Precious Metals Must Make a Stronger Statement Still

Yesterday was an impulsive looking move and something of a statement in itself.  But now technically, the metals and miners need to gather themselves (after a potential pullback on profit taking) and make a real statement.

Yesterday was the booster stage (gap up), and another leg up from here would give the precious metals complex the velocity to do some real damage with respect to upside targets.  That is because important resistance zones are now at hand.  While a pullback would be normal, gold bugs obviously do not want to see a terminal velocity situation where yesterday’s momentum erodes beyond normal profit taking. Continue reading "Precious Metals Must Make a Stronger Statement Still"

'Mexico Mike' Kachanovsky Believes the Best Cure for Low Prices Is Low Prices

The Gold Report: Mike, the prevailing wisdom in the market favors producers over explorers in the precious metals equities. The thinking seems to be why buy the pasture when entire farms are selling at nearly the same price? What do you think of that strategy?

Mike Kachanovsky: That is a good summary of current affairs. Market values for the entire sector have been trimmed dramatically; even many of the highest rated stocks are down 50% to 60%. From a value perspective, it makes sense to buy higher up the food chain when you have the opportunity, to buy more established companies that offer legitimate earnings and established infrastructure.

TGR: Kenneth Hoffman of Bloomberg Research notes that production from the world's biggest gold mines has dropped 17% since early 2011. He predicts that gold mines, especially high-cost mines in Africa, will start to close as gold hovers around $1,200/ounce ($1,200/oz). Is there a bullish medium-term case to be made for gold given the shrinking supply?

MK: We have been through similar severe price corrections before. At the beginning of this century, gold's market value was below what it cost to produce it. Mines closed and companies went out of business. That scenario evolved into the bull market we have today and the achievement of all-time high metals prices.

TGR: But this is not a bull market. Continue reading "'Mexico Mike' Kachanovsky Believes the Best Cure for Low Prices Is Low Prices"

Stunning Chart Shows Gold and Silver Defy Bulls' Optimism

By Elliott Wave International

Gold and silver have been all over the financial news.

On Thursday, June 20, silver fell below $20 (-60% from 2011 high), and gold fell below $1300 (-30% from 2011 high).

We first published the chart below after metals plunged in mid-April. It shows EWI's forecasts not only leading up to those big moves ... but during the past three years of opportunity.

Continue reading "Stunning Chart Shows Gold and Silver Defy Bulls' Optimism"

Today's Video Update: Coming Soon To A Gas Station Near You

Hello traders everywhere! Adam Hewison here, President of INO.com and Co-creator of MarketClub, with your mid-day market update for Friday, the 14th of June.

Coming Soon To A Gas Station Near You
Today we witnessed a massive move to new highs in crude oil, pushing all our Trade Triangles into the green, indicating that higher prices are likely ahead for this commodity. This translates into higher prices at the pump for everyone in America. The question of course will be, is this going to create a problem for the fragile economic recovery? This market has created a large technical formation that we will be discussing in today's video.

Equity Markets Are Choppy
The war between the Bulls and the Bears continues this Friday with no clear trend direction. The longer-term trend continues up, while the intermediate-term trend is indicating weakness. This translates to a neutral market position for us. If you are using our Trade Triangle technology, you can quickly see which markets are headed higher, which ones are neutral, and which are falling. We will be running through all the major indices in today's video. Continue reading "Today's Video Update: Coming Soon To A Gas Station Near You"

Physical Gold and Paper Gold Battling for Supremacy

The Gold Report: In your latest newsletter, you advocate that gold investors pay close attention to the Federal Reserve meeting taking place on June 18. What are you looking for out of that meeting?

Brien Lundin: The main driver for gold right now is quantitative easing (QE). An investor trying to figure out where the gold market is heading in the near to intermediate term needs to focus on QE. Investors should look for clues to the future prospects of the Fed's QE programthat's what's going to drive gold in the short and intermediate term. The question really is: To QE or not to QE? The next Fed meeting will be a prime indicator of that, and the one after that and the one after that.

My general view is that the reports of a resurgent U.S. economy are way ahead of themselves and some data points are indicating that the recovery is not that robust and may even be in danger. The jobs numbers will shed some light on this. If such a scenario develops, then the snap back for gold would be pretty dramatic. A weakening U.S. economy would be bullish for gold because it's bullish for continued QE, and that's the real factor for gold going forward.

TGR: Besides the jobs numbers and the Fed meeting minutes, what indicators are you watching to get some insight into whether the economy really is improving? Continue reading "Physical Gold and Paper Gold Battling for Supremacy"