If It Walks Like A Duck, Quacks Like A Duck, It's A Duck!

Hello MarketClub members everywhere! As the month of February rapidly comes to an end in just three trading days, I thought it would be interesting to look at where the markets closed at the end of January, which as you know was a very volatile month.

So here the closing values of the major indices, gold and crude oil on January 29th: Continue reading "If It Walks Like A Duck, Quacks Like A Duck, It's A Duck!"

Get Ready For A Buying Opportunity In Gold

Hello MarketClub members everywhere!

Gold

Is this pullback in gold a buying opportunity or a watching opportunity? I think it's the latter, and here are the reasons why.

Gold (FOREX:XAUUSDO) has had a remarkable rally from early December in 2015 to just a couple of weeks ago when the price of gold peaked at $1260 in the spot market. There are two things that I'm looking at in this market; one is for further consolidation and the second is that I believe that a major cyclic low will be occurring in the near future.

Looking at a chart of gold for the past 12 months you can see that gold had low periods in March, July and December. If that same rhythmic pattern holds true, the next low period should be coming up in April. I expect to see gold remain choppy until that time period.

The major reason why I want to pay close attention to gold is that I believe it is in a longer-term bullish cycle. One area to pay close attention to is the 50 support line on the RSI indicator. You also want to pay particular attention to the monthly RSI, which still remains below the 50 line indicating that it's not fully into a strong upward momentum cycle for gold. I believe that we will see further consolidation below the RSI line before it's broken on the upside. Continue reading "Get Ready For A Buying Opportunity In Gold"

A Santa Claus Rally Or Will The Grinch Steal December?

The massive equity market rally on Friday was driven by short covering and a jobs report that was more favorable than the market expected. This week is going to be a battleground between the bulls and the bears and is going to be a very important week, in my opinion. Are the markets going to continue last Friday's strengths or are we going to see a two-way trading market with a Grinch-like ending for December?

Since the beginning of December, I have been warning investors to be cautious as this month tends to be a difficult and volatile month because of the holidays. Not only do investors have the market to worry about, but also the threat of terrorism which I think is in the back of everyone's mind here and in Europe. Continue reading "A Santa Claus Rally Or Will The Grinch Steal December?"

Did Yesterday's Rally Cause A Reversal In The Market?

While the rally yesterday was dramatic and to the upside, I don't believe that it was enough to reverse the decline set by the previous weeks drop. Yesterday, The Trade Triangle's indicated that a move to the sidelines was in order and a neutral stance should be adopted. I feel that is the optimum position to have at the moment.

Many of the indices are now back to an area that should provide some resistance to yesterday's rally. One of the things I will be watching closely this week is how the markets close on Friday. Especially with next being be a short and abbreviated trading week because of Thanksgiving.

Overall, 2015 was not a good year for hedge funds. I made that statement before, but several major hedge funds have dramatically reduced their exposure to stocks, I think this is a smart move as I still feel as though this market is undecided as to which direction it wants to go. Continue reading "Did Yesterday's Rally Cause A Reversal In The Market?"

Not Sure About You, But I'm Getting A Little Bit Nervous About This Market

Yesterday, Apple, Inc. (NASDAQ:AAPL) had its big reveal. Unfortunately for Apple, everything that they revealed was pretty much known before the event. The knowledge was instantly transferred to pressure on Apple's stock price which closed lower for the day after rallying close to an all-time high.

I think the products are all beautifully designed. The iWatch, now known officially as the Apple Watch, is not available until 2015 which means no revenue stream from this new product until next year.

I remember when Apple came out with its first iPad, I said to myself, "this is just like a big iPhone, how are they going to sell that?" Well, it turns out they sold a lot of them and it certainly helped propel their stock to new highs making Apple the most valuable company in the world.

I believe that eventually like the iPad, the Apple Watch will be accepted and people will consider it a necessary item to have for their health and well-being. Continue reading "Not Sure About You, But I'm Getting A Little Bit Nervous About This Market"