Is The Yen Facing Another Meltdown?

Lior Alkalay - INO.com Contributor - Forex


It’s spring, and the cherry blossoms are in full bloom in Japan, the “Land of the Rising Sun” and home to the Japanese Yen. While many view spring as a time for new beginnings, from a more practical and economical perspective, it’s also means a new fiscal year in Japan, thus this is an ideal time to review all the data and attempt to gauge the Yen’s next trajectory. Of course, many want to know if the Japanese currency is facing yet another meltdown. While it is a rather straightforward question, with a seemingly straightforward answer, the fact is we must delve deep into complex issues including the mechanics of Quantitative Easing, Japan’s public debt and inflation.

What QE Does?

The intention of Quantitative Easing, or QE as it’s popularly called in the mainstream, is simply to allocate funds to the private sector which, hopefully, will revive growth and inflation. QE is based on one of the key pillars of capitalism, namely that funds are better off in the hands of the private sector if the preservation of growth is the goal. That sounds reasonable, but there is a macroeconomic issue at play, as well. Most of the time, the government (naturally, depending on which government) is deemed a vastly superior borrower to any private company or Continue reading "Is The Yen Facing Another Meltdown?"

Green Light Ahead For This Automaker

Daniel Cross - INO.com Contributor - Equities


The global economy is sending mixed signals to investors right now. The data we've seen so far this year hasn't really let us know what direction the economy is headed – oil is still lingering at less than $50 per barrel while the U.S dollar continues to reign supreme relative to foreign currencies.

In the auto industry though, there doesn't seem to be any doubt about its direction.

After coming out of the financial crisis with less than 10 million new auto sales in the U.S., March's latest data puts total annual sales at 17.05 million for 2015 – up from 16.16 million in February and higher than the 16.9 million analysts predicted. The IHS estimates that total sales for the North American market will grow by 2.5% to 20 million units. Continue reading "Green Light Ahead For This Automaker"

Gold Monthly Update: Hate The Dollar?

Aibek Burabayev - INO.com Contributor - Metals


The Dollar

In my last monthly update, I examined a chart of the US Dollar Index and today, I will do it again to show you how king currency rules this dollar-denominated world swing-to-swing. There is one difference; this time it will be an Elliott Wave analysis and I hope you will enjoy it.

US Dollar Index - 5 Targets / Waves A, B & C
Chart courtesy of Tradingview.com

As seen in the above weekly chart, right after my monthly post, the Dollar Index started its long-term correction, dipping below the Continue reading "Gold Monthly Update: Hate The Dollar?"

Middle Eastern politics begin to affect oil prices again

Adam Feik - INO.com Contributor - Energies


For months, the big story behind plummeting oil & gas prices has been the U.S. and Canadian on-shore shale boom. The resulting supply glut has caused WTI crude to fall from about $107 on June 20th, to a low of about $45 recently. Meanwhile, Saudi Arabia and OPEC have held firm to their Thanksgiving weekend decision to continue pumping at a steady rate. Finally, lackluster demand from emerging countries like China hasn't had enough kick to cause prices to rebound significantly.

So… OPEC countries have been the "steady" ones in all this.

In recent days, however, focus has turned to the Middle East (of all places). Can you imagine? Middle Eastern geopolitics affecting oil prices? It's been awhile since the Mid-East has been the center of attention. Continue reading "Middle Eastern politics begin to affect oil prices again"

Gold And Silver: The Bulls Failed

Aibek Burabayev - INO.com Contributor - Metals


Gold - Classic Chart

Daily Gold Chart

Another profitable week for the bulls ended and so did the upward momentum. Price elevated for a decent $40 from my last post and almost touched the $1223 resistance area on Thursday, but failed below $1220 and then quickly retraced down for $15 to a $1204 close.

The rule of the game is set so that if you don’t keep buying to push the market up, sellers will appear and you would be buying all the way down. Once weakness appeared, the bears took the ball and started their own game, pulling the price down from recent highs. Monday brought more selling pressure to the game and the price is now below the first support level at $1190 (former resistance, highlighted in green). If we close below $1190, then I would not rule out price reaching $1170/$1131 supports. Sellers can benefit from the trade lower, with a stop set just above $1200 and take profit put above $1131. $20 of risk versus $55 of profit, a sound ratio. Continue reading "Gold And Silver: The Bulls Failed"