Tag: Guest Bloggers

Gold Chart of The Week

Posted on by The INO.com Team

Each Week Longleaftrading.com will be providing us a chart of the week as analyzed by a member of their team. We hope that you enjoy and learn from this new feature.

Weekly Gold Report (June 10th through June 14th)

Last week provided some decent volatility in major markets across the board. Currencies were on the front burner after Europe kept rates unchanged at the ECB monthly policy meeting, and the United States Non Farm Payrolls closed out the week with somewhat of a lame number. While more jobs were created than expected, the unemployment rate did rise by a tenth of a percent.

To close out the trifecta of news from the most important Central banks in the world, we will have to wait until Tuesday to hear from the Bank of Japan who is scheduled for their monthly report, which is expected to provide very little unexpected news. Later in the week, the United States reports Retail Sales and weekly jobless claims followed by PPI and Consumer Confidence on Friday.

I do not expect any fireworks this week unless the BOJ surprises the market with news tomorrow that ignites a directional play in the Yen. If anything is revealed that suggests a slowdown in the BOJ’s Quantitative Easing Program, we may actually see the US Stock Indexes finish lower on a Tuesday for the first time in 22 weeks. If the BOJ maintains their stance on easing and continues to force the Yen lower, we can expect another higher close for the US indexes, just like the prior 21 Tuesdays. Continue reading "Gold Chart of The Week" →

Weekly Futures Recap W/Mike Seery

Posted on by The INO.com Team

We’ve asked Michael Seery of SEERYFUTURES.COM to give our INO readers a weekly recap of the Futures market. He has been Senior Analyst for close to 15 years and has extensive knowledge of all of the commodity and option markets.

Michael frequently appears on multiple business networks including Bloomberg news, Fox Business, CNBC Worldwide, CNN Business, and Bloomberg TV. He is also a guest on First Business, which is a national and internationally syndicated business show.

Grain Futures-- The grain market closed higher today with November soybeans up 25 cents to finish on the highs of the trading session at 13.30 a bushel all due to a sharply weaker U.S dollar this week with planting problems as well. Corn futures for the December contract were higher by 11 cents currently trading at 5.59 a bushel after filling the gap at 5.40 yesterday which I stated I thought prices would come back down and fill that important price level but corn still remains choppy. I am bearish the new crop soybeans & corn because I do think this weather is good for crop conditions in the long run with the weather improving in the Midwest with warmer temperatures and no rain in the forecast for several days. What a difference a year makes as last year we were basically 95° almost every single day while this year is extremely wet and cold which could push prices lower in my opinion. Continue reading "Weekly Futures Recap W/Mike Seery" →

Chart to Watch - EURUSD

Posted on by The INO.com Team

We've asked our friend Jim Robinson of profittrading.com to provide his expert analysis of charts to our readers. Each week he'll be be analyzing a different chart using the Trade Triangles and his experience.

Today he is going to take a look at the technical picture of the EURUSD Forex pair (EURUSD).

I hope you are having a GREAT week !!!

The EURUSD is moving higher, so let's take a look at the EURUSD chart this week.

With Forex we use the weekly MarketClub Trade Triangle for trend, and the daily MarketClub Trade Triangle for timing. With the recent big move higher, the monthly Trade Triangle is green and that is added confirmation that the EURUSD, might continue higher from here.

The MarketClub score of +100 is bullish and the MACD is on a buy signal, so all systems are GO for higher prices. Continue reading "Chart to Watch - EURUSD" →

Potential Oil Glut! Raymond James Analyst's Contrarian Forecast

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The Energy Report: Why are you expecting an oil glut in 2014?

Andrew Coleman: Because of the evolution of North American shale oil plays, we are on track to add about 3 million barrels (3 MMbbl) of new supply over the next five years. Yet we know oil demand has been falling across the developed nations and is still weak coming out of the global financial crisis. Those developments point toward a glut.

TER: Saudi Arabia surprised you last year by cutting production when oil was more than $110 per barrel ($110/bbl). Why would Saudi or other suppliers not do that again?

AC: What hurt production outside the U.S. last year and helped keep the demand side a little more in balance was that Saudi cut 800,000 barrels a day (800 Mbbl/d) in Q4/12, sanctions in Iran reduced exports by about 800 Mbbl/d as well, conflict in Sudan took 300 Mbbl/d offline and the North Sea average was lower by about 130 Mbbl/d. These reductions kept last year's supply more balanced than we thought it would be. Going forward, Saudi's ability or willingness to cut is certainly going to be tested, because by our model the country may need to cut 1.5 million barrels a day (1.5 MMbbl/d), about double what it cut last year. It would have to do that for a longer period of time, given the amount of excess storage that could show up on the global markets.

TER: But, as you just pointed out, Saudi Arabia's cut came in the context of actions by other players. The other players are going to be as unpredictable as they were last year, aren't they? Continue reading "Potential Oil Glut! Raymond James Analyst's Contrarian Forecast" →

3 Factors That Could Soon Derail The Bull Market

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This article originally appeared on StreetAuthority

These are truly days of wine and roses for stock market investors.

After being knocked down in the dot-com bubble of the late 1990s and again during the financial crisis of 2008, long-term investors are being rewarded for their persistence and dedication as stocks surge higher, breaking record after record.

In fact, this bull market turned 4 years old in March and is showing no signs of letting up.

Historically, the average bull market has lasted 4 1/2 years. In and of itself, this means little; for instance, the 1990s bull market lasted nearly seven years without a major correction.

But according to my research, there are three distinct signs that make me think this bull market may be ending soon. Here's what you need to know. Continue reading "3 Factors That Could Soon Derail The Bull Market" →