It seems so right – but it goes so wrong!

By: Chris Irvin, Veteran Instructor & Trader at The Wizard

It is the most frustrating thing in the world!  You sift through, what seems like a million different stocks to find the perfect trade.  You time your entry perfectly, and at the moment you enter the trade the chart rolls over on you.  It is like the trading floor has a camera focused on you and everyone is told to do exactly the opposite of what you are doing.  You can almost hear the snickering.

Okay, we all know that doesn’t really happen, but there are times when it sure feels like it.  When we enter or exit a trade, it is as a result of something that convinces you that your stock is going to move in a particular direction for a period of time or the mover has ended.  Continue reading "It seems so right – but it goes so wrong!"

Trends, Retracements and Reversals

By: Chris Irvin, Veteran Instructor & Trader at The Wizard

When we are looking a social media and pop culture it seems that trends change by the minute.  I read recently that the seniors leaving collage this year believe that email is dead.  It is essentially the snail mail of the 21st century and has been replaced by texting.  Waiting for an email response just takes too long.   As I get older, it takes me longer to identify trends, and I often miss the signals that they are coming to an end.  Just ask my kids – they will agree with me.

When it comes to the stock market some people suffer from the same difficulties.  They cannot see the market trends and have a tough time seeing the signals that those trends are coming to an end.  This is a critical skill in the trading world.  The truth is that everything is trending.  It does not matter if you trade stocks, currencies or futures, in some timeframe there will be an observable trend.

In this blog we are going to discuss the definition of a trend, and more importantly how to recognize the difference between “Retracements” and  ”Reversals.” Continue reading "Trends, Retracements and Reversals"

Traders Toolbox: Reversals Revisited

Trader's Toolbox

At MarketClub our mission is to help you become a better trader. Our passion is creating superior trading tools to help you achieve your goals -- no matter which way the markets move -- with objective and unbiased recommendations not available from brokers.

The Trader's Toolbox posts are just another free resource from MarketClub.

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Image Reactions Within A Downtrend

"Reversals In my opinion, one of the most misused and abused terms in technical analysis is the reversal or key reversal. I often get calls from both new and experienced traders who are excited about a market because it has just posted a “key reversal.” While the action these traders point to often marks a reversal day, such a day (week or month) by itself actually has little significance. There is research which indicates single period reversals mark a turn only about 50% of the time. Which gives about the same odds of indicating a turn using a coin flip..."

Revisit the Trader's Toolbox Post: "Reversals" here.

Traders Toolbox: Reversals Revisited...

Trader's Toolbox

At MarketClub our mission is to help you become a better trader. Our passion is creating superior trading tools to help you achieve your goals -- no matter which way the markets move -- with objective and unbiased recommendations not available from brokers.

The Trader's Toolbox posts are just another free resource from MarketClub.

---

Image Reactions Within A Downtrend

"Reversals In my opinion, one of the most misused and abused terms in technical analysis is the reversal or key reversal. I often get calls from both new and experienced traders who are excited about a market because it has just posted a “key reversal.” While the action these traders point to often marks a reversal day, such a day (week or month) by itself actually has little significance. There is research which indicates single period reversals mark a turn only about 50% of the time. Which gives about the same odds of indicating a turn using a coin flip..."

Revisit the Trader's Toolbox Post: "Reversals" here.

Momentum, Reversals, and Bar Patterns

Last week AJ Brown from TradingTrainer.com gave us a great article to 'chew on' covering OTM near-term vertical debit spreads. The response was pretty good, but I think we'll get him an even greater number of comments with this article on momentum, reversals, and bar patterns. Please enjoy the article and if you haven't done so yet, I recommend you check out AJ's training videos as you'll learn a TON!

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Every day’s bar tells us something about what to expect the next trading day. In other words, today’s bar affects tomorrow’s bar. So how do we know what that effect will be?

Not every bar will give you clear insight into where the market is headed. But there are certain bar patterns that are more informative than others. Allow me to share a few of these bar patterns with you.
You can often determine if the next trading day is going to be an up day or a down day by looking for a “key reversal up” or a “key reversal down.”
Continue reading "Momentum, Reversals, and Bar Patterns"