Tag: how to trade futures

Weekly Futures Recap With Mike Seery

Posted on by The INO.com Team

We've asked Michael Seery of SEERYFUTURES.COM to give our INO readers a weekly recap of the Futures market. He has been Senior Analyst for close to 15 years and has extensive knowledge of all of the commodity and option markets.

Michael frequently appears on multiple business networks including Bloomberg news, Fox Business, CNBC Worldwide, CNN Business, and Bloomberg TV. He is also a guest on First Business, which is a national and internationally syndicated business show.

Silver Futures

Silver futures are trading far below their 20 and 100 day moving average settling last Friday at 17.84 going out this Friday in New York around 17.55 finishing down about $.30 hitting a 4 1/2 year low as the U.S dollar continues to pressure silver and the rest of the precious metal complex. If you took my original recommendation several months back when prices broke 20.44 which was the 4 week low continue to place your stop above the 10 day high which currently stands at 18.85 and that will start to improve late next week as the chart structure will tighten up, but I still believe prices look vulnerable even at these multi-year lows. The trend is your friend in the commodity markets and the trend in the U.S dollar is clearly higher and that’s pessimistic all commodity prices, but if you have missed this trend sit on the sidelines as you have missed the boat as you do not want to chase markets that is why I like to find the trend as early as possible as my rule states a 4 week high or a 4 week low has to occur before entering.
TREND: LOWER
CHART STRUCTURE: IMPROVING Continue reading "Weekly Futures Recap With Mike Seery" →

Weekly Futures Recap With Mike Seery

Posted on by The INO.com Team

We've asked Michael Seery of SEERYFUTURES.COM to give our INO readers a weekly recap of the Futures market. He has been Senior Analyst for close to 15 years and has extensive knowledge of all of the commodity and option markets.

Michael frequently appears on multiple business networks including Bloomberg news, Fox Business, CNBC Worldwide, CNN Business, and Bloomberg TV. He is also a guest on First Business, which is a national and internationally syndicated business show.

Gold Futures

Gold futures in the December contract continued their bearish trend down another $7 this afternoon in New York currently trading at 1,220 an ounce trading far below their 20 & 100 day moving average as I’ve been recommending a short position when gold prices broke 1,278 which was the 4 week low at the time and if you took that recommendation make sure you place your stop above the 10 day high as I think there’s a high probability that prices will retest December 31st 2013th low of 1,186 in the coming months. The U.S dollar continues to make new highs against the foreign currencies which is very pessimistic gold prices also due to the fact that the Federal Reserve is ending quantitative easing as there is very little bullish fundamental news as all the interest currently is in the S&P 500 which is hitting another all-time high so continue to play this to the downside and if you are not in this market on the short side sit on the sidelines and look for any rally to get short while placing your proper stop loss of 2% of your account balance on any given trade.
TREND: LOWER
CHART STRUCTURE: POOR Continue reading "Weekly Futures Recap With Mike Seery" →

Weekly Futures Recap With Mike Seery

Posted on by The INO.com Team

We've asked Michael Seery of SEERYFUTURES.COM to give our INO readers a weekly recap of the Futures market. He has been Senior Analyst for close to 15 years and has extensive knowledge of all of the commodity and option markets.

Michael frequently appears on multiple business networks including Bloomberg news, Fox Business, CNBC Worldwide, CNN Business, and Bloomberg TV. He is also a guest on First Business, which is a national and internationally syndicated business show.

Crude Oil Futures

Crude oil futures have been very volatile in the last couple of weeks as prices are up $.30 this Friday afternoon in New York currently trading at 93.15 a barrel in the October contract as I am now recommending a short position when prices closed below 92.50 earlier in the week while placing your stop loss above the 10 day high which currently stands at 96.00 a barrel risking around $3,500 per contract as the chart structure is awful at the current time but I still do believe that the trend is lower despite the fact that prices traded as low as 90.43 before rallying severely in the last couple of days. Crude oil prices are trading below their 20 & 100 day moving average as the U.S dollar continues to make new highs against the Euro currency and I think that will be the main factor of lower prices, however problems with Iraq in Syria are propping up prices once again but continue to play this to the downside and sell any rally making sure you use the proper stop loss as the 10 day high will start to come down dramatically on a daily basis starting next week so the risk reward situation will be better than it is at the current time. The 10 year note is hitting a 5 week high yielding 2.56% and that is also a negative influence on commodity prices as well as oil as the United States is becoming an exporter as we are not so reliant on Middle East oil and that’s why prices have not been skyrocketing due to the all ISIS nonsense which is now controlling 2 countries.
TREND: LOWER
CHART STRUCTURE: POOR Continue reading "Weekly Futures Recap With Mike Seery" →

What Is The Greatest Market Indicator In The World?

Posted on by The INO.com Team

Now some would argue that fundamentals are the most important element in trading, others might argue that technicals are the most important. It might also be argued that perception is the key to trading.

I would have to say there's a certain element of truth in the fundamentals, the technicals, and perception. But to me, the greatest market indicator in the world is the market itself. You can't argue with the market and win.

In today's example, I'm going to look at crude oil futures (NYMEX:CL.V14.E). I think this is an excellent example of how potential fundamental elements did not play out. When crude oil was trading over $100 a barrel, many were calling for it to go significantly higher based on the turmoil in the Middle East and also what was happening in the Ukraine.

Well, the exact opposite occurred as oil tumbled lower month after month. Now you could stick to your guns and say to yourself that fundamentally I think crude oil is going higher. If you had adopted that strategy no matter how logical it may seem to you at the time, you'd be sitting on a tremendous loss at this present time.

Holding onto losses is not the way to trade in any market, whether it's stocks, futures, foreign exchange, ETFs or precious metals. The name of the game is making money - less we all forget.

The market may fool you every once in a while, but what program or approach doesn't do that? But overall, the market gets it right every time as it is a total of everyone's knowledge. When you have so many brains working for you around the world, how could you not pay attention to what the market is actually doing?

So let's take a look at the October crude oil contract (NYMEX:CL.V14.E) to see how MarketClub's Trade Triangle technology handled the 10% drop over the last few months.

CHART LEGEND
1. All Trade Triangles are red and negative and show a -100 Score.
2. On 7/7/14 the Weekly Trade Triangle indicates a short position at $102.40.
3. RSI moves below the 50 line.
4. RSI now acts as resistance at the 50 line.
5. RSI now acts as resistance at the 50 line.

Every success with MarketClub,
Adam Hewison
President, INO.com
Co-Creator, MarketClub

Weekly Futures Recap With Mike Seery

Posted on by The INO.com Team

We've asked Michael Seery of SEERYFUTURES.COM to give our INO readers a weekly recap of the Futures market. He has been Senior Analyst for close to 15 years and has extensive knowledge of all of the commodity and option markets.

Michael frequently appears on multiple business networks including Bloomberg news, Fox Business, CNBC Worldwide, CNN Business, and Bloomberg TV. He is also a guest on First Business, which is a national and internationally syndicated business show.

Crude Oil Futures

Crude oil futures in the October contract are currently trading sharply lower this Friday afternoon in New York at 93.10 a barrel after settling last Friday around 96 in an extremely volatile trading week as we had a $3 dollar down move and a $3 dollar up move before selling off once again because of the surging U.S dollar which continues to pressure commodity prices. I am currently sitting on the sidelines after getting stopped out last Friday and if prices break 92.50 I would be recommending another short position while placing your stop loss above the 10 day high of 96 risking around $3.50 per contract or $3,500 risk as the chart structure is very poor currently. Problems with ISIS the terrorist group are not supporting prices as you would think as the world is awash with crude oil supplies as the tug of war continues between the bulls and bears however prices still look very vulnerable to the downside as the trend in the U.S dollar will continue to the upside in my opinion.
TREND: MIXED
CHART STRUCTURE: POOR Continue reading "Weekly Futures Recap With Mike Seery" →