted on by The INO.com Team

I believe that the "dead cat bounce" I discussed last week has occurred with the market action seen late last week. Many of the major indices have rallied back to their Fibonacci resistance levels which should hold the markets' upward momentum, at least in the short term.

If you're not familiar with our Fibonacci tool, you can learn about it right here.

Another big negative for the markets is that many of the world indices had their worst month in three years. Unless there is a miracle today, it would appear as though the month of August is going to go into the minus column for the Dow, S&P 500 and NASDAQ.

There is an old trading maxim which you may have heard, "don't try to catch a falling knife," that should be every investors' mantra for September.

One of the problems overhanging the market right now has to be the Fed and if they are going to raise interest rates in September. This uncertainty is not a good thing for the market and it would appear as though the Fed and the rest of the Central Banks are pretty much out of bullets in terms of helping the economy and the markets. Continue reading "It's Not Over…" →