Tag: risk management

Weekly Futures Recap With Mike Seery

Posted on by The INO.com Team

We've asked Michael Seery of SEERYFUTURES.COM to give our INO readers a weekly recap of the Futures market. He has been Senior Analyst for close to 15 years and has extensive knowledge of all of the commodity and option markets.

Michael frequently appears on multiple business networks including Bloomberg news, Fox Business, CNBC Worldwide, CNN Business, and Bloomberg TV. He is also a guest on First Business, which is a national and internationally syndicated business show.

Gold Futures

Gold futures this Friday afternoon after the Thanksgiving holiday are sharply lower due to the fact that crude oil prices are down nearly $5 also pressuring the precious metals to the downside as gold in the February contract is currently trading down $29 at 1,167 after settling last Friday at 1,198 as I still remain neutral in this market as prices are trading above their 20 day but still below their 100 day moving average so avoid this market at the current time. In my opinion choppy markets are difficult to trade as the longer term downtrend line in gold is still intact in my opinion as a strong U.S dollar and S&P 500 continue to take money out of gold as the money flow continues to go into those 2 sectors as I still think there’s a possible retest of 1,130 in the month of December and if you remember in 2013 December was also a negative month to the downside as the stock market in my opinion will continue to climb higher throughout the rest of the year. The chart structure in gold is poor at the current time as prices have been choppy in recent weeks so look for a better market to trade and keep an eye on this and hopefully better chart structure will develop over the course of the next several weeks but I’m feeling that we will not be involved in the gold market until at least early 2015.
TREND: MIXED
CHART STRUCTURE: POOR Continue reading "Weekly Futures Recap With Mike Seery" →

Weekly Futures Recap With Mike Seery

Posted on by The INO.com Team

We've asked Michael Seery of SEERYFUTURES.COM to give our INO readers a weekly recap of the Futures market. He has been Senior Analyst for close to 15 years and has extensive knowledge of all of the commodity and option markets.

Michael frequently appears on multiple business networks including Bloomberg news, Fox Business, CNBC Worldwide, CNN Business, and Bloomberg TV. He is also a guest on First Business, which is a national and internationally syndicated business show.

Gold Futures

As I talked about in yesterday’s blog I am telling investors to remain neutral as I do believe gold prices will remain choppy to lower for the rest of 2014 as prices rallied $9 to trade around $1,200 per ounce as extreme volatility has entered this market and I think today’s price action was very impressive due to the fact that the U.S dollar was up over 50 points which is generally very bearish precious metals, however China cut their interest rate pushing many commodities prices higher. Gold futures are trading above their 20 but below their 100 day moving average moving higher despite the fact that the ECB looks like they’re going to utilize more stimulus which is remarkable in my opinion as I do think if the U.S dollar continues to move higher eventually that will be very bearish gold prices so sit on the sidelines as you do not want to trade a choppy market. This market is extremely volatile with big up price swings and down swings so avoid and move on to a trendy market like the S&P 500. Volatility in gold is amazing lately with many days of a $30 – $50 trading range which is incredible going into the holiday season, however if you remember last year gold’s low was near December 31st and we opened up the next day around $20 higher and I think the same thing will happen because of the fact that stock sales which are losers are sold to offset winning trades come the month of December so I still look for another leg down but still would sit on the sidelines at the current time.
TREND: NEUTRAL
CHART STRUCTURE: POOR Continue reading "Weekly Futures Recap With Mike Seery" →

Weekly Futures Recap With Mike Seery

Posted on by The INO.com Team

We've asked Michael Seery of SEERYFUTURES.COM to give our INO readers a weekly recap of the Futures market. He has been Senior Analyst for close to 15 years and has extensive knowledge of all of the commodity and option markets.

Michael frequently appears on multiple business networks including Bloomberg news, Fox Business, CNBC Worldwide, CNN Business, and Bloomberg TV. He is also a guest on First Business, which is a national and internationally syndicated business show.

Gold Futures

Gold futures in the December contract had a wild trading session this Friday afternoon in New York trading as low as 1,146 down over $20 only to explode higher finishing up $29 to close around 1,190 in one of the wildest trading days I can remember, as prices hit a 2 week high. If you are currently short this market I would exit at the 10 day high which occurred today so currently I’m neutral this market sitting on the sidelines as I still think gold prices are headed lower for the remainder of 2014 as money flows will continue into the S&P 500 in my opinion, however when prices hit a 2 week high it’s time to move on and sit on the sidelines and wait for another trend to develop. The U.S dollar was sharply higher this morning which caused precious metal prices to be sharply lower in early trade, however the U.S dollar sold off somewhat closing up around 20 points as massive short covering in my opinion is what’s to blame for today’s price action. The trend now in gold is choppy to neutral as volatility is extremely high at the current time so make sure you use the proper amount of contracts making sure that you risk 2% of your account balance on any given trade as 1,200 is the next resistance level in the December contract.
TREND: NEUTRAL
CHART STRUCTURE: SOLID Continue reading "Weekly Futures Recap With Mike Seery" →

Weekly Futures Recap With Mike Seery

Posted on by The INO.com Team

We've asked Michael Seery of SEERYFUTURES.COM to give our INO readers a weekly recap of the Futures market. He has been Senior Analyst for close to 15 years and has extensive knowledge of all of the commodity and option markets.

Michael frequently appears on multiple business networks including Bloomberg news, Fox Business, CNBC Worldwide, CNN Business, and Bloomberg TV. He is also a guest on First Business, which is a national and internationally syndicated business show.

Gold Futures

Gold futures in the December contract rallied sharply this Friday afternoon closing up $27 an ounce to finish at $1,170 after falling over 100 dollars in the last 2 weeks as massive profit taking sent prices to the upside as prices are still trading below their 20 & 100 day moving average settling last week at 1,170 finishing basically unchanged which is amazing in my opinion as Fridays come back was remarkable rallying over $40 from session lows. Gold prices are trading right near a 5 year low as major support is around 1,100 as the chart structure is awful at this time so I’m advising clients to stay away as the 10 day high is too far away with too much risk as the U.S dollar continues to move higher pressuring many commodities especially the precious metals but wait for the chart structure to improve reducing monetary risk.

I’m certainly not recommending any type of bullish position in gold as I believe the stock market will continue to grind higher for the rest of 2014 as money flows will continue to pour into equities and out of the precious metals so look for opportunities to sell while placing your stop above the 10 day high make sure that you only risk 2% of your account value on any given trade as volatility is extremely high as I think today’s action was just a kick back in price which was probably overdue.

If you really think about it what’s the reason to own gold at this time as equities continue to trade at all-time highs while paying dividends in many sectors were as gold is used as an inflation hedge and at this point in time deflation is a problem not inflation so avoid this market to the upside and take advantage of any rally to get short
TREND: LOWER
CHART STRUCTURE: AWFUL Continue reading "Weekly Futures Recap With Mike Seery" →

Weekly Futures Recap With Mike Seery

Posted on by The INO.com Team

We've asked Michael Seery of SEERYFUTURES.COM to give our INO readers a weekly recap of the Futures market. He has been Senior Analyst for close to 15 years and has extensive knowledge of all of the commodity and option markets.

Michael frequently appears on multiple business networks including Bloomberg news, Fox Business, CNBC Worldwide, CNN Business, and Bloomberg TV. He is also a guest on First Business, which is a national and internationally syndicated business show.

Gold Futures

Gold futures in the December contract are trading far below their 20 and 100 day moving average plummeting for the 2nd consecutive trading session down another $30 at 1,168 an ounce hitting a 4 1/2 year low as the Japanese government stated that they are going to engage into more quantitative easing sending the Japanese Yen sharply lower against the U.S dollar therefore pressuring the precious metals today. Gold futures settled around 1,231 last Friday finishing down around $60 dollars as the trend is clearly to the downside, however the chart structure is very poor at the current time so I’m sitting on the sidelines in this market, however I am certainly not recommending any type of bullish position in the gold market as prices go lower in my opinion with a possible retest of $1,100 here in the near future. All of the interest is back into the S&P 500 once again as the stock market hit an all-time high as money is flowing out of the precious metals and many of the commodity markets and putting it back to work in the stock market and I don’t think that trend will end any time soon as the months of November and December are historically bullish for the S&P 500 and bearish for the gold market so continue to play this to the downside and take advantage of any rally making sure that you place the proper stop loss. As I had written in previous blogs I was always concerned of the fact that gold prices were not rallying with all the problems with Isis and numerous other catastrophes throughout the world & that made me nervous as prices now look very weak as there is no reason to own gold at the current moment.
TREND: LOWER
CHART STRUCTURE: AWFUL Continue reading "Weekly Futures Recap With Mike Seery" →