Category: INO.com Contributors

Two Dividend Payers In Low-Risk Buy Zones

Posted on by Taylor Dart

It’s been a solid month for the market, with the S&P 500 (SPY) up 6% in January and another 1% to start February. However, the real winners have been growth stocks, with the Russell 1000 Growth Index Fund (IWF) up 10% year-to-date.

This broad-based rally has made it more difficult to find names trading at deep discounts to fair value, but there are still a few names that continue to look attractive, especially if one is looking to battle-harden and diversify their portfolio with high yields.

Given the violent pullback in natural gas prices and some disappointing company-specific news this week, TC Energy (TRP) and National Fuel Gas Company (NFG) have found themselves sitting near 52-week lows, placing them in a relatively low-risk buy zone to start new positions. Let’s take a closer look below:

TC Energy (TRP)

TC Energy is one of the largest North American energy companies. It is best known as the owner of the Keystone XL Pipeline (~2,900 miles) that transports Canadian/US crude oil supplies across North America and the ANR Pipeline, one of the largest interstate natural gas pipeline systems (~9,200 miles) in the US.

The company was founded in 1951 and continues to have one of the best dividend track records among its peers, consistently paying and growing its dividend over the past 22 years, from $0.80 in FY2022 to $3.60 in FY2022.

Unfortunately, while it is a steady dividend and earnings grower that has continued to diversify with a focus on adding renewables over the past few years, it has had a rough past year from an inflationary standpoint.

This is evidenced by the company having to raise the cost estimate for its Coastal GasLink Project in Western Canada to ~$11.0 billion, impacting its FY2023 capital spending outlook, which has come after already reporting a doubling of the initial cost estimate to ~$7.0+ billion six months ago.

The continued cost increases can be attributed to construction delays due to COVID-19 disruptions and protests, combined with higher costs for materials. Continue reading "Two Dividend Payers In Low-Risk Buy Zones" →

Gap Offers Opportunity

Posted on by Aibek Burabayev

The global stock market's market distortion was revealed last week. Let me share it with you in visual form below.

I put together three ETFs: Vanguard S&P 500 ETF (NYSEARCA:VOO) in the blue line representing the S&P 500 broad U.S. stock index; Vanguard Total World Stock ETF (NYSEARCA:VT) in the black line representing the global stock market and Vanguard FTSE All-World ex-US ETF (NYSEARCA:VEU) in the red line representing the stock market outside of the United States.

Vanguard VOO VT VEU Monthly

Source: TradingView

The first chart above depicts the price dynamics since September 2010. Over this long period, the US stock market has outperformed both the global market and the rest of the world.

VOO received +257%, VT received +107%, and VEU received only +21%. Indeed, the gap is huge.

Smart money waits for a market crash before adding or purchasing stocks. In this regard, I've created a new chart below to show how these three instruments have performed from the deep valley in 2020 to the top of 2021. Continue reading "Gap Offers Opportunity" →

ETFs For Increasing Military Spending

Posted on by Matt Thalman

As we approach the one-year anniversary of the start of the Russian-Ukraine war, we are seeing more evidence that a significant boom is continuing in the defense industry.

I know what you may be thinking... the rally in defense stocks has already occurred, and the time to buy these stocks was at the start of the war in Ukraine.

While that would have been the ideal time to buy defense stocks, just because you didn’t buy back then doesn’t mean now is also not a good time to buy.

Let me explain why now is an excellent time to buy defense stocks, or better yet, Exchange Traded Funds that focus on defense stocks, and then I will give you a few different defense ETFs that you can buy today.

The Foundation for Defense of Democracies Center on Military and Political Power recently estimated that the total spending required by United States NATO allies could be as high as $21.7 billion to replace military equipment given to Ukraine to fight the war with Russia.

That number could be higher or lower based on how different countries decide to replace arms that were given to Ukraine, but the point is if NATO member countries want to build their own militaries back up to meet the level they were before the Russian-Ukraine war began, a lot of money will need to be spent, to get them back to par.

Furthermore, based on the situation in Ukraine, many believe that we will not only see countries replenish their weapons stockpiles but increase what they have in reserve.

Additionally, we are seeing more countries apply for acceptance into NATO since the Russian invasion of Ukraine. As we see NATO increase in size, it is likely that the alliance will also increase its own arms stockpile.

Ideally, the Russian-Ukraine war will end soon, and this conflict will be a short-term catalyst for defense spending.

But even if you are on the fence about the defense industry in the short term, the long-term prospects of the industry still look good. Continue reading "ETFs For Increasing Military Spending" →

Get Exposure To Gold With These 2 Leaders

Posted on by Taylor Dart

While 2022 was a year to forget for the major market averages, the Gold Miners Index (GDX) managed to claw its way back from significant underperformance to finish the year down just 10%, outperforming the S&P 500 (SPY) by 1000 basis points.

Fortunately for investors in the gold space, we’ve seen follow-through to this outperformance to start the new year, with the GDX up 13% year-to-date and back into positive territory on a 1-year trailing basis.

However, while the index may be up sharply off its lows and gold miners are outperforming most stocks, this doesn’t mean that any miner can be bought on dips, and a few have become expensive and increasingly risky now that they’re up more than 50% off their Q3 2022 lows.

In this update, we’ll look at two names that continue to fire on all cylinders and are much safer ways to buy any upcoming pullbacks in the space, given their operational excellence, attractive dividend yields, and superior diversification vs. their peer group.

Let’s take a closer look below:

Agnico Eagle Mines (AEM)

Agnico Eagle Mines (AEM) is the world’s third-largest gold producer and has been one of the busiest companies in the sector from an M&A standpoint.

In Q1 2022, the company closed its merger with the 9th largest gold producer globally, Kirkland Lake Gold, and is now in the process of acquiring Yamana Gold’s Canadian assets in a two-way acquisition with Pan American Silver (PAAS).

The result of these two acquisitions is that the company will grow into a ~3.9 million-ounce producer by 2024 (assuming the Yamana deal closes), placing it just behind Barrick Gold (GOLD) for the #2 spot among the world’s largest gold miners.

The result of this M&A activity is that Agnico Eagle now has ten mines in the safest mining jurisdictions globally (up from seven previously) and will gain the other 50% ownership of one of its largest gold mines in Quebec if the Yamana deal closes. Continue reading "Get Exposure To Gold With These 2 Leaders" →

Treasury Default Hysteria Begins

Posted on by George Yacik

While fights over Supreme Court and Federal Reserve Board nominations come sporadically as vacancies arise, there is one political battle we can almost always count on from year to year, and that is the struggle over extending the federal debt ceiling.

If it’s not increased, we’re told, the U.S. government will default on its obligations, Social Security and other government program beneficiaries will be rendered destitute, Treasury bondholders will see the value of their holdings decimated as they go without their interest payments, our soldiers and other government employees won’t get paid, and the global financial system will grind to a halt.

Most serious-minded adults, however (I hope), have learned to ignore this annual game of chicken that the White House and Congress insist on playing every year, although the financial press and media commentators profess to take it seriously.

Whichever political party controls the White House or the houses of Congress, the drama generally follows the same predictable format, namely the Democrats always favor raising the debt ceiling to avoid the catastrophes described in the first paragraph, while the Republicans express opposition in the name of fiscal responsibility.

Yet no matter how long the drama plays out, the outcome is always the same: the Republicans eventually knuckle under, life goes on and everyone gets their money, until the next debt debacle. Lather, rinse, repeat.

This year, it seems, the play has begun early.

Five whole months before the government allegedly runs out of money without a debt limit increase, Treasury Secretary (and former Fed Chair) Janet Yellen has already sounded the alarm and instructed her troops to put in place “extraordinary measures” to allow the government to keep paying its bills before it hits the current $31.4 trillion debt limit in June.

Yellen wasted no time in using the dreaded D-word to emphasize the supposed seriousness of the situation.

“A failure on the part of the United States to meet any obligation, whether it’s to debtholders, to members of our military or to Social Security recipients, is effectively a default,” she said. Continue reading "Treasury Default Hysteria Begins" →