Some interesting facts related to market trends and the global economy have come into play recently. After the COVID-19 virus event began, global central banks entered a phase of extended easing. This move was an attempt to transition through the economic concerns related to the immediate shutdown caused by COVID-19. These actions have translated into a new phase of market trending where the Consumer became hyper-active in the global economy while inflationary trends were somewhat muted.
COVID Shifts Global Cycles Faster and Broader Trends
Now that inflation is starting to rise, we may transition away from consumer and speculative market cycles. Over the next 6 to 12+ months, the markets may shift into a late-stage Bullish rally phase. My opinion is the COVID-19 virus and economic event process has resulted in a speedy, possibly 24 to 36 month, extreme cycle phase.
Take a quick look at the Stock Market & Economic Performance cycle example below. We can see that Financials/Transports, Technology, and Capital Goods usually lead a market rally after a bottom in cycle trends. This trend is generally followed by a rally in Basic Industry, Precious Metals, and Energy before we near a peak level in the stock market. Continue reading "Which Market Trends Will Drive Through To 2022?"→
Jake Bernstein is one of the most highly respected futures analysts in the world. As the result of his many years spent researching the markets, Jake has developed numerous tools to produce sound, practical trading strategies, including ways to gauge the sentiment of the marketplace and determine what it might do next.
In his trademark no-nonsense style, Jake presents the case for cycles in this fast-moving video. You'll be on the edge of your seat during this eye-opening workshop as Jake demonstrates some of his favorite new trading strategies and shows you how to use them to capture what he calls "no brainer" trades during the next six to twelve months.
Everything in nature moves in cycles. . . the cycles of the seasons … night and day… tides… phases of the moon. Each year animals hibernate… geese migrate… salmon swim upstream to spawn… and every seven years lemmings run into the ocean.
While nature’s cycles are very visible, there are many cycles in the futures markets that are not quite as obvious. Often the reason some cycles are not easily seen is because the interaction of many large and small cycles makes individual cycles harder to see.
Cycles are the tendency for events to repeat themselves at more or less uniform intervals. One of the easiest cycles to see and understand is the seasonal cycle. Agricultural commodities have a repetitive annual price pattern called the seasonal price cycle. More than 70 of the time, the lowest cash prices of the year for corn, cotton and soybeans occur during the fall harvest period. Due to increased marketings, cattle and hogs also have price weakness during the fall. Wheat and oats tend to make seasonal lows during their summer harvest. Seasonal price trends are a reflection of regular annual changes in supply and demand factors caused by weather, production and demand.
Big reversal tops and bottoms occur at the peaks and valleys of long term moves. Smaller and tradable tops and bottoms also occur in trending moves. With appropriate timing and a coninuing trend, buying in an uptrend or selling in a downtrend is low risk. Walt will show you how to identify trends and trade bottoms and tops with three mechanical trading techniques.
You will acquire specific techniques for identifying trends and you will learn how to trade with the trend. You will also learn how to anticipate and trade trend reversals. Walt will show you mechanical buy/sell signals applicable to any market, in any time frame.
Finally, he will provide you with some simple, profitable money management techniques to reduce risk and take advantage of the big moves when they occur.