Silver Update: Killing It Softly

Aibek Burabayev - INO.com Contributor - Metals


Experiment Results

It's time to check the results of my silver analysis. Back in November, I wrote an update on silver, in the first part of which I made an error analysis session of an earlier post and in the second part I added an experimental clone chart. There were two calculated targets: a price target and the time target.

In December, I was out of patience and was going to write a post once silver hit the price target. But it was crucial to wait until the time came to check both results on the date outlined in my earlier post. Below I've included the experimental clone model chart from my earlier post and added fresh comments highlighted in red to show the results and changes for your convenience.

Chart 1 Silver Weekly: Amazing Math

Silver Weekly Chart
Chart courtesy of tradingview.com

What do we see? Let’s start from the pleasant result. Yes, the price target was hit accurately almost cent to the cent: The $13.65 projected target versus the actual low of $13.63 in December. I was really surprised by this outcome as it strengthens my confidence in the world of numbers. By the way, the AB/CD concept target ($13.7) from my September post has also been hit. Continue reading "Silver Update: Killing It Softly"

Weak Euro Keeps Gold Afloat

Aibek Burabayev - INO.com Contributor - Metals


One of our readers asked if I would do a Gold/EUR analysis when I posted my last Gold/$ update. Today I will cover this instrument and show its comparative dynamics for a broader view from the opposite side of the Atlantic.

Chart 1. 5-year Comparative Dynamics: Gold/Dollar Vs. Gold/Euro

5-year Comparative Dynamics: Gold/Dollar Vs. Gold/Euro
Chart courtesy of tradingview.com

As seen on the chart above, both Gold crosses have a very strong correlation over the past 5 years. Same peaks and troughs, US gold slightly overshot the European gold at all-time high in 2011; however, it proved to be short-lived.

At the end of 2014, we can see the sharp divergence of crosses (highlighted in red arrow) amid a deep devaluation of the EUR which caused a rocketing of Gold/EUR beyond the 1100 EUR mark. The elevation was short and in 2015, we saw a sharp drop back down in both markets.

There are two things worth mentioning: Continue reading "Weak Euro Keeps Gold Afloat"

This Coin Beats All!

Aibek Burabayev - INO.com Contributor - Metals


Break Rules, Change The World!

Indeed, we are living in an exciting time of dramatic changes in our world. Nowadays, when you talk about the channel, it can be YouTube, not MTV. When you need a ride, it can be Uber, not a taxi. When you are going to shop it can be on Amazon or Alibaba, not at Wal-Mart and we can count on further changes in the future.

By the way, Uber is the largest taxi company, but it has no cars, same as Alibaba which is the largest retailer, but it has no stores. Today I want to review the currency that has no controlling government, but has the value, the value that people are ready to pay for with real fiat money.

Cryptocurrency, digital currency, virtual currency are all the names of Bitcoin (BTC), the digital asset as described in Wikipedia. It doesn't matter what you call it as long at it performs well. Let's look at how it has been behaving for the last year on the chart below. Continue reading "This Coin Beats All!"

Metals Illustrated: Past And Future

Aibek Burabayev - INO.com Contributor - Metals


In my first post this year I will show you how metals have been moving the last 5 years and which levels you should watch in 2016 to be ready for actions. More illustrations, fewer words are ahead.

Metals Performance For The Past 5 Years

Metals Performance For The Past 5 Years
Diagram by Aibek Burabayev; data courtesy of tradingview.com

Out of the past 5 years the following two years are outstanding: in 2012 all metals were in green and showed from 6% to 9% positive dynamics, and last year was totally red with double-digit percentage negative dynamics. Continue reading "Metals Illustrated: Past And Future"

Top Forex Pairs VS. Gold: Another One Bites The Dust

Aibek Burabayev - INO.com Contributor - Metals


A year ago I wrote a post to compare the top currencies dynamics against Gold inside of the year. Today I want to repeat the experiment to see which one could beat the safe haven and which one couldn't. This time, you will see a modified version of the chart where the inverse metal crosses show not Gold's (last year version), but the currencies' dynamics for easier eye perception.

To remind you of the short list, there are seven currencies compared: US dollar (USD) and 6 components of the US dollar index placed by weight: Euro (EUR), Japanese yen (JPY), British pound (GBP), Canadian dollar (CAD), Swedish krona (SEK) and the Swiss franc (CHF). Continue reading "Top Forex Pairs VS. Gold: Another One Bites The Dust"